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Tesla
(NASDAQ:TSLA)
Select Model
Select Model
Rating:61Neutral
Price Target:
$377.00
▲(6.47% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:09/30/26
TSLA scores 61 primarily because financial performance is stable but weaker than prior peaks: margins and ROE have fallen materially and free cash flow is softening despite a strong balance sheet. Valuation is a major headwind given the very high P/E, while technicals are mixed with the stock below key longer-term moving averages. The earnings call adds balanced support—strong demand/FSD/robotaxi momentum—but highlights near-term margin pressure and negative FCF from a large multi-year CapEx ramp; the new credit facilities modestly improve financial flexibility.
Positive Factors
Conservative Balance Sheet
Very low leverage gives Tesla meaningful financial resilience as it funds expansion across vehicles, energy, AI and manufacturing. The large equity base reduces dependence on debt financing and provides flexibility to absorb volatility or support strategic investment over the next several quarters.
Negative Factors
Margin Compression
The sustained decline in gross and net margins indicates that Tesla’s expanded revenue base is currently producing substantially lower profitability than in prior peak years. Weaker margin conversion limits earnings growth, reduces returns on capital and leaves less room for execution setbacks.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Conservative Balance Sheet
Very low leverage gives Tesla meaningful financial resilience as it funds expansion across vehicles, energy, AI and manufacturing. The large equity base reduces dependence on debt financing and provides flexibility to absorb volatility or support strategic investment over the next several quarters.
Read all positive factors
Tesla Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)
Any
Revenue by Geography
Breaks down Tesla’s revenue across regions, revealing where demand is strongest and how exposed the company is to local competition, economic conditions, and policy changes.
Breaks down Tesla’s revenue across regions, revealing where demand is strongest and how exposed the company is to local competition, economic conditions, and policy changes.
Data provided by:
The Fly
The FlyTesla (TSLA) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)
Market Cap
$1.40T
Dividend YieldN/A
Average Volume (3M)37.35M
Price to Earnings (P/E)314.1
Beta (1Y)1.80
Revenue Growth11.75%
EPS Growth-37.64%
CountryUS
Employees134,785
SectorConsumer Cyclical
Sector Strength84
IndustryAuto - Manufacturers
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)N/A
Shares Outstanding3,949,547,400
10 Day Avg. Volume36,406,256
30 Day Avg. Volume37,347,207
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio-8.09
Price to Book (P/B)17.66
Price to Sales (P/S)15.29
P/FCF Ratio233.17
Enterprise Value/Market Cap<0.01
Enterprise Value/Revenue<0.01
Enterprise Value/Gross Profit<0.01
Enterprise Value/Ebitda<0.01
Forecast
1Y Price Target
$391.40Price Target Upside10.54% Upside
Rating ConsensusModerate Buy
Number of Analyst Covering25
EPS Forecast (FY)N/A
Revenue Forecast (FY)N/A
Tesla Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
Tesla, Inc. operates globally, specializing in the creation, production, and distribution of electric vehicles, alongside comprehensive energy generation and storage solutions. Its market reach extends across the United States, China, and various ...
How the Company Makes Money
Tesla makes money primarily by selling products and services across its Automotive and Energy businesses, supplemented by software, services, and other revenue sources. (1) Automotive sales are the largest driver: Tesla recognizes revenue from the...
Tesla Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
62
Positive
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
Cash Flow
67
Positive
| Breakdown | TTM | Dec 2025 | Dec 2024 | Dec 2023 | Dec 2022 | Dec 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | ||||||
| Total Revenue | 103.62B | 94.83B | 97.69B | 96.77B | 81.46B | 53.82B |
| Gross Profit | 19.53B | 17.09B | 17.45B | 17.66B | 20.85B | 13.61B |
| EBITDA | 12.03B | 11.76B | 14.71B | 14.80B | 17.66B | 9.63B |
| Net Income | 3.82B | 3.79B | 7.13B | 15.00B | 12.58B | 5.52B |
Balance Sheet | ||||||
| Total Assets | 148.52B | 137.81B | 122.07B | 106.62B | 82.34B | 62.13B |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 43.52B | 44.06B | 36.56B | 29.09B | 22.18B | 17.71B |
| Total Debt | 9.34B | 8.38B | 13.62B | 9.57B | 5.75B | 8.87B |
| Total Liabilities | 61.06B | 54.94B | 48.39B | 43.01B | 36.44B | 30.55B |
| Stockholders Equity | 86.86B | 82.14B | 72.91B | 62.63B | 44.70B | 30.19B |
Cash Flow | ||||||
| Free Cash Flow | 5.76B | 6.22B | 3.58B | 4.36B | 7.55B | 3.48B |
| Operating Cash Flow | 18.68B | 14.75B | 14.92B | 13.26B | 14.72B | 11.50B |
| Investing Cash Flow | -21.83B | -15.48B | -18.79B | -15.58B | -11.97B | -7.87B |
| Financing Cash Flow | 2.90B | 1.14B | 3.85B | 2.59B | -3.53B | -5.20B |
Tesla Technical Analysis
Positive
354.08
Price Trends
347.58
Positive
376.27
Negative
393.18
Negative
Market Momentum
1.83
Positive
54.99
Neutral
34.08
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSLA, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 354.08 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 364.87, above the 50-day MA of 347.58, and below the 200-day MA of 393.18, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 1.83 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 54.99 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 34.08 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSLA.
Tesla Risk Analysis
Tesla disclosed 40 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Tesla reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks
Tesla Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
61 Neutral | $18.38B | 12.79 | -2.54% | 3.03% | 1.52% | -15.83% | |
61 Neutral | $1.40T | 314.06 | 4.58% | ― | 11.75% | -37.64% | |
54 Neutral | $48.93B | -6.51 | -18.90% | 4.96% | 1.47% | -315.47% | |
52 Neutral | $21.37B | -5.54 | -67.49% | ― | 14.21% | 20.20% | |
50 Neutral | $9.24B | -19.33 | -10.72% | ― | 28.99% | 24.33% | |
45 Neutral | $8.46B | -11.57 | -112.44% | ― | 69.72% | 82.72% | |
43 Neutral | $1.65B | -0.30 | -254.84% | ― | 66.54% | -22.69% |
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
TSLA
Tesla
370.59
-82.66
-18.24%
F
Ford Motor
12.10
-0.03
-0.28%
NIO
Nio
3.37
-4.22
-55.60%
XPEV
XPeng, Inc. ADR
9.25
-14.38
-60.85%
LCID
Lucid Group
4.13
-19.89
-82.81%
RIVN
Rivian Automotive
14.30
0.80
5.93%
Tesla Corporate Events
Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Tesla Secures Massive New Credit Facilities to Boost Liquidity
Positive
Sep 29, 2026
On September 29, 2026, Tesla entered into new senior unsecured credit facilities totaling $30.0 billion, comprising a $20.0 billion three-year delayed draw term loan, an $8.0 billion five-year revolving facility, and a $2.0 billion 364-day revolvi...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.