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Kimbell Royalty Partners (KRP)
NYSE:KRP
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Kimbell Royalty Partners (KRP) AI Stock Analysis

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KRP

Kimbell Royalty Partners

(NYSE:KRP)

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Outperform 72 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:72Outperform
Price Target:
$16.50
▲(10.44% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:08/09/26
KRP scores well primarily on solid financial performance (improved profitability and strong free-cash-flow conversion) and a positive earnings update featuring record results, rising distributions, and affirmed guidance. Valuation is supported by a very high dividend yield, while technical signals are only moderately positive due to mixed momentum indicators.
Positive Factors
Strong cash generation (FCF)
Sustained operating cash flow (~$238M TTM) and FCF (~$237M) that closely track net income indicate high earnings quality and internal funding capacity. Durable cash generation supports distributions, accretive acquisitions, and buybacks without persistent reliance on equity issuance, improving long-term capital flexibility.
Negative Factors
Higher leverage vs prior year
Leverage materially increased versus 2024 and equity has declined, reducing the balance-sheet buffer. In a commodity-driven business this raises downside risk to distributions and limits capacity to fund large tuck-ins without adding leverage or issuing equity, weakening financial resilience over stress periods.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Strong cash generation (FCF)
Sustained operating cash flow (~$238M TTM) and FCF (~$237M) that closely track net income indicate high earnings quality and internal funding capacity. Durable cash generation supports distributions, accretive acquisitions, and buybacks without persistent reliance on equity issuance, improving long-term capital flexibility.
Read all positive factors

Kimbell Royalty Partners (KRP) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Kimbell Royalty Partners Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Kimbell Royalty Partners, LP (KRP) and its affiliates are dedicated to acquiring and owning mineral and royalty interests in crude oil and natural gas properties across the United States. As of December 31, 2021, its comprehensive portfolio includ...
How the Company Makes Money
KRP makes money primarily by receiving royalty and other mineral-related payments tied to hydrocarbon production from wells drilled and operated by third parties on acreage where KRP owns mineral and/or royalty interests. When oil, natural gas, or...

Kimbell Royalty Partners Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 07, 2026
(Q2-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Nov 05, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call presented multiple operating and financial records (revenues of $103M, consolidated adjusted EBITDA of $84.9M, distribution up 15%, production growth and run-rate expansion), strong capital deployment (repurchases and >$360M of acquisitions) and a conservative leverage profile (net debt/TTM EBITDA ~1.4x and expanded borrowing base). Headwinds include commodity price volatility, a highly competitive Permian M&A market (leading to elevated bid levels), softness in natural gas volumes/pricing (Haynesville and Mid‑Con pressure), and remaining preferred units and revolver utilization that require active liquidity management. On balance, the positive operational and financial momentum and disciplined balance sheet and capital allocation outweigh the risks cited.
Positive Updates
Record Revenues Exceed $100 Million
Oil, natural gas and NGL revenues totaled $103.0 million in Q2 2026, the first quarter revenues exceeded $100 million and a new company record (includes 9 days contribution from the Mesa Royalties acquisition).
Negative Updates
Commodity Price Volatility and Geopolitical Uncertainty
Management noted recent significant oil price volatility tied to the Middle East conflict; while prices remain elevated, the volatility introduces uncertainty which could affect future operator activity and near-term visibility.
Read all updates
Q2-2026 Updates
Negative
Record Revenues Exceed $100 Million
Oil, natural gas and NGL revenues totaled $103.0 million in Q2 2026, the first quarter revenues exceeded $100 million and a new company record (includes 9 days contribution from the Mesa Royalties acquisition).
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Management affirmed its full‑year 2026 financial and operational guidance ranges (to be updated upon closing of the drop‑down later this month) and said line‑of‑sight wells exceed maintenance counts, supporting continued development and a modest uptick in activity if oil prices remain elevated. Relevant metrics cited: Q2 oil, natural gas and NGL revenues of $103.0 million, record consolidated adjusted EBITDA of $84.9 million, average daily production of 25,830 BOE/d (run‑rate 26,967 BOE/d post‑Mesa), 91 rigs on acreage (≈16% U.S. land rig share), cash G&A $5.9 million ($2.50/BOE), a Q2 distribution of $0.47 per common unit (up 15% QoQ) funded at a 75% payout of cash available for distribution (≈47% of the distribution estimated as return of capital) with the remaining 25% of CFaD earmarked to pay down revolver borrowings; balance sheet and liquidity metrics included revolver borrowings of ~$478.7 million, undrawn capacity of ~$181.3 million, a borrowing base increase from $625 million to $660 million (with another increase expected from the drop‑down), and net debt to trailing‑12‑month consolidated adjusted EBITDA of ~1.4x (management noted comfort around ~1.5x and may opportunistically move slightly higher to redeem preferreds).

Kimbell Royalty Partners Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Solid fundamentals overall: improving profitability versus 2024 (TTM net margin ~22.7%) and strong cash generation with free cash flow closely matching net income (~1x). Offsets include a meaningful increase in leverage versus 2024 (debt-to-equity ~0.65 vs ~0.31) and a history of margin/free-cash-flow volatility typical of the commodity cycle.
Income Statement
78
Positive
Balance Sheet
64
Positive
Cash Flow
73
Positive
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue368.10M333.83M310.65M273.18M285.04M178.41M
Gross Profit301.89M313.39M155.12M156.38M218.71M131.13M
EBITDA211.80M133.16M172.47M209.54M197.76M88.79M
Net Income89.12M90.95M12.25M66.45M111.93M33.86M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.33B1.23B1.12B1.34B1.08B601.49M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments44.93M43.98M34.17M30.99M24.64M7.05M
Total Debt483.27M450.98M242.72M296.09M235.25M219.68M
Total Liabilities497.49M456.18M256.42M309.32M263.34M252.64M
Stockholders Equity735.03M690.64M780.22M871.27M602.62M329.60M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow237.12M245.73M250.71M-316.54M25.18M35.37M
Operating Cash Flow237.72M246.46M250.92M174.27M166.64M91.44M
Investing Cash Flow-44.55M-223.48M-209.89K-246.68M-374.72M-55.57M
Financing Cash Flow-182.77M-13.17M-247.53M78.38M226.06M-38.62M

Kimbell Royalty Partners Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price14.94
Price Trends
50DMA
14.43
Positive
100DMA
14.27
Positive
200DMA
13.19
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.12
Negative
RSI
60.63
Neutral
STOCH
43.75
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For KRP, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 14.94 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 14.47, above the 50-day MA of 14.43, and above the 200-day MA of 13.19, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.12 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 60.63 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 43.75 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for KRP.

Kimbell Royalty Partners Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
80
Outperform
$3.10B12.0525.56%8.19%0.64%2.99%
79
Outperform
$1.38B15.5228.25%9.14%13.91%-1.27%
72
Outperform
$1.99B17.7112.70%10.11%10.33%
71
Outperform
$2.12B22.2612.74%13.59%39.27%-72.63%
66
Neutral
$1.06B14.87961.81%6.64%-2.95%-2.96%
65
Neutral
$15.17B7.614.09%5.20%3.87%-62.32%
54
Neutral
$58.08M10.0612.46%6.02%71.83%86.17%
* Energy Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
KRP
Kimbell Royalty Partners
14.91
2.78
22.90%
DMLP
Dorchester Minerals
28.05
6.71
31.41%
SBR
Sabine Royalty
72.44
6.52
9.89%
PVL
Permianville Royalty
1.79
0.04
2.40%
BSM
Black Stone Minerals
14.59
3.67
33.61%
MNR
Mach Natural Resources LP
12.60
0.84
7.19%

Kimbell Royalty Partners Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyStock BuybackDividendsFinancial DisclosuresM&A Transactions
Kimbell Royalty Posts Record Q2 Results, Hikes Distribution
Positive
Aug 7, 2026
On August 7, 2026, Kimbell Royalty Partners reported record second-quarter 2026 results, including record daily production of 25,830 Boe/d, oil, gas and NGL revenues of $103.0 million, net income of $47.3 million and consolidated adjusted EBITDA o...
Business Operations and StrategyM&A TransactionsPrivate Placements and Financing
Kimbell Royalty Partners Announces Major Dropdown Acquisition
Positive
Jul 17, 2026
On July 16, 2026, Kimbell Royalty Partners and affiliated entities agreed to buy mineral and royalty interests, plus remaining stakes in OGM Partners I and RCPTX, from related Rivercrest and Cupola funds for total consideration of about $215.4 mil...
Business Operations and StrategyM&A TransactionsPrivate Placements and FinancingRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Kimbell Royalty Expands Permian Footprint with Mesa Acquisition
Positive
Jun 23, 2026
On June 22, 2026, Kimbell Royalty Partners closed a $145.9 million acquisition of Permian Basin mineral and royalty interests from Mesa Royalties, a portfolio of NGP-managed funds, in a cash and equity deal that included $44 million in cash and ab...
Business Operations and StrategyM&A Transactions
Kimbell Royalty Partners Expands Permian Mineral Interests
Positive
May 19, 2026
On May 18, 2026, Kimbell Royalty Partners and its affiliate agreed to acquire mineral and royalty interests in the Permian Basin from Mesa Royalties in a cash-and-unit deal valued at about $147 million. The package spans roughly 711 net royalty ac...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 09, 2026