Saia (SAIA) AI Stock Analysis

Saia

(BMV:SAIA)

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Positive Factors

Record revenue growthStrong revenue and tonnage growth indicate expanding freight activity and effective customer acquisition across Saia’s network. Continued volume gains provide operating leverage, support terminal utilization, and reinforce the company’s ability to compound earnings over the next several quarters.

Negative Factors

Margin compressionThe decline in net margin shows that strong revenue growth has not fully translated into sustained profitability. Lower margins reduce the earnings benefit of additional volume and leave results more exposed to wage, fuel, insurance, and purchased-transportation inflation.

Saia (SAIA) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Market Cap: MXN 9.19B
Dividend Yield: ―
Average Volume (3M): 99
Price to Earnings (P/E): 32.6
Beta (1Y): 0.21
Revenue Growth: -2.06%
EPS Growth: -10.68%
Country: Mexico
Employees: 14,500
Sector: Industrials
Sector Strength: 63
Industry: Trucking

Saia Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Saia, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates as a transportation company in North America. The company provides less-than-truckload services for shipments between 100 and 10,000 pounds. It also offers other value-added services, including bro...

Saia Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 28, 2026(Q3-2026)|% Change Since:0.00%|Next Earnings Date:Jan 28, 2027

Earnings Call SentimentPositive

The call was predominantly positive. Saia reported record revenue and tonnage, strong earnings and free cash flow growth, improved service metrics, progress at newer terminals, network expansion benefits, and a favorable fourth-quarter operating-ratio outlook. The main challenges were lower ex-fuel yield, continued weakness in the Los Angeles region, ramping terminals operating below company averages, higher labor and fuel costs, and ongoing freight-market uncertainty. Management remained confident in continued operating improvement and long-term profitable growth.

Positive Updates

Record Revenue and Tonnage

Third-quarter revenue increased 17% year over year to a record $982.5 million, supported by 8.9% tonnage-per-workday growth, 0.8% shipment-per-workday growth, and a 5.8% increase in revenue per shipment excluding fuel surcharge.

Negative Updates

Ex-Fuel Yield Decline Year Over Year

Yield excluding fuel surcharge declined 2.2% compared with the third quarter of 2025, primarily reflecting the increase in weight per shipment. Weight per shipment increased 8.1% year over year, and management noted that higher weight per shipment typically reduces yield.

Company Guidance

For the fourth quarter, Saia expects “normal seasonality” in shipments, with activity slowing into November and again into December, and the guide embeds fuel “on an October average”; October month-to-date shipments are up about 2% year-over-year and tonnage is up about 10% year-over-year. The company expects the Q3-to-Q4 operating-ratio increase to be “in the 200 basis points or so range,” representing OR improvement year-over-year of over 200 basis points, and expects revenue per shipment and yield to show a sequential increase. Saia expects cost inflation, wage increases, health insurance and benefits costs to continue, while 2027 capital expenditures are expected to be “13%-14.5% of revenue” and the longer-term level is a “12%-15% of revenue type number”; management also said its long-held goal is to get the operating ratio below 80%.

Saia Risk Analysis

Saia disclosed 48 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Saia reported the most risks in the "Production" category.

Production - Risks related to the company’s ability to manufacture goods and services

Latest Risks Added

2 New Risks

1.— In addition to the other information included in this report and in our other reports and statements that we file with the SEC, you should carefully consider the factors discussed in Part I, Item 1A. “Risk Factors” in our Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2025, which could materially affect our business, financial condition and/or operating results. The risks discussed in our Annual Report on Form 10-K are not the only risks facing us. Additional risks and uncertainties not currently known to us or that we currently deem to be immaterial also may materially adversely affect our business, financial condition and/or operating results. Other than the following risk factor, which replaces the risk factor titled “We face litigation risks that could have a material adverse effect on the operation of our business,” there have been no material changes to the risk factors identified in Part I, Item 1A. “Risk Factors” in our Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2025.Q2, 2026

2.We face litigation risks that could have a material adverse effect on our businessQ2, 2026

Saia Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform

Sector (63)

Financial Indicators

MX:SAIA against its peers
Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
ODFL	73Outperform	$35.78B	30.98	25.92%	0.67%	3.80%	11.90%
XPO	65Neutral	$22.09B	44.19	26.31%	―	9.48%	51.18%
Sector *	63Neutral	$10.79B	15.43	7.44%	2.01%	2.89%	-14.66%
ARCB	59Neutral	$2.80B	179.20	1.26%	0.38%	3.70%	-89.58%
SNDR	56Neutral	$5.12B	36.09	4.65%	1.35%	6.03%	24.21%
RXO	52Neutral	$4.53B	-53.90	-5.80%	―	10.08%	-17.69%

* Industrials Sector Average

Performance Comparison

MX:SAIA and its peers over the selected period
Ticker	Company Name	Price	Change	% Change
MX:SAIA	Saia Inc	6227.85	977.84	18.63%
XPO	Xpo, Inc.	189.57	51.28	37.08%
ODFL	Old Dominion Freight Line	172.56	35.90	26.27%
ARCB	Arcbest	125.44	54.08	75.77%
SNDR	Schneider National	29.23	8.13	38.55%
RXO	RXO, Inc.	27.49	9.87	56.02%

Glossary

BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Saia AI Stock Analysis