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Conagra Brands (CAG)
NYSE:CAG
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Conagra Brands (CAG) AI Stock Analysis

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CAG

Conagra Brands

(NYSE:CAG)

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Outperform 71 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:71Outperform
Price Target:
$21.00
â–²(15.51% Upside)
Conagra Brands' overall score reflects a solid financial foundation with attractive valuation metrics. The company's strategic focus on productivity and supply chain improvements, alongside successful product innovations, supports a positive outlook. However, high leverage and persistent inflationary pressures present ongoing challenges.
Positive Factors
Product Innovation
Successful product innovations like Banquet Mega Chicken Fillets demonstrate Conagra's ability to adapt to consumer preferences, enhancing its competitive edge and supporting long-term revenue growth.
Supply Chain Resilience
Investing in supply chain resilience, such as repatriating production, can lower costs and improve margins, providing a durable competitive advantage in operational efficiency.
Operational Efficiency
Strong operational efficiencies through productivity and tariff mitigation efforts enhance profitability, enabling Conagra to better manage costs and sustain margins despite external pressures.
Negative Factors
High Leverage
High leverage can limit financial flexibility and increase risk during economic downturns, potentially impacting Conagra's ability to invest in growth opportunities.
Inflationary Pressures
Persistent inflationary pressures can compress margins and challenge profitability, requiring strategic pricing and cost management to maintain financial health.
Supply Constraints
Supply constraints can hinder growth by limiting the ability to meet consumer demand, impacting revenue and market share in the long term if not addressed effectively.

Conagra Brands (CAG) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Conagra Brands Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionConagra Brands, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates as a consumer packaged goods food company in North America. The company operates in four segments: Grocery & Snacks, Refrigerated & Frozen, International, and Foodservice. The Grocery & Snacks segment primarily offers shelf stable food products through various retail channels in the United States. The Refrigerated & Frozen segment provides temperature-controlled food products through various retail channels in the United States. The International segment offers food products in various temperature states through retail and foodservice channels outside of the United States. The Foodservice segment offers branded and customized food products, including meals, entrees, sauces, and various custom-manufactured culinary products packaged for restaurants and other foodservice establishments in the United States. The company sells its products under the Birds Eye, Duncan Hines, Healthy Choice, Marie Callender's, Reddi-wip, Slim Jim, Angie's BOOMCHICKAPOP, Duke's, Earth Balance, Gardein, and Frontera brands. The company was formerly known as ConAgra Foods, Inc. and changed its name to Conagra Brands, Inc. in November 2016. Conagra Brands, Inc. was founded in 1861 and is headquartered in Chicago, Illinois.
How the Company Makes MoneyConagra Brands generates revenue primarily through the sale of its packaged food products across multiple categories, including frozen, refrigerated, and shelf-stable goods. The company's revenue model is built on a combination of direct sales to retailers, food service distributors, and direct-to-consumer channels. Key revenue streams include branded products, private label offerings, and innovative new products that cater to consumer trends such as health and wellness. Furthermore, Conagra has formed strategic partnerships and collaborations with retailers and food service companies to enhance distribution and visibility of its brands, contributing to increased market penetration and sales. Additionally, the company invests in marketing and promotional activities to drive brand awareness and consumer engagement, which further supports its revenue generation efforts.

Conagra Brands Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue by Segment
Revenue by Segment
Shows sales performance across various business divisions, indicating which segments are growing, stable, or declining, and where strategic focus might be needed.
Chart InsightsConagra Brands' Grocery and Snacks segment shows resilience with stable revenue, while International and Foodservice segments face challenges. The Refrigerator and Frozen segment is experiencing volatility, but the company is optimistic about volume growth in frozen snacks, supported by strategic investments. Despite inflation and tariff pressures, Conagra is focusing on productivity and supply chain improvements, aiming for long-term margin expansion. The company's debt reduction plan and consumer response to premium products like Banquet Mega Chicken Fillets highlight strategic shifts to navigate current financial pressures.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

Conagra Brands Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 10, 2025
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Oct 01, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a balanced view of Conagra's position. While the company has seen strong consumer response and successful innovations in certain segments, it is also facing persistent inflation and supply constraints affecting margins and profitability. Investments in productivity and supply chain resilience provide a positive outlook for future margin expansion.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Consumer Response to Volume Investments
Conagra received a tremendous consumer response to their volume-focused investments in frozen snacks, leading to a return to absolute volume growth in Q2 of the previous year.
Productivity and Tariff Mitigation Efforts
In fiscal 2026, productivity and tariff mitigation efforts are expected to be over 5%, demonstrating strong operational efficiencies.
Supply Chain Resiliency Investments
Investments in the supply chain, including a new chicken plant, are expected to repatriate outsourced production at lower costs, contributing to future margin expansion.
Successful Innovation in Frozen Foods
The launch of Banquet Mega Chicken Fillets exceeded sales expectations, highlighting the success of premiumization in their frozen food segment.
Negative Updates
Persistent Inflation and Margin Compression
Conagra is experiencing its sixth consecutive year of above-average inflation, leading to temporary margin compression with an additional 11% cost increase across fiscal 2025 and 2026.
Challenges with Supply Constraints
Supply constraints affected the response to consumer investments, hindering growth in certain periods.
High Inflation in Material Costs
Animal protein costs, a significant part of material costs, are inflating at double digits, affecting overall inflation rates.
Pressure on Profitability
Conagra expects operating margins to face pressure due to high inflation and increased investments in supply chain resilience and volume growth.
Company Guidance
During the Conagra Brands Fourth Quarter Fiscal 2025 Earnings Conference Call, management provided detailed guidance for fiscal 2026, highlighting several key metrics and strategic priorities. The company anticipates a 4% core inflation rate, with significant cost pressures in animal proteins, corrugated cocoa, and manufacturing labor. Despite a challenging inflationary environment, Conagra plans to invest in volume growth, particularly in its frozen snacks segment, while also implementing a 5% productivity target, inclusive of tariff mitigation efforts. The company aims to offset inflation impacts partially and projects a 90% cash flow conversion, with plans to reduce debt by $700 million. Conagra also emphasized ongoing investments in supply chain resiliency and innovation, with a focus on premiumizing products such as the successful Banquet Mega Chicken Fillets. Management remains committed to maintaining its dividend while strategically managing pricing and volume growth to enhance long-term brand value and shareholder returns.

Conagra Brands Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Conagra Brands demonstrates a solid financial position with strong operational margins and recent improvements in net income and cash flow generation. However, high leverage and inconsistent revenue growth present challenges.
Income Statement
75
Positive
Conagra Brands shows a mixed performance in its income statement. The gross profit margin has been stable, indicating consistent production efficiency. However, the net profit margin has fluctuated due to variable net income, with a significant increase in the most recent year. Revenue growth rate has been inconsistent, with some periods of decline, but a recovery in the latest year. EBIT and EBITDA margins remain healthy, reflecting strong operational profitability.
Balance Sheet
72
Positive
The balance sheet reflects moderate stability. The debt-to-equity ratio is relatively high, indicating significant leverage, which could pose a risk in volatile market conditions. Return on equity has improved recently due to increased net income, suggesting better use of shareholder funds. The equity ratio is stable, showing a balanced asset financing structure.
Cash Flow
68
Positive
Conagra's cash flow statement reveals some challenges. Free cash flow has shown volatility, with recent growth indicating better capital management. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is solid, suggesting effective cash generation relative to net income. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio has shown instability, highlighting potential issues in translating profits into cash.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue11.61B11.61B12.05B12.28B11.54B11.18B
Gross Profit3.01B3.12B3.35B3.28B2.82B3.40B
EBITDA1.96B1.96B1.44B1.47B1.79B2.22B
Net Income1.15B1.15B347.20M683.60M888.20M1.30B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets20.93B20.93B20.86B22.05B22.44B22.20B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments68.00M68.00M77.70M93.30M83.30M79.20M
Total Debt8.31B8.31B8.61B9.42B9.18B9.19B
Total Liabilities12.00B12.00B12.35B13.25B13.57B13.56B
Stockholders Equity8.93B8.93B8.44B8.74B8.79B8.55B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow1.30B1.30B1.63B633.20M712.90M961.70M
Operating Cash Flow1.69B1.69B2.02B995.40M1.18B1.47B
Investing Cash Flow-542.20M-542.20M-375.00M-354.90M-434.90M-340.30M
Financing Cash Flow-1.16B-1.16B-1.66B-631.60M-738.00M-1.61B

Conagra Brands Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price18.18
Price Trends
50DMA
18.96
Negative
100DMA
20.14
Negative
200DMA
22.59
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.26
Positive
RSI
39.29
Neutral
STOCH
14.18
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CAG, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 18.18 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 18.86, below the 50-day MA of 18.96, and below the 200-day MA of 22.59, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.26 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 39.29 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 14.18 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for CAG.

Conagra Brands Risk Analysis

Conagra Brands disclosed 35 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Conagra Brands reported the most risks in the "Production" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Conagra Brands Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
71
Outperform
$8.68B7.5713.27%7.70%-3.64%231.77%
69
Neutral
$17.63B22.8213.85%2.69%0.89%4.85%
67
Neutral
$26.72B9.4830.60%4.81%-3.26%25.58%
67
Neutral
$9.56B15.9915.43%4.80%6.40%6.17%
56
Neutral
$30.83B-5.81-12.74%6.14%-3.83%-384.08%
54
Neutral
$11.65B-7.96-24.63%3.97%2.54%-293.39%
62
Neutral
$20.33B14.63-3.31%3.23%1.93%-12.26%
* Consumer Defensive Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
CAG
Conagra Brands
18.18
-12.50
-40.74%
CPB
Campbell Soup
32.08
-14.95
-31.79%
GIS
General Mills
50.09
-20.82
-29.36%
SJM
JM Smucker
109.21
-7.18
-6.17%
MKC
McCormick & Company
65.70
-14.73
-18.31%
KHC
Kraft Heinz
26.05
-7.18
-21.61%

Conagra Brands Corporate Events

Private Placements and Financing
Conagra Brands Completes $1 Billion Senior Notes Offering
Neutral
Jul 22, 2025

On July 22, 2025, Conagra Brands completed a public offering of $1 billion in senior notes, split between $500 million due in 2030 and $500 million due in 2035. This move, facilitated by major financial institutions, aims to strengthen the company’s financial position, with implications for its debt management and market operations.

The most recent analyst rating on (CAG) stock is a Buy with a $33.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Conagra Brands stock, see the CAG Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Sep 13, 2025