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Workday (WDAY)
NASDAQ:WDAY
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Workday (WDAY) AI Stock Analysis

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WDAY

Workday

(NASDAQ:WDAY)

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Outperform 76 (OpenAI - Gpt-5.6Sol)
Rating:76Outperform
Price Target:
$219.00
▲(12.64% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:08/28/26
The score is driven primarily by solid fundamentals (improving profitability, strong free cash flow generation, and manageable leverage) and strong technical momentum (price above key moving averages with positive MACD). Earnings call tone and guidance add support via higher margin outlook and FCF guidance, while the main offset is valuation risk (P/E ~39) alongside evidence of slowing growth and AI monetization timing uncertainty.
Positive Factors
Backlog and Retention
Strong contracted backlog and exceptionally high retention provide durable revenue visibility. They support renewal stability and create a substantial base for future module expansion across Workday’s enterprise customer population.
Negative Factors
Cooling Revenue Growth
Decelerating top-line growth suggests Workday is facing a more mature demand environment or longer sales cycles. Slower expansion can reduce operating leverage and increase reliance on renewals and existing-customer upsells.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Backlog and Retention
Strong contracted backlog and exceptionally high retention provide durable revenue visibility. They support renewal stability and create a substantial base for future module expansion across Workday’s enterprise customer population.
Read all positive factors

Workday Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Gross Profit by Segment
Gross Profit by Segment
Shows profitability across different business segments, highlighting which areas are most lucrative and where there might be room for improvement or strategic focus.
Chart InsightsSubscription gross profit is the clear growth engine, capturing nearly all margin expansion as Workday scales ARR and expansion-driven deals, while professional services persist as a small but recurring gross‑profit drag. Management’s AI momentum matters: agentic products both drive larger, higher‑value expansions and promise to compress implementation hours (improving service economics), but near‑term provisioning and delivery costs could keep professional margins pressured. The path to sustainably higher overall gross margins hinges on monetizing AI consumption and converting services into lower‑cost, subscriptionized outcomes.
Data provided by:The Fly

Workday (WDAY) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Workday Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Workday, Inc. delivers comprehensive, cloud-hosted enterprise software solutions to clients worldwide. These platforms empower organizations to strategize, operate, examine performance, integrate with existing systems, and oversee their overall bu...
How the Company Makes Money
Workday makes money primarily through recurring subscription revenue from customers that license access to its cloud applications. Customers typically pay subscription fees (often structured as multi-year agreements) based on factors such as the n...

Workday Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 27, 2026
(Q2-2027)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Dec 01, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call highlighted strong AI-driven adoption, rapid ARR growth from AI SKUs, sizable engagement metrics (recruiting interactions, deployment/adoption momentum), healthy subscription revenue growth (+14% YoY) and expanding non-GAAP margins. Management emphasized active customer adoption initiatives (Sana Lighthouse, UMSA migration), platform openness, and continued investment in AI while completing buybacks and raising margin guidance. Primary risks are timing and monetization of consumption-based AI (flex credits), a mix shift affecting backlog growth rates, a GAAP/non-GAAP margin gap, and the early-stage nature of much of the AI revenue — all of which may delay near-term revenue realization. Overall, the positives around product momentum, customer traction, and margin discipline outweigh the execution and timing challenges.
Positive Updates
AI-driven New ACV Contribution
AI products generated more than $100 million of new ACV in the quarter, accounting for over 25% of all new ACV closed in Q2.
Negative Updates
Monetization Lag from Consumption Model
Although ~5,500 customers use agents, only ~200 customers signed up for flex credits in the quarter, indicating a lag between agent adoption and meaningful consumption-based monetization that may delay revenue recognition.
Read all updates
Q2-2027 Updates
Negative
AI-driven New ACV Contribution
AI products generated more than $100 million of new ACV in the quarter, accounting for over 25% of all new ACV closed in Q2.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Workday delivered detailed FY‑2027 guidance: subscription revenue of $9.94–9.95B (≈13% growth), Q3 subscription revenue ≈$2.515B (≈12% growth) with Q3 CRPO growth of 11–12%; Q3 professional services $175M and FY professional services $710M. They raised FY‑2027 non‑GAAP operating margin to 31% (Q3 ≈30%), expect GAAP margins ~18–19 points below non‑GAAP (Q3 ≈18 points lower) and a FY non‑GAAP tax rate of ~19%. Cash‑flow and capital guidance: operating cash flow ~$3.45B, capex ≈$270M, and free cash flow ≈$3.18B (≈15% growth). As context, Q2 results included subscription revenue $2.407B (+14%), total revenue $2.649B (+13%), non‑GAAP operating income $824M (31.1% margin), 12‑month subscription backlog (CRPO) $9.03B (+14.2%), total subscription backlog $27.4B (+8%), gross revenue retention 97%, net expansion ~60% of subscription revenue growth, Q2 operating cash flow $520M and free cash flow $460M; the company repurchased $1.3B this quarter (completing a $5B plan), now has a $4B open‑ended repurchase program, $3.4B in cash/marketable securities, and 20.9k employees. Looking ahead, they see FY‑2028 subscription growth roughly consistent with an ≈11% second‑half FY‑27 exit rate and at least a 2‑ppt expansion in non‑GAAP operating margin.

Workday Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong profitability and cash generation support the score (TTM net margin ~12.3%, gross margin ~79.8%, operating cash flow ~$3.08B and free cash flow ~$2.84B). Balance sheet leverage is manageable (debt-to-equity ~0.28 TTM) with healthy ROE (~16.8%). The main constraint is slowing growth, with revenue growth cooling sharply in TTM and FCF growth slightly negative (~-4.3% TTM).
Income Statement
78
Positive
Balance Sheet
74
Positive
Cash Flow
82
Very Positive
BreakdownTTMJan 2026Jan 2025Jan 2024Jan 2023Jan 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue10.15B9.55B8.45B7.26B6.22B5.14B
Gross Profit8.11B7.23B6.38B5.49B4.51B3.71B
EBITDA1.47B1.36B1.08B752.00M206.00M377.00M
Net Income1.25B693.00M526.00M1.38B-367.00M29.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets15.86B18.07B17.98B16.45B13.49B10.50B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments3.40B5.44B8.02B7.81B6.12B3.64B
Total Debt1.78B3.82B3.36B3.30B3.25B2.10B
Total Liabilities9.40B10.27B8.94B8.37B7.90B5.96B
Stockholders Equity6.46B7.80B9.03B8.08B5.59B4.54B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow2.84B2.78B2.19B1.91B1.30B1.38B
Operating Cash Flow3.08B2.94B2.46B2.15B1.66B1.65B
Investing Cash Flow1.89B333.00M-1.78B-1.75B-2.51B-1.61B
Financing Cash Flow-5.57B-3.32B-1.15B-268.00M1.20B110.25M

Workday Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price194.42
Price Trends
50DMA
155.68
Positive
100DMA
141.78
Positive
200DMA
160.96
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
11.65
Positive
RSI
60.73
Neutral
STOCH
29.51
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For WDAY, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 194.42 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 185.93, above the 50-day MA of 155.68, and above the 200-day MA of 160.96, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 11.65 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 60.73 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 29.51 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for WDAY.

Workday Risk Analysis

Workday disclosed 38 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Workday reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Workday Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
80
Outperform
$8.07B31.6923.44%11.04%22.52%
79
Outperform
$14.44B48.489.34%8.19%6.70%
76
Outperform
$47.12B39.3410.41%13.70%76.27%
71
Outperform
$10.29B25.1440.43%1.03%9.23%27.04%
68
Neutral
$1.82B57.3210.84%8.62%-58.32%
67
Neutral
$4.05B93.49-123.75%19.67%
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
WDAY
Workday
193.57
-34.93
-15.29%
TYL
Tyler Technologies
369.88
-186.40
-33.51%
PAYC
Paycom
237.04
13.44
6.01%
PCTY
Paylocity
158.15
-21.42
-11.93%
WK
Workiva
77.60
-3.15
-3.90%
BL
BlackLine
33.72
-20.52
-37.83%

Workday Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyStock BuybackFinancial Disclosures
Workday Posts Strong Q2 Results, Expands Share Buybacks
Positive
Aug 27, 2026
On August 27, 2026, Workday reported fiscal 2027 second-quarter results for the period ended July 31, 2026, with total revenue rising 12.8% year-on-year to $2.649 billion and subscription revenue up 13.9% to $2.471 billion, while GAAP operating in...
Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Workday Stockholders Back Directors, Auditor and Equity Plan
Positive
Jun 22, 2026
Workday held its Annual Meeting of Stockholders on June 16, 2026, at which holders representing about 97.58% of eligible votes were present in person or by proxy, constituting a quorum. The meeting underscored strong shareholder engagement in the ...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 28, 2026