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TPSC - ETF AI Analysis

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TPSC

Timothy Plan US Small Cap Core ETF (TPSC)

Rating:69Neutral
Price Target:
$45.00
The Timothy Plan US Small Cap Core ETF (TPSC) has a solid overall rating, reflecting a balanced mix of strong and weaker holdings. Top contributors like Balchem Corporation (BCPC) and Enact Holdings (ACT) drive the fund's rating with their robust financial performance, strategic growth initiatives, and positive earnings outlooks. However, weaker holdings such as IdaCorp (IDA) and UGI face challenges like cash flow management and high leverage, which slightly temper the ETF's overall score. The fund's concentration in small-cap stocks may pose a risk due to potential volatility in this segment.
Positive Factors
Strong Top Holdings
Several top holdings, such as National Fuel Gas Company and Spire, have delivered strong year-to-date performance, supporting the ETF’s overall returns.
Sector Diversification
The ETF is spread across multiple sectors like Financials, Industrials, and Consumer Cyclical, reducing reliance on any single industry.
Moderate Expense Ratio
The fund’s expense ratio is reasonable compared to actively managed ETFs, helping investors retain more of their returns.
Negative Factors
Over-Concentration in U.S. Market
With nearly 100% exposure to U.S. companies, the ETF lacks diversification across global markets.
Weak Recent Performance
The ETF’s one-month performance has been slightly negative, indicating short-term challenges.
Small Cap Volatility
As a small-cap fund, it may be more sensitive to market fluctuations and economic uncertainty compared to large-cap ETFs.

TPSC vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

TPSC Summary

The Timothy Plan US Small Cap Core ETF (Ticker: TPSC) focuses on small-cap companies in the U.S., which are smaller firms known for innovation and growth potential. It tracks the Victory U.S. Small Cap Volatility Weighted BRI index and includes companies like New Jersey Resources and IdaCorp. This ETF is ideal for investors looking to diversify their portfolio and tap into the entrepreneurial spirit of smaller businesses. However, small-cap stocks can be more volatile than larger companies, meaning their prices may rise or fall more dramatically.
How much will it cost me?The Timothy Plan US Small Cap Core ETF (TPSC) has an expense ratio of 0.52%, meaning you’ll pay $5.20 per year for every $1,000 invested. This is slightly higher than average because it is actively managed, focusing on small-cap stocks with a specialized strategy. Active management often involves more research and oversight, which can increase costs.
What would affect this ETF?The Timothy Plan US Small Cap Core ETF could benefit from economic growth and innovation in the U.S., as small-cap companies often thrive during periods of expansion and entrepreneurial activity. However, it may face challenges from rising interest rates, which can increase borrowing costs for smaller firms, and economic slowdowns that disproportionately impact small-cap stocks. Additionally, its exposure to sectors like Financials and Industrials could be influenced by regulatory changes or shifts in consumer demand.

TPSC Top 10 Holdings

The Timothy Plan US Small Cap Core ETF leans heavily into utilities and financials, with names like Spire and Black Hills driving recent gains thanks to strong earnings growth and strategic moves. IdaCorp has also been a steady performer, benefiting from customer base expansion and positive sentiment. However, UGI and National Fuel Gas are holding the fund back, with weak technical momentum and operational challenges dampening their outlook. With its focus on U.S. small-cap stocks, the fund captures the entrepreneurial spirit of smaller firms but remains concentrated in a few key sectors, which could amplify risks.
Name
Company Name
Weight %
Market Value
Market Cap
Yearly Gain
Overall Rating
Black Hills0.49%$1.21M$5.26B14.71%
76
Outperform
Avista0.47%$1.17M$3.32B9.43%
68
Neutral
New Jersey Resources0.47%$1.16M$4.60B-2.28%
75
Outperform
Spire0.46%$1.14M$5.29B39.21%
72
Outperform
Portland GE0.44%$1.08M$5.38B1.76%
67
Neutral
IdaCorp0.44%$1.08M$7.00B13.71%
62
Neutral
UGI0.41%$1.02M$7.30B42.59%
62
Neutral
ONE Gas0.40%$995.11K$4.93B12.11%
72
Outperform
Enact Holdings0.39%$973.91K$5.34B9.60%
80
Outperform
Balchem0.39%$958.99K$4.94B-14.92%
80
Outperform

TPSC Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price
Price Trends
50DMA
41.22
Negative
100DMA
40.44
Positive
200DMA
38.91
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.20
Positive
RSI
45.15
Neutral
STOCH
23.78
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in ETF analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TPSC, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of undefined is equal to the 20-day moving average (MA) of 40.89, equal to the 50-day MA of 41.22, and equal to the 200-day MA of 38.91, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.20 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 45.15 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 23.78 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for TPSC.

TPSC Peer Comparison

Comparison Results
Name
Price
Price Target
AUM
Expense Ratio
Overall Rating
$241.44M0.52%
69
Neutral
$915.85M0.48%
72
Outperform
$901.81M0.60%
65
Neutral
$714.79M0.60%
62
Neutral
$697.23M0.20%
65
Neutral
$624.22M0.40%
68
Neutral
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TPSC
Timothy Plan US Small Cap Core ETF
40.52
-1.26
-3.02%
OUSM
OShares U.S. Small-Cap Quality Dividend ETF
FYX
First Trust Small Cap Core AlphaDEX Fund
DWAS
Invesco DWA SmallCap Momentum ETF
GSSC
Goldman Sachs Activebeta U.S. Small Cap Equity ETF
SMDV
ProShares Russell 2000 Dividend Growers ETF
Glossary
BuyAn ETF rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the ETF is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other ETFs in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldAn ETF rated as a "Hold" s expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the ETF is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellAn ETF rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the ETF may deliver lower returns compared to other ETFs in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst ETF Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in ETFs carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: ―
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