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Marzetti Company (MZTI)
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Marzetti Company (MZTI) AI Stock Analysis

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MZTI

Marzetti Company

(NASDAQ:MZTI)

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Outperform 75 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:75Outperform
Price Target:
$199.00
▲(13.20% Upside)
Marzetti Company's overall stock score reflects strong financial performance and positive earnings call highlights, tempered by technical indicators suggesting potential short-term weakness and a relatively high valuation. The company's strategic focus on growth and market share gains supports a positive outlook, but investors should be mindful of valuation and recent operational challenges.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
The sustained revenue growth indicates strong demand for Marzetti's products and effective market strategies, supporting long-term business expansion.
Market Share Gains
Significant market share gains in key categories suggest competitive strength and brand loyalty, enhancing Marzetti's market position.
Profit Margin Improvement
Improved profit margins reflect operational efficiency and cost management, contributing to sustainable profitability.
Negative Factors
Decreased Operating Income
Decreased operating income due to rising expenses could pressure future profitability, necessitating cost control measures.
Restructuring Costs
Restructuring costs indicate operational challenges and may lead to short-term disruptions, affecting financial performance.
Foodservice Segment Decline
Declining sales volume in the Foodservice segment could impact overall growth, highlighting the need for strategic adjustments.

Marzetti Company (MZTI) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Marzetti Company Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionManufactures and markets specialty food products (garlic breads, rolls, dressings, dips, pasta, croutons), serving retail and foodservice channels in the U.S.
How the Company Makes MoneyMarzetti Company generates revenue through multiple key streams, primarily by selling its branded food products to both retail and foodservice customers. The company's revenue model is driven by the sale of its diverse product lineup, which includes refrigerated and shelf-stable items. Significant partnerships with grocery chains, restaurants, and food distributors enhance its market reach and contribute to sales growth. Additionally, Marzetti invests in marketing and product development to expand its portfolio and adapt to changing consumer trends, thereby increasing its earnings potential.

Marzetti Company Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 21, 2025
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Oct 30, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call reflected a strong performance in net sales and market share gains in key product categories, bolstered by strategic marketing investments. However, these positives were offset by decreased operating income due to higher expenses and restructuring costs, alongside a decline in Foodservice segment volume.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record High Financial Performance
The Marzetti Company achieved record high net sales, gross profit, and operating income for the fiscal year 2025, with a 5% increase in consolidated net sales to $475.4 million and an 8.7% rise in gross profit to $106.1 million for the fourth quarter.
Strong Retail Segment Growth
The Retail segment saw a net sales increase of 3.1% to $241.6 million, driven by licensing programs and brand growth, including a 52.4% increase in the frozen dinner roll category.
Market Share Gains in Key Categories
Marzetti brands achieved significant market share gains, with a 690 basis point increase in the frozen dinner roll category and a 260 basis point increase in the frozen garlic bread category.
Strategic Marketing Investments
The company increased marketing investments, leading to improved household penetration trends for brands like New York Bakery and Sister Schubert's.
Negative Updates
Decreased Operating Income
Consolidated operating income decreased by $2.8 million due to higher SG&A expenses and increased restructuring impairment costs.
Restructuring and Impairment Charges
The company reported $5.1 million in restructuring and impairment charges, primarily due to the planned closure of a sauce and dressing facility in Milpitas, California.
Decline in Foodservice Segment Volume
Excluding noncore sales, the Foodservice segment experienced a 1.7% decline in sales volume.
Company Guidance
In The Marzetti Company's fiscal year 2025 fourth quarter conference call, the company reported record results with consolidated net sales increasing by 5% to $475.4 million and gross profit rising by 8.7% to reach $106.1 million. The Retail segment saw a 3.1% increase in net sales, totaling $241.6 million, driven by licensing programs and core brand growth. Notably, sales of Chick-fil-A sauce grew by 17.2%, while the Texas Roadhouse dinner rolls and New York Bakery brand garlic bread also contributed significantly to sales performance. Meanwhile, the Foodservice segment experienced a 1.4% sales increase, excluding noncore sales, although sales volume slightly declined by 1.7%. The company emphasized its focus on supply chain productivity, value engineering, and revenue management to improve margins. Looking ahead to fiscal year 2026, The Marzetti Company anticipates continued growth driven by volume increases in both segments and plans for new product launches, particularly in the Retail segment.

Marzetti Company Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Marzetti Company exhibits strong financial health with consistent revenue and profit growth, efficient operational performance, and a solid balance sheet. The company has managed to improve its profitability margins and maintain a low debt level, which is commendable. While cash flow management has shown improvement, past volatility suggests the need for continued focus in this area.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Marzetti Company has demonstrated consistent revenue growth over the years, with a notable increase in gross profit margin from 21.32% in 2023 to 23.87% in 2025. The net profit margin has also improved, reaching 8.77% in 2025. The EBIT and EBITDA margins have shown positive trends, indicating strong operational efficiency. However, the gross profit margin has not yet returned to the peak levels seen in 2020, suggesting room for improvement.
Balance Sheet
80
Positive
The company's balance sheet is robust, with a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.056 in 2025, reflecting prudent financial management. The return on equity remains strong at 16.76%, indicating effective use of shareholder funds. The equity ratio is healthy, suggesting a stable financial position. However, the slight increase in total debt over the years warrants monitoring.
Cash Flow
78
Positive
Marzetti Company has shown positive free cash flow growth, with a 6.07% increase in 2025. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is strong at 1.40, indicating efficient cash generation relative to net income. The free cash flow to net income ratio is also healthy at 0.78. However, the company experienced negative free cash flow in 2022, highlighting potential volatility in cash flow management.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.91B1.91B1.87B1.82B1.68B1.47B
Gross Profit455.65M455.65M432.30M388.57M355.72M386.72M
EBITDA287.59M287.59M270.13M217.69M189.50M225.87M
Net Income167.35M167.35M158.61M111.29M89.59M142.33M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.27B1.27B1.21B1.11B1.09B1.10B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments161.48M161.48M163.44M88.47M60.28M188.06M
Total Debt55.55M55.55M57.67M29.99M36.23M33.27M
Total Liabilities276.23M276.23M281.16M250.73M245.69M258.14M
Stockholders Equity998.50M998.50M925.77M862.27M844.69M843.15M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow247.21M203.50M183.98M135.72M-30.16M86.32M
Operating Cash Flow261.50M261.50M251.55M225.90M101.81M174.19M
Investing Cash Flow-148.21M-148.21M-67.43M-90.78M-132.24M-88.98M
Financing Cash Flow-115.26M-115.26M-109.15M-106.93M-97.34M-95.43M

Marzetti Company Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price175.79
Price Trends
50DMA
179.79
Negative
100DMA
173.57
Positive
200DMA
176.41
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.20
Positive
RSI
40.15
Neutral
STOCH
10.24
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For MZTI, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 175.79 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 181.42, below the 50-day MA of 179.79, and below the 200-day MA of 176.41, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.20 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 40.15 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 10.24 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for MZTI.

Marzetti Company Risk Analysis

Marzetti Company disclosed 27 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Marzetti Company reported the most risks in the "Production" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Marzetti Company Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
75
Outperform
$4.87B29.1417.35%2.16%2.00%5.39%
71
Outperform
8.75B7.7212.90%7.64%-3.64%231.77%
69
Neutral
9.91B16.6615.42%4.63%6.40%6.17%
63
Neutral
2.77B12.6615.37%7.43%-0.61%70.09%
60
Neutral
4.59B20.82-73.67%16.27%5.13%
52
Neutral
11.53B-7.88-24.63%4.02%2.54%-293.39%
62
Neutral
$20.33B14.63-3.31%3.23%1.93%-12.26%
* Consumer Defensive Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
MZTI
Marzetti Company
175.79
-0.46
-0.26%
CPB
Campbell Soup
33.24
-15.26
-31.46%
CAG
Conagra Brands
18.32
-12.16
-39.90%
FLO
Flowers Foods
13.13
-8.77
-40.05%
SJM
JM Smucker
108.08
-6.27
-5.48%
BRBR
BellRing Brands
36.43
-24.51
-40.22%

Marzetti Company Corporate Events

Shareholder MeetingsDividends
Marzetti Company Declares Quarterly Cash Dividend
Positive
Aug 13, 2025

On August 13, 2025, The Marzetti Company announced a quarterly cash dividend of 95 cents per common share, maintaining the higher level set nine months prior, marking its 62nd consecutive year of increased regular cash dividends. The company also scheduled its annual shareholder meeting for November 19, 2025, to be held virtually, allowing shareholders to participate and vote online, with proxy materials to be provided in October.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Sep 20, 2025