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Australia & New Zealand Banking (ANZGY)
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Australia & New Zealand Banking (ANZGY) AI Stock Analysis

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ANZGY

Australia & New Zealand Banking

(OTC:ANZGY)

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Neutral 62 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:62Neutral
Price Target:
$28.00
â–²(5.74% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:08/06/26
The score is held back primarily by financial-performance quality concerns in the latest period (notably higher leverage and a sharp step-down in profitability/margins), despite historically solid cash generation. Technicals are supportive with price above key moving averages and positive MACD, but overbought readings add near-term risk. Valuation is reasonable with a ~4.26% yield, and the latest earnings call was generally positive on cost/capital progress while highlighting revenue and execution risks.
Positive Factors
Capital strength (CET1)
A CET1 ratio of 12.39% provides a durable capital buffer that supports dividends, absorbes credit shocks and funds strategic actions without immediate need for equity. This level enhances regulatory headroom, underpins risk-taking capacity for lending growth and preserves optionality over 2–6 months.
Negative Factors
Sharp leverage increase
A rapid rise in leverage materially reduces financial flexibility, raising refinancing, funding and regulatory risks. Higher leverage can amplify earnings volatility, constrain capital deployment and heighten sensitivity to stress scenarios, making balance-sheet management a multi-quarter priority.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Capital strength (CET1)
A CET1 ratio of 12.39% provides a durable capital buffer that supports dividends, absorbes credit shocks and funds strategic actions without immediate need for equity. This level enhances regulatory headroom, underpins risk-taking capacity for lending growth and preserves optionality over 2–6 months.
Read all positive factors

Australia & New Zealand Banking (ANZGY) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Australia & New Zealand Banking Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
ANZ Group Holdings Limited is a global financial institution that delivers a broad spectrum of banking and financial solutions to both individual consumers and corporate clients, operating within Australia and on an international scale. For its pe...
How the Company Makes Money
ANZ primarily makes money through net interest income, fees and commissions, and income from its markets-related activities. 1) Net interest income (core banking spread): ANZ earns interest on loans and other interest-earning assets (e.g., home l...

Australia & New Zealand Banking Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Apr 30, 2026
(Q2-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Nov 09, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call emphasized substantial progress on cost reduction, capital strength, improved returns and disciplined portfolio management while acknowledging revenue stagnation in the half, ongoing provisioning for geopolitical uncertainty, and the execution risk associated with major integration and replatforming programs. Management presented concrete metrics showing stronger profitability, upgraded productivity targets and maintained dividends, but also noted persistent customer experience/NPS weaknesses and pockets of below-system lending performance. Overall the results portray a bank in active transformation with material near-term achievements and some execution and macro-related risks to monitor.
Positive Updates
Improved Returns
Return on tangible equity rose to 11.6%, an improvement of 161 basis points vs prior half, reflecting stronger profitability and early benefits of the ANZ 2030 transformation.
Negative Updates
Flat Group Revenue
Group revenue was flat half-on-half; on a constant currency basis (and excluding certain hedge benefits) revenue rose ~1% — weaker-than-expected revenue capture given higher rate environment and market-wide tailwinds.
Read all updates
Q2-2026 Updates
Negative
Improved Returns
Return on tangible equity rose to 11.6%, an improvement of 161 basis points vs prior half, reflecting stronger profitability and early benefits of the ANZ 2030 transformation.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Management reiterated Phase‑1 guidance and gave metric‑led detail: H1 cash profit after tax was $3.8bn with return on tangible equity 11.6% (up 161bps) and CET1 12.39% (up 36bps); cost‑to‑income fell to 49.4% (from 54.6%) as productivity savings were upgraded to $875m (versus $800m) driving an expected ~5% FY26 reduction in costs from a $11.85bn FY25 baseline and keeping the ~$1.5bn investment envelope (investment spend ≈80% of expense); the interim dividend was maintained at $0.83/share with franking raised to 75% and the DRP neutralized. Credit and balance‑sheet settings were strengthened with a $126m collective provision charge this half (collective provision balance $4.45bn, coverage 1.22% up 4bps in the half and 9bps since Mar‑25), an individual provision charge of $148m (annualised loss rate 4bps vs long‑run ~11bps), deposits ex‑Markets +$11bn (+$20bn constant currency), save & transact +$16bn CCY, operational deposits +8% CCY (up 28% over 2 years), customer loans +$16bn CCY (Australia home loans +$5bn), markets income $1.1bn (+8%), revenue/RWA 4.88%, group NIM ~1.53% (replicating portfolio expected to add ~7bps over 12–18 months), and program milestones — Suncorp migration 34% complete (target 57% by FY‑end, finish Jun‑27) and single customer front end 13% complete (target 45% by FY‑end, delivery Sep‑27).

Australia & New Zealand Banking Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Financial statement scores are mixed (Income 58, Balance Sheet 44, Cash Flow 61). The key drag is the balance sheet: leverage rose sharply in 2025 (debt-to-equity ~4.66 vs ~1.74–2.16 prior years), alongside profitability compression in 2025 (net margin ~5.6% vs ~32–38% in 2021–2024). Cash flow remains positive across years, but 2025 free cash flow growth turned sharply negative, lowering predictability.
Income Statement
58
Neutral
Balance Sheet
44
Neutral
Cash Flow
61
Positive
BreakdownTTMSep 2025Sep 2024Sep 2023Sep 2022Sep 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue42.14B65.70B20.36B20.28B19.66B17.99B
Gross Profit20.20B20.49B20.36B20.28B18.94B17.83B
EBITDA9.81B9.80B10.33B11.01B11.09B10.02B
Net Income3.73B3.79B6.54B7.10B7.12B6.16B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.31T1.30T1.23T1.11T1.09T978.86B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments173.36B122.72B112.99B146.44B157.53B141.89B
Total Debt257.89B219.82B121.28B150.08B134.00B78.43B
Total Liabilities1.24T1.23T1.16T1.04T1.02T915.18B
Stockholders Equity70.68B71.13B69.86B69.52B65.91B63.66B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow17.75B26.11B9.95B5.88B19.52B43.26B
Operating Cash Flow18.76B26.11B9.95B6.49B20.18B43.82B
Investing Cash Flow-53.41B-23.94B-42.12B-10.69B-1.82B10.26B
Financing Cash Flow12.70B612.00M17.91B4.38B-2.35B-9.67B

Australia & New Zealand Banking Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price26.48
Price Trends
50DMA
25.85
Positive
100DMA
25.51
Positive
200DMA
25.11
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.29
Negative
RSI
63.69
Neutral
STOCH
99.67
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For ANZGY, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 26.48 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 26.63, above the 50-day MA of 25.85, and above the 200-day MA of 25.11, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.29 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 63.69 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 99.67 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for ANZGY.

Australia & New Zealand Banking Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
72
Outperform
$366.51B15.1512.98%3.50%-5.19%39.48%
71
Outperform
$103.61B13.9213.38%4.09%12.60%24.01%
70
Outperform
$272.07B12.8312.57%2.06%4.24%18.04%
68
Neutral
$271.00B15.9412.34%2.51%7.56%43.28%
68
Neutral
$171.91B15.8710.89%2.45%7.19%41.88%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
62
Neutral
$82.34B19.178.30%4.08%-4.06%-11.28%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
ANZGY
Australia & New Zealand Banking
27.34
6.63
32.02%
HSBC
HSBC Holdings
107.11
43.98
69.66%
ING
ING Groep
37.18
13.58
57.56%
MUFG
Mitsubishi UFJ
24.09
8.50
54.52%
SMFG
Sumitomo Mitsui
27.30
10.63
63.77%
WFC
Wells Fargo
89.97
12.52
16.16%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 06, 2026