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Darden Restaurants, Inc. (DRI)
:DRI

Darden Restaurants (DRI) AI Stock Analysis

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DR

Darden Restaurants

(NYSE:DRI)

Rating:75Outperform
Price Target:
Darden Restaurants scores well overall due to its strong financial performance, optimistic earnings guidance, and strategic expansion plans. While the technical analysis shows mixed momentum, the company's robust profitability and cash generation capabilities provide a solid foundation for future growth. Valuation metrics are reasonable, making it an attractive investment in the restaurant industry.
Positive Factors
Marketing and Promotions
Pent-up demand and promotions like Buy-One, Get-One at Olive Garden, along with the Uber Direct delivery partnership, are expected to drive a strong finish to the fiscal year for Darden Restaurants.
Partnerships
The rollout of UberDirect at Olive Garden was completed, with early results suggesting 40-50% incrementality.
Negative Factors
Consumer Sentiment
There is a lack of confidence that the full service rebound will persist due to soft consumer sentiment data.
Valuation
The current valuation reflects an overly optimistic view of relative near-term traffic and same-store sales acceleration.

Darden Restaurants (DRI) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Darden Restaurants Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionDarden Restaurants, Inc., headquartered in Orlando, Florida, is a premier full-service dining company operating multiple restaurant brands. The company owns and manages a diverse portfolio of restaurant chains, including Olive Garden, LongHorn Steakhouse, Cheddar's Scratch Kitchen, Yard House, The Capital Grille, Seasons 52, Bahama Breeze, and Eddie V's. Darden is renowned for offering a wide range of dining experiences, from casual to fine dining, and is committed to delivering exceptional culinary experiences and hospitality across all its brands.
How the Company Makes MoneyDarden Restaurants generates revenue primarily through the operation of its restaurant chains. The company's income is driven by sales of food and beverages at its numerous locations, with a significant emphasis on providing quality dining experiences that encourage repeat customer visits. Key revenue streams include in-restaurant dining, takeout, and delivery services. Darden leverages its strong brand portfolio to attract a broad customer base, which contributes to steady foot traffic and sales. Additionally, the company benefits from economies of scale in procurement and efficient supply chain management, enhancing profitability. Strategic marketing initiatives and loyalty programs also play a role in driving revenue growth by increasing brand visibility and customer retention.

Darden Restaurants Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Darden Restaurants demonstrates strong financial health with robust revenue and profit growth, efficient cost management, and solid cash generation. The balance sheet reflects moderate leverage but is offset by a high Return on Equity and consistent cash flow generation.
Income Statement
88
Very Positive
Darden Restaurants shows strong revenue growth with a notable increase in Total Revenue from $11.39B to $11.76B TTM, reflecting a healthy Revenue Growth Rate of 3.26%. Gross Profit Margin improved significantly to 33.31% TTM, indicating efficient cost management. Net Profit Margin also saw a positive trend, reaching 8.96% TTM, showcasing solid profitability. EBIT and EBITDA Margins of 11.81% and 15.91% respectively underline robust operational performance.
Balance Sheet
75
Positive
The company's balance sheet is stable, with a Debt-to-Equity Ratio of 2.76, indicating a moderate level of leverage. The Equity Ratio remains consistent at 17.54% TTM, suggesting a solid equity base. Return on Equity stood at 47.84% TTM, showcasing strong profitability relative to shareholder equity, although the high leverage might pose a risk in volatile markets.
Cash Flow
82
Very Positive
Darden Restaurants demonstrates healthy cash flow metrics with a Free Cash Flow Growth Rate of 3.56% TTM, indicating strong cash generation capabilities. Operating Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio of 1.59 and Free Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio of 0.98 underline efficient conversion of income into cash, supporting liquidity and potential for reinvestment or debt reduction.
Breakdown
TTMJun 2024Jun 2023Jun 2022Jun 2021Jun 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
11.76B11.39B10.49B9.63B7.20B7.81B
Gross Profit
3.92B2.41B2.08B2.00B1.49B1.41B
EBIT
1.39B1.31B1.20B1.16B648.70M828.30M
EBITDA
1.87B1.78B1.59B1.54B993.40M257.00M
Net Income Common Stockholders
1.05B1.03B981.90M952.80M629.30M-49.20M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
224.20M194.80M367.80M420.60M1.21B763.30M
Total Assets
12.56B11.32B10.24B10.14B10.66B9.95B
Total Debt
6.08B5.43B4.55B4.86B5.02B5.48B
Net Debt
5.86B5.23B4.18B4.44B3.80B4.71B
Total Liabilities
10.36B9.08B8.04B7.94B7.84B7.61B
Stockholders Equity
2.20B2.24B2.20B2.20B2.81B2.33B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
1.03B993.40M951.80M857.00M924.90M217.30M
Operating Cash Flow
1.67B1.62B1.55B1.26B1.19B711.30M
Investing Cash Flow
-1.27B-1.32B-568.40M-389.00M-263.70M-544.00M
Financing Cash Flow
-448.80M-483.40M-1.03B-1.61B-478.90M138.70M

Darden Restaurants Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price204.02
Price Trends
50DMA
199.97
Positive
100DMA
194.82
Positive
200DMA
177.46
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
1.90
Positive
RSI
52.36
Neutral
STOCH
29.21
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For DRI, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 204.02 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 203.20, above the 50-day MA of 199.97, and above the 200-day MA of 177.46, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 1.90 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 52.36 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 29.21 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for DRI.

Darden Restaurants Risk Analysis

Darden Restaurants disclosed 35 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Darden Restaurants reported the most risks in the “Finance & Corporate” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Darden Restaurants Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
76
Outperform
$12.52B29.1033.55%1.33%15.09%31.24%
DRDRI
75
Outperform
$23.88B23.0248.22%2.75%5.00%3.73%
73
Outperform
$2.59B16.4346.60%2.06%4.42%48.23%
EAEAT
72
Outperform
$6.62B20.56314.08%19.80%117.96%
YUYUM
67
Neutral
$40.43B29.00-19.43%1.87%10.09%-11.50%
62
Neutral
$1.38B17.90-20.16%4.33%-2.77%4.01%
62
Neutral
$6.84B11.222.83%3.93%2.65%-21.93%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
DRI
Darden Restaurants
204.02
61.31
42.96%
EAT
Brinker International
154.53
88.21
133.01%
PZZA
Papa John's International
42.25
-3.35
-7.35%
TXRH
Texas Roadhouse
189.99
23.65
14.22%
CAKE
Cheesecake Factory
52.58
15.97
43.62%
YUM
Yum! Brands
145.45
9.79
7.22%

Darden Restaurants Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Mar 20, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: 9.21%|
Next Earnings Date:Jun 20, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call indicates a positive overall performance by Darden Restaurants, with significant sales growth, successful menu and delivery initiatives, and strategic expansions. However, challenges such as weather impacts and fine dining performance show areas that need attention.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Positive Same Restaurant Sales Across All Segments
Despite challenging weather conditions, all four segments achieved positive same restaurant sales growth, excluding weather impacts.
Successful Launch of Olive Garden Menu Favorites
Olive Garden's updated menu featuring fan favorites led to significant improvements in base traffic and sales trends, along with high social media engagement.
Expansion of Uber Direct Partnership
Olive Garden's partnership with Uber Direct for delivery showed promising growth, with delivery orders doubling during the pilot and achieving higher check averages than curbside pickup.
Opening of New Smaller Prototypes
Yard House and Cheddar's opened new, smaller prototypes performing above expectations, indicating potential for accelerated new restaurant openings.
Strong Financial Performance
Darden generated a 6% increase in total sales to $3.2 billion, with adjusted diluted net earnings per share up 6.9% from the previous year.
LongHorn Steakhouse Sales Growth
LongHorn reported a 5.1% increase in total sales, driven by a 2.6% growth in same restaurant sales and the addition of 14 net new restaurants.
Negative Updates
Weather Impact on Same Restaurant Sales
Unfavorable weather conditions negatively impacted same restaurant sales by approximately 100 basis points in the third quarter.
Challenges in Fine Dining Segment
Fine Dining segment experienced a same restaurant sales decline of 0.8%, with adjusted same restaurant sales decreasing approximately 1%.
Consumer Pullback Among Lower Income Brackets
Adjusted for weather, consumers with incomes below $50,000 were the only group showing negative same restaurant sales growth.
Company Guidance
During the Darden Restaurants, Inc. Q3 Fiscal Year 2025 Earnings Conference Call, the company provided guidance for the upcoming fiscal periods. Darden projected adjusted diluted net earnings per share for fiscal 2025 to be between $9.45 and $9.52, based on 118.3 million diluted average shares outstanding. For the fourth quarter alone, they expect total sales to range from $3.23 billion to $3.26 billion, with same restaurant sales growth above 3% and adjusted diluted net earnings per share between $2.88 and $2.95. Looking ahead to fiscal 2026, Darden plans to open 60 to 65 new restaurants, with capital expenditures of $375 million to $400 million for new openings and $300 million to $325 million for maintenance and technology. They also anticipate an effective tax rate between 13% and 13.5%, and the inclusion of a 53rd week which is expected to contribute approximately $0.20 in additional diluted net earnings per share.

Darden Restaurants Corporate Events

Executive/Board Changes
Darden Restaurants Announces Board Member Retirement
Neutral
Jan 28, 2025

On January 27, 2025, Nana Mensah announced his retirement from the Board of Directors of Darden Restaurants, Inc., effective the following day. His decision to step down is not due to any disagreements with the company’s operations, policies, or practices, and the company expressed appreciation for his service.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.