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Group 1 Automotive (GPI)
NYSE:GPI
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Group 1 Automotive
(NYSE:GPI)
Rating:77Outperform
Price Target:
$489.00
▲(8.29%Upside)
Positive Factors
Digital Innovation
GPI's omnichannel platform, AcceleRide, enhances customer experience and operational efficiency, reinforcing its position in a digitally driven market.
Financial Performance
GPI reported adjusted EPS from continuing ops. of $10.17, above both estimate and consensus.
Operational Excellence
GPI's commitment to being a pure-play franchised dealer has driven operational excellence, with KPIs including aftersales growth, customer retention, and technician productivity consistently outpacing peers.
Negative Factors
Expense Management
Adjusted SG&A as a % of gross profit of 70.1% was worse than the 67.7% estimate, and increased 360bps YoY.
Market Conditions
The uncertain macro backdrop keeps analysts on the sidelines as they await a more attractive entry point.
Group 1 Automotive (GPI) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)
Market Cap
$6.17B
Dividend Yield0.41%
Average Volume (3M)172.56K
Price to Earnings (P/E)13.4
Beta (1Y)0.78
Revenue Growth15.13%
EPS Growth-15.98%
CountryUS
Employees20,413
SectorConsumer Cyclical
Sector Strength68
IndustryAuto - Dealerships
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)10.17
Shares Outstanding12,934,719
10 Day Avg. Volume139,855
30 Day Avg. Volume172,558
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio-3.85
Price to Book (P/B)1.97
Price to Sales (P/S)0.00
P/FCF Ratio37.62
Enterprise Value/Market Cap1.79
Enterprise Value/Revenue0.14
Enterprise Value/Gross Profit3.31
Enterprise Value/Ebitda2.68
Forecast
1Y Price Target
$495.00Price Target Upside9.62% Upside
Rating ConsensusModerate Buy
Number of Analyst Covering6
Group 1 Automotive Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company DescriptionGroup 1 Automotive, Inc., through its subsidiaries, operates in the automotive retail industry. The company sells new and used cars, light trucks, and vehicle parts, as well as service and insurance contracts; arranges related vehicle financing; and offers automotive maintenance and repair services. It operates primarily in 17 states in the United States; and 35 towns in the United Kingdom. As of July 11, 2022, the company owned and operated 204 automotive dealerships, 273 franchises, and 47 collision centers that offer 35 brands of automobiles. Group 1 Automotive, Inc. was incorporated in 1995 and is based in Houston, Texas.
How the Company Makes MoneyGroup 1 Automotive generates revenue through several key streams. Primarily, the company earns money by selling new and used vehicles at its numerous dealerships. The sale of new vehicles constitutes the largest portion of its revenue, followed by used vehicle sales. In addition to vehicle sales, Group 1 Automotive generates significant income from its service and parts departments, which provide maintenance, repair services, and replacement parts for various vehicle brands. Another critical revenue stream comes from the company's finance and insurance operations, where it offers customers vehicle financing options, extended service contracts, and other related insurance products. These diversified revenue streams, along with strategic partnerships with automotive manufacturers and financial institutions, contribute to the company's overall financial performance.
Group 1 Automotive Earnings Call Summary
Earnings Call Date:Apr 24, 2025
(Q1-2025)
| % Change Since: 13.41%|
Next Earnings Date:Jul 24, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a mixed picture with strong revenue performance and strategic growth in the UK and US markets. However, challenges in controlling costs, specifically SG&A leverage, and the impact of lower GPUs on profitability were notable. While there were significant achievements in aftersales and share repurchases, the decline in gross profit and EV GPU drag are areas of concern.Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record UK Performance
Group 1 Automotive achieved record UK results in Q1 2025, with the UK market growing by 6.4% and the retail market by 9.5%. The integration of acquisitions in the UK significantly improved market presence, achieving internal profit and cost targets.
US Revenue Growth
In the US, new vehicle revenues grew by 9.4% on a reported basis, with used vehicle revenues also increasing. F&I performance improved by $98 on a same-store basis, contributing to overall revenue growth.
Aftersales Growth
Aftersales revenues increased by 7.7% on a reported basis and 5.6% on a same-store basis, with customer pay up over 6% and warranty revenue nearly 30% higher.
Technician Workforce Increase
The US technician headcount increased by nearly 8% year over year, with a focus on expanding aftersales capacity and improving technician productivity.
Share Repurchase and Capital Allocation
Group 1 Automotive repurchased approximately 287,000 shares for $123 million, reducing the share count by about 3% since January and maintaining a strong liquidity position.
Negative Updates
Decline in Gross Profit
Despite revenue growth, Group 1 faced a modest decline in same-store and reported gross profit by less than 0.9% and 4.9%, respectively, due to lower GPUs and higher volumes.
SG&A Leverage Challenges
In the US, SG&A as a percentage of gross profit increased by 28 basis points to 66.9%, indicating challenges in managing operational efficiency and cost control.
EV GPU Drag
Electric vehicle GPUs remained approximately $1,000 lower than internal combustion engine vehicles, posing a challenge to overall profitability.
Weather Impact on Service Business
Severe weather in February affected service operations in the Northeast and Houston, making it difficult to recover lost service work.
Company Guidance
In the first quarter of 2025, Group 1 Automotive reported several key financial metrics, reflecting strong performance and strategic adjustments across its operations in the UK and the US. The company achieved a record gross profit of $892 million and an adjusted net income of $134.7 million, with an adjusted diluted earnings per share from continuing operations at $10.17. In the UK, market growth was evident with a 6.4% overall increase and a 9.5% rise in the retail sector. Group 1's UK operations delivered record results, aligning business processes and achieving internal profit and cost targets, while also saving over £30 million through headcount reductions. The US operations saw a 9.4% increase in new vehicle revenue on a reported basis and a 7.4% rise on a same-store basis. Aftersales revenue grew by 7.7% and 5.6% on a reported and same-store basis, respectively, with a significant 30% increase in warranty revenue. Despite a slight increase in SG&A as a percentage of gross profit, Group 1 maintained operational efficiency, with US technician headcount rising nearly 8% year-over-year. The company also executed a strategic capital allocation plan, acquiring $100 million in revenues and repurchasing 2% of its shares for $122.8 million.Group 1 Automotive Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Group 1 Automotive shows strong financial health with consistent revenue and profit growth. However, high leverage and declining free cash flow are risks that need careful management.Income Statement
Group 1 Automotive's income statement shows robust performance with consistent revenue growth from $10.85 billion in 2020 to $20.97 billion TTM. Gross and net profit margins are healthy at 15.9% and 2.3% TTM, respectively. EBIT and EBITDA margins indicate strong operational efficiency at 4.3% and 4.7%, respectively, despite a slight decline in EBIT over the past year.85
Very Positive
Balance Sheet
The company's balance sheet reflects a stable financial position. The debt-to-equity ratio is high at 1.76, indicating leveraged operations typical for the industry. ROE is strong at 15.9%, signaling effective use of equity capital. The equity ratio is solid at 30.3%, demonstrating a healthy proportion of equity financing.78
Positive
Cash Flow
Cash flow analysis reveals mixed results. Operating cash flow to net income is positive, emphasizing cash-generating capability. However, free cash flow has decreased from the previous year. The free cash flow to net income ratio stands at 32.6%, lower than prior periods, indicating potential challenges in maintaining high cash flow levels.72
Positive
| Breakdown | Dec 2024 | Dec 2023 | Dec 2022 | Dec 2021 | Dec 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | |||||
| Total Revenue | 19.93B | 17.87B | 16.22B | 13.48B | 10.60B |
| Gross Profit | 3.24B | 3.02B | 2.97B | 2.44B | 1.73B |
| EBITDA | 1.02B | 1.06B | 1.18B | 979.00M | 568.70M |
| Net Income | 498.10M | 601.60M | 751.50M | 552.10M | 286.50M |
Balance Sheet | |||||
| Total Assets | 9.82B | 7.77B | 6.72B | 5.75B | 5.09B |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 34.40M | 57.20M | 47.90M | 14.90M | 69.00M |
| Total Debt | 5.24B | 3.89B | 3.35B | 2.85B | 2.65B |
| Total Liabilities | 6.85B | 5.10B | 4.48B | 3.92B | 3.64B |
| Stockholders Equity | 2.97B | 2.67B | 2.24B | 1.83B | 1.45B |
Cash Flow | |||||
| Free Cash Flow | 341.20M | 4.80M | 430.40M | 1.12B | 702.20M |
| Operating Cash Flow | 586.30M | 190.20M | 585.90M | 1.26B | 805.40M |
| Investing Cash Flow | -1.28B | -366.10M | -484.60M | -1.25B | -74.70M |
| Financing Cash Flow | 681.10M | 185.20M | -67.30M | -74.00M | -668.10M |
Group 1 Automotive Technical Analysis
Positive
451.56
Price Trends
438.82
Positive
425.13
Positive
418.32
Positive
Market Momentum
10.17
Negative
50.26
Neutral
61.25
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GPI, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 451.56 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 453.11, above the 50-day MA of 438.82, and above the 200-day MA of 418.32, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 10.17 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 50.26 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 61.25 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for GPI.
Group 1 Automotive Risk Analysis
Group 1 Automotive disclosed 22 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Group 1 Automotive reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks
Group 1 Automotive Peers Comparison
Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Financial Indicators
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
82 Outperform | $9.12B | 11.04 | 12.95% | 0.62% | 12.96% | -6.25% | |
78 Outperform | $5.17B | 12.53 | 11.92% | ― | 11.11% | -23.41% | |
77 Outperform | $6.17B | 13.44 | 16.25% | 0.41% | 15.13% | -15.98% | |
77 Outperform | $12.11B | 12.90 | 18.57% | 2.75% | 3.29% | -1.29% | |
76 Outperform | $3.00B | 12.59 | 24.52% | 1.58% | 1.59% | 43.91% | |
71 Outperform | $8.03B | 12.68 | 28.45% | ― | -0.24% | -19.76% | |
62 Neutral | $16.91B | 10.88 | -7.01% | 2.97% | 1.73% | -25.16% |
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
GPI
Group 1 Automotive
451.56
139.55
44.73%
ABG
Asbury
248.31
-7.53
-2.94%
AN
AutoNation
205.32
26.32
14.70%
LAD
Lithia Motors
333.24
65.68
24.55%
PAG
Penske Automotive Group
176.82
20.47
13.09%
SAH
Sonic Automotive
84.85
26.82
46.22%
Group 1 Automotive Corporate Events
Financial Disclosures
Group 1 Automotive to Release Q2 Results Soon
Neutral
Jul 8, 2025
On July 7, 2025, Group 1 Automotive announced plans to release its second-quarter financial results on July 24, 2025. The company will host a conference call on the same day to discuss these results, which could impact its market positioning and provide insights for stakeholders.
The most recent analyst rating on (GPI) stock is a Buy with a $450.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Group 1 Automotive stock, see the GPI Stock Forecast page.
Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Group 1 Automotive Expands Credit Facility by $1 Billion
Positive
Jun 3, 2025
On May 30, 2025, Group 1 Automotive announced a $1.0 billion increase in its revolving syndicated credit facility, bringing it to $3.5 billion, with an extension of maturity to May 2030. This facility, which includes 18 financial institutions, enhances the company’s financial flexibility, supporting its business strategy and reflecting strong lender relationships.
The most recent analyst rating on (GPI) stock is a Buy with a $450.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Group 1 Automotive stock, see the GPI Stock Forecast page.
M&A TransactionsStock BuybackBusiness Operations and Strategy
Group 1 Automotive Acquires Three Luxury Dealerships
Positive
May 20, 2025
On May 19, 2025, Group 1 Automotive announced the acquisition of three luxury brand dealerships, two in Florida and one in Texas, expected to generate $330 million in annual revenues. This expansion strengthens the company’s presence in key markets and follows a year-to-date share repurchase of 401,649 shares totaling $167.3 million, highlighting the company’s strategy of growth through acquisitions and shareholder returns.
The most recent analyst rating on (GPI) stock is a Buy with a $450.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Group 1 Automotive stock, see the GPI Stock Forecast page.
Shareholder MeetingsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Group 1 Automotive Simplifies Bylaw Amendment Process
Neutral
May 16, 2025
On May 13, 2025, Group 1 Automotive, Inc. approved changes to its bylaws during its Annual Meeting of Shareholders. The amendments simplify the process for altering certain sections related to the board of directors, reducing the required voting power from 80% to a simple majority. These changes aim to streamline governance and potentially impact the company’s decision-making processes.
The most recent analyst rating on (GPI) stock is a Buy with a $450.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Group 1 Automotive stock, see the GPI Stock Forecast page.
Shareholder MeetingsDividends
Group 1 Automotive Announces Dividend Increase at Annual Meeting
Positive
May 14, 2025
On May 13, 2025, Group 1 Automotive held its Annual Meeting where stockholders voted on five proposals, including the election of nine directors and approval of executive compensation. The company also announced a quarterly dividend of $0.50 per share, payable on June 16, 2025, reflecting a 6% increase in its annualized dividend rate from the previous year. This decision underscores Group 1’s commitment to returning value to shareholders and maintaining its competitive position in the automotive retail industry.
The most recent analyst rating on (GPI) stock is a Buy with a $450.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Group 1 Automotive stock, see the GPI Stock Forecast page.
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.