TipRanks
Go Ultimate55% OFF

Marzetti Company (MZTI) AI Stock Analysis

183 Followers
MZTI

Marzetti Company

(NASDAQ:MZTI)

Select Model
Rating:74Outperform
Price Target:$123.00â–²(9.72% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:11/04/26

The score is driven primarily by solid financial fundamentals (improving profitability and generally conservative leverage) and a constructive earnings outlook that calls for renewed growth and second-half margin recovery. Valuation is supportive with a reasonable P/E and attractive yield. Technicals are moderately positive near-term but still below the 200-day trend, keeping the overall score in the mid-70s.

Positive Factors
Improving ProfitabilityMarzetti has demonstrated meaningful multi-year margin expansion across net, EBIT, EBITDA, and gross profit measures. This suggests stronger pricing, mix, or operating execution, creating a more profitable base that can support reinvestment and earnings resilience over the next several quarters.
Negative Factors
Underlying Sales WeaknessThe sharp TTM revenue contraction and continuing low-single-digit base-business decline raise questions about the durability of recent margin gains. Even if the outbreak-related disruption fades, ongoing softness in core demand could limit operating leverage and make the growth plan more dependent on acquisitions and launches.

Marzetti Company (MZTI) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

-50%-40%-30%-20%-10%0%10%20%MZTI-32.94%SPY+15.63%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
$3.00B
Dividend Yield
3.64%
Average Volume (3M)
403.00K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
17.3
Beta (1Y)
0.20
Revenue Growth
-0.94%
EPS Growth
2.86%
Country
US
Employees
3,500
Sector
Consumer Defensive
Sector Strength
62
Industry
Packaged Foods

Marzetti Company Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

The Marzetti Company is a producer and distributor of various specialized food items. Their extensive product line includes garlic breads, dinner rolls, salad dressings, dips, pasta, and croutons. These offerings are supplied to both retail outlets f...

How the Company Makes Money

null

Marzetti Company Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 02, 2026(Q1-2027)|% Change Since:1.05%|Next Earnings Date:Feb 03, 2027
Earnings Call SentimentPositive

The call presented a challenging first quarter, with lower sales, operating income, gross profit, margins, and earnings per share due primarily to the cyclospora outbreak and elevated freight costs. However, management highlighted strong performance from Bachan's, Texas Roadhouse rolls, and New York Bakery; reiterated mid-single-digit full-year sales growth; announced meaningful innovation and Chick-fil-A opportunities; and expects margin improvement in the second half. The breadth of brand momentum, pipeline activity, and reiterated outlook outweighed the quarter's substantial but largely identified headwinds.

Positive Updates

Retail Segment Growth
Retail segment sales grew 2.0% to $252.7 million, with $17.8 million of incremental sales from the Bachan's acquisition and strong Texas Roadhouse dinner roll growth offsetting the impact of the cyclospora outbreak.

Negative Updates

Consolidated Sales Decline
Consolidated net sales declined 2.4% to $481.5 million. Excluding noncore temporary supply agreement sales, adjusted net sales declined 0.3%, or 30 basis points.

Company Guidance

The company expects its tax rate for the remainder of fiscal '27 to be 23%, full-year capital expenditures to remain at $90 million, second-quarter margins to be flat, but not grow margins, and full-year margins to be growing between 25 basis points and 75 basis points, driven by growth in the second half; it still believes it can achieve mid-single-digit net top line growth, including Bachan's, with Retail up mid-single digits and Foodservice up low to mid-singles, while anticipating a moderate level of commodity cost inflation along with significantly higher freight cost, substantially mitigated through inflationary pricing and cost savings programs. Chick-fil-A is expected to contribute to Q2 and Q3 Foodservice, with Foodservice growth of mid-single digit -- maybe high single-digit growth in the second quarter, trending out to more like mid-single-digit growth in the back half; Bachan's sales growth is expected in the range of 10% to 12%, consumption between 10% and 15%, and more than $100 million in revenue for the year, with approximately $18 million in the first quarter and more activity in the back half, while mayo is not likely to be that big of a contributor in fiscal year '27 and is expected to be a more material contributor to fiscal year '28, and Tajin and the Marzetti item are expected to launch at the end of this fiscal year with impact more likely as we roll into fiscal year '28.

Marzetti Company Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Strong multi-year margin expansion and healthy ROE support a solid fundamental profile, reinforced by historically low leverage. Offsetting this, TTM revenue contraction, higher recent debt versus prior periods, and softer near-term free-cash-flow momentum reduce confidence in durability.

Income Statement

78Positive

Balance Sheet

86Very Positive

Cash Flow

74Positive
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMJun 2026Jun 2025Jun 2024Jun 2023Jun 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.92B1.93B1.91B1.87B1.82B1.68B
Gross Profit469.24M477.29M455.65M432.30M388.57M355.72M
EBITDA299.73M315.18M287.59M270.13M217.69M189.50M
Net Income173.72M191.61M167.35M158.61M111.29M89.59M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.62B1.27B1.27B1.21B1.11B1.09B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments17.52M161.48M161.48M163.44M88.47M60.28M
Total Debt230.22M55.55M55.55M57.67M29.99M36.23M
Total Liabilities572.50M276.23M276.23M281.16M250.73M245.69M
Stockholders Equity1.05B998.50M998.50M925.77M862.27M844.69M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow203.21M206.14M203.50M183.98M135.72M-30.16M
Operating Cash Flow265.26M283.82M261.50M251.55M225.90M101.81M
Investing Cash Flow-473.08M-470.04M-148.21M-67.43M-90.78M-132.24M
Financing Cash Flow43.19M49.84M-115.26M-109.15M-106.93M-97.34M

Marzetti Company Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentPositive
Last Price112.10

Price Trends

50DMA104.78Positive
100DMA107.59Positive
200DMA122.35Negative

Market Momentum

MACD1.90Negative
RSI60.59Neutral
STOCH71.52Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For MZTI, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 112.10 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 105.78, above the 50-day MA of 104.78, and below the 200-day MA of 122.35, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 1.90 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 60.59 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 71.52 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for MZTI.

Marzetti Company Risk Analysis

Marzetti Company disclosed 27 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Marzetti Company reported the most risks in the "Production" category.

Higher RiskSector Avg.Lower RiskFinance & CorporateTech & InnovationLegal & RegulatoryProductionAbility to SellMacro & Political
Production - Risks related to the company’s ability to manufacture goods and services

Latest Risks Added

0 New Risks

Marzetti Company Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)

Financial Indicators

MZTI against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
MZTIMZTI74Outperform$3.03B17.3016.83%3.64%-0.94%2.86%
JJSFJJSF68Neutral$1.67B33.285.40%3.68%-4.69%-39.51%
Sector *62Neutral$20.33B14.63-3.31%3.23%1.93%-12.26%
FLOFLO52Neutral$1.44B25.854.13%11.09%2.46%-75.05%
CPBCPB49Neutral$6.60B16.3910.18%6.47%-4.96%-33.88%
CAGCAG46Neutral$7.06B-3.62-26.28%8.50%-1.80%-323.82%
BGSBGS37Underperform$195.87M-2.69-16.45%23.85%-4.91%68.74%

* Consumer Defensive Sector Average

Performance Comparison

-40%-20%0%20%MZTIBGSCPBCAGFLOJJSFDec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
MZTI and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
MZTIMarzetti Company112.10-54.76-32.82%
BGSB&G Foods2.57-1.76-40.65%
CPBCampbell Soup Company23.26-4.99-17.67%
CAGConagra Brands15.27-0.52-3.31%
FLOFlowers Foods7.10-3.58-33.51%
JJSFJ & J Snack Foods91.0110.4713.00%

Marzetti Company Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board ChangesRegulatory Filings and Compliance

Marzetti Company Announces Leadership Change in Retail Division

Neutral
Oct 9, 2026

On October 5, 2026, The Marzetti Company announced that Tanya Berman is no longer serving as President of the Retail Division of T. Marzetti Company, effective October 6, 2026. The leadership change, with Berman expected to remain an employee until D...

DividendsShareholder Meetings

Marzetti Company Declares Fiscal 2027 Quarterly Dividend

Positive
Aug 19, 2026

On August 19, 2026, The Marzetti Company announced that its board had declared a first quarter fiscal 2027 quarterly cash dividend of $1.00 per common share, payable September 30, 2026 to shareholders of record on September 8, 2026. The move maintain...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Nov 04, 2026