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Schneider National Inc (SNDR)
NYSE:SNDR
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Schneider National (SNDR) AI Stock Analysis

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SNDR

Schneider National

(NYSE:SNDR)

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Neutral 57 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:57Neutral
Price Target:
$21.00
▼(-1.73% Downside)
The overall stock score of 57 reflects stable financial performance and strategic initiatives offset by bearish technical indicators and valuation concerns. The earnings call highlighted both growth opportunities and financial challenges, contributing to a balanced outlook.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
The consistent year-over-year revenue growth indicates Schneider National's ability to expand its market reach and enhance its service offerings, which is crucial for long-term business sustainability and competitiveness.
Cost Containment
Effective cost containment measures enhance operational efficiency and profitability, providing a solid foundation for sustainable earnings growth and financial stability over the long term.
Intermodal Volume Growth
Sustained growth in intermodal volumes reflects Schneider's strategic positioning in multimodal logistics, which is essential for capturing market share and driving future growth in a competitive industry.
Negative Factors
Logistics Segment Challenges
The decline in logistics income highlights potential weaknesses in the brokerage segment, which could affect overall profitability and require strategic adjustments to maintain competitive advantage.
Dedicated Segment Churn
Flat revenue per truck and customer churn in the dedicated segment suggest challenges in maintaining customer relationships, which could hinder long-term growth if not addressed effectively.
Continued Market Uncertainty
Persistent market uncertainties and regulatory challenges could impact Schneider's strategic planning and operational execution, posing risks to long-term growth and stability.

Schneider National (SNDR) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Schneider National Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionSchneider National, Inc. is a leading provider of transportation and logistics services in North America. Founded in 1935, the company operates in multiple sectors, including truckload, logistics, intermodal, and dedicated services. Schneider offers a range of core products and services such as freight transportation, supply chain management, and logistics solutions, catering to various industries and customer needs.
How the Company Makes MoneySchneider National generates revenue primarily through its diverse transportation and logistics services. The company operates several key revenue streams: Truckload services, which include both long-haul and regional transportation; Logistics services, providing supply chain management and freight brokerage; Intermodal services, leveraging rail and truck combinations for efficient freight movement; and Dedicated services, offering customized transportation solutions for specific customers. Additionally, Schneider benefits from long-term contracts with major customers, enhancing revenue stability. Strategic partnerships with rail companies and technology providers also contribute to operational efficiency and revenue generation.

Schneider National Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Truckload Revenue Per Truck Per Week
Truckload Revenue Per Truck Per Week
Measures the revenue generated by each truck weekly, reflecting operational efficiency and demand in the truckload segment.
Chart InsightsSchneider National's Truckload Revenue per Truck per Week has shown volatility, with recent stabilization around 2024. Despite this, the latest earnings call highlights a 15% year-over-year increase in Truckload revenue, driven by strategic pricing and cost reductions. However, challenges such as elevated spot exposure and economic uncertainty remain. The shift towards a 70% Dedicated Truckload fleet suggests a strategic pivot to enhance resilience and margin restoration. Investors should watch for continued margin improvements and the impact of economic conditions on future performance.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

Schneider National Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 30, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Jan 29, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted solid volume growth in the Intermodal and Dedicated segments, as well as successful cost savings initiatives. However, these were offset by significant claims-related costs, sub-seasonal market conditions, and a decline in profitability and earnings per share. The sentiment is balanced by both positive strategic initiatives and notable financial challenges.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Intermodal Volume Growth
Intermodal segment saw a 10% volume growth in the third quarter, several times the industry rate, driven by strategic actions and market share gains.
Dedicated Segment Pipeline Success
Dedicated segment experienced wins from new and existing customers at a rate 3x the level seen in the first half of the year, with a robust pipeline moving forward.
Logistics Power Only Resilience
Logistics segment's Power Only revenues grew for the sixth consecutive quarter, with net revenue per order showing high single-digit percentage improvement year-over-year.
Cost Savings Initiatives
Schneider achieved progress on a $40 million structural cost savings target, including synergies from the Cowan Systems acquisition.
Negative Updates
Claims-Related Costs Impact
The company recorded $16 million more in claims-related costs than expected, impacting the third quarter results significantly.
Sub-Seasonal Freight Market
Market trends in August and September were largely sub-seasonal, with softer volumes, retreating spot rates, and modest peak activity.
Truckload Segment Profitability
Truckload segment operating income declined 16% year-over-year, with a 130 basis point increase in operating ratio due to claims-related costs and churn.
Adjusted Earnings Per Share Decline
Adjusted diluted earnings per share for the third quarter was $0.12, compared to $0.18 for the third quarter of 2024, reflecting a 33% decline.
Company Guidance
During Schneider's third quarter 2025 earnings call, the company provided several key metrics and forward-looking guidance. The enterprise revenues, excluding fuel surcharge, were reported at $1.3 billion, marking a 10% year-over-year increase. However, adjusted income from operations decreased by 13% to $38 million, and the enterprise adjusted operating ratio rose by 80 basis points compared to the third quarter of 2024. The adjusted diluted earnings per share (EPS) for the third quarter stood at $0.12, down from $0.18 in the previous year. The company also addressed $16 million in unexpected claims-related costs, impacting their results. Despite these challenges, Schneider remains committed to its strategic initiatives, including a $40 million cost reduction target and a focus on productivity improvements and capital discipline. For the full year 2025, Schneider updated its EPS guidance to approximately $0.70 and revised its net CapEx expectation to around $300 million, down from the previously projected range of $325 million to $375 million. The company noted that demand trends remained sub-seasonal, but they see potential supply-side catalysts emerging, such as regulatory changes impacting capacity, which could lead to a more favorable market environment in 2026.

Schneider National Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Schneider National exhibits stable financial performance with moderate growth and profitability. The balance sheet is strong with low leverage, and cash flow management is efficient, though there is room for improvement in profitability margins.
Income Statement
65
Positive
Schneider National's income statement shows a modest revenue growth rate of 2.5% in the TTM, indicating a recovery from previous declines. The gross profit margin is relatively low at 8.9%, but the net profit margin of 2.3% is stable. EBIT and EBITDA margins are moderate, reflecting operational efficiency. Overall, the company demonstrates stable profitability with room for improvement in margins.
Balance Sheet
72
Positive
The balance sheet is strong with a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.10, indicating conservative leverage. Return on equity is modest at 3.8%, suggesting efficient use of equity. The equity ratio is healthy, showing a solid financial structure. The company maintains a stable financial position with low leverage risk.
Cash Flow
68
Positive
Cash flow analysis reveals a significant free cash flow growth of 14.2% in the TTM, indicating improved cash generation. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is strong at 1.10, reflecting good cash conversion. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio of 0.59 suggests potential for further improvement in cash flow management.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue5.61B5.29B5.50B6.60B5.61B4.55B
Gross Profit1.03B441.10M559.40M920.50M1.06B398.80M
EBITDA625.70M582.50M709.80M963.60M850.70M587.00M
Net Income114.10M117.00M238.50M457.80M405.40M211.70M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets4.98B4.93B4.56B4.32B3.94B3.52B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments235.70M165.50M159.60M431.60M294.10M442.60M
Total Debt522.20M610.80M302.10M215.10M270.30M306.80M
Total Liabilities1.96B1.95B1.60B1.48B1.51B1.46B
Stockholders Equity3.02B2.99B2.96B2.84B2.42B2.06B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow450.60M146.80M-127.60M162.80M25.50M199.20M
Operating Cash Flow650.90M686.10M680.00M856.40M566.10M618.20M
Investing Cash Flow-815.90M-791.50M-907.60M-598.80M-626.40M-318.70M
Financing Cash Flow180.10M120.60M-55.70M-116.70M-90.40M-455.60M

Schneider National Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price21.37
Price Trends
50DMA
22.94
Negative
100DMA
23.86
Negative
200DMA
24.22
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.30
Positive
RSI
41.82
Neutral
STOCH
21.41
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SNDR, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 21.37 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 22.61, below the 50-day MA of 22.94, and below the 200-day MA of 24.22, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.30 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 41.82 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 21.41 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for SNDR.

Schneider National Risk Analysis

Schneider National disclosed 31 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Schneider National reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Schneider National Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
$1.63B10.6612.50%0.65%-6.42%25.72%
$7.12B50.112.01%1.55%>-0.01%279.47%
$7.58B26.8811.92%1.96%-24.55%
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
$1.54B63.151.78%2.18%-3.42%
$3.75B32.973.81%1.68%5.46%2.31%
$2.83B-27.96%46.41%-1113.24%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
SNDR
Schneider National
21.38
-6.77
-24.05%
KNX
Knight Transportation
43.88
-8.42
-16.10%
SAIA
Saia
284.58
-201.56
-41.46%
WERN
Werner Enterprises
25.69
-10.93
-29.85%
ARCB
ArcBest
71.71
-28.24
-28.25%
RXO
RXO, Inc.
17.62
-10.33
-36.96%

Schneider National Corporate Events

Schneider National Reports Mixed Q3 2025 Results
Oct 31, 2025

Schneider National, Inc., a leading provider of transportation and logistics services in North America, offers a diverse range of solutions including truckload, intermodal, and logistics services across the United States, Canada, and Mexico.

Dividends
Schneider National Declares Quarterly Cash Dividend
Positive
Oct 29, 2025

On October 27, 2025, Schneider National‘s Board of Directors declared a quarterly cash dividend of $0.095 per share for its Class A and Class B common stock, payable to shareholders of record on December 12, 2025, with payment expected on January 12, 2026. This announcement reflects Schneider’s ongoing commitment to returning value to its shareholders and may positively impact investor confidence and the company’s market positioning.

The most recent analyst rating on (SNDR) stock is a Buy with a $25.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Schneider National stock, see the SNDR Stock Forecast page.

Schneider National’s Earnings Call Highlights Growth Amid Challenges
Aug 2, 2025

Schneider National’s recent earnings call painted a balanced picture, showcasing significant achievements in earnings growth and operational improvements, while also acknowledging challenges such as traditional brokerage volumes, elevated spot exposure, and economic uncertainties impacting the market environment.

Schneider National Reports Steady Q2 2025 Growth
Aug 1, 2025

Schneider National, Inc., a prominent transportation and logistics services provider in North America, offers a comprehensive range of multimodal services, leveraging advanced technologies to efficiently manage the movement of goods across the United States, Canada, and Mexico.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 31, 2025