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ZOZO Inc (JP:3092)
:3092
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ZOZO (3092) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:3092

ZOZO

(3092)

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Neutral 67 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:67Neutral
Price Target:
¥1,422.00
▲(10.75% Upside)
ZOZO's overall stock score is driven primarily by its strong financial performance, which is the most significant factor. The company's robust revenue and profit growth, efficient use of equity, and solid cash generation capability position it well for future growth. However, the technical analysis indicates a neutral to slightly bearish outlook, with the stock trading below key moving averages and lacking bullish momentum. The valuation is somewhat high, with a P/E ratio that may limit upside potential, though the dividend yield provides some income support.

ZOZO (3092) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

ZOZO Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionZOZO, Inc. operates online shopping Websites in Japan and internationally. It operates ZOZOTOWN a fashion online shopping website; WEAR, a fashion app; Multi-Size platform to purchases and sells fashion merchandise of various brands; ZOZOUSED, a Website for secondhand/vintage apparel; and PayPay mall, an online shopping mall. In addition, it engages in the advertisement business. The company was formerly known as Start Today Co., Ltd. and changed its name to ZOZO, Inc. in October 2018. ZOZO, Inc. was founded in 1998 and is headquartered in Chiba, Japan. ZOZO, Inc. is a subsidiary of Z Holdings Corporation.
How the Company Makes MoneyZOZO generates revenue primarily through its e-commerce platform, ZOZOTOWN, by charging a commission on sales made by third-party brands and retailers listed on its site. The company earns money by selling its own private label products, which typically have higher profit margins. Additionally, ZOZO benefits from advertising revenue through sponsored listings and promotions on its platform. Strategic partnerships with brands and retailers also enhance its revenue potential, as these collaborations often include co-branded marketing efforts and exclusive product launches. Seasonal sales events and promotions further drive traffic and sales, contributing to the company's earnings.

ZOZO Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 31, 2025
(Q3-2024)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Jan 30, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a mixed picture with strong GMV and profit growth but facing challenges from weather impacts and increased costs. Successful promotions and growth in active members are positive, but the decline in operating margins and logistics challenges present concerns.
Q3-2024 Updates
Positive Updates
Gross Merchandise Value (GMV) Growth
GMV rose by 5.1% year-on-year to JPY 427.1 billion, with GMV excluding other GMV increasing by 7.4% year-on-year to JPY 399.4 billion.
Record High Operating Profit
Operating profit increased by 2.4% to JPY 45.6 billion, achieving record highs for the third quarter with an achievement rate of 76.2% against the company plan.
Promotional Success
Promotions, including Black Friday, were successful and contributed to higher than expected GMV, though their direct impact on GMV was limited.
Increase in Active Members
The number of active members increased by 220,000 to JPY 10.73 million.
Growth in Yahoo! Shopping
Yahoo! Shopping performed well, with active promotions contributing to higher than planned GMV.
Negative Updates
Operating Profit Margin Decline
Operating profit margin decreased by 0.6 points year-on-year to 11.4%.
Warm Winter Impact
Unseasonably warm winter affected sales of outerwear and other winter apparel, leading to lower than planned GMV for ZOZOTOWN.
Inventory and Logistics Challenges
Increased inventory supply and warm winter led to deteriorated stock turnover, increased logistics-related expenses, and lower operating efficiency.
Advertising and Promotional Expenses
Increased promotional expenses impacted operating profit negatively, with a 3.8% year-over-year decrease due to new logistics space expenses.
Average Retail Price Decline
Average retail price decreased by 1.7% year-over-year due to the warm winter and increased markdown ratios.
Yamato Transport Price Hike
Anticipated shipping fee increases from Yamato Transport will affect costs, though the extent of the increase is undisclosed.
Company Guidance
During the third quarter earnings call for ZOZO, detailed financial guidance highlighted several key metrics. The company's gross merchandise value (GMV) increased by 5.1% year-on-year to JPY 427.1 billion, while GMV excluding other GMV rose by 7.4% to JPY 399.4 billion. Operating profit saw a modest rise of 2.4%, reaching JPY 45.6 billion, with an operating profit margin (OPM) of 11.4%, which represented a decrease of 0.6 points from the previous year. The achievement rates against company plans were 74.6% for GMV, excluding other GMV, and 76.2% for operating profits. Despite challenges from abnormal weather, including a warm winter, and rising costs such as logistics space expenses, the company managed effective promotions to maintain GMV growth. The company acknowledged a 0.6-point increase in the SG&A to GMV ratio, driven by factors such as inventory supply challenges and increased expenses related to logistics and cloud services. The average retail price decreased by 1.7% year-on-year, while the average order value increased by 1.8%, illustrating a complex interplay of market dynamics and strategic adjustments.

ZOZO Financial Statement Overview

Summary
ZOZO demonstrates a robust financial performance across income, balance sheet, and cash flow statements. The company exhibits strong revenue and profit growth, efficient use of equity, and a solid cash generation capability, positioning it well for future growth. While the high ROE reflects strong profitability, it may also signal challenges in maintaining such high returns going forward. Overall, ZOZO is well-equipped to capitalize on opportunities in the specialty retail sector, supported by its solid financial foundation.
Income Statement
86
Very Positive
ZOZO has demonstrated strong revenue growth with a 8.19% increase from 2024 to 2025. The company maintains high profitability, evident from a gross profit margin of 90.84% and a net profit margin of 21.28% in 2025. EBIT and EBITDA margins further reinforce its operational efficiency at 30.39% and 32.65%, respectively. The consistent upward trajectory in revenue and profitability metrics highlights a robust and expanding business model in the specialty retail sector.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The balance sheet reflects a stable financial position with a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.20 in 2025, indicating prudent leverage. The return on equity stands at a strong 45.92%, showcasing effective utilization of shareholder funds. An equity ratio of 52.56% highlights a healthy proportion of equity financing. The company’s solid equity base and effective debt management are key strengths, though the high ROE may indicate potential future challenges in sustaining such returns.
Cash Flow
82
Very Positive
ZOZO's cash flow profile is strong, with a significant free cash flow growth rate of 66.48% from 2024 to 2025. The operating cash flow to net income ratio of 1.33 in 2025 suggests efficient cash generation relative to net earnings. The free cash flow to net income ratio of 1.22 indicates robust cash availability for reinvestment or debt reduction. Overall, the company’s cash flow metrics suggest strong liquidity and financial flexibility.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue216.77B213.13B197.02B183.42B166.20B147.37B
Gross Profit199.68B198.31B183.15B171.34B156.17B140.03B
EBITDA70.38B69.58B64.34B59.10B51.74B46.16B
Net Income45.61B45.35B44.34B39.53B34.49B30.93B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets167.58B187.81B162.83B155.74B127.28B125.66B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments36.27B91.49B69.75B74.13B65.52B61.65B
Total Debt20.16B20.00B20.00B20.40B20.20B20.00B
Total Liabilities79.25B89.09B78.08B79.05B72.18B70.15B
Stockholders Equity88.32B98.72B84.74B76.57B54.95B55.44B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow0.0055.31B34.59B27.71B38.67B41.57B
Operating Cash Flow0.0060.11B42.59B36.67B39.90B44.79B
Investing Cash Flow0.00-6.29B-9.88B-10.59B-1.28B-4.65B
Financing Cash Flow0.00-32.08B-37.14B-17.74B-34.82B-12.12B

ZOZO Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price1284.00
Price Trends
50DMA
1365.35
Negative
100DMA
1433.59
Negative
200DMA
1474.97
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-20.10
Positive
RSI
39.41
Neutral
STOCH
55.36
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:3092, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 1284 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1330.15, below the 50-day MA of 1365.35, and below the 200-day MA of 1474.97, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -20.10 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 39.41 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 55.36 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for JP:3092.

ZOZO Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
70
Outperform
$372.12B14.2231.21%2.79%92.79%
69
Neutral
$1.04T33.7728.71%1.19%14.16%26.13%
67
Neutral
$1.13T24.9647.74%2.77%6.80%0.62%
64
Neutral
¥380.05B12.014.18%2.86%1.26%14.72%
61
Neutral
$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
61
Neutral
¥239.57B21.952.96%2.42%55.63%
55
Neutral
$2.23T-25.86%11.07%23.91%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:3092
ZOZO
1,284.00
-306.67
-19.28%
JP:4755
Rakuten
1,001.50
68.50
7.34%
JP:3064
MonotaRO Co
2,175.00
-375.19
-14.71%
JP:4385
Mercari
2,262.00
438.00
24.01%
JP:9831
Yamada Denki Co
444.90
25.69
6.13%
JP:8282
K'S Holdings Corporation
1,493.00
121.56
8.86%

ZOZO Corporate Events

ZOZO Corrects First Quarter Financial Results
Aug 8, 2025

ZOZO company announced corrections to its previously disclosed Consolidated Financial Results for the first quarter of the fiscal year ending March 31, 2026. The corrections involve adjustments to the amounts of assets and liabilities assumed during a business combination, significantly altering the total assets and liabilities figures. These changes have been reviewed and completed by certified public accountants, with no impact on the overall financial statements previously disclosed.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:3092) stock is a Hold with a Yen4600.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on ZOZO stock, see the JP:3092 Stock Forecast page.

ZOZO Reports Strong Q1 Growth Amid Global Expansion
Aug 1, 2025

ZOZO, Inc. is a leading Japanese e-commerce company, primarily operating the largest fashion e-commerce website in Japan, ZOZOTOWN, and an outfit-sharing app, WEAR by ZOZO. The company is known for its innovative approach to fashion retail, including the development of proprietary AI technology to enhance user experience.

ZOZO, Inc. Reports Strong Q1 Financial Results Amidst Structural Changes
Jul 31, 2025

ZOZO, Inc. reported its consolidated financial results for the first quarter of the fiscal year ending March 31, 2026, showing a notable increase in net sales and profits compared to the previous year. The company experienced a 7.2% increase in net sales and a 6.4% rise in operating profit, indicating strong performance and growth. However, the company’s total assets decreased, and the equity ratio slightly increased, reflecting changes in financial structure. The company also announced a forecasted reduction in annual dividends due to a recent three-for-one stock split, which may impact shareholder returns.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:3092) stock is a Hold with a Yen4600.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on ZOZO stock, see the JP:3092 Stock Forecast page.

ZOZO Revises Business Forecast for Fiscal Year 2026
Jul 31, 2025

ZOZO, Inc. has revised its consolidated business forecast for the fiscal year ending March 31, 2026, following the finalization of LYST LTD’s business plan and progress in the Purchase Price Allocation procedures. The revised forecast indicates an increase in net sales by 7.4 billion yen but a decrease in operating profit by 600 million yen, EBITDA by 200 million yen, ordinary profit by 700 million yen, and profit attributable to owners of the parent by 700 million yen. The annual dividend remains unchanged at 39 yen per share.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:3092) stock is a Hold with a Yen4500.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on ZOZO stock, see the JP:3092 Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 30, 2025