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ING Groep (ING)
NYSE:ING
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ING Groep (ING) AI Stock Analysis

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ING

ING Groep

(NYSE:ING)

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Outperform 73 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:73Outperform
Price Target:
$29.00
▲(14.08% Upside)
ING Groep's stock is supported by strong technical momentum and reasonable valuation, with a notable dividend yield. However, financial performance is mixed, with high leverage and cash flow challenges being areas of concern. The absence of earnings call and corporate events data limits further insights.

ING Groep (ING) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

ING Groep Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionING Groep N.V., a financial institution, provides various banking products and services in the Netherlands, Belgium, Germany, Poland, Rest of Europe, North America, Latin America, Asia, and Australia. It operates in six segments: Retail Netherlands, Retail Belgium, Retail Germany, Retail Other, Wholesale Banking, and Corporate Line Banking. The company accepts various deposits, such as current and savings accounts; and offers business lending products, as well as consumer lending products, such as residential mortgage loans, term loans, and revolver and personal loans. It also provides debt capital market, working capital, export finance, daily banking, treasury and risk, and corporate finance solutions; and specialized lending, equity market, finance, payments and cash management, and trade services and solutions, as well as savings, investment, insurance, mortgage, and digital banking services. The company serves customers, corporate clients, and financial institutions, including small and medium-sized, and mid-corporates. ING Groep N.V. was founded in 1762 and is headquartered in Amsterdam, the Netherlands.
How the Company Makes MoneyING Groep generates revenue primarily through interest income from its lending activities, which includes personal loans, mortgages, and corporate financing. The bank also earns substantial fees from its retail and wholesale banking services, such as account maintenance fees, transaction fees, and advisory services. Additionally, ING benefits from investment income generated through its asset management division. The company maintains strategic partnerships with fintech firms and technology providers, enhancing its digital offerings and expanding its customer base. Furthermore, ING's focus on cost management and operational efficiency contributes to its profitability, alongside its efforts in sustainable finance, catering to the growing demand for environmentally responsible investment solutions.

ING Groep Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 31, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Oct 30, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflected a strong start to the year with significant growth in deposits, loans, and sustainable finance initiatives. Despite macroeconomic challenges and higher operating expenses, ING demonstrated robust capital management and continued focus on shareholder returns.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Commercial Growth
ING achieved strong commercial growth with net core lending and retail banking growing by €8.6 billion, driven primarily by mortgages. Fee income increased by 10% from the first quarter of last year.
Sustainable Finance Initiatives
The volume of sustainable finance mobilized increased by 23% from the first quarter of last year to €30 billion. ING is the first global systematically important bank to have climate targets validated by the Science-based Targets Initiative.
Shareholder Returns
ING announced a share buyback of €2 billion. Including this amount, over €28 billion has been distributed to shareholders since 2021.
Robust Capital Position
The CET1 ratio was at 13.6% at the end of the first quarter, despite the implementation of Basel IV.
Negative Updates
Wholesale Banking Lending Decline
There was a modest decline in lending within Wholesale Banking, attributed to seasonal volatility and capital optimization.
Macroeconomic and Geopolitical Uncertainty
The introduction of tariffs and current macroeconomic uncertainty have led to lower growth forecasts globally.
Increase in Operating Expenses
Operating expenses increased by just over 6% due to inflationary pressures and investments in business growth.
Risk Costs
Total risk costs were €313 million, driven by collective provisioning in the consumer and business lending portfolio.
Company Guidance
In the first quarter of 2025, ING reported robust commercial growth driven by a €8.6 billion increase in net core lending, primarily in residential mortgages. The bank also experienced a significant inflow of deposits, particularly in Retail Germany following a promotional campaign, which contributed to a 10% year-on-year rise in fee income. ING mobilized €30 billion in sustainable finance, marking a 23% increase from the previous year, and maintained a CET1 ratio of 13.6%. The bank announced a €2 billion share buyback, bringing total shareholder distributions since 2021 to over €28 billion. Despite macroeconomic uncertainties and tariff impacts, ING reaffirmed its 2025 outlook and 2027 targets, citing strong fundamentals and diversified growth across geographies and sectors.

ING Groep Financial Statement Overview

Summary
ING Groep shows strong revenue growth but faces challenges with profitability margins and cash flow. The balance sheet is robust in terms of assets but has high leverage. Improving cash generation and managing leverage are crucial for financial stability.
Income Statement
72
Positive
ING Groep has shown a mixed performance in terms of revenue and profit growth. The recent annual report indicates a significant jump in total revenue to 66.4 billion, which implies strong revenue growth. However, the net profit margin stands at approximately 9.6%, which is moderate for the industry. The gross profit margin has decreased to approximately 34.1% from previous years, indicating potential cost management issues. Despite this, the company maintains a healthy EBIT margin of around 14%.
Balance Sheet
67
Positive
The balance sheet reveals a robust equity base with a stockholders' equity of 50.3 billion and a total assets base exceeding 1 trillion. However, the debt-to-equity ratio is relatively high at approximately 3.4, indicating significant leverage. The equity ratio is moderate at around 4.9%, reflecting a stable but not overly strong equity position relative to total assets. Return on equity is around 12.7%, which is healthy but leaves room for improvement.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
Cash flow analysis shows significant negative free cash flow, primarily due to substantial negative operating cash flow. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is negative, indicating cash flow challenges. The free cash flow to net income ratio is also negative, suggesting that the company might be struggling to generate cash relative to its net income.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue22.67B66.41B22.41B33.61B18.29B17.82B
Gross Profit21.70B21.41B22.58B29.00M18.29B17.82B
EBITDA4.99B9.97B11.17B6.12B7.47B4.57B
Net Income6.27B6.39B4.14B3.67B4.78B2.48B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.08T1.02T975.58B967.82B951.29B937.38B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments207.27B115.13B49.68B118.60B137.80B147.07B
Total Debt168.32B171.33B150.00B119.50B116.01B78.95B
Total Liabilities1.03T969.24B923.40B917.41B116.64B79.55B
Stockholders Equity51.67B50.31B51.24B49.91B53.92B47.67B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow0.00-22.88B-11.59B-11.34B-15.13B102.89B
Operating Cash Flow0.00-22.54B-11.34B-11.11B-14.94B103.18B
Investing Cash Flow0.00-6.03B-8.54B-5.31B6.22B-8.49B
Financing Cash Flow0.005.37B-4.89B4.65B5.39B-36.73B

ING Groep Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price25.42
Price Trends
50DMA
23.93
Positive
100DMA
22.39
Positive
200DMA
19.49
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.44
Negative
RSI
62.96
Neutral
STOCH
79.41
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For ING, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 25.42 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 24.66, above the 50-day MA of 23.93, and above the 200-day MA of 19.49, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.44 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 62.96 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 79.41 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for ING.

ING Groep Risk Analysis

ING Groep disclosed 39 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. ING Groep reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

ING Groep Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
78
Outperform
71.92B9.518.78%2.10%16.06%64.31%
75
Outperform
110.69B9.8018.07%4.05%7.86%17.13%
75
Outperform
55.48B8.9112.20%4.64%10.03%29.51%
73
Outperform
$75.72B11.7312.08%4.59%1.13%-1.14%
72
Outperform
271.14B14.5211.36%1.95%0.37%19.89%
70
Outperform
189.02B15.186.65%2.22%0.52%89.25%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
ING
ING Groep
25.42
8.08
46.60%
BBVA
Banco Bilbao
19.31
9.05
88.21%
BCS
Barclays
20.72
9.00
76.79%
C
Citigroup
102.68
41.96
69.10%
NWG
NatWest Group
13.89
5.27
61.14%
WFC
Wells Fargo
84.64
30.73
57.00%

ING Groep Corporate Events

ING Groep Announces $1.5 Billion Securities Issuance to Strengthen Capital Base
Sep 9, 2025

On September 2, 2025, ING Groep N.V. entered into an underwriting agreement with several major financial institutions for the issuance of $1.5 billion in 7.000% Perpetual Additional Tier 1 Contingent Convertible Capital Securities. This move is part of ING’s strategy to strengthen its capital base and enhance its financial flexibility, potentially impacting its market position and offering implications for investors and stakeholders.

ING Groep Advances €2 Billion Share Buyback Program
Sep 9, 2025

On September 9, 2025, ING announced progress in its €2.0 billion share buyback program, having repurchased 3,925,836 shares between September 1 and September 5, 2025, at an average price of €20.67. This brings the total shares repurchased under the program to 71,572,746, representing approximately 68.42% of the program’s total value. The initiative aims to reduce the share capital of ING, potentially impacting its market positioning and shareholder value.

ING Groep Advances €2 Billion Share Buyback Program
Sep 2, 2025

On September 2, 2025, ING Groep N.V. announced progress on its €2.0 billion share buyback program, which was initially announced on May 2, 2025. During the week of August 25 to August 29, 2025, ING repurchased 2,442,722 shares at an average price of €20.72, totaling €50,622,708.86. To date, approximately 64.36% of the program has been completed, with a total of 67,646,910 shares repurchased at an average price of €19.03, amounting to €1,287,254,023.33. This initiative aims to reduce the share capital of ING, reflecting its strategic focus on enhancing shareholder value.

ING Groep Advances €2 Billion Share Buyback Programme
Aug 26, 2025

On August 26, 2025, ING Groep N.V. announced progress on its €2.0 billion share buyback programme, with 2,361,034 shares repurchased between August 18 and August 22, 2025, at an average price of €21.31. This buyback is part of ING’s strategy to reduce share capital, with 61.83% of the programme completed to date, reflecting the company’s ongoing efforts to enhance shareholder value.

ING Groep Advances €2 Billion Share Buyback Program
Aug 19, 2025

On August 19, 2025, ING Groep announced progress in its €2.0 billion share buyback program, with 2,493,940 shares repurchased between August 11 and August 15, 2025, at an average price of €21.04, totaling €52,480,262.49. This initiative, aimed at reducing the company’s share capital, has seen 62,843,154 shares repurchased to date, representing 59.32% of the program’s maximum total value, potentially impacting shareholder value and market perception.

ING Groep Reports Progress on Share Buyback Program
Aug 12, 2025

On August 12, 2025, ING Groep N.V. announced progress on its €2.0 billion share buyback program, revealing that 7,738,842 shares were repurchased between August 4 and August 8, 2025, at an average price of €19.72, totaling €152,633,577.73. This initiative, which aims to reduce the company’s share capital, has seen approximately 56.69% completion of the maximum total value, highlighting ING’s strategic financial management and its potential impact on shareholder value.

ING Groep Advances €2 Billion Share Buyback Program
Aug 5, 2025

On August 5, 2025, ING Groep announced progress in its €2.0 billion share buyback program, revealing that 2,480,240 shares were repurchased between July 28 and August 1, 2025, at an average price of €20.35. This move is part of ING’s strategy to reduce its share capital, with approximately 49.06% of the program completed, reflecting the company’s efforts to enhance shareholder value and strengthen its market position.

ING Groep’s Capital Resilience Confirmed by EBA Stress Test
Aug 1, 2025

On August 1, 2025, ING Groep N.V. announced the results of the 2025 EU-wide stress test conducted by the European Banking Authority, which confirmed ING’s resilient capital position. The stress test, which does not have a pass/fail threshold, is used for the Supervisory Review and Evaluation Process to assess ING’s ability to meet prudential requirements under stressed scenarios. ING’s actual CET1 ratio as of June 30, 2025, was 13.3%, indicating strong capital resilience, which is crucial for stakeholders and reinforces ING’s stable position in the banking industry.

ING Groep Reports Strong Q2 2025 Results Amid Strategic Growth
Jul 31, 2025

On July 31, 2025, ING Groep N.V. reported a net result of €1,675 million for the second quarter of 2025, showcasing robust growth in lending volumes and fee income. The company is progressing well with its ‘Growing the difference’ strategy, achieving a profit before tax of €2,369 million and maintaining a CET1 ratio of 13.3%. Despite market volatility and economic uncertainties, ING saw a significant increase in mobile primary customers and strong growth in its mortgage portfolio. The company also announced an interim cash dividend of €0.35 per ordinary share. ING continues to support sustainability efforts, with a notable increase in sustainable finance mobilized and new initiatives to promote energy-efficient homes.

ING Groep Releases Interim Financial Report for First Half of 2025
Jul 31, 2025

On June 30, 2025, ING Groep N.V. released its interim financial report, highlighting its financial performance and risk management strategies for the first half of the year. The report includes condensed consolidated financial statements and notes, providing insights into the company’s financial position and operations. This announcement is crucial for stakeholders as it outlines ING’s approach to managing credit risk and other uncertainties, which could impact its market positioning and operational strategies.

ING Groep Advances €2 Billion Share Buyback Program
Jul 29, 2025

On July 29, 2025, ING Groep N.V. announced progress in its €2.0 billion share buyback program, which was initially announced on May 2, 2025. During the week of July 21 to July 25, 2025, ING repurchased 2,532,172 shares at an average price of €19.91, totaling €50,406,975.82. To date, approximately 46.54% of the program has been completed, with 50,130,132 shares repurchased at an average price of €18.57, amounting to €930,745,897.82. This initiative is part of ING’s strategy to reduce its share capital, potentially impacting its market positioning and shareholder value.

ING Groep Finalizes Stake Acquisition in Van Lanschot Kempen
Jul 24, 2025

ING Groep N.V. announced the completion of its acquisition of a 17.6% stake in Van Lanschot Kempen N.V., increasing its total interest to 20.3%. The acquisition, initially agreed upon in March 2025, involved a direct purchase of 7.2% and, following regulatory approval, an additional 10.4% stake. This strategic move is expected to have minimal impact on ING’s CET1 ratio, potentially strengthening its market position and influence in the financial sector.

ING Announces CFO Tanate Phutrakul’s Departure in 2026
Jul 24, 2025

On July 24, 2025, ING announced that Tanate Phutrakul will step down as CFO and member of the Executive Board at the Annual General Meeting in April 2026, after 24 years with the company. His departure marks the end of a significant era for ING, as Phutrakul has been pivotal in guiding the bank through challenging times and contributing to its strong performance. The search for his successor has begun, and the announcement has implications for ING’s leadership continuity and strategic direction.

ING Groep Reports Progress on €2 Billion Share Buyback Program
Jul 22, 2025

On July 22, 2025, ING Groep N.V. announced progress on its €2.0 billion share buyback program, initially announced on May 2, 2025. During the week of July 14 to July 18, 2025, the company repurchased 2,602,383 shares at an average price of €19.48, totaling €50,698,602.35. To date, approximately 44.02% of the program has been completed, with 47,597,960 shares repurchased at an average price of €18.50, amounting to €880,338,922. This initiative aims to reduce ING’s share capital, potentially impacting its market positioning and shareholder value.

ING Groep Reports Progress in €2 Billion Share Buyback Program
Jul 15, 2025

On July 15, 2025, ING Groep announced progress in its €2.0 billion share buyback program, which began on May 2, 2025. During the week of July 7 to July 11, 2025, the company repurchased 2,598,341 shares at an average price of €19.50, totaling €50,675,114.36. To date, 44,995,577 shares have been repurchased, representing approximately 41.48% of the program’s total value. This initiative aims to reduce ING’s share capital, potentially impacting its market positioning and shareholder value.

ING Advances €2.0 Billion Share Buyback Program
Jul 8, 2025

On July 8, 2025, ING announced progress on its €2.0 billion share buyback program, revealing that 2,710,019 shares were repurchased between June 30 and July 4, 2025, at an average price of €18.79, totaling €50,933,256.46. This initiative, aimed at reducing the share capital of ING, has seen 42,397,236 shares repurchased to date, completing approximately 38.95% of the program’s total value, potentially enhancing shareholder value and impacting market perceptions positively.

ING Groep Advances €2 Billion Share Buyback Programme
Jul 1, 2025

On July 1, 2025, ING Groep N.V. announced progress on its €2.0 billion share buyback programme, with 4,587,249 shares repurchased between June 23 and June 27, 2025, at an average price of €18.20, totaling €83.5 million. This initiative aims to reduce the company’s share capital, with approximately 36.40% of the programme completed to date, reflecting ING’s strategic financial management and its impact on shareholder value.

ING Groep Advances €2 Billion Share Buyback Program
Jun 24, 2025

On June 24, 2025, ING Groep N.V. announced progress on its €2.0 billion share buyback program, which began on May 2, 2025. During the week of June 16 to June 20, 2025, ING repurchased 7,472,067 shares at an average price of €17.97, totaling €134,248,755.73. To date, approximately 32.23% of the program has been completed, with a total of 35,099,968 shares repurchased at an average price of €18.36, amounting to €644,522,491.94. This initiative aims to reduce ING’s share capital and potentially enhance shareholder value.

ING Groep Advances €2 Billion Share Buyback Programme
Jun 17, 2025

On June 17, 2025, ING Groep N.V. announced progress on its €2.0 billion share buyback programme, initiated on May 2, 2025. During the week of June 9 to June 13, 2025, ING repurchased 3,941,547 shares at an average price of €18.35, totaling €72,317,284.76. To date, the programme has seen 27,627,901 shares repurchased, representing approximately 25.51% of the maximum total value of the programme. This initiative is part of ING’s strategy to reduce its share capital, potentially impacting its market positioning and shareholder value.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Sep 16, 2025