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XRT

SPDR S&P Retail ETF (XRT)

Rating:67Neutral
Price Target:$95.00â–²(6.60% Upside)

XRT, the SPDR S&P Retail ETF, has a solid overall rating driven by strong, diversified retail leaders like TJX, BJ’s Wholesale Club, and eBay, which show robust sales growth, improving profitability, and supportive long-term strategies. However, weaker names such as Etsy, Grocery Outlet, and Kroger, which face profitability, cash flow, and bearish technical challenges, weigh on the fund’s score. The main risk factor is exposure to several retailers with financial or valuation pressures, which could add volatility if economic conditions worsen.

Positive Factors
Strong Recent PerformanceThe ETF has shown steady gains over the past month, three months, and year-to-date, indicating positive recent momentum.
Leading Retail HoldingsSeveral top holdings, including Groupon, Etsy, Victoria's Secret, CarMax, Sonic Automotive, and others, have delivered strong year-to-date performance that supports the fund’s returns.
Focused Retail ExposureThe fund’s heavy tilt toward consumer cyclical and consumer defensive companies gives investors targeted exposure to the retail sector, which can benefit when consumer spending is healthy.
Negative Factors
High Sector ConcentrationWith most assets in consumer cyclical and consumer defensive stocks, the ETF is heavily exposed to changes in consumer spending and retail industry conditions.
Underperforming Retail NamesSome top holdings such as Revolve Group, RealReal, and National Vision have shown weak year-to-date performance, which can drag on overall returns.
Limited Geographic DiversificationAlmost all of the ETF’s holdings are in U.S. companies, so investors are highly dependent on the health of the U.S. economy and retail market.

XRT vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

AUM
416.30M
Region
North America
Expense Ratio
0.35%
Beta
0.87
Issuer
SPDR
Inception Date
Jun 19, 2006
Dividend Yield
0.84%
Asset Class
Equity
Index Tracked
S&P Retail Select Industry

XRT Summary

The SPDR S&P Retail ETF (XRT) is a fund that follows the S&P Retail Select Industry Index, giving you broad exposure to U.S. retail companies, both online and in physical stores. It holds a wide mix of retailers, from discount chains like Dollar Tree to specialty and online names such as Etsy. Investors might consider XRT if they want a simple way to bet on consumer spending and diversify across many different retail businesses instead of picking individual stocks. A key risk is that retail stocks can be very sensitive to the economy and consumer confidence, so the ETF’s price can rise and fall sharply with market conditions.

How much will it cost me?

This ETF has an expense ratio of 0.35%, which means you’ll pay about $3.50 per year for every $1,000 you invest. That cost is a bit higher than the average index ETF because it tracks a more specialized retail sector index rather than a broad, plain-vanilla market index.

What would affect this ETF?

Future performance of XRT will be helped by strong U.S. consumer spending, growth in online shopping, and successful turnarounds at key retailers like Etsy, eBay, and major discount chains, since the fund is heavily focused on U.S. consumer cyclical and defensive companies. On the downside, higher interest rates, a weaker economy, or shifts in shopping habits that hurt traditional and specialty retailers such as GameStop, Kohl’s, and Victoria’s Secret could weigh on the ETF.

XRT Top 10 Holdings

XRT is essentially a bet on the U.S. retail heartbeat, with a spread across mall staples, off-price chains, and niche brands. Victoria’s Secret has been one of the fund’s rising stars, helping lift returns, while GameStop’s renewed momentum adds a bit of speculative fuel. On the flip side, Revolve and Burlington have been lagging, acting like small anchors on performance, and Warby Parker’s mixed results keep it from fully pulling its weight. Overall, the ETF is firmly U.S.-focused and heavily tilted toward consumer cyclical retail names.

XRT top ten holdings
NameCompany NameWeight %Market ValueMarket CapYearly GainOverall Rating
GMEGMEGameStop1.82%$7.48M$13.35B12.89%66Neutral
OLLIOLLIOllie's Bargain Outlet Holding1.75%$7.18M$5.50B-23.19%73Outperform
KSSKSSKohl's1.74%$7.15M$2.51B48.65%68Neutral
ETSYETSYEtsy1.69%$6.93M$8.02B23.99%57Neutral
RVLVRVLVRevolve Group1.55%$6.39M$1.65B1.39%77Outperform
EBAYEBAYeBay1.63%$6.72M$53.93B27.96%70Outperform
ASOASOAcademy Sports and Outdoors1.60%$6.59M$3.67B26.52%75Outperform
TJXTJXTJX Companies1.59%$6.53M$161.69B3.02%79Outperform
VSXYVSXYVictoria's Secret1.62%$6.66M$7.02B184.40%71Outperform
BBWIBBWIBath & Body Works1.59%$6.52M$4.12B-17.15%53Neutral

XRT Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentPositive
Last Price89.12

Price Trends

50DMA85.15Positive
100DMA86.38Positive
200DMA85.32Positive

Market Momentum

MACD0.92Negative
RSI68.14Neutral
STOCH79.21Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in ETF analysis to make informed investment decisions. For XRT, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 89.12 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 84.50, above the 50-day MA of 85.15, and above the 200-day MA of 85.32, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.92 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 68.14 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 79.21 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for XRT.

XRT Peer Comparison

Comparison Results

XRT against its peer funds
NamePricePrice TargetAUMExpense RatioOverall Rating
XRTXRT$89.12$95.00(6.60% Upside)$416.30M0.35%67Neutral
IYZIYZ$38.49$54.28(41.02% Upside)$971.49M0.37%69Neutral
RSPHRSPH$39.76$41.82(5.17% Upside)$958.24M0.40%71Outperform
PEJPEJ$66.11$77.51(17.25% Upside)$355.26M0.58%62Neutral
FXDFXD$68.31$79.37(16.19% Upside)$256.07M0.60%68Neutral
RSPDRSPD$55.27$64.73(17.11% Upside)$263.45M0.40%69Neutral

Performance Comparison

0%20%40%XRTIYZRSPHPEJFXDRSPDNov '25Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
XRT and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
XRTSPDR S&P Retail ETF89.125.096.05%
IYZiShares U.S. Telecommunications ETF38.496.7021.06%
RSPHInvesco S&P 500 Equal Weight Health Care ETF39.769.1529.90%
PEJInvesco Dynamic Leisure & Entertainment ETF66.116.6411.17%
FXDFirst Trust Consumer Discretionary AlphaDEX Fund68.311.241.85%
RSPDInvesco S&P 500 Equal Weight Consumer Discretionary ETF55.27-1.43-2.52%
Glossary
BuyAn ETF rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the ETF is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other ETFs in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldAn ETF rated as a "Hold" s expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the ETF is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellAn ETF rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the ETF may deliver lower returns compared to other ETFs in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer

This AI Analyst ETF Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in ETFs carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.