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Jakks Pacific
(NASDAQ:JAKK)
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Rating:75Outperform
Price Target:
$36.00
▲(40.62% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:10/27/26
JAKK scores well on improving financial performance (profitability and cash flow recovery with low leverage) and a constructive earnings outlook with strong operational momentum and a favorable 2027+ product/IP pipeline. Valuation is supportive (moderate P/E and solid yield). The score is tempered by historically volatile results/cash generation and technically overextended momentum (high RSI/Stoch), which raises near-term pullback risk.
Positive Factors
Broad sales growth
Strong quarterly and year-to-date growth indicates broadening demand and effective execution across the portfolio. Sustained shipment momentum improves operating leverage, supports retailer relationships, and provides a stronger base for funding product development and international expansion.
Negative Factors
Uneven earnings history
The recent rebound has not yet demonstrated consistent performance across cycles. Uneven revenue and lower peak margins suggest earnings remain sensitive to product timing, retail demand, and execution, which can make future profitability less predictable.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Broad sales growth
Strong quarterly and year-to-date growth indicates broadening demand and effective execution across the portfolio. Sustained shipment momentum improves operating leverage, supports retailer relationships, and provides a stronger base for funding product development and international expansion.
Read all positive factors
Jakks Pacific (JAKK) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)
Market Cap
$367.84M
Dividend Yield3.11%
Average Volume (3M)111.19K
Price to Earnings (P/E)14.2
Beta (1Y)0.95
Revenue Growth9.22%
EPS Growth330.79%
CountryUS
Employees652
SectorConsumer Cyclical
Sector Strength84
IndustryLeisure
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)2.27
Shares Outstanding11,445,012
10 Day Avg. Volume171,456
30 Day Avg. Volume111,185
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio-0.26
Price to Book (P/B)0.76
Price to Sales (P/S)0.33
P/FCF Ratio-176.29
Enterprise Value/Market Cap0.80
Enterprise Value/Revenue0.47
Enterprise Value/Gross Profit1.47
Enterprise Value/Ebitda6.94
Forecast
1Y Price Target
$57.00Price Target Upside122.66% Upside
Rating ConsensusModerate Buy
Number of Analyst Covering1
EPS Forecast (FY)1.99
Revenue Forecast (FY)$599.71M
Jakks Pacific Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
JAKKS Pacific, Inc. is a global enterprise specializing in the conception, manufacturing, marketing, and distribution of a diverse array of playthings, electronic products, and various consumer goods. The company operates through two primary divis...
How the Company Makes Money
JAKKS Pacific primarily makes money by selling toys and consumer products to retailers and distributors on a wholesale basis. Revenue is generated when the company ships finished goods—either produced through third-party manufacturers or sourced v...
Jakks Pacific Earnings Call Summary
Earnings Call Date:Oct 22, 2026
(Q3-2026)
| % Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 18, 2027
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call was strongly constructive. Sales, profitability, adjusted EPS, cash, inventory, dividend payments, key product categories, and the international expansion strategy all showed favorable developments. Management also highlighted higher product, freight, selling, and G&A costs, a 4% quarterly decline in international sales, pending tariff guidance, and limited new entertainment releases for the 2026 holiday season. However, the positive operating and financial trends, along with the stated 2027 product pipeline and strategic initiatives, significantly outweighed the challenges.Positive Updates
Strong Third-Quarter and Year-to-Date Sales Growth
Q3 shipping generated $254 million in net sales, a 20% increase over the prior year. Year-to-date sales were up 13% versus last year. The company said it was feeling positive about execution and the possibilities ahead.
Negative Updates
International Sales Declined in the Quarter
International sales declined 4% in the quarter, with Europe marginally up and the other regions down in total. Management said international had taken a breath after a strong first half, although it remained up 7% year to date and was queued up for a solid fourth quarter.
Read all updates
Q3-2026 Updates
Positive
Negative
Strong Third-Quarter and Year-to-Date Sales Growth
Q3 shipping generated $254 million in net sales, a 20% increase over the prior year. Year-to-date sales were up 13% versus last year. The company said it was feeling positive about execution and the possibilities ahead.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Management said it is getting close to the finish line of delivering in 2026 a profitable cash generating dividend paying fiscal year; international is “queued up for a solid Q4,” the costume business is “tracking slightly ahead of 2024,” Latin America “will grow quite strong” looking into 2027, and expanded territories and IP “will enhance the growth in those areas immensely going to 27 and 28.” For 2027 and beyond, the company cited Sonic the Hedgehog 4 in March, the new Simpson movie in September, and Frozen 3 in November, plus a “powerful lineup” for Disguise in 2027 and beyond and a long term strategic initiative across anime, manga, VTubers, and digital entertainers launching next year.Jakks Pacific Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
72
Positive
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
Cash Flow
64
Positive
| Breakdown | TTM | Dec 2025 | Dec 2023 | Dec 2022 | Dec 2021 | Dec 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | ||||||
| Total Revenue | 627.25M | 570.67M | 711.56M | 796.19M | 621.12M | 515.87M |
| Gross Profit | 201.16M | 185.08M | 223.35M | 211.29M | 182.96M | 149.76M |
| EBITDA | 42.54M | 25.47M | 59.98M | 71.84M | 18.69M | 19.09M |
| Net Income | 26.16M | 9.87M | 38.41M | 91.41M | -6.01M | -14.27M |
Balance Sheet | ||||||
| Total Assets | 528.79M | 442.20M | 398.95M | 405.34M | 357.05M | 329.37M |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 45.13M | 52.20M | 72.55M | 85.30M | 44.52M | 92.69M |
| Total Debt | 43.11M | 53.36M | 24.05M | 87.76M | 114.03M | 183.17M |
| Total Liabilities | 251.48M | 193.09M | 202.84M | 258.64M | 299.15M | 314.69M |
| Stockholders Equity | 277.31M | 249.10M | 195.41M | 145.70M | 56.57M | 13.47M |
Cash Flow | ||||||
| Free Cash Flow | 35.74M | -1.07M | 57.50M | 75.71M | -14.10M | 35.30M |
| Operating Cash Flow | 50.67M | 8.49M | 66.40M | 86.10M | -5.88M | 43.57M |
| Investing Cash Flow | -16.49M | -12.34M | -8.91M | -10.39M | -8.19M | -8.19M |
| Financing Cash Flow | -14.34M | -17.11M | -72.29M | -31.02M | -32.79M | -10.95M |
Jakks Pacific Technical Analysis
Positive
25.60
Price Trends
26.22
Positive
24.92
Positive
22.56
Positive
Market Momentum
1.48
Negative
81.43
Negative
84.96
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JAKK, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 25.6 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 28.46, below the 50-day MA of 26.22, and above the 200-day MA of 22.56, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 1.48 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 81.43 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 84.96 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JAKK.
Jakks Pacific Risk Analysis
Jakks Pacific disclosed 30 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Jakks Pacific reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks
Jakks Pacific Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
75 Outperform | $367.84M | 14.16 | 10.30% | 3.11% | 9.22% | 330.79% | |
69 Neutral | $16.69B | 17.48 | 135.18% | 2.37% | 18.79% | ― | |
67 Neutral | $4.41B | 11.43 | 19.88% | 7.86% | 2.90% | -12.28% | |
61 Neutral | $18.38B | 12.79 | -2.54% | 3.03% | 1.52% | -15.83% | |
54 Neutral | $365.69M | -176.69 | -1.09% | ― | -3.92% | 96.88% | |
46 Neutral | $135.38M | 134.52 | 1.46% | ― | -18.17% | ― | |
42 Neutral | $11.63M | -0.36 | -32.47% | ― | -23.29% | -381.37% |
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
JAKK
Jakks Pacific
32.14
15.12
88.85%
HAS
Hasbro
118.33
42.81
56.68%
MAT
Mattel
15.43
-3.60
-18.92%
FNKO
Funko
6.52
3.43
111.00%
DOGZ
Dogness (International)
0.66
-11.01
-94.34%
PLBY
Playboy
1.13
-0.19
-14.39%
Jakks Pacific Corporate Events
Business Operations and StrategyDividends
Jakks Pacific Declares Quarterly Cash Dividend to Shareholders
Positive
Oct 23, 2026
On October 20, 2026, Jakks Pacific’s Board of Directors declared a quarterly cash dividend of $0.25 per common share, marking a return of capital to shareholders through regular income distribution. The dividend is scheduled to be paid on De...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.