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Aston Martin Lagonda Global Holdings (GB:AML)
:AML

Aston Martin Lagonda Global Holdings plc (AML) AI Stock Analysis

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Aston Martin Lagonda Global Holdings plc

(LSE:AML)

Rating:58Neutral
Price Target:
82.00p
▼(-6.82%Downside)
Aston Martin's stock is currently weighed down by negative financial performance and unattractive valuation metrics. However, technical indicators suggest positive short-term momentum, while recent corporate events reflect strong insider confidence, providing a modest counterbalance.
Positive Factors
Business Strategy
Aston is staying true to a demand-led model, which has short term pain but shows it has learned from mistakes: a good first step for new CEO Adrian Hallmark.
Free Cash Flow
4Q FCF was slightly better than expected and driven by working capital development.
Negative Factors
Financial Targets
AML has seen a significant softening in its financial targets over the last 18 months.
Revenue
A weaker than expected ASP on core models led to slightly softer revenues.
Wholesale Growth
AML does not expect wholesale growth despite having its new core model range available.

Aston Martin Lagonda Global Holdings plc (AML) vs. iShares MSCI United Kingdom ETF (EWC)

Aston Martin Lagonda Global Holdings plc Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionAston Martin Lagonda Global Holdings plc designs, develops, manufactures, markets, and sells luxury sports cars under the Aston Martin and Lagonda brand names worldwide. It also engages in the sale of parts; sale of vehicles; servicing of vehicles; and brand and motorsport activities. The company sells its vehicles through a network of dealers. It has strategic technology agreement with Mercedes-Benz AG. Aston Martin Lagonda Global Holdings plc was incorporated in 2018 and is headquartered in Gaydon, the United Kingdom.
How the Company Makes MoneyAston Martin generates revenue primarily through the sale of its luxury sports cars and grand tourers. The company's core revenue stream comes from its diverse range of vehicle models, which include both limited edition and bespoke options that command premium pricing. Additionally, Aston Martin offers customization services, allowing customers to personalize their vehicles, further enhancing revenue per unit. The company also benefits from strategic partnerships and collaborations, such as technology and design alliances, which can contribute to product innovation and brand prestige. Other revenue sources include licensing agreements, merchandise sales, and after-sales services, which encompass maintenance and repair services for existing customers.

Aston Martin Lagonda Global Holdings plc Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Apr 30, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 25.89%|
Next Earnings Date:Jul 30, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The call highlighted strong retail sales performance, increases in core ASP, and the successful launch of new model derivatives, indicating progress in Aston Martin's transformation strategy. However, revenue and ASP declines, the impact of U.S. tariffs, and ongoing challenges in the China market were significant concerns. Despite these challenges, the company remains optimistic about achieving its financial targets for 2025.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Retail Sales Outpace Wholesale Volumes
Retail sales significantly outpaced wholesale volumes by around 50% in Q1 2025. This trend is expected to continue as Aston Martin focuses on balancing supply with demand.
Core Average Selling Price Increase
The core average selling price (ASP) increased by approximately 10% in Q1 2025, driven by a reinvigorated product portfolio and strong options contribution.
Launch of New Model Derivatives
Aston Martin launched three new derivatives: Vantage Roadster, Vanquish Volante, and DBX S model, with more derivatives planned to support growth and financial targets.
Valhalla Supercar Nearing Launch
The groundbreaking supercar Valhalla is in the final phase of testing with deliveries expected in the second half of the year, showcasing improved operational execution.
Cost Optimization and Productivity Improvements
Progress in transformation efforts is evident in cost optimization, productivity improvements, and quality enhancements, aiming for positive EBIT and free cash flow in 2025.
Negative Updates
Revenue and ASP Decline
Overall revenue decreased by 13% and total ASP decreased by 15% in Q1 2025 due to fewer Specials deliveries nearing completion.
Impact of U.S. Tariffs
Additional 25% tariffs on automotive imports into the U.S. create uncertainty, leading to a slight reduction in 2025 wholesale volume guidance and potential pricing strategy adjustments.
Adjusted EBIT and EBITDA Decline
Adjusted EBIT decreased by 13% to minus £65 million and adjusted EBITDA decreased by £24 million to minus £4 million year-on-year, reflecting gross profit movement.
Challenges in China Market
No immediate signs of recovery in China, with the market not being a significant contributor to sales as it was never more than 10% of the total.
Company Guidance
During the Aston Martin Quarter One 2025 Results Call, CEO Adrian Hallmark and CFO Doug Lafferty provided detailed guidance and insights into the company's financial performance and strategic direction. The company reported that retail sales outpaced wholesale volumes by approximately 50%, reflecting a disciplined approach to production and stock reduction. Core average selling price (ASP) increased by around 10%, driven by new model launches and strong options contribution of about 18% of core revenue. Despite a 13% decrease in revenue and a 15% decrease in total ASP due to fewer Specials deliveries, Aston Martin expects to achieve over 40% gross margin from new products, targeting a 40% gross margin for the full year. Adjusted EBIT declined by 13% to minus £65 million, while adjusted operating expenses decreased by 13%, excluding depreciation and amortization (D&A). The company anticipates becoming EBIT positive for the full year and generating positive free cash flow in the second half, with liquidity projected to be bolstered by over £125 million from the Yew Tree Consortium investment and AMR sale. The impact of recently announced U.S. tariffs remains a concern, prompting a slight reduction in 2025 wholesale volume guidance, but plans are in place to mitigate potential effects.

Aston Martin Lagonda Global Holdings plc Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Aston Martin faces financial challenges with negative EBIT and net incomes, despite some improvements in revenue and gross profit margins. The high debt levels and negative free cash flow indicate ongoing financial instability.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
Aston Martin has faced persistent challenges in profitability, as evidenced by negative EBIT and net incomes over the years. Despite a revenue increase from 2020 to 2023, the net profit margin remains negative due to high operational costs. The gross profit margin has improved, indicating some cost management success, but the overall profitability remains weak.
Balance Sheet
55
Neutral
The company's debt-to-equity ratio is high, indicating heavy reliance on debt financing, which poses a risk. However, the equity ratio has remained relatively stable, suggesting a consistent asset base. The return on equity is negative due to losses, but the company maintains a sizable asset base which provides some stability.
Cash Flow
50
Neutral
While operating cash flow has remained positive, the company struggles with negative free cash flow due to high capital expenditures. The free cash flow to net income ratio is negative, reflecting ongoing cash flow challenges, despite improvements in operating cash.
Breakdown
Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
1.58B1.63B1.38B1.10B611.80M
Gross Profit
583.90M639.20M450.70M343.70M111.10M
EBIT
-99.50M-111.20M-299.60M-84.40M-215.10M
EBITDA
237.80M309.60M-5.40M150.70M-206.70M
Net Income Common Stockholders
-323.50M-228.10M-527.70M-189.30M-410.50M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
359.60M392.40M592.10M426.20M504.00M
Total Assets
3.16B3.17B3.10B2.84B2.79B
Total Debt
1.48B1.17B1.31B1.29B1.19B
Net Debt
1.12B774.60M727.60M873.70M698.40M
Total Liabilities
2.41B2.25B2.33B2.18B1.99B
Stockholders Equity
740.20M902.30M753.00M641.80M787.80M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
-276.70M-251.50M-159.80M-5.80M-459.30M
Operating Cash Flow
123.90M145.90M127.10M178.90M-198.60M
Investing Cash Flow
-374.80M-383.40M-284.70M-184.10M-258.40M
Financing Cash Flow
215.80M59.70M315.00M-66.50M840.20M

Aston Martin Lagonda Global Holdings plc Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price88.00
Price Trends
50DMA
73.28
Positive
100DMA
85.23
Positive
200DMA
102.47
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
3.01
Negative
RSI
66.38
Neutral
STOCH
81.69
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GB:AML, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 88 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 80.62, above the 50-day MA of 73.28, and below the 200-day MA of 102.47, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 3.01 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 66.38 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 81.69 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for GB:AML.

Aston Martin Lagonda Global Holdings plc Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
GBJD
77
Outperform
£4.20B8.6318.22%0.80%2.85%61.98%
77
Outperform
£2.57B6.6918.69%6.55%-19.08%57.32%
65
Neutral
£6.78B45.441.81%2.31%4.78%-53.59%
GBBWY
64
Neutral
£3.42B23.304.22%1.46%-11.63%-31.81%
63
Neutral
$6.98B11.412.80%4.24%2.68%-24.94%
61
Neutral
£3.88B77.34-7.28%7.87%-17.08%-128.46%
GBAML
58
Neutral
£881.83M-39.39%-2.99%-26.87%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
GB:AML
Aston Martin Lagonda Global Holdings plc
88.00
-62.00
-41.33%
GB:JD
JD Sports Fashion
80.32
-41.40
-34.01%
GB:BTRW
Barratt Developments
478.60
-3.12
-0.65%
GB:BWY
Bellway
2,958.00
301.49
11.35%
GB:INCH
Inchcape
689.50
-36.88
-5.08%
GB:BRBY
Burberry
1,104.50
126.44
12.93%

Aston Martin Lagonda Global Holdings plc Corporate Events

Business Operations and Strategy
Aston Martin CEO Acquires Significant Shareholding
Positive
May 27, 2025

Aston Martin Lagonda Global Holdings plc announced a transaction involving its CEO, Adrian Hallmark, who purchased 199,117 ordinary shares at a price of £0.753324 per share, totaling £149,999.61. This transaction, conducted on the London Stock Exchange, reflects a significant investment by the CEO, potentially signaling confidence in the company’s future performance and stability, which could positively influence stakeholder sentiment.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:AML) stock is a Hold with a £1.18 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Aston Martin Lagonda Global Holdings plc stock, see the GB:AML Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board Changes
Aston Martin Announces Executive Incentive Awards
Neutral
May 27, 2025

Aston Martin Lagonda Global Holdings plc has announced the grant of awards under its Long-Term Incentive Plan and Deferred Share Bonus Plan to its CEO and CFO. These awards, which include Performance Shares and Restricted Shares, are part of the company’s remuneration policy and aim to align the interests of the executives with those of the shareholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:AML) stock is a Hold with a £1.18 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Aston Martin Lagonda Global Holdings plc stock, see the GB:AML Stock Forecast page.

Delistings and Listing ChangesShareholder Meetings
Aston Martin Issues 75 Million New Shares, Alters Voting Rights
Neutral
May 15, 2025

Aston Martin Lagonda Global Holdings PLC has issued and listed 75 million new shares following approval at its General Meeting of Independent Shareholders. This move, involving Atieva, Inc. as a significant shareholder, results in a change in voting rights, with the Public Investment Fund holding a 2.803617% stake, potentially impacting the company’s shareholder dynamics and market position.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:AML) stock is a Hold with a £115.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Aston Martin Lagonda Global Holdings plc stock, see the GB:AML Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and Strategy
Mercedes-Benz Reduces Stake in Aston Martin
Neutral
May 13, 2025

Mercedes-Benz AG has reduced its voting rights in Aston Martin Lagonda Global Holdings PLC from 8.15% to 7.55%, as of May 9, 2025. This change in voting rights may impact the strategic influence Mercedes-Benz holds within Aston Martin, potentially affecting future collaborations or business decisions.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:AML) stock is a Buy with a £1.80 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Aston Martin Lagonda Global Holdings plc stock, see the GB:AML Stock Forecast page.

Private Placements and Financing
Aston Martin Announces Significant Share Acquisition by Associated Entity
Neutral
May 13, 2025

Aston Martin Lagonda Global Holdings plc announced a transaction involving the purchase of 1,500,000 ordinary shares at a price of £0.70 each, totaling £1,050,000. This transaction was conducted by Saint-Alexander SARL, a company closely associated with Michael de Picciotto, a Non-Executive Director of Aston Martin, and took place on the London Stock Exchange on May 9, 2025. The acquisition is part of an equity placing, which may impact the company’s market position and shareholder value.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:AML) stock is a Buy with a £1.80 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Aston Martin Lagonda Global Holdings plc stock, see the GB:AML Stock Forecast page.

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Aston Martin Director Invests in Equity Placing
Positive
May 13, 2025

Aston Martin Lagonda Global Holdings plc announced a transaction involving Cyrus Jilla, a non-executive director, who purchased 113,000 ordinary shares at a price of 0.70 GBP per share as part of an equity placing. This transaction, conducted on the London Stock Exchange, reflects a significant investment by a key company figure, potentially indicating confidence in the company’s future performance and strategy.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:AML) stock is a Buy with a £1.80 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Aston Martin Lagonda Global Holdings plc stock, see the GB:AML Stock Forecast page.

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Aston Martin Announces Strategic Share Acquisition by Yew Tree
Positive
May 13, 2025

Aston Martin Lagonda Global Holdings plc announced a transaction involving Yew Tree Overseas Limited, a company associated with Lawrence Stroll, the Executive Chairperson. Yew Tree purchased 62,072,407 ordinary shares at £0.70 each, totaling £43,450,684.90, as part of an equity placing on the London Stock Exchange. This transaction reflects a strategic move to strengthen the company’s financial position and potentially enhance its market presence.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:AML) stock is a Buy with a £1.80 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Aston Martin Lagonda Global Holdings plc stock, see the GB:AML Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and Strategy
Lawrence Stroll Increases Stake in Aston Martin Lagonda
Neutral
May 12, 2025

Aston Martin Lagonda Global Holdings plc has announced a significant change in its voting rights structure, with Lawrence Stroll increasing his stake to 32.07% from a previous 27.67%. This move, involving a consortium led by Yew Tree Overseas Limited, indicates a consolidation of control, potentially impacting the company’s strategic direction and shareholder dynamics.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:AML) stock is a Buy with a £1.80 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Aston Martin Lagonda Global Holdings plc stock, see the GB:AML Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and Strategy
Aston Martin Announces Change in Major Shareholder Holdings
Neutral
May 12, 2025

Aston Martin Lagonda Global Holdings plc has announced a change in its major holdings, with Shufu Li, associated with Zhejiang Geely Holding Group, reducing his stake in the company. The voting rights held by Shufu Li have decreased from 15.22% to 14.09%, indicating a slight shift in the ownership structure. This adjustment could have implications for the company’s governance and strategic decisions, given the influence of major shareholders in steering company direction.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:AML) stock is a Buy with a £1.80 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Aston Martin Lagonda Global Holdings plc stock, see the GB:AML Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and Strategy
Aston Martin’s Major Shareholder Adjusts Voting Rights
Neutral
May 12, 2025

The Public Investment Fund, a major shareholder of Aston Martin Lagonda Global Holdings plc, has adjusted its voting rights in the company, decreasing its total voting rights from 18.03% to 16.70%. This change highlights the evolving dynamics of shareholder influence within the company, potentially impacting its strategic decisions and governance.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:AML) stock is a Buy with a £1.8000 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Aston Martin Lagonda Global Holdings plc stock, see the GB:AML Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and Strategy
Aston Martin Director Acquires Shares Signaling Confidence
Positive
May 7, 2025

Aston Martin Lagonda Global Holdings plc announced a transaction involving the purchase of ordinary shares by Sir Nigel Boardman, a non-executive director. The transaction, conducted on the London Stock Exchange on May 6, 2025, involved the acquisition of 43,639 shares at a price of £0.684 per share, totaling £29,849.08. This move reflects a strategic investment by a key figure within the company, potentially signaling confidence in the company’s future performance and stability.

Private Placements and FinancingShareholder Meetings
Aston Martin Secures £52.5 Million Investment from Yew Tree Consortium
Positive
May 7, 2025

Aston Martin Lagonda Global Holdings plc announced the successful conclusion of its General Meeting, where independent shareholders approved a significant investment of approximately £52.5 million by the Yew Tree Consortium. This investment involves the issuance of 75 million new ordinary shares, increasing the consortium’s interest to 33.13% of the company’s voting rights. The new shares are expected to be admitted to trading on the London Stock Exchange, enhancing Aston Martin’s financial position and potentially impacting its market dynamics.

Shareholder MeetingsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Aston Martin’s AGM Sees All Resolutions Passed with Strong Shareholder Support
Positive
May 7, 2025

Aston Martin Lagonda Global Holdings plc successfully concluded its Annual General Meeting on May 7, 2025, with all resolutions passed by the required majority of shareholders. The meeting, conducted electronically, saw participation representing 73.6% of the issued share capital. Key resolutions included the approval of the company’s annual report, directors’ remuneration, and the re-election of several directors, indicating strong shareholder support for the company’s current management and strategic direction.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Aston Martin’s Q1 2025 Results: Navigating Challenges with Innovation
Neutral
Apr 30, 2025

Aston Martin’s Q1 2025 results show a performance in line with expectations, with a slight increase in wholesale volumes but a decrease in revenue and gross profit due to fewer Specials deliveries. The company is optimistic about future growth, driven by new model launches and product innovations, including the upcoming Valhalla supercar. Despite financial challenges, Aston Martin is committed to enhancing its product quality and customer satisfaction, aiming for a positive financial outlook in the latter half of 2025.

Private Placements and FinancingShareholder Meetings
Aston Martin Announces General Meeting for Proposed Investment
Neutral
Apr 17, 2025

Aston Martin Lagonda Global Holdings plc has announced the publication of a circular regarding a proposed £52.5 million investment by the Yew Tree Consortium. This circular includes details for a general meeting scheduled for May 7, 2025, where shareholders will vote on the investment proposal. The meeting will be held electronically, and shareholders are advised to review the procedures for voting. The circular is available on the company’s website and has been submitted to the National Storage Mechanism.

Executive/Board Changes
Aston Martin Director Joins AerCap Board
Neutral
Apr 16, 2025

Aston Martin Lagonda Global Holdings plc announced that Vicky Jarman, a Non-executive Director and Chair of the Audit and Risk Committee, has been appointed as a non-executive director of AerCap Holdings N.V. This move may enhance cross-industry insights and strengthen the company’s governance, potentially impacting its strategic direction and stakeholder relations.

Private Placements and FinancingRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Aston Martin Clarifies Investment Comments Amid Shareholding Proposal
Neutral
Mar 31, 2025

Aston Martin Lagonda Global Holdings plc has addressed media comments regarding a proposed investment by the Yew Tree Consortium. The company clarified that remarks made by Lawrence Stroll were not intended as formal statements under the City Code on Takeovers and Mergers. Aston Martin plans to seek a waiver from the Takeover Panel and approval from independent shareholders to potentially increase the Yew Tree Consortium’s shareholding to 35%. This move could significantly impact the company’s shareholder structure and influence its market positioning.

Private Placements and FinancingM&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Aston Martin Announces Strategic Investment and Asset Sale to Boost Liquidity
Positive
Mar 31, 2025

Aston Martin Lagonda Global Holdings plc announced a proposed £52.5 million investment by the Yew Tree Consortium, which aims to increase its shareholding to 33%. This move, alongside the proposed sale of Aston Martin’s shares in the Aston Martin Aramco Formula One Team, is expected to enhance the company’s liquidity by over £125 million. The investment and sale are part of Aston Martin’s strategy to strengthen its financial position, support future product innovation, and maintain its presence in motorsport. The actions reflect the consortium’s confidence in the company’s long-term growth prospects and commitment to reducing equity dilution.

Shareholder MeetingsFinancial Disclosures
Aston Martin Releases 2024 Annual and Sustainability Reports
Neutral
Mar 26, 2025

Aston Martin Lagonda Global Holdings plc has released its 2024 Annual Report and Accounts, along with its 2024 Sustainability Report and the Notice of Annual General Meeting for 2025. These documents, available on the company’s website, provide insights into the company’s financial performance and sustainability efforts. The publication of these reports is a significant step in maintaining transparency with shareholders and stakeholders, reinforcing the company’s commitment to sustainable practices and corporate governance.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.