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trivago NV (TRVG)
NASDAQ:TRVG
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trivago (TRVG) AI Stock Analysis

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TRVG

trivago

(NASDAQ:TRVG)

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Neutral 55 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:55Neutral
Price Target:
$3.50
▲(11.82% Upside)
trivago's overall stock score is driven by its strong revenue growth and strategic initiatives highlighted in the earnings call. However, profitability challenges and a negative valuation weigh heavily on the score. Technical indicators suggest caution, with the stock trading below key moving averages.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Consistent revenue growth over multiple quarters indicates strong market demand and effective business strategies, enhancing long-term prospects.
Strategic Acquisitions
Acquiring Holisto strengthens trivago's technological capabilities and market position, potentially driving future revenue and competitive advantage.
AI and Product Innovations
Investments in AI and product innovation enhance user experience, likely increasing user engagement and retention, supporting long-term growth.
Negative Factors
Profitability Challenges
Ongoing profitability issues, reflected in negative net margins, could hinder sustainable growth and limit reinvestment capabilities.
Cash Flow Issues
Declining free cash flow indicates potential liquidity constraints, affecting the company's ability to fund operations and strategic initiatives.
Operational Efficiency
Rising operational costs without corresponding revenue increases can pressure margins, necessitating efficiency improvements for sustainable profitability.

trivago (TRVG) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

trivago Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Descriptiontrivago N.V., together with its subsidiaries, operates a hotel and accommodation search platform in the United States, Germany, the United Kingdom, and internationally. It offers an online meta-search for hotels and accommodation through online travel agencies, hotel chains, and independent hotels. The company provides access to its platform through 53 localized websites and apps in 31 languages. As of December 31, 2021, its hotel search platform offered access to approximately 5.0 million hotels and other types of accommodation worldwide. The company was incorporated in 2005 and is headquartered in Düsseldorf, Germany. trivago N.V. is a subsidiary of Expedia Lodging Partner Services Sarl.
How the Company Makes MoneyTrivago primarily generates revenue through a performance-based advertising model. The company earns money by charging hotels and online travel agencies (OTAs) a fee each time a user clicks on a hotel listing that redirects them to the advertiser's website to complete a booking, a process known as Cost Per Click (CPC). Key revenue streams include direct partnerships with hotel chains and OTAs that pay for increased visibility on the Trivago platform. Additionally, Trivago leverages its extensive data analytics capabilities to optimize advertising placements and enhance user experiences, which further attracts advertisers. The company's success is also bolstered by its global reach and brand recognition, which draws a significant volume of traffic to its website and mobile applications.

trivago Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 06, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Nov 04, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflected a strong positive sentiment, with significant revenue growth, successful strategic initiatives, and promising acquisitions, despite some financial losses and FX headwinds.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Revenue Growth
Trivago reported a 17% year-over-year increase in total revenue, marking the third consecutive quarter of growth and second consecutive quarter of double-digit growth across all segments.
Geographic Performance
The Rest of the World segment led with 32% year-over-year growth, followed by Developed Europe at 20%, and the Americas at 10%.
Successful Brand Marketing
Double-digit branded revenue growth was achieved across all geographic segments due to strategic brand marketing investments and a new global AI-powered campaign.
AI and Product Innovations
Launch of AI-powered review summaries for over 230,000 hotels and integration of AI Smart Search into the core hotel search experience, enhancing user experience.
Focus on Logged-in Users
Achieved 20% of referral revenue from logged-in users, with a 25% higher conversion rate among this group.
Acquisition of Holisto
Completed acquisition of Holisto, enhancing trivago's user experience and expected to generate low double-digit million euros in revenue.
Negative Updates
Net Loss Reported
A net loss of EUR 6.5 million was reported for the second quarter.
Negative Adjusted EBITDA
Reported a better-than-expected adjusted EBITDA loss of EUR 5.1 million, similar to the 2024 performance.
FX Headwinds
Foreign exchange-related headwinds negatively impacted revenue by approximately 3%, with a stronger effect of 7% in the Americas.
Company Guidance
In the second quarter of 2025 earnings call, trivago reported a 17% year-over-year revenue growth, marking their third consecutive quarter of growth and second consecutive quarter of double-digit growth across all segments. Geographic performance was robust, with Rest of the World leading at 32% year-over-year growth, Developed Europe at 20%, and the Americas at 10%. Despite a net loss of EUR 6.5 million, they achieved better-than-expected adjusted EBITDA loss of EUR 5.1 million. Operational expenses increased by EUR 19.9 million, primarily due to a EUR 21.8 million rise in selling and marketing expenses. Trivago maintained a global Return on Advertising Spend (ROAS) of 119%, with slight improvements in Rest of the World. The company also highlighted their strategic focus on brand marketing, product innovation, and partner empowerment, with significant progress in branded traffic and user engagement, particularly noting that 20% of referral revenue now comes from logged-in users. Additionally, trivago completed the acquisition of Holisto, an AI-driven travel technology company, to enhance their trivago Book & Go initiative.

trivago Financial Statement Overview

Summary
trivago demonstrates strong gross margins and a stable balance sheet with low leverage. However, the company faces profitability challenges with negative net income and cash flow issues, as evidenced by declining free cash flow. While revenue growth is positive, operational efficiency needs improvement to achieve sustainable profitability.
Income Statement
55
Neutral
trivago's income statement shows a mixed performance. The company has a strong gross profit margin of 97.8% TTM, indicating efficient cost management. However, the net profit margin is negative at -4.89% TTM, reflecting ongoing losses. Revenue growth is positive at 4.28% TTM, showing a recovery trend, but the EBIT and EBITDA margins remain negative, suggesting operational challenges.
Balance Sheet
60
Neutral
The balance sheet reflects a stable financial position with a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.20 TTM, indicating conservative leverage. However, the return on equity is negative at -12.91% TTM, highlighting profitability issues. The equity ratio is strong, suggesting a solid capital structure.
Cash Flow
50
Neutral
trivago's cash flow statement indicates challenges with a negative free cash flow growth rate of -30.84% TTM. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.15 TTM, showing limited cash generation relative to net losses. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio is relatively healthy at 0.66 TTM, indicating some ability to cover losses with free cash flow.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue504.24M460.85M485.03M535.00M361.46M248.92M
Gross Profit493.27M449.58M473.06M522.31M349.96M238.79M
EBITDA-21.98M-24.48M-147.30M-120.26M10.05M-252.65M
Net Income-24.67M-23.70M-164.48M-126.82M10.70M-244.64M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets301.36M300.72M325.07M691.59M834.52M830.90M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments111.24M133.75M127.07M293.58M256.38M227.80M
Total Debt37.25M38.43M40.73M45.27M47.54M93.17M
Total Liabilities115.89M103.11M110.05M129.86M140.74M166.38M
Stockholders Equity185.47M197.60M215.02M561.74M693.78M664.52M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow6.62M17.45M24.29M62.29M28.75M2.37M
Operating Cash Flow10.10M20.25M27.80M66.27M32.54M7.87M
Investing Cash Flow-12.66M12.22M16.29M-54.91M10.02M-16.19M
Financing Cash Flow-945.00K-774.00K-190.44M-19.62M1.05M-180.00K

trivago Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price3.13
Price Trends
50DMA
3.48
Negative
100DMA
3.73
Negative
200DMA
3.69
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.04
Positive
RSI
35.49
Neutral
STOCH
0.65
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TRVG, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 3.13 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 3.35, below the 50-day MA of 3.48, and below the 200-day MA of 3.69, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.04 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 35.49 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 0.65 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for TRVG.

trivago Risk Analysis

trivago disclosed 57 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. trivago reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

trivago Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (60)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
76
Outperform
$791.78M12.3811.62%5.78%14.20%38.92%
74
Outperform
$1.60B22.268.57%4.36%29.62%-19.65%
73
Outperform
$2.01B14.3920.13%5.37%13.08%
60
Neutral
$48.67B4.58-11.27%4.14%2.83%-41.78%
60
Neutral
$32.14B139.244.95%-95.06%1.92%
55
Neutral
$220.06M-12.44%8.29%87.33%
54
Neutral
$797.75M-14.27%9.65%56.50%
* Communication Services Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TRVG
trivago
3.13
1.39
79.89%
NBIS
Nebius Group
127.98
109.04
575.71%
YELP
Yelp
31.81
-2.72
-7.88%
SSTK
Shutterstock
22.32
-6.73
-23.17%
OPRA
Opera
17.90
3.99
28.68%
NXDR
Nextdoor Holdings
2.06
-0.38
-15.57%

trivago Corporate Events

trivago Reports Strong Q2 2025 Growth and Completes Holisto Acquisition
Aug 5, 2025

On August 5, 2025, trivago N.V. announced its financial results for the second quarter ending June 30, 2025, reporting a 17% year-over-year revenue growth to €139.3 million, driven by an 18% increase in Referral Revenue. This marks the third consecutive quarter of growth, with significant contributions from branded channel traffic, particularly in Developed Europe and the Americas. Despite a net loss increase to €6.5 million, the company improved its Adjusted EBITDA loss to €5.1 million. The acquisition of Holisto Ltd., completed on July 31, 2025, is expected to further enhance revenue and user experience. trivago anticipates continued double-digit revenue growth into the third quarter of 2025, reinforcing its strategic marketing and user engagement initiatives.

Trivago Completes Acquisition of Holisto to Enhance Travel Tech Services
Jul 31, 2025

On July 31, 2025, trivago N.V. completed the acquisition of Holisto Limited, an AI-driven travel technology platform, for approximately €22.3 million. This acquisition positions trivago to expand its operations by integrating Holisto’s hotel rate aggregation and booking engine services, potentially enhancing its market presence and operational capabilities.

Trivago N.V. Announces Key Resolutions from June 2025 AGM
Jun 30, 2025

On June 27, 2025, trivago N.V. held its Annual General Meeting of Shareholders, where several key resolutions were passed. These included the adoption of the annual accounts for 2024, the appointment of an external auditor for 2025, and the re-appointment and appointment of supervisory and managing directors. The meeting also authorized the management board to acquire shares in the company’s capital, indicating a strategic move to potentially enhance shareholder value.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Sep 30, 2025