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Crescent Energy Company Class A (CRGY) AI Stock Analysis

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CRGY

Crescent Energy Company Class A

(NYSE:CRGY)

Select Model
Rating:60Neutral
Price Target:$13.50▲(3.77% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:11/04/26

The score is supported by strong cash generation and a positive, execution-focused earnings call (synergies, liquidity, hedging, and a deleveraging plan). It is held back by weak/volatile profitability (thin margins and low ROE), a technically soft near-term setup (below 20/50-day averages), and a demanding valuation (high P/E) despite a solid dividend yield.

Positive Factors
Cash GenerationStrong operating and free cash flow provide internal funding for development, dividends, and debt reduction. Although annual consistency must be proven, the current cash profile supports financial flexibility and gives management capacity to execute its capital framework through the next several quarters.
Negative Factors
Thin ProfitabilityVery thin net margins leave limited protection when commodity prices, costs, or production conditions weaken. The history of losses and profits across recent years also suggests that revenue growth has not yet translated into consistently durable earnings power for this cyclical E&P business.

Crescent Energy Company Class A Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Revenue by SegmentBreakdown of revenue across the company’s business lines (for example oil, gas, NGLs, and any midstream or marketing revenue). Segment-level revenue reveals where income is concentrated, how diversified the business is, and which parts drive profits or risk—high concentration increases sensitivity to specific commodity prices or operational issues.

$0.00$250.00M$500.00M$750.00M$1.00B$1.25BMar 22Jun 22Sep 22Dec 22Mar 23Jun 23Sep 23Dec 23Mar 24Jun 24Sep 24Dec 24Mar 25Jun 25Sep 25Dec 25Mar 26Jun 26
Chart Insights

Oil remains the earnings driver, with a pronounced recent revenue jump tied to record production, Permian integration synergies, longer laterals and lower well costs that boost volumes and realizations; natural gas and NGLs are recovering but secondary. The steep drop in Midstream & Other looks like a timing/classification blip versus management saying minerals & royalties will meaningfully ramp (~$200M EBITDA). Hedging on Waha and an expected unwind of a short working‑capital draw limit near‑term pricing risk, supporting strong free‑cash‑flow guidance.

Data provided by:The Fly

Crescent Energy Company Class A (CRGY) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

-20%0%20%40%60%80%100%CRGY+60.04%SPY+12.53%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
$4.30B
Dividend Yield
3.69%
Average Volume (3M)
7.81M
Price to Earnings (P/E)
74.9
Beta (1Y)
0.65
Revenue Growth
33.54%
EPS Growth
―
Country
US
Employees
1,066
Sector
Energy
Sector Strength
65
Industry
Oil & Gas Exploration & Production

Crescent Energy Company Class A Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Crescent Energy Company operates as an energy enterprise, primarily focused on the exploration, development, and extraction of crude oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquids (NGLs). Its operational footprint extends across a diverse array of oil and...

Crescent Energy Company Class A Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 01, 2026(Q3-2026)|% Change Since:-3.41%|Next Earnings Date:Mar 08, 2027
Earnings Call SentimentPositive

The call was strongly positive, with record or above-expectation quarterly performance, substantial realized and expected synergies, lower well costs, expanded economic inventory, strong liquidity and a clear deleveraging plan. Management also highlighted multiple operational and marketing opportunities across the Permian, Eagle Ford, Uinta and royalties businesses. The main challenges were industry inflation, the pending acquisition close and integration work, delayed timing for some Permian productivity benefits and the lack of a quantified gas marketing opportunity.

Positive Updates

Strong Third-Quarter Production and Financial Results
Crescent produced approximately 328,000 barrels of oil equivalent per day, including approximately 134,000 barrels of oil per day, and generated approximately $786 million of adjusted EBITDA and $367 million of levered free cash flow. Production exceeded expectations, capital of approximately $326 million was 9% better than expectations, and levered free cash flow was 23% above expectations.

Negative Updates

Inflationary Pressure on Well Costs
Although Crescent expects well costs to continue declining in 2027, management said inflationary pressures are real. Industry steel and diesel costs are increasing by approximately 5% to 7%, and these are significant cost drivers.

Company Guidance

Crescent said its capital framework of $1.8 billion going forward still holds, with a “maintenance to a low growth program,” and expects well costs to go down in 2027 despite industry inflation of “5% to 7%” in steel and diesel; it expects to end the full year below the midpoint of the full year capital guidance. The fixed quarterly dividend remains $0.12 per share, debt reduction is the primary use of free cash flow after the fixed dividend, and the company is targeting approximately 1.5x consolidated leverage at year-end 2027 and approximately 1x at year-end 2028, pro forma for the acquisition. Pro forma for the acquisition, approximately 60% of oil production is hedged in the first half of 2027, approximately 50% in the second half and approximately 20% in the first half of 2028, with 2028 hedges at a “$75-plus range”; Crescent expects approximately $1 billion of pro forma liquidity at closing, and expects to exit the year at 130 MBO a day on oil, aligning with “the pro forma $170 million maintenance on a pro forma business standpoint.”

Crescent Energy Company Class A Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Cash flow is the key strength (strong TTM operating cash flow and meaningfully positive free cash flow), and leverage has been improving. Offsetting this, profitability is thin (low net margin and low ROE) with volatility across years, limiting the quality and consistency of earnings.

Income Statement

56Neutral

Balance Sheet

52Neutral

Cash Flow

64Positive
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue4.79B3.58B2.93B2.38B3.06B1.48B
Gross Profit3.02B808.45M2.40B1.30B2.62B1.23B
EBITDA1.56B1.67B996.99M1.17B1.15B-69.01M
Net Income62.09M132.91M-114.61M67.61M96.67M-19.38M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets11.76B12.44B9.16B6.80B6.02B5.16B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments6.13M10.16M132.82M2.97M0128.58M
Total Debt4.72B5.71B3.13B1.76B1.32B1.09B
Total Liabilities6.62B7.28B4.79B3.17B2.72B2.14B
Stockholders Equity5.13B5.16B3.13B1.70B848.11M682.21M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow939.59M-89.75M-21.20M-494.83M-206.96M-37.54M
Operating Cash Flow2.10B1.68B1.22B935.77M1.01B233.15M
Investing Cash Flow-765.49M-922.69M-1.20B-1.40B-1.12B-244.59M
Financing Cash Flow-1.32B-245.07M207.39M456.46M-7.84M105.14M

Crescent Energy Company Class A Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNeutral
Last Price13.01

Price Trends

50DMA13.60Negative
100DMA12.27Positive
200DMA11.92Positive

Market Momentum

MACD0.07Positive
RSI44.08Neutral
STOCH45.30Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CRGY, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 13.01 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 13.39, below the 50-day MA of 13.60, and above the 200-day MA of 11.92, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.07 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 44.08 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 45.30 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for CRGY.

Crescent Energy Company Class A Risk Analysis

Crescent Energy Company Class A disclosed 65 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Crescent Energy Company Class A reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.

  • Finance & Corporate30
  • Tech & Innovation2
  • Legal & Regulatory12
  • Production16
  • Ability to Sell2
  • Macro & Political3
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy

Latest Risks Added

1 New Risk
1.The accounting method for the 2031 Convertible Notes could adversely affect our reported financial condition and results.Q2, 2026

Crescent Energy Company Class A Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)

Financial Indicators

CRGY against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
MGYMGY74Outperform$6.71B10.7221.10%2.68%11.35%18.91%
MTDRMTDR73Outperform$6.90B9.3612.76%2.76%1.84%-14.76%
NOGNOG70Outperform$2.75B-4.90-23.85%7.21%-3.02%-183.44%
Sector *65Neutral$15.17B7.614.09%5.20%3.87%-62.32%
CRGYCRGY60Neutral$5.53B74.941.23%3.69%33.54%―
HPKHPK58Neutral$1.10B-10.92-5.69%1.85%-12.57%-188.23%
CRCCRC55Neutral$4.67B-9.11-15.36%3.15%11.95%-230.18%

* Energy Sector Average

Performance Comparison

0%50%CRGYMTDRNOGMGYHPKCRCDec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
CRGY and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
CRGYCrescent Energy Company Class A13.015.2667.98%
MTDRMatador Resources54.3118.2850.73%
NOGNorthern Oil And Gas24.986.0431.91%
MGYMagnolia Oil & Gas24.663.7718.05%
HPKHighpeak Energy Inc8.632.5541.87%
CRCCalifornia Resources Corp51.386.4514.35%

Crescent Energy Company Class A Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial DisclosuresM&A Transactions

Crescent Energy Reports Strong Third-Quarter Results and Cash Flow

Positive
Nov 2, 2026

On November 2, 2026, Crescent reported strong third-quarter financial and operating results, generating $608 million in operating cash flow, $367 million in levered free cash flow and $786 million in Adjusted EBITDAX. Production averaged 328 MBoe/d,...

Business Operations and StrategyM&A TransactionsPrivate Placements and Financing

Crescent Energy expands credit capacity for Eagle Ford deal

Positive
Oct 15, 2026

On October 14, 2026, Crescent Energy Finance LLC entered into a Sixteenth Amendment to its long-standing credit agreement, keeping aggregate elected commitments at $2.0 billion while updating terms to accommodate Crescent Energy Company’s growt...

Business Operations and StrategyM&A TransactionsPrivate Placements and Financing

Crescent Energy Class A Public Equity Offering Announced

Positive
Oct 9, 2026

On October 8, 2026, Crescent Energy Company launched and priced an underwritten public offering of 80,000,000 Class A shares at $12.50 each, with underwriters granted a 30-day option for 12,000,000 additional shares that was fully exercised on Octobe...

Business Operations and StrategyM&A TransactionsPrivate Placements and Financing

Crescent Energy to Acquire Devon’s Eagle Ford Assets

Positive
Oct 8, 2026

On October 8, 2026, Crescent Energy agreed to acquire Devon Energy’s Eagle Ford assets, including roughly 89,000 largely operated net acres and about 68 Mboe/d of oil-weighted production, for an all-cash consideration of about $4.22 billion, su...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Nov 04, 2026