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Lobtex Co., Ltd. (5969) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:5969

Lobtex Co., Ltd.

(TSE/TYO:5969)

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Rating:58Neutral
Price Target:JPY 1,224.00â–²(2.00% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:08/17/26

The score is driven primarily by mixed financial performance (volatile profitability and cash generation despite a 2026 revenue rebound) and weak technicals (below key moving averages with negative MACD). These risks are partially offset by relatively attractive valuation (low P/E and a moderate dividend yield).

Positive Factors
2026 Revenue ReboundThe sharp 2026 revenue rebound indicates renewed demand for Lobtex’s fastening and tooling products. If sustained, higher production and construction activity could improve scale and support a broader recovery in operating performance.
Negative Factors
Margin CompressionFalling operating profit during a strong revenue rebound signals weak earnings conversion and potential cost or pricing pressure. Unless margins stabilize, higher sales may not translate into durable improvements in profitability or shareholder returns.

Lobtex Co., Ltd. (5969) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

-5%0%5%10%15%20%25%30%JP:5969+3.30%EWJ+15.87%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
Market Cap
JPY 2.24B
Dividend Yield
2.50%
Average Volume (3M)
570
Price to Earnings (P/E)
11.0
Beta (1Y)
-0.07
Revenue Growth
-0.53%
EPS Growth
1639.69%
Country
Japan
Employees
186
Sector
Industrials
Sector Strength
63
Industry
Manufacturing - Tools & Accessories

Lobtex Co., Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Established in 1888 and headquartered in Higashiosaka, Japan, Lobtex Co., Ltd. is a global manufacturer and distributor of an extensive range of professional tools. Operating under its well-known LOBSTER brand, the company caters to diverse industria...

How the Company Makes Money

Lobtex primarily makes money by selling fastening consumables and the tools used to install them. A core revenue stream comes from product sales of fasteners (e.g., blind rivets and rivet-nuts) used in assembly and installation work; these items are...

Lobtex Co., Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Financials are mixed: a strong 2026 revenue rebound is offset by margin compression and lower EBIT versus 2025, indicating inconsistent earnings power. The balance sheet is reasonably solid with manageable leverage and declining debt, but cash flow has been volatile, including negative free cash flow in 2023–2024 and only a partial recovery since.

Income Statement

58Neutral

Balance Sheet

66Positive

Cash Flow

46Neutral
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMMar 2026Mar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue5.64B5.71B5.71B5.93B5.95B6.10B
Gross Profit1.71B1.63B1.63B1.84B1.98B1.92B
EBITDA523.99M449.08M478.52M644.59M673.86M588.46M
Net Income204.07M122.81M77.28M279.86M314.53M224.83M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets8.44B8.42B8.61B9.28B8.89B8.41B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments2.27B1.98B2.29B2.79B2.93B2.86B
Total Debt2.31B2.63B2.98B3.30B3.11B2.90B
Total Liabilities3.42B3.46B3.77B4.19B4.14B3.94B
Stockholders Equity5.03B4.96B4.84B4.84B4.52B4.24B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow0150.11M165.19M-192.97M-60.23M761.50M
Operating Cash Flow0205.14M289.29M143.97M27.70M823.11M
Investing Cash Flow0-66.05M-138.60M-362.27M-92.22M-72.40M
Financing Cash Flow0-451.60M-654.41M80.97M137.74M-412.45M

Lobtex Co., Ltd. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentPositive
Last Price1200.00

Price Trends

50DMA1198.10Positive
100DMA1199.48Positive
200DMA1216.32Negative

Market Momentum

MACD0.11Negative
RSI55.62Neutral
STOCH100.00Negative

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:5969, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 1200.00 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1192.45, above the 50-day MA of 1198.10, and below the 200-day MA of 1216.32, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.11 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 55.62 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 100.00 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JP:5969.

Lobtex Co., Ltd. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)

Financial Indicators

JP:5969 against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
JP:5966JP:596673OutperformJPY 6.56B8.30―3.15%-3.85%188.71%
JP:5967JP:596770OutperformJPY 9.83B8.96―3.09%5.96%10.20%
JP:5952JP:595266NeutralJPY 1.92B14.55―3.07%-5.21%-15.03%
JP:5990JP:599064NeutralJPY 4.45B135.41―3.37%7.56%―
Sector *63Neutral$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
JP:5969JP:596958NeutralJPY 2.32B10.98―2.50%-0.53%1639.69%
JP:5950JP:595048NeutralJPY 2.17B55.68―1.64%-3.28%-59.02%

* Industrials Sector Average

Performance Comparison

-20%0%20%JP:5969JP:5950JP:5952JP:5966JP:5967JP:5990Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
JP:5969 and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
JP:5969Lobtex Co., Ltd.1200.0038.363.30%
JP:5950Japan Power Fastening Co., Ltd.152.00-45.47-23.03%
JP:5952Amatei Incorporated163.00-30.76-15.88%
JP:5966Kyoto Tool Co., Ltd.2700.00338.2014.32%
JP:5967TONE Co. Ltd.421.00-189.06-30.99%
JP:5990Super Tool Co., Ltd.1931.0054.052.88%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Aug 17, 2026