HF Sinclair Corporation (DINO) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: $6.90B
• Dividend Yield: 5.46%
• Average Volume (3M): 3.03M
• Price to Earnings (P/E): 35.1
• Beta (1Y): 1.02
• Revenue Growth: -11.17%
• EPS Growth: -109.60%
• Country: US
• Employees: 5,297
• Sector: Energy
• Sector Strength: 45
• Industry: Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing
• EPS (TTM): -0.27
• Shares Outstanding: 188,409,770
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 3,002,620
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 3,028,973
• PEG Ratio: 0.23
• Price to Book (P/B): 0.70
• Price to Sales (P/S): 0.00
• P/FCF Ratio: 13.22
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: 1.30
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: 0.08
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: 5.34
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: 1.56
• 1Y Price Target: $40.78
• Price Target Upside: 11.33% Upside
• Rating Consensus: Moderate Buy
• Number of Analyst Covering: 9

HF Sinclair Corporation's stock score reflects a balanced view of its current financial performance, technical indicators, valuation, and strategic initiatives. The company has strong technical indicators and strategic positioning in energy transition, but faces challenges in profitability and valuation. The overall sentiment from the earnings call is mixed, with achievements in certain segments offset by losses in others.

Positive Factors

Earnings Performance

DINO results beat expectations, while it is positioned well to take advantage of seasonally strengthening cracks in its inland markets.

Future Outlook

The company anticipates a relatively positive outlook for 2025 with a tighter supply-demand balance for refined products.

Market Expansion

Marketing posted a record as DINO expands store count.

Negative Factors

Dividend Concerns

DINO's dividend yield is 6%, which is considered safe despite limited free cash flow generation this year.

Market Conditions

DINO's refining segment continues to face headwinds from inland seasonal dynamics and tight crude quality differentials.

Valuation

The price target for HF Sinclair Corporation has been lowered from $43.00 to $35.00.

HF Sinclair Corporation Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

HF Sinclair Corporation operates as an independent energy company. It produces and markets gasoline, diesel fuel, jet fuel, renewable diesel, specialty lubricant products, specialty chemicals, specialty and modified asphalt, and others. The company also owns and operates refineries located in Kansas, Oklahoma, New Mexico, Utah, Washington, and Wyoming; and markets its refined products principally in the Southwest United States and Rocky Mountains, Pacific Northwest, and in other neighboring Plains states. In addition, it supplies fuels to approximately 1,300 independent Sinclair-branded stations and licenses the use of the Sinclair brand at approximately 300 additional locations, as well as engages in the growing renewables business. Further, the company produces base oils and other specialized lubricants; and provides petroleum product and crude oil transportation, terminalling, storage, and throughput services to the petroleum industry. HF Sinclair Corporation was incorporated in 2021 and is headquartered in Dallas, Texas.

How the Company Makes Money

HF Sinclair Corporation generates revenue primarily through its refining segment, which involves processing crude oil into various refined products like gasoline, diesel, and jet fuel. The company owns and operates several refineries that are strategically located, allowing it to efficiently supply products to key markets. In addition to refining, HF Sinclair also earns income from its renewable energy operations, producing renewable diesel and other environmentally friendly fuels. The company's revenue streams are further diversified through its specialty products division, which markets lubricants and other petroleum derivatives. Strategic partnerships and supply agreements with other energy firms, as well as a focus on improving operational efficiencies, also contribute significantly to its earnings.

HF Sinclair Corporation Financial Statement Overview

Summary

HF Sinclair Corporation shows a mix of strengths and weaknesses. The company's historical profitability and cash management are commendable, but recent operational challenges have impacted earnings. The balance sheet remains robust, providing a cushion against volatility. Addressing operational efficiencies could enhance future financial performance.

Income Statement

HF Sinclair Corporation has shown a volatile revenue trend with recent declines. The TTM data indicates a negative EBIT and net income, suggesting operational challenges. The gross profit margin remains healthy at 28.2% TTM but is offset by negative net profit margins. Previous years showed stronger performance, indicating potential for recovery if operational issues are addressed.

Balance Sheet

The company's debt-to-equity ratio is reasonable, indicating a balanced approach to leveraging. The equity ratio stands at a solid 55.9% TTM, suggesting financial stability. However, a decrease in cash reserves could pose liquidity risks. Stockholders' equity has remained relatively stable over the years, reflecting consistent shareholder value.

Cash Flow

Operating cash flow remains positive, showing capability to cover operational expenses despite negative net income. The free cash flow has decreased recently, which may affect future investments. The operating cash flow to net income ratio indicates strong cash generation relative to net income, suggesting good cash management practices.

Breakdown
TTM	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021	Dec 2020
Income Statement		Total Revenue
27.92B	28.58B	31.96B	38.20B	18.39B	11.18B
	Gross Profit
1.69B	3.21B	5.14B	6.82B	2.63B	1.43B
	EBIT
-67.64M	261.00M	2.20B	4.05B	262.10M	-188.45M
	EBITDA
825.43M	1.22B	3.12B	4.76B	1.43B	-103.86M
	Net Income Common Stockholders
-141.66M	177.00M	1.59B	2.92B	558.32M	-514.90M
Balance Sheet		Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
547.00M	800.00M	1.35B	1.67B	234.44M	1.37B
	Total Assets
16.54B	16.64B	17.72B	18.13B	12.92B	11.51B
	Total Debt
3.13B	3.10B	3.10B	3.56B	3.44B	3.43B
	Net Debt
2.58B	2.30B	1.74B	1.89B	3.20B	2.07B
	Total Liabilities
7.29B	7.30B	7.48B	8.11B	6.62B	5.78B
	Stockholders Equity
9.19B	9.28B	10.17B	9.24B	5.69B	5.17B
Cash Flow		Free Cash Flow
486.09M	640.00M	1.91B	3.25B	-406.73M	127.77M
	Operating Cash Flow
705.73M	1.11B	2.30B	3.78B	406.68M	457.93M
	Investing Cash Flow
-463.30M	-468.00M	-371.32M	-774.49M	-1.33B	-330.16M
	Financing Cash Flow
-926.54M	-1.18B	-2.24B	-1.56B	-211.80M	353.23M

HF Sinclair Corporation Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Positive
• Last Price: 36.63
• 50DMA: Positive
• 100DMA: Positive
• 200DMA: Negative
• MACD: Negative
• RSI: Negative
• STOCH: Negative

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For DINO, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 36.63 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 32.32, above the 50-day MA of 31.26, and below the 200-day MA of 37.54, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 1.71 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 73.24 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 90.95 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for DINO.

HF Sinclair Corporation Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
SUN	74 Outperform	$8.61B	10.14	26.11%	6.23%	-3.59%	22.77%
DINO	72 Outperform	$6.90B	35.13	-1.49%	5.46%	-11.17%	-109.60%
PSX	72 Outperform	$51.23B	28.67	6.48%	3.66%	-7.61%	-66.18%
MPC	69 Neutral	$50.42B	23.06	12.37%	2.11%	-6.39%	-64.50%
VLO	68 Neutral	$42.51B	47.86	3.73%	3.20%	-8.44%	-85.95%
Sector *	57 Neutral	$7.18B	3.26	-3.67%	5.68%	0.47%	-50.25%
PBF	55 Neutral	$2.58B	―	-18.01%	4.71%	-16.30%	-160.78%

HF Sinclair Corporation Corporate Events

HF Sinclair Highlights Strategic Initiatives in Energy Transition

In March 2025, HF Sinclair Corporation presented to investors, highlighting its strategic initiatives and operational capabilities across various segments. The company has made significant investments in renewable diesel projects, reducing greenhouse gas emissions and supporting alternative energy systems. HF Sinclair’s focus on sustainability and innovation positions it as a key player in the energy transition, with implications for its market positioning and stakeholder engagement.