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Kingfisher (KGF) AI Stock Analysis

GB:KGF

Kingfisher

(LSE:KGF)

Select Model
Rating:67Neutral
Price Target:GBX 373.00â–²(6.03% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:09/23/26

The score is driven primarily by solid underlying financial footing (strong cash generation and manageable leverage) and a notably positive earnings update with upgraded profit and free-cash-flow guidance. These positives are tempered by a weaker longer-term profitability trend and technical indicators that look stretched after the recent run-up, while valuation appears broadly neutral with a supportive dividend.

Positive Factors
Cash generation and balance-sheet flexibilityStrong operating and free cash flow provide internal funding for stores, technology, and strategic initiatives while supporting shareholder returns. Combined with manageable leverage and a stable equity base, this gives Kingfisher financial flexibility to withstand demand variability and sustain investment over the next several quarters.
Negative Factors
Weak and thin profitabilityThin and declining profitability leaves less buffer when sales soften or operating costs rise, making earnings more sensitive to modest changes in demand and expenses. The gap between stable gross profit and weaker operating earnings also suggests that cost absorption and earnings resilience remain ongoing concerns.

Kingfisher (KGF) vs. iShares MSCI United Kingdom ETF (EWC)

-20%-10%0%10%20%30%GB:KGF+19.38%EWC+21.27%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
Market Cap
GBP 5.73B
Dividend Yield
3.52%
Average Volume (3M)
5.34M
Price to Earnings (P/E)
20.1
Beta (1Y)
1.32
Revenue Growth
1.24%
EPS Growth
69.63%
Country
UK
Employees
69,720
Sector
Consumer Cyclical
Sector Strength
61
Industry
Home Improvement

Kingfisher Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Kingfisher plc, along with its associated companies, is a prominent supplier of products and services for home improvement, concentrating its operations primarily in the United Kingdom, Ireland, and France, while also engaging in international market...

How the Company Makes Money

Kingfisher makes money primarily by retailing home improvement goods and services through its store network and online channels. The core revenue stream is product sales across categories such as building materials, tools and hardware, kitchens and b...

Kingfisher Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Sep 21, 2026(Q2-2027)|% Change Since:16.42%|Next Earnings Date:Mar 22, 2027
Earnings Call SentimentPositive

The call was strongly positive overall. Kingfisher reported profit, earnings per share and cash-flow growth, upgraded full-year profit and free-cash-flow guidance, gained momentum in Trade, e-commerce, Marketplace, Poland, Iberia and Screwfix, and highlighted continued margin and cost discipline. These strengths outweighed challenges from softer DIY and bathroom demand, weather disruption, Brico Depot France's decline, operating-cost inflation and the developing profitability of Screwfix France.

Positive Updates

Sales and Adjusted Profit Growth
H1 sales, including Marketplace GMS, grew 1.6% in a mixed market environment. Adjusted profit before tax increased 9.9% to GBP 404 million, reflecting strong gross margin performance and disciplined cost control.

Negative Updates

Weakness in DIY and Big-Ticket Categories
DIY demand was softer, while weakness in big-ticket categories was more than offset by resilient core and seasonal sales. The bathroom market remained challenging across geographies, and Kingfisher said its bathroom ranges underperformed the market.

Company Guidance

Management said its assumptions for the second half remain largely unchanged, including a mixed consumer environment, a limited impact from events in the Middle East on energy and freight costs, rational pricing behavior and maintaining competitive prices while managing gross margin and cost effectively; it upgraded adjusted profit before tax guidance to a range of GBP 595 million to GBP 635 million, an increase of GBP 20 million at the midpoint, and free cash flow guidance by GBP 20 million to between GBP 480 million and GBP 520 million. The target is 30% e-commerce penetration across Kingfisher, with Screwfix France opening another 3 stores in the second half, bringing the total store count to 37, and management said Poland’s profit margin will improve in the coming years; Screwfix France could ultimately expand to 600 stores broadly, but management said it needs to be patient and is prioritizing proof over pace and repeatable, profitable economics.

Kingfisher Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Cash flow is a clear strength (strong free cash flow and solid operating cash flow), and leverage looks manageable with a stable equity base. Offsetting this, profitability has weakened materially from 2022 highs and net margins have been thin, indicating reduced earnings resilience.

Income Statement

54Neutral

Balance Sheet

68Positive

Cash Flow

72Positive
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMJan 2026Jan 2025Jan 2024Jan 2023Jan 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue13.00B12.95B12.78B12.98B13.06B13.18B
Gross Profit5.00B4.93B4.76B4.78B4.79B4.93B
EBITDA1.32B1.30B1.09B1.25B1.32B1.71B
Net Income298.00M245.00M185.00M345.00M471.00M843.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets11.42B11.40B11.44B11.90B12.10B12.35B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments412.00M465.00M297.00M360.00M286.00M823.00M
Total Debt2.34B2.34B2.32B2.48B2.56B2.39B
Total Liabilities5.31B5.24B5.10B5.30B5.44B5.57B
Stockholders Equity6.11B6.16B6.34B6.60B6.66B6.78B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow882.00M1.05B980.00M954.00M364.00M770.00M
Operating Cash Flow1.25B1.46B1.30B1.32B820.00M1.18B
Investing Cash Flow-516.00M-362.00M-316.00M-339.00M-432.00M-385.00M
Financing Cash Flow-1.04B-988.00M-997.00M-898.00M-943.00M-1.03B

Kingfisher Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentPositive
Last Price351.80

Price Trends

50DMA321.01Positive
100DMA308.10Positive
200DMA303.56Positive

Market Momentum

MACD9.40Negative
RSI63.22Neutral
STOCH55.68Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GB:KGF, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 351.80 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 338.62, above the 50-day MA of 321.01, and above the 200-day MA of 303.56, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 9.40 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 63.22 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 55.68 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for GB:KGF.

Kingfisher Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)

Financial Indicators

GB:KGF against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
GB:DNLMGB:DNLM78OutperformGBP 1.75B11.2699.65%8.13%3.08%-0.16%
GB:HWDNGB:HWDN75OutperformGBP 4.32B16.4022.80%2.74%4.15%5.60%
GB:TPTGB:TPT70OutperformGBP 70.41M13.6689.58%8.66%8.67%―
GB:WIXGB:WIX67NeutralGBP 517.86M14.5530.64%4.67%4.21%72.12%
GB:KGFGB:KGF67NeutralGBP 5.71B20.144.86%3.52%1.24%69.63%
GB:VICGB:VIC63NeutralGBP 269.30M16.8724.66%2.67%7.34%169.28%
Sector *61Neutral$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%

* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average

Performance Comparison

-20%0%20%40%GB:KGFGB:DNLMGB:HWDNGB:TPTGB:WIXGB:VICDec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
GB:KGF and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
GB:KGFKingfisher plc351.8059.1420.21%
GB:DNLMDunelm Group Plc (UK)867.00-201.63-18.87%
GB:HWDNHowden Joinery803.50-43.33-5.12%
GB:TPTTopps Tiles35.803.3410.30%
GB:WIXWickes Group Plc235.5028.5313.78%
GB:VICVictorian Plumbing Group Plc82.008.6211.75%

Kingfisher Corporate Events

Stock Buyback

Kingfisher Launches Third Tranche of £300m Share Buyback

Positive
Sep 22, 2026

Kingfisher PLC has launched a third tranche of its share repurchase programme, instructing Morgan Stanley & Co. International Plc to buy ordinary shares for cancellation between now and 15 December 2026. The tranche is capped at £50 million...

Business Operations and StrategyStock BuybackDividendsFinancial Disclosures

Kingfisher lifts profit outlook after resilient first-half performance

Positive
Sep 22, 2026

Kingfisher reported solid half-year results to 31 July 2026, with total sales including marketplace up 1.6% and like-for-like sales edging higher, driven by increased customer transactions and standout growth at Screwfix, Poland and Iberia. Gross mar...

Business Operations and StrategyRegulatory Filings and ComplianceShareholder Meetings

Kingfisher Names PwC as Next Statutory Auditor After Tender

Positive
Sep 17, 2026

Kingfisher plc has concluded an external audit tender process and selected PricewaterhouseCoopers LLP as its new statutory auditor for the financial year ending 31 January 2029, subject to shareholder approval at the 2028 Annual General Meeting. The...

Regulatory Filings and Compliance

Kingfisher Discloses CTO Share Acquisition Under Incentive Plan

Neutral
Sep 16, 2026

Kingfisher has reported a transaction by Chief Technology Officer Chris Blatchford under regulatory disclosure rules. Blatchford acquired 51 ordinary shares at £2.9470 each through the Kingfisher Share Incentive Plan on 15 September 2026, with t...

Business Operations and StrategyDelistings and Listing Changes

Kingfisher Adds Shares to LSE Listing Under Employee ShareSave Plan

Neutral
Sep 3, 2026

Kingfisher plc has admitted 128,003 additional ordinary shares of 15 5/7 pence each to trading on the London Stock Exchange’s main market under its existing ShareSave employee share plan. The new shares are fully fungible with existing stock, b...

Business Operations and StrategyStock Buyback

Kingfisher Advances £300m Buyback with Completion of Second Tranche

Positive
Sep 3, 2026

Kingfisher has completed the second tranche of its previously announced £300 million share repurchase programme, buying back 16,124,103 shares for cancellation at a total cost of £50 million through Goldman Sachs International. With this st...

Business Operations and StrategyStock Buyback

Kingfisher Advances £300 Million Share Buyback With Further Share Cancellations

Positive
Sep 3, 2026

Kingfisher plc has continued to execute its £300 million share repurchase programme, buying back a total of 1,217,790 ordinary shares for cancellation between 1 and 2 September 2026 from Goldman Sachs International in on-exchange transactions. T...

Business Operations and StrategyStock Buyback

Kingfisher Advances £300m Share Buyback With Further Cancellations

Positive
Sep 2, 2026

Kingfisher plc has continued executing its £300 million share repurchase programme, buying and cancelling a series of ordinary shares from Goldman Sachs International between 24 and 28 August 2026. The weekly transactions, carried out as on&#820...

Regulatory Filings and Compliance

Kingfisher Confirms Total Voting Rights and Share Capital Structure

Positive
Sep 1, 2026

Kingfisher has confirmed that its issued share capital comprises 1,648,995,095 ordinary shares, each carrying one vote, with no shares held in treasury. The total number of voting shares now serves as the official reference figure for investors and o...

Business Operations and StrategyStock Buyback

Kingfisher Advances £300m Share Buyback With Further Share Cancellations

Positive
Aug 25, 2026

Kingfisher plc reported its latest weekly activity under a £300 million share repurchase programme, confirming the purchase and cancellation of 124,399 ordinary shares between 17 and 21 August 2026 via on-exchange transactions with Goldman Sachs...

Executive/Board ChangesRegulatory Filings and Compliance

Kingfisher CTO acquires shares under incentive plan

Neutral
Aug 18, 2026

Kingfisher plc is a UK-based home improvement retail group operating multiple brands across Europe, selling DIY, building and home renovation products to both consumers and tradespeople. The company is listed on the London Stock Exchange and is a con...

Business Operations and StrategyStock Buyback

Kingfisher Advances £300m Buyback With Further Share Cancellations

Positive
Aug 18, 2026

Kingfisher plc has continued executing its £300 million share repurchase programme, buying 124,873 ordinary shares for cancellation between 10 and 14 August 2026 from Goldman Sachs International in on-exchange transactions on the London Stock Ex...

Stock Buyback

Kingfisher Advances £300m Buyback With Further Share Cancellations

Positive
Aug 11, 2026

Kingfisher plc has continued executing its £300 million share repurchase programme, buying and cancelling ordinary shares on the London Stock Exchange. Between 3 and 7 August 2026, the company purchased a total of 120,652 shares from Goldman Sac...

Business Operations and StrategyStock Buyback

Kingfisher Advances £300m Share Buyback With Further Cancellations

Positive
Aug 4, 2026

Kingfisher plc has continued to execute its previously announced £300 million share repurchase programme, buying back and cancelling ordinary shares over the week of 27 to 31 July 2026. During this period, the company purchased a total of 115,08...

Regulatory Filings and Compliance

Kingfisher Confirms Total Voting Rights and Share Capital Structure

Neutral
Aug 3, 2026

Kingfisher PLC has confirmed that as of 31 July 2026 its issued share capital comprises 1,649,455,499 ordinary shares, each carrying one voting right and admitted to trading. The company holds no shares in treasury, meaning the full issued share coun...

Executive/Board ChangesRegulatory Filings and Compliance

Kingfisher Discloses Share Transactions by Chief People Officer

Neutral
Jul 28, 2026

Kingfisher has disclosed a transaction by Chief People Officer Kate Seljeflot involving Kingfisher plc ordinary shares, in line with U.K. Market Abuse Regulation requirements. Seljeflot exercised nil-cost options under the company’s Alignment S...

Business Operations and StrategyStock Buyback

Kingfisher advances £300m buyback with further share cancellations

Positive
Jul 28, 2026

Kingfisher plc has continued to execute its £300 million share repurchase programme, buying a total of 11,906,163 ordinary shares for cancellation between 20 and 24 July 2026 through on-exchange transactions with Goldman Sachs International. Ove...

Regulatory Filings and Compliance

Kingfisher Discloses CTO’s Exercise and Sale of Share Options

Neutral
Jul 22, 2026

Kingfisher plc has disclosed a managerial share transaction involving Chief Technology Officer Chris Blatchford, in line with U.K. Market Abuse Regulation requirements. Blatchford acquired 75,000 ordinary shares through the exercise of nil-cost optio...

Business Operations and StrategyStock Buyback

Kingfisher Advances £300m Buyback With Fresh Share Cancellations

Positive
Jul 21, 2026

Kingfisher plc has continued to execute its £300 million share repurchase programme, buying and cancelling 2,390,232 ordinary shares from Goldman Sachs International between 16 and 17 July 2026 at volume-weighted average prices just under £...

Regulatory Filings and Compliance

Kingfisher CTO Reports Share Purchase Under Incentive Plan

Neutral
Jul 16, 2026

Kingfisher plc has disclosed a transaction by its Chief Technology Officer, Chris Blatchford, who acquired 53 ordinary shares under the company’s Share Incentive Plan. The purchase, executed on 15 July 2026 at £2.832 per share on the Londo...

Business Operations and StrategyStock Buyback

Kingfisher Launches Second £50m Tranche of £300m Share Buyback

Positive
Jul 16, 2026

Kingfisher plc has launched a second tranche of its share repurchase programme, appointing Goldman Sachs International to conduct a non-discretionary buyback of up to £50 million of shares for cancellation by 15 September 2026. This follows a co...

Business Operations and StrategyDelistings and Listing Changes

Kingfisher Adds Shares From Employee Plan to LSE Listing

Positive
Jul 7, 2026

Kingfisher plc has admitted a further 155,524 ordinary shares to trading on the London Stock Exchange’s Main Market under its existing ShareSave Plan block admission. The newly issued shares, fungible with the existing stock, increase the compa...

Business Operations and StrategyDividendsRegulatory Filings and Compliance

Kingfisher Executives Boost Holdings Through Dividend Reinvestment Plans

Positive
Jul 7, 2026

Kingfisher has disclosed a series of share acquisitions by senior executives under the UK Market Abuse Regulation, involving ordinary shares purchased via dividend reinvestment schemes. The transactions, all executed on 3 July 2026 on the London Stoc...

Regulatory Filings and Compliance

Kingfisher Confirms Share Capital and Voting Rights for Disclosure Compliance

Neutral
Jul 1, 2026

Kingfisher PLC has confirmed that, as of 30 June 2026, its issued share capital comprises 1,663,721,240 ordinary shares, each carrying one vote and with none held in treasury. This sets the total number of voting shares at 1,663,721,240, establishing...

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board ChangesStock BuybackDividendsShareholder Meetings

Kingfisher shareholders back all resolutions at AGM

Positive
Jun 26, 2026

Kingfisher PLC reported that shareholders at its Annual General Meeting approved all 20 resolutions, including the receipt of the annual report and accounts and the declaration of a final dividend. Investors also backed the directors’ remunerat...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Sep 23, 2026