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Funko (FNKO)
NASDAQ:FNKO
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Funko (FNKO) AI Stock Analysis

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FNKO

Funko

(NASDAQ:FNKO)

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Neutral 45 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:45Neutral
Price Target:
$3.50
▲(7.03% Upside)
Funko's overall stock score is primarily impacted by its poor financial performance, characterized by declining revenue and profitability, high leverage, and cash flow issues. The technical analysis provides a neutral outlook, while the valuation is weak due to a negative P/E ratio. Despite some optimism for future performance improvements, the current financial challenges weigh heavily on the stock's score.
Positive Factors
International Business Growth
Strong international sales growth indicates expanding global market presence, which can offset domestic challenges and drive long-term revenue.
Tariff Mitigation Plan
Mitigating tariff impacts through strategic production shifts and pricing adjustments can enhance cost efficiency and profit margins over time.
Product Diversification
A broad product range across popular franchises helps Funko tap into various consumer segments, reducing dependency on any single market.
Negative Factors
Declining Revenue
Consistent revenue decline suggests challenges in maintaining market share and consumer demand, impacting long-term financial health.
High Leverage
High leverage increases financial risk and limits flexibility, potentially constraining growth and investment opportunities.
Negative Cash Flow
Negative cash flow growth indicates difficulties in generating sufficient cash to fund operations, affecting liquidity and long-term viability.

Funko (FNKO) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Funko Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionFunko, Inc., a pop culture consumer products company, designs, sources, and distributes licensed pop culture products in the United States, Europe, and internationally. The company provides vinyl, blind-packed miniature, and action figures; fashion accessories, including bags, backpacks, and wallets; apparel, such as t-shirts and hats; board games, plush products, and accessories, such as keychains, pens, and pins; homewares, comprising drinkware, and other home accessories, non-fungible tokens, and others. It offers its products under the Funko, Pop!, Loungefly, Mystery Minis, Paka Paka, Vinyl Gold, Funko Soda, Funko Games, Funko action figures, Funko Plush, Funko Gold, and Popsies brand names; and licenses its properties under the classic evergreen, movie release, current TV, and current video game categories. The company sells its products to specialty retailers, mass-market retailers, e-commerce sites, and distributors; and at specialty licensing and comic book shows, conventions, and exhibitions, as well as through its e-commerce business. Funko, Inc. was incorporated in 2017 and is headquartered in Everett, Washington.
How the Company Makes MoneyFunko generates revenue through the sale of its licensed merchandise, primarily focusing on collectibles such as Pop! Vinyl figures, action figures, and other themed products. The company has established partnerships with major studios and franchises, allowing it to produce exclusive and limited-edition items that attract collectors and fans alike. Key revenue streams include retail sales through major retailers, e-commerce platforms, and direct sales at conventions and events. Funko also benefits from the growth of the collectibles market and the increasing demand for licensed merchandise, which supports its earnings. Collaborations and exclusive product launches with popular franchises, as well as an expanding international presence, further contribute to its financial success.

Funko Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 07, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Oct 30, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
Funko is facing significant challenges due to declines in net sales, gross profit, and liquidity issues, largely attributed to tariff disruptions. However, they remain optimistic about improved performance in the second half of 2025, driven by international growth and implemented cost mitigation strategies.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Improved Second Half Performance Expected
Funko expects performance to improve in the second half of 2025 compared to the first half, with net sales down only in the high single digits and adjusted EBITDA margins in the mid- to high single digits.
International Business Growth
Funko's international business, which accounts for more than one-third of sales, showed 18% POS sales growth in the first half of the year and 28% in Q2.
Tariff Mitigation Plan Implementation
Funko implemented a tariff mitigation plan that includes price increases, production shifts out of China, and SG&A reductions, estimating the incremental duties and tariff costs in 2025 to be $40 million, down from an earlier estimate of $45 million.
Negative Updates
Significant Decline in Net Sales
Net sales for Q2 were $193.5 million, a 22% decline from the previous year's second quarter, primarily due to U.S. tariff policy disruptions.
Decreased Gross Profit and Margin
Gross profit was $62 million with a margin of 32.1%, compared to $104 million and a 42% margin in the previous year, impacted by reduced royalties and tariff-related inventory reserves.
Negative Adjusted EBITDA and Loss
Funko reported a negative adjusted EBITDA of $16.5 million compared to a positive $27.9 million last year, and an adjusted net loss of $26.7 million or $0.48 per share.
Debt and Liquidity Concerns
Funko has total debt of $256.6 million with liquidity of $54.2 million, and its ability to continue as a going concern is disclosed due to the upcoming debt refinancing needs.
Company Guidance
During Funko's 2025 second quarter financial results conference call, the company provided guidance amid challenging economic conditions. Total net sales for Q2 were $193.5 million, marking a 22% decline year-over-year, primarily due to disruptions from U.S. tariff policies. Gross profit was $62 million with a gross margin of 32.1%, down from last year's Q2 gross margin of 42%. SG&A expenses increased to $82.3 million from $77.9 million, and the adjusted net loss was $26.7 million. The company reported a negative adjusted EBITDA of $16.5 million. Despite these challenges, Funko anticipates improved performance in the second half of 2025, with net sales expected to decrease by high single digits compared to the second half of 2024 and adjusted EBITDA margins anticipated to be in the mid- to high single digits. The company is taking steps to mitigate tariff impacts by shifting production to countries like Vietnam and implementing price increases, while also focusing on refinancing their debt due in 2026.

Funko Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Funko faces significant financial challenges with declining revenue, negative profitability, high leverage, and cash flow issues. The income statement shows a negative growth rate and profitability, the balance sheet indicates high leverage, and cash flow analysis reveals negative free cash flow and growth.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
Funko's income statement reveals declining revenue with a negative growth rate of -5.29% in the TTM. The company is struggling with profitability, as indicated by a negative net profit margin of -6.72% and an EBIT margin of -4.51%. Despite a reasonable gross profit margin of 37.97%, the overall financial health is weakened by consistent losses.
Balance Sheet
40
Negative
The balance sheet shows a high debt-to-equity ratio of 1.83, indicating significant leverage and potential financial risk. The return on equity is negative at -30.23%, reflecting poor returns for shareholders. The equity ratio stands at 26.07%, suggesting moderate reliance on equity financing.
Cash Flow
35
Negative
Cash flow analysis highlights a concerning free cash flow growth rate of -133.07% in the TTM, with negative free cash flow. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is low at 0.04, and the free cash flow to net income ratio is negative, indicating cash flow challenges.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue970.70M1.05B1.10B1.32B1.03B652.54M
Gross Profit368.60M434.53M333.00M434.02M380.99M249.15M
EBITDA17.61M72.65M55.79M34.96M136.66M67.91M
Net Income-65.25M-14.72M-154.08M-8.04M43.90M3.96M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets694.91M707.25M804.64M1.09B967.50M763.59M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments49.15M34.66M36.45M19.20M83.56M52.26M
Total Debt331.22M260.31M362.35M347.08M238.63M262.12M
Total Liabilities513.74M470.90M566.61M701.46M570.95M441.14M
Stockholders Equity181.17M233.02M231.94M368.22M321.64M242.27M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-17.05M90.73M-4.20M-99.28M59.60M88.76M
Operating Cash Flow18.69M123.52M30.93M-40.13M87.36M107.24M
Investing Cash Flow-34.48M-25.23M-39.80M-78.06M-27.38M-18.48M
Financing Cash Flow23.71M-99.24M25.60M54.64M-28.63M-61.84M

Funko Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price3.27
Price Trends
50DMA
3.38
Negative
100DMA
3.99
Negative
200DMA
6.82
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
>-0.01
Positive
RSI
43.89
Neutral
STOCH
6.80
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For FNKO, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 3.27 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 3.52, below the 50-day MA of 3.38, and below the 200-day MA of 6.82, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of >-0.01 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 43.89 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 6.80 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for FNKO.

Funko Risk Analysis

Funko disclosed 63 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Funko reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Funko Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
72
Outperform
$206.89M5.4816.28%3.97%1.31%23.14%
71
Outperform
$5.55B11.6424.23%-1.72%70.21%
54
Neutral
$10.54B-18.70-235.71%3.69%-6.42%45.85%
45
Neutral
$173.85M-32.24%-9.07%-38.09%
45
Neutral
$158.10M-1.87-3842.56%21.73%-29.67%
41
Neutral
$171.86M-33.1646.16%2.75%
61
Neutral
$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
FNKO
Funko
3.27
-9.18
-73.73%
HAS
Hasbro
75.89
6.33
9.10%
JAKK
Jakks Pacific
18.90
-5.26
-21.77%
MAT
Mattel
18.06
-1.29
-6.67%
DOGZ
Dogness (International)
13.13
-19.14
-59.31%
PLBY
PLBY Group
1.46
0.74
102.78%

Funko Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Funko Amends Stockholders Agreement with TCG Fuji
Neutral
Aug 15, 2025

On August 14, 2025, Funko, Inc. amended its Stockholders Agreement with its largest stockholder, TCG Fuji 3.0, LP, to adjust the conditions under which TCG retains certain consent rights. The amendment allows TCG to exclude up to $40 million of shares issued in at-the-market offerings from the 22% beneficial ownership threshold, potentially impacting future capital stock issuances.

The most recent analyst rating on (FNKO) stock is a Sell with a $7.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Funko stock, see the FNKO Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
Funko Appoints Josh Simon as New CEO
Positive
Aug 12, 2025

On August 11, 2025, Funko, Inc. announced the appointment of Josh Simon as the new Chief Executive Officer and a Class II director, effective September 1, 2025. Simon, who previously held a leadership role at Netflix, brings extensive experience in global consumer products and strategy. His appointment is accompanied by a comprehensive employment agreement that includes a significant compensation package and equity awards, reflecting the company’s strategic focus on strengthening its leadership and market position.

The most recent analyst rating on (FNKO) stock is a Sell with a $7.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Funko stock, see the FNKO Stock Forecast page.

Financial DisclosuresRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Funko Faces Financial Reporting Challenges in 2024
Negative
Aug 7, 2025

Funko, Inc. has released its consolidated financial statements for the years ending December 31, 2024, 2023, and 2022, revealing material weaknesses in its internal control over financial reporting as of December 31, 2024. The company faces substantial doubt about its ability to continue as a going concern due to adverse effects on net sales, margins, and profitability, exacerbated by tariffs. Additionally, Funko changed its accounting principle regarding crypto asset safeguarding in 2024.

The most recent analyst rating on (FNKO) stock is a Sell with a $7.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Funko stock, see the FNKO Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Sep 30, 2025