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Funko (FNKO)
NASDAQ:FNKO

Funko (FNKO) AI Stock Analysis

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Funko

(NASDAQ:FNKO)

Rating:49Neutral
Price Target:
$5.00
▼(-2.53%Downside)
Funko faces significant challenges with financial performance and valuation, as indicated by negative earnings and the withdrawal of future outlooks. Technical indicators are bearish, and while international growth and strategic initiatives provide some optimism, concerns about profitability and leverage weigh heavily on the overall score.
Positive Factors
Leadership Strategy
Analyst remains confident in the potential for strengthening growth trends due to new CEO Cynthia William's strategies.
Product Demand
Content-led product demand is promising, with FNKO poised to benefit from product launches tied to major Hollywood properties.
Negative Factors
Retail Caution
Retailers remain cautious into the holidays.

Funko (FNKO) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Funko Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionFunko, Inc. (FNKO) is a pop culture consumer products company that designs, sources, and distributes licensed pop culture products across multiple categories, including vinyl figures, action toys, plush, apparel, housewares, and accessories. The company is best known for its Pop! Vinyl line of collectible figurines, which feature characters from a wide range of franchises, including movies, television shows, video games, and more. Funko operates in the consumer goods sector, with a focus on the entertainment and licensing industries.
How the Company Makes MoneyFunko generates revenue primarily through the sale of its licensed pop culture products, with a significant portion coming from its Pop! Vinyl figures. The company partners with major studios, entertainment companies, and other license holders to acquire the rights to create products based on popular franchises and characters. Funko sells its products through various channels, including wholesale to retailers, direct-to-consumer via its e-commerce platform, and through its own retail stores. Additionally, Funko collaborates with retailers for exclusive product offerings and participates in various trade shows and conventions to boost sales and brand visibility. These diverse revenue streams are supported by its strategic partnerships and a robust licensing model that capitalizes on consumer demand for pop culture merchandise.

Funko Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 08, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 22.14%|
Next Earnings Date:Jul 31, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
Funko is experiencing significant international growth and has taken strategic actions to diversify its supply chain and reduce costs. However, challenges remain due to tariff impacts, negative financial results, and liquidity concerns, leading to the withdrawal of its 2025 outlook.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
International Growth
Funko's international performance continues to be strong, with an 8% growth in Europe's G5 markets, outpacing the overall toy market growth of 1%.
Successful Diversification Strategy
Funko has successfully diversified its supply chain, reducing U.S.-bound product manufacturing in China from one-third to approximately 5% by the end of the year.
Direct-to-Consumer Engagement
The Fan Rewards loyalty program and direct-to-consumer business continue to grow, enhancing fan engagement and profitability.
Positive Indicators in Sports Collectibles
The launch of sports-related products, such as the NBA All-Star Weekend Pop! Yourself, achieved 100% sell-through, indicating strong market traction.
Cost Reduction Initiatives
Funko has achieved annualized reductions across product costs, supply chain, and fixed expenses, including a 20% reduction in the global workforce.
Negative Updates
Tariff Impact and Withdrawal of 2025 Outlook
The company is withdrawing its 2025 outlook due to uncertainties related to global tariffs, which have intensified challenges, particularly in the U.S. market.
Negative Adjusted EBITDA and Net Loss
Adjusted EBITDA was negative $4.7 million, and adjusted net loss was $17.8 million, or $0.33 per share, despite being better than expected.
Debt and Liquidity Concerns
Total company liquidity decreased to $90.9 million from $124.7 million in Q4, and the company is seeking covenant relief and exploring debt refinancing strategies.
Company Guidance
In Funko's 2025 First Quarter Financial Results Conference Call, the company reported net sales of $191 million, aligning with their guidance, with a gross margin of 40% and an adjusted EBITDA of negative $5 million, both exceeding expectations. Despite international success, with an 8% growth in Europe's G5 markets, Funko withdrew its 2025 outlook due to U.S. challenges, including intensified tariffs and selective consumer behavior. The company is mitigating these impacts by diversifying its supply chain and implementing strategic cost reductions, including a 20% workforce reduction. The direct-to-consumer segment was highlighted as critical, contributing 22% to gross sales, while Funko's ongoing investments in fan engagement and its sports collectible space were noted as promising growth areas.

Funko Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Funko shows mixed financial performance with challenges in profitability and revenue. While cash flow has improved, leverage and negative profit margins are concerns.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
Funko's revenue has shown volatility, with a decrease from 2022 to 2023, followed by a slight recovery in TTM. The gross profit margin is moderate but declining, indicating cost challenges. The company has struggled with profitability, reporting negative net income and EBIT margins in recent periods.
Balance Sheet
50
Neutral
The balance sheet reflects moderate leverage with a debt-to-equity ratio that increased significantly due to declining equity. The company's equity ratio indicates a lower proportion of assets financed by equity, posing a stability risk. However, liquidity appears adequate with cash reserves and manageable debt levels.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
Funko's cash flow position shows resilience with positive free cash flow in the TTM, reversing previous negative trends. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is strong, highlighting good cash generation relative to earnings. However, cash flow volatility remains a concern.
Breakdown
TTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
1.02B1.05B1.10B1.32B1.03B652.54M
Gross Profit
425.13M434.53M333.00M434.02M380.99M249.15M
EBIT
4.70M12.99M-103.83M-12.71M95.47M23.54M
EBITDA
65.96M72.65M55.79M34.96M136.66M67.91M
Net Income Common Stockholders
-19.64M-14.72M-154.08M-5.24M67.85M9.76M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
25.93M34.66M36.45M19.20M83.56M52.26M
Total Assets
648.40M707.25M804.64M1.09B967.50M763.59M
Total Debt
276.81M260.31M362.35M347.08M238.63M262.12M
Net Debt
250.88M225.65M325.90M327.88M155.07M209.87M
Total Liabilities
435.60M470.90M566.61M701.46M570.95M441.14M
Stockholders Equity
212.80M233.02M231.94M368.22M321.64M242.27M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
51.57M90.73M-4.20M-99.28M59.60M88.76M
Operating Cash Flow
86.75M123.52M30.93M-40.13M87.36M107.24M
Investing Cash Flow
-34.34M-25.23M-39.80M-78.06M-27.38M-18.48M
Financing Cash Flow
-52.47M-99.24M25.60M54.64M-28.63M-61.84M

Funko Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price5.13
Price Trends
50DMA
4.40
Positive
100DMA
7.66
Negative
200DMA
9.74
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.16
Negative
RSI
59.79
Neutral
STOCH
87.50
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For FNKO, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 5.13 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 4.43, above the 50-day MA of 4.40, and below the 200-day MA of 9.74, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.16 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 59.79 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 87.50 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for FNKO.

Funko Risk Analysis

Funko disclosed 61 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Funko reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Funko Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
75
Outperform
$230.62M5.0721.81%4.83%2.89%41.09%
MAMAT
73
Outperform
$6.07B12.1125.50%-0.73%88.76%
HAHAS
72
Outperform
$9.50B22.3739.16%4.13%-10.31%
68
Neutral
$190.67M14.048.29%4.34%-5.40%9.57%
62
Neutral
$6.82B11.052.80%4.32%2.67%-24.92%
61
Neutral
$302.42M-9.70%4.46%-7.28%-924.86%
49
Neutral
$281.82M-9.24%-3.30%85.53%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
FNKO
Funko
5.13
-5.35
-51.05%
ESCA
Escalade
13.83
1.35
10.82%
HAS
Hasbro
67.81
8.83
14.97%
JAKK
Jakks Pacific
20.69
2.54
13.99%
JOUT
Johnson Outdoors
29.58
-4.43
-13.03%
MAT
Mattel
18.80
1.61
9.37%

Funko Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Funko Elects New Directors at Annual Meeting
Neutral
Jun 13, 2025

On June 12, 2025, Funko, Inc. held its Annual Meeting of Stockholders, where approximately 85.77% of the company’s outstanding common stock was represented. During the meeting, Trevor Edwards, Michael Lunsford, and Cynthia Williams were elected as Class II directors, and the stockholders approved the appointment of PricewaterhouseCoopers LLP as the independent registered public accounting firm for 2025, as well as the compensation of the company’s named executive officers.

The most recent analyst rating on (FNKO) stock is a Sell with a $7.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Funko stock, see the FNKO Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and Strategy
Funko Outlines Strategic Growth Plans at Investor Meetings
Positive
Mar 20, 2025

Funko recently participated in investor meetings, presenting their strategic plans for future growth and expansion into new product categories and e-commerce. The company aims to capitalize on its strong market position and deeply engaged consumer base, which includes a diverse demographic and a growing loyalty program. Funko’s robust portfolio of licensed properties and diversified distribution channels position it well for continued success in the expanding global collectibles market.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.