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Headlam (GB:HEAD)
LSE:HEAD
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Headlam (HEAD) AI Stock Analysis

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GB:HEAD

Headlam

(LSE:HEAD)

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Underperform 40 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:40Underperform
Price Target:
45.00p
▼(-14.45% Downside)
Headlam's overall stock score is primarily impacted by its poor financial performance and bearish technical indicators. The negative P/E ratio and lack of dividend yield further weigh down the valuation score. The absence of earnings call data and corporate events means these factors do not influence the score.

Headlam (HEAD) vs. iShares MSCI United Kingdom ETF (EWC)

Headlam Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionHeadlam Group plc, together with its subsidiaries, sells, markets, supplies, and distributes floorcovering and other ancillary products in the United Kingdom and Continental Europe. The company offers its products to residential and commercial sector, such as independent retailers and flooring contractors, as well as other groups, including larger retailers, housebuilders, specifiers, and local contractors. It distributes its products through 21 distribution hubs and centers. The company was incorporated in 1948 and is based in Birmingham, the United Kingdom.
How the Company Makes MoneyHeadlam generates revenue primarily through the wholesale distribution of flooring products to retailers, contractors, and other businesses in the construction and renovation sectors. The company's revenue model is built on selling a diverse portfolio of flooring materials from various manufacturers, often at competitive prices. Key revenue streams include direct sales to customers, as well as partnerships with suppliers and manufacturers that enhance its product offerings. Additionally, Headlam benefits from its extensive logistics and distribution network, which allows for efficient delivery and service, further driving sales and customer retention. The company's ability to adapt to market trends and customer preferences also contributes significantly to its earnings.

Headlam Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Headlam faces significant financial challenges, including declining revenue, negative profitability, and strained cash flows. Despite a manageable leverage ratio, the negative net income and declining equity position highlight the need for strategic adjustments to improve financial health.
Income Statement
35
Negative
The company experienced declining revenue with a negative growth rate from the previous year. Additionally, the negative EBIT and Net Income indicate significant challenges in maintaining profitability. Despite past profitability, the current period shows substantial losses.
Balance Sheet
45
Neutral
The debt-to-equity ratio suggests manageable leverage, but a declining equity base raises concerns. The return on equity is negative due to the net loss, impacting overall financial stability. The equity ratio remains stable, indicating some level of balance in asset financing.
Cash Flow
50
Neutral
The cash flow analysis shows a mixed picture with operating cash flow remaining positive, yet free cash flow is negative due to high capital expenditures. The company has struggled to convert operating profit into free cash flow, affecting cash flow strength.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue545.30M593.10M656.50M663.60M667.20M578.10M
Gross Profit152.10M167.00M206.40M219.50M220.50M178.10M
EBITDA-29.80M-9.30M34.40M64.70M50.00M23.50M
Net Income-45.60M-25.00M7.70M33.60M24.40M-20.30M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets422.00M397.70M462.30M435.40M472.50M467.40M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments23.20M12.00M21.10M2.10M61.20M60.80M
Total Debt102.60M62.30M94.10M38.00M43.50M52.50M
Total Liabilities267.40M206.70M241.90M210.60M240.40M247.40M
Stockholders Equity154.60M191.00M220.40M224.80M232.10M220.00M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-36.10M-3.00M-5.70M-2.90M6.90M47.50M
Operating Cash Flow-29.60M7.60M12.50M10.90M13.80M62.50M
Investing Cash Flow47.20M50.70M-13.40M-12.10M9.30M-16.10M
Financing Cash Flow-14.40M-67.70M19.30M-58.20M-22.10M-19.40M

Headlam Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price52.60
Price Trends
50DMA
60.20
Negative
100DMA
73.57
Negative
200DMA
88.64
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-2.58
Negative
RSI
44.27
Neutral
STOCH
75.07
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GB:HEAD, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 52.6 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 51.82, below the 50-day MA of 60.20, and below the 200-day MA of 88.64, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -2.58 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 44.27 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 75.07 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for GB:HEAD.

Headlam Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
£53.30M8.4019.42%0.57%2.64%23.89%
£63.56M47.223.37%1.49%9.26%31.71%
$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
£41.24M8.148.35%7.08%-3.45%-35.25%
£33.90M-19.58%3.19%-4.23%-435.86%
£41.41M-0.91-19.28%-11.65%-273.57%
£68.26M-0.26-12.17%-145.41%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
GB:HEAD
Headlam
52.60
-77.90
-59.69%
GB:CHH
Churchill China
378.00
-442.99
-53.96%
GB:CFX
Colefax
910.00
115.52
14.54%
GB:VCP
Victoria
55.50
-56.70
-50.53%
GB:SDG
Sanderson Design Group PLC
47.00
-19.47
-29.29%
GB:LIKE
Likewise Group Plc
26.00
10.25
65.08%

Headlam Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
Headlam Group Announces CEO Departure and Leadership Transition
Neutral
Oct 3, 2025

Headlam Group plc announced the immediate departure of Chris Payne as Group CEO, with Stephen Bird stepping in as interim Executive Chairman during the CEO succession process. The Board is focusing on accelerating its turnaround strategy to enhance profitability and market position, signaling a decisive move towards business transformation.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:HEAD) stock is a Hold with a £84.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Headlam stock, see the GB:HEAD Stock Forecast page.

Regulatory Filings and Compliance
Headlam Group PLC Announces Total Voting Rights Update
Neutral
Sep 30, 2025

Headlam Group PLC announced its total voting rights as of 30 September 2025, with an issued share capital of 85,639,209 ordinary shares, of which 80,846,994 shares are in circulation with voting rights. This information is crucial for shareholders to determine their notification obligations under the FCA’s Disclosure Guidance and Transparency Rules, impacting their stake and influence within the company.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:HEAD) stock is a Hold with a £84.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Headlam stock, see the GB:HEAD Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Headlam Group Faces Challenges but Sees Positive Long-term Outlook
Neutral
Sep 16, 2025

Headlam Group PLC reported a challenging first half of 2025, with a 3.8% decline in revenue due to ongoing market difficulties. Despite this, the company maintained a strong balance sheet and controlled operating costs, benefiting from its transformation plan aimed at improving profitability and market share. The plan includes centralizing buying processes, optimizing the network, and preparing for the sale of businesses in France and the Netherlands. While the flooring market remains uncertain, Headlam anticipates a positive long-term outlook, driven by strategic initiatives and market recovery.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:HEAD) stock is a Hold with a £84.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Headlam stock, see the GB:HEAD Stock Forecast page.

Financial Disclosures
Headlam Group PLC to Host Live Investor Presentation on Preliminary Results
Neutral
Sep 11, 2025

Headlam Group PLC is hosting a live presentation on its Preliminary Results on 16 September 2025, accessible to all existing and potential shareholders via the Investor Meet Company platform. This event allows investors to engage with the company by submitting questions before or during the presentation, enhancing transparency and communication with stakeholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:HEAD) stock is a Hold with a £84.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Headlam stock, see the GB:HEAD Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and Strategy
Headlam Group Recognizes Employee Loyalty with Share Awards
Positive
Sep 5, 2025

Headlam Group PLC has announced the allocation of 5,400 ordinary shares to employees as part of its Employee Long Service Awards Scheme, recognizing their long-term service. This transfer of treasury shares highlights the company’s commitment to rewarding employee loyalty and maintaining a robust workforce, while also informing shareholders about the current voting rights and share capital structure.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:HEAD) stock is a Hold with a £84.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Headlam stock, see the GB:HEAD Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 23, 2025