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Lobtex Co., Ltd. (JP:5969)
:5969
Japanese Market
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Lobtex Co., Ltd. (5969) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:5969

Lobtex Co., Ltd.

(5969)

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Neutral 58 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:58Neutral
Price Target:
¥1,224.00
▲(0.66% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:08/17/26
The score is driven primarily by mixed financial performance (volatile profitability and cash generation despite a 2026 revenue rebound) and weak technicals (below key moving averages with negative MACD). These risks are partially offset by relatively attractive valuation (low P/E and a moderate dividend yield).
Positive Factors
2026 Revenue Rebound
The sharp 2026 revenue rebound indicates renewed demand for Lobtex’s fastening and tooling products. If sustained, higher production and construction activity could improve scale and support a broader recovery in operating performance.
Negative Factors
Margin Compression
Falling operating profit during a strong revenue rebound signals weak earnings conversion and potential cost or pricing pressure. Unless margins stabilize, higher sales may not translate into durable improvements in profitability or shareholder returns.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
2026 Revenue Rebound
The sharp 2026 revenue rebound indicates renewed demand for Lobtex’s fastening and tooling products. If sustained, higher production and construction activity could improve scale and support a broader recovery in operating performance.
Read all positive factors

Lobtex Co., Ltd. (5969) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

Lobtex Co., Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Established in 1888 and headquartered in Higashiosaka, Japan, Lobtex Co., Ltd. is a global manufacturer and distributor of an extensive range of professional tools. Operating under its well-known LOBSTER brand, the company caters to diverse indust...
How the Company Makes Money
Lobtex primarily makes money by selling fastening consumables and the tools used to install them. A core revenue stream comes from product sales of fasteners (e.g., blind rivets and rivet-nuts) used in assembly and installation work; these items a...

Lobtex Co., Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Financials are mixed: a strong 2026 revenue rebound is offset by margin compression and lower EBIT versus 2025, indicating inconsistent earnings power. The balance sheet is reasonably solid with manageable leverage and declining debt, but cash flow has been volatile, including negative free cash flow in 2023–2024 and only a partial recovery since.
Income Statement
58
Neutral
Balance Sheet
66
Positive
Cash Flow
46
Neutral
BreakdownTTMMar 2026Mar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue5.64B5.71B5.71B5.93B5.95B6.10B
Gross Profit1.71B1.63B1.63B1.84B1.98B1.92B
EBITDA523.99M449.08M478.52M644.59M673.86M588.46M
Net Income204.07M122.81M77.28M279.86M314.53M224.83M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets8.44B8.42B8.61B9.28B8.89B8.41B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments2.27B1.98B2.29B2.79B2.93B2.86B
Total Debt2.31B2.63B2.98B3.30B3.11B2.90B
Total Liabilities3.42B3.46B3.77B4.19B4.14B3.94B
Stockholders Equity5.03B4.96B4.84B4.84B4.52B4.24B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow0.00150.11M165.19M-192.97M-60.23M761.50M
Operating Cash Flow0.00205.14M289.29M143.97M27.70M823.11M
Investing Cash Flow0.00-66.05M-138.60M-362.27M-92.22M-72.40M
Financing Cash Flow0.00-451.60M-654.41M80.97M137.74M-412.45M

Lobtex Co., Ltd. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price1216.00
Price Trends
50DMA
1202.68
Negative
100DMA
1204.39
Negative
200DMA
1210.55
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
3.35
Positive
RSI
43.56
Neutral
STOCH
14.47
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:5969, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 1216 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1202.05, above the 50-day MA of 1202.68, and above the 200-day MA of 1210.55, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of 3.35 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 43.56 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 14.47 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for JP:5969.

Lobtex Co., Ltd. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
77
Outperform
¥6.56B8.303.14%-3.85%188.71%
71
Outperform
¥10.74B9.342.86%3.53%40.08%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
62
Neutral
¥4.49B72.063.32%6.17%
58
Neutral
¥2.32B10.922.53%-0.53%1639.69%
55
Neutral
¥2.26B16.962.62%-5.21%-15.03%
48
Neutral
¥2.20B55.311.68%-3.28%-59.02%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:5969
Lobtex Co., Ltd.
1,193.00
13.77
1.17%
JP:5950
Japan Power Fastening Co., Ltd.
151.00
-45.49
-23.15%
JP:5952
Amatei Incorporated
190.00
6.95
3.80%
JP:5966
Kyoto Tool Co., Ltd.
2,700.00
315.30
13.22%
JP:5967
TONE Co. Ltd.
457.00
-114.81
-20.08%
JP:5990
Super Tool Co., Ltd.
1,952.00
55.78
2.94%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 17, 2026