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Yara International
(OTC:YARIY)
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Rating:69Neutral
Price Target:
$23.50
▼(-3.45% Downside)
Action:Downgraded
Date:07/23/26
The score is driven primarily by improved financial performance (profitability and leverage recovery) and an attractive valuation (low P/E and high dividend yield). These positives are tempered by mixed-to-weak technical signals (negative MACD and price below key mid-term averages) and earnings-call risks around lower deliveries, operational disruptions, and near-term market volatility despite strong EBITDA/FCF and disciplined guidance.
Positive Factors
Profitability Recovery
Yara has materially recovered from the weak 2023–2024 period, with healthy operating margins and strong revenue momentum. This improved earnings base supports reinvestment, strengthens resilience through the fertilizer cycle, and provides a foundation for sustained returns if market conditions remain supportive.
Negative Factors
Earnings Cyclicality
Yara’s profitability remains highly exposed to fertilizer prices, energy costs, and regional supply-demand conditions. The sharp historical earnings swing shows that current recovery may not translate into stable results, limiting visibility on normalized margins and making long-term returns sensitive to the commodity cycle.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Profitability Recovery
Yara has materially recovered from the weak 2023–2024 period, with healthy operating margins and strong revenue momentum. This improved earnings base supports reinvestment, strengthens resilience through the fertilizer cycle, and provides a foundation for sustained returns if market conditions remain supportive.
Read all positive factors
Yara International (YARIY) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)
Market Cap
$10.66B
Dividend Yield5.65%
Average Volume (3M)3.95K
Price to Earnings (P/E)6.9
Beta (1Y)0.18
Revenue Growth13.40%
EPS Growth116.17%
CountryUS
Employees15,702
SectorBasic Materials
Sector Strength58
IndustryAgricultural Inputs
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)1.83
Shares Outstanding509,451,260
10 Day Avg. Volume4,533
30 Day Avg. Volume3,948
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio<0.01
Price to Book (P/B)2.38
Price to Sales (P/S)1.33
P/FCF Ratio21.74
Enterprise Value/Market Cap1.34
Enterprise Value/Revenue0.86
Enterprise Value/Gross Profit3.29
Enterprise Value/Ebitda4.23
Forecast
1Y Price TargetN/A
Price Target UpsideN/A
Rating ConsensusN/A
Number of Analyst Covering0
EPS Forecast (FY)2.91
Revenue Forecast (FY)$17.34B
Yara International Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
Yara International ASA engages in the production, distribution, and sale of fertilizers. It operates through the following segments: Europe, Americas, Africa and Asia, Global Plants and Operational Excellence, Clean Ammonia, and Industrial Solutio...
How the Company Makes Money
Yara primarily makes money by manufacturing and selling nitrogen-based fertilizer products and related crop nutrition offerings. Its core revenue stream comes from fertilizer sales to farmers, distributors, and agricultural retailers, with pricing...
Yara International Earnings Call Summary
Earnings Call Date:Jul 17, 2026
(Q2-2026)
| % Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Oct 22, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call presented a predominantly positive financial and strategic picture: substantial EBITDA and EPS growth, improved return on invested capital, strong free cash flow, successful monetization of surplus EUAs, progress on the improvement program, and a transformative Gulf Coast Ammonia acquisition that strengthens cost position and flexibility. However, notable near-term operational and market challenges temper the outlook — deliveries were down 17%, sizable volume impacts (≈$360 million) from outages and demand deferral occurred, safety performance worsened, and cash from operations was reduced by working capital timing. Given the material financial and strategic positives that outweigh the operational and cyclical negatives, the overall tone is constructive but with acknowledged short-term risks.Positive Updates
Strong EBITDA Performance
EBITDA excluding special items of $906 million, an increase of 39% year-over-year — the highest quarterly EBITDA in the last decade except for 2022, driven by expanded nitrogen margins.
Negative Updates
Significant Volume and Delivery Decline
Crop nutrition deliveries were 17% below the same quarter last year; company reported a negative volume impact of $240 million (about half due to Pilbara reliability issues and planned maintenance at Belle Plaine) plus an additional $120 million volume impact from demand deferral — roughly $360 million total volume impact.
Read all updates
Q2-2026 Updates
Positive
Negative
Strong EBITDA Performance
EBITDA excluding special items of $906 million, an increase of 39% year-over-year — the highest quarterly EBITDA in the last decade except for 2022, driven by expanded nitrogen margins.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Yara's guidance reinforced capital discipline and cash‑flow focus, backed by strong Q2 metrics: EBITDA excl. special items $906m (+39% YoY), a $153m special‑item gain from sale of 1.7m EUA quotas, free cash flow $583m, net investments $100m (including $152m EUA divestment), net debt broadly stable, and return on invested capital up to 14.3% (from 7% a year ago; EUA sale ≈+1pp); the company flagged crop nutrition deliveries -17% YoY with a $240m negative volume impact (about half due to Pilbara/Belle Plaine outages) plus $120m from demand deferral, has realized $560m of its 2027 improvement target, expects continued EBITDA improvement and sustained cash‑flow expansion, will pay $1.3bn on closing for the 1.3 Mtpa Gulf Coast Ammonia asset (shifting ~<15% North America gas exposure toward ~40% Henry Hub), noted margin expansion as nitrogen prices rose while TTF/Henry Hub stayed below ~$3/MMBtu, and reiterated priorities to maintain a strong balance sheet, strict CapEx prioritization and attractive shareholder distributions.Yara International Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
74
Positive
Balance Sheet
76
Positive
Cash Flow
63
Positive
| Breakdown | TTM | Dec 2025 | Dec 2024 | Dec 2023 | Dec 2022 | Dec 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | ||||||
| Total Revenue | 16.54B | 15.62B | 13.81B | 15.43B | 23.90B | 16.62B |
| Gross Profit | 4.35B | 4.42B | 3.68B | 3.34B | 6.55B | 4.48B |
| EBITDA | 3.38B | 3.12B | 1.41B | 1.47B | 4.83B | 2.58B |
| Net Income | 1.53B | 1.37B | 14.00M | 48.00M | 2.78B | 449.00M |
Balance Sheet | ||||||
| Total Assets | 17.50B | 17.14B | 14.99B | 16.03B | 17.98B | 17.27B |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 705.00M | 913.00M | 317.00M | 447.00M | 908.00M | 350.00M |
| Total Debt | 3.77B | 4.18B | 4.05B | 4.23B | 4.22B | 4.33B |
| Total Liabilities | 8.47B | 8.39B | 7.99B | 8.46B | 9.38B | 10.15B |
| Stockholders Equity | 9.01B | 8.72B | 6.99B | 7.55B | 8.59B | 7.10B |
Cash Flow | ||||||
| Free Cash Flow | 908.83M | 956.00M | 248.00M | 1.15B | 1.47B | 597.00M |
| Operating Cash Flow | 1.89B | 1.89B | 1.29B | 2.29B | 2.39B | 1.41B |
| Investing Cash Flow | -816.96M | -906.00M | -1.08B | -1.20B | -509.00M | -874.00M |
| Financing Cash Flow | -1.21B | -392.00M | -401.00M | -1.52B | -1.23B | -1.50B |
Yara International Technical Analysis
Negative
24.34
Price Trends
23.18
Negative
23.70
Negative
24.31
Negative
Market Momentum
-0.69
Positive
30.34
Neutral
11.58
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For YARIY, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 24.34 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 22.68, above the 50-day MA of 23.18, and above the 200-day MA of 24.31, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.69 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 30.34 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 11.58 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for YARIY.
Yara International Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
77 Outperform | $437.34M | 16.27 | 5.27% | 3.48% | 4.20% | ― | |
76 Outperform | $17.34B | 8.47 | 40.41% | 1.83% | 20.04% | 76.29% | |
72 Outperform | $1.33B | 8.28 | 51.56% | 11.53% | 17.47% | 82.16% | |
69 Neutral | $10.66B | 6.94 | 17.43% | 5.65% | 13.40% | 116.17% | |
61 Neutral | $10.43B | 7.12 | -0.05% | 2.87% | 2.86% | -36.73% | |
57 Neutral | $6.38B | 20.45 | 5.02% | 4.17% | 10.92% | -16.91% | |
49 Neutral | $5.99B | 94.25 | 0.36% | 4.67% | 8.84% | -167.87% |
* Basic Materials Sector Average
YARIY
Yara International
20.93
2.89
16.04%
CF
Cf Industries Holdings
114.58
28.16
32.58%
UAN
CVR Partners
125.49
44.11
54.20%
IPI
Intrepid Potash
32.50
3.82
13.32%
MOS
Mosaic Co
18.85
-11.04
-36.94%
ICL
Icl
4.94
-1.66
-25.14%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.