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Atlassian (TEAM)
NASDAQ:TEAM
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Atlassian (TEAM) AI Stock Analysis

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TEAM

Atlassian

(NASDAQ:TEAM)

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Neutral 67 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:67Neutral
Price Target:
$183.00
▲(8.02% Upside)
Atlassian's overall stock score reflects strong revenue growth and strategic advancements, particularly in AI and cloud services, which are driving customer engagement and expanding partnerships. However, profitability challenges and valuation concerns due to a negative P/E ratio weigh on the score. The positive sentiment from the earnings call and technical indicators suggest potential for future growth, but profitability remains a key area for improvement.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Consistent revenue growth indicates strong market demand and successful product adoption, supporting long-term business expansion.
Cloud Transition Strategy
The shift to cloud services enhances scalability and recurring revenue, positioning Atlassian for sustainable growth in the digital economy.
AI Integration
AI integration drives customer engagement and innovation, offering competitive advantages and expanding product functionality.
Negative Factors
Profitability Challenges
Persistent profitability issues can limit reinvestment in growth initiatives and affect shareholder returns over the long term.
Revenue Recognition Timing
Changes in revenue recognition timing can create financial unpredictability, affecting planning and investor confidence.
Negative Return on Equity
Negative ROE indicates inefficiency in generating shareholder value, potentially impacting long-term financial health and investment appeal.

Atlassian (TEAM) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Atlassian Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionAtlassian Corporation Plc is a leading software company that specializes in collaboration and productivity tools aimed primarily at software development teams, project managers, and businesses. Founded in 2002 and headquartered in Sydney, Australia, Atlassian provides a suite of products including Jira for project management and issue tracking, Confluence for team collaboration, Bitbucket for code repository management, and Trello for task organization. The company serves a diverse range of sectors, including technology, finance, healthcare, and education, and is known for its commitment to enhancing team collaboration and efficiency.
How the Company Makes MoneyAtlassian generates revenue primarily through a subscription-based model, offering both cloud-based and on-premise deployment options for its software products. The company has multiple revenue streams, including direct sales of its software licenses, cloud subscriptions, and maintenance fees for on-premise customers. Additionally, Atlassian earns revenue from its marketplace, where third-party developers can sell add-ons and integrations that enhance its core products. Key partnerships with cloud service providers like Amazon Web Services (AWS) and Microsoft Azure further contribute to its earnings by facilitating expanded distribution and integration of its products. The company's focus on expanding its customer base and increasing the average revenue per user (ARPU) through tiered pricing and additional product offerings also plays a critical role in its financial performance.

Atlassian Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Customers
Customers
Tracks the number of active users and accounts, indicating market penetration, customer retention, and potential for upselling or cross-selling opportunities.
Chart InsightsAtlassian's customer growth plateaued at 300,000 from late 2023, indicating a stabilization after a period of rapid expansion. Despite this, the company is experiencing strong cloud revenue growth and significant AI integration, as highlighted in their earnings call. The strategic focus on AI and cloud services, coupled with FedRAMP authorization, positions Atlassian for future growth, though macroeconomic challenges and delayed enterprise deals could temper short-term customer acquisition momentum.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

Atlassian Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 30, 2025
(Q1-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Jan 29, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted significant growth in revenue and strategic advancements, particularly in AI and cloud migration, which are driving customer engagement and expanding strategic partnerships. However, there are challenges in revenue recognition timing due to the shift from data center to cloud, impacting the marketplace revenue. Despite this, the overall sentiment remains positive due to impressive growth metrics and strong strategic execution.
Q1-2026 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Revenue Growth
Total revenue in Q1 grew 21% year-over-year to $1.4 billion, with cloud revenue growing 26% year-over-year to $998 million.
RPO Acceleration
Growth in Remaining Performance Obligations (RPO) accelerated to 42% year-over-year, reaching $3.3 billion.
AI-Driven Customer Engagement
Over 300,000 customers, including major companies like Databricks, Expedia, Ford, and Wells Fargo, rely on Atlassian's AI-enabled cloud platform. Monthly active users of AI capabilities increased by over 50% since last quarter.
Successful Cloud Migrations
Significantly stronger-than-expected cloud migrations from data centers were reported, driving a double-digit percentage increase in users and upgrades to higher value editions.
Expansion in Strategic Partnerships
Several strategic partnerships were signed to integrate Atlassian's platform with other offerings, enhancing customer workflows.
Negative Updates
Impact of Cloud Revenue Recognition
Cloud revenue is recognized ratably, affecting timing, while data center revenue had upfront recognition. This shift impacts marketplace revenue due to a lower take rate on cloud app sales.
Guidance on Organic Revenue Growth
The decline in organic revenue growth outlook by 50 basis points, despite strong cloud migration performance, due to timing differences in revenue recognition between cloud and data center.
Company Guidance
During the Atlassian Earnings Conference Call for the first quarter of fiscal year 2026, the company reported significant financial growth and strategic advancements. The total revenue for Q1 increased by 21% year-over-year to $1.4 billion, driven by a 26% year-over-year rise in cloud revenue to $998 million. Atlassian also reported an impressive 42% year-over-year growth in remaining performance obligations (RPO) to $3.3 billion. The call highlighted the company's successful execution of its strategic priorities in enterprise development, AI integration, and enhancing work systems. Atlassian's AI capabilities now boast over 3.5 million monthly active users, reflecting a 50% increase from the previous quarter. The company's cloud transition strategy is further supported by the end-of-life announcement for data center products, expected to accelerate cloud migrations, which Joe Binz, the CFO, noted will impact revenue recognition timing. Overall, Atlassian maintains a bullish outlook on its long-term growth, reaffirming its commitment to a 20% CAGR and anticipating continued momentum in cloud migrations and enterprise partnerships.

Atlassian Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Atlassian shows strong revenue growth and efficient cash flow management, but struggles with profitability. The balance sheet indicates improved leverage, yet negative returns on equity remain a concern.
Income Statement
65
Positive
Atlassian's revenue has shown consistent growth over the years, with a 5.09% increase in the latest year. The gross profit margin remains strong at over 82%, indicating efficient cost management. However, the company continues to face challenges in achieving profitability, as evidenced by negative net profit and EBIT margins. The negative net profit margin of -4.92% highlights ongoing profitability issues.
Balance Sheet
58
Neutral
The balance sheet shows a moderate debt-to-equity ratio of 0.92, which has improved from previous years, indicating better leverage management. However, the return on equity remains negative at -19.08%, reflecting ongoing challenges in generating returns for shareholders. The equity ratio is relatively stable, suggesting a balanced asset structure.
Cash Flow
72
Positive
Atlassian's cash flow is strong, with a high operating cash flow to net income ratio of 0.46, indicating good cash generation relative to earnings. The free cash flow to net income ratio is also robust at 0.97, showing efficient cash management. Despite a slight decline in free cash flow growth, the company maintains healthy cash flow metrics.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue5.46B5.22B4.36B3.53B2.80B2.09B
Gross Profit4.52B4.32B3.56B2.90B2.35B1.76B
EBITDA-72.29M24.03M27.41M-220.07M-377.73M-365.88M
Net Income-184.79M-256.69M-300.52M-486.76M-519.51M-578.98M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets5.72B6.04B5.21B4.11B3.33B2.95B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments2.78B2.94B2.34B2.11B1.46B1.23B
Total Debt1.23B1.24B1.25B1.28B1.31B605.35M
Total Liabilities4.34B4.70B4.18B3.45B3.00B2.65B
Stockholders Equity1.38B1.35B1.03B654.67M327.37M294.91M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow1.44B1.42B1.42B842.30M750.46M803.31M
Operating Cash Flow1.49B1.46B1.45B868.11M821.04M834.83M
Investing Cash Flow-381.98M-342.32M-963.75M-1.26M36.52M256.64M
Financing Cash Flow-844.30M-782.58M-408.22M-148.42M-399.28M-1.65B

Atlassian Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price169.42
Price Trends
50DMA
163.95
Positive
100DMA
177.49
Negative
200DMA
208.49
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.84
Negative
RSI
59.21
Neutral
STOCH
58.15
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TEAM, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 169.42 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 157.02, above the 50-day MA of 163.95, and below the 200-day MA of 208.49, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.84 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 59.21 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 58.15 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TEAM.

Atlassian Risk Analysis

Atlassian disclosed 57 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Atlassian reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Atlassian Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
$64.19B62.4840.20%13.99%-0.95%
$64.06B110.966.66%14.21%-62.56%
$56.78B470.414.45%26.00%-25.64%
$91.88B-42.45%28.37%-35.49%
$25.92B-2,175.67-0.65%18.96%58.78%
$44.44B-15.35%19.51%53.35%
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TEAM
Atlassian
169.42
-49.54
-22.63%
ADSK
Autodesk
301.34
13.72
4.77%
WDAY
Workday
239.92
-1.22
-0.51%
HUBS
HubSpot
491.92
-72.63
-12.87%
DDOG
Datadog
162.81
37.25
29.67%
SNOW
Snowflake
274.88
161.14
141.67%

Atlassian Corporate Events

Atlassian’s Earnings Call: Strong Growth Amid Cloud Transition
Nov 1, 2025

Atlassian Corporation’s recent earnings call exuded a generally positive sentiment, underscored by notable growth in revenue and strategic advancements, particularly in AI and cloud migration. Despite challenges in revenue recognition timing due to the transition from data center to cloud, the company’s impressive growth metrics and strategic execution have bolstered investor confidence.

Atlassian Reports Strong Q1 2026 Revenue Growth
Oct 31, 2025

Atlassian Corporation Plc is a prominent company in the software industry, specializing in team collaboration and productivity solutions, with a strong focus on AI-driven innovations and enterprise service management.

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board ChangesStock BuybackFinancial DisclosuresM&A Transactions
Atlassian Announces $2.5 Billion Share Buyback
Positive
Oct 30, 2025

On October 30, 2025, Atlassian announced the retirement of CFO Joe Binz effective June 30, 2026, and a new $2.5 billion share repurchase program. The company reported strong financial results for Q1 FY26, with a 21% increase in revenue year-over-year, driven by AI innovations and enterprise sales. Atlassian also highlighted several strategic initiatives, including the acquisition of The Browser Company of New York and DX, the launch of new AI-powered products, and recognition as a leader in the 2025 Gartner Magic Quadrant for DevOps Platforms.

The most recent analyst rating on (TEAM) stock is a Hold with a $169.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Atlassian stock, see the TEAM Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
Atlassian Appoints Jason Warner as New Director
Neutral
Sep 17, 2025

Atlassian Corporation announced that Heather M. Fernandez will retire as a director effective September 30, 2025, after nearly a decade of service. The company expressed gratitude for her contributions and confirmed her departure was not due to any disagreements. On September 16, 2025, Atlassian’s Board appointed Jason Warner as a new director, effective October 1, 2025. Warner, who has a background in AI and technology leadership, will join the Compensation and Leadership Development Committee. His appointment is expected to bring valuable expertise to Atlassian’s strategic initiatives.

The most recent analyst rating on (TEAM) stock is a Buy with a $225.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Atlassian stock, see the TEAM Stock Forecast page.

Atlassian’s FedRAMP Compliance Challenges: Navigating Risks with U.S. Government Contracts
Aug 17, 2025

Atlassian Corporation Plc faces significant challenges and risks in its dealings with U.S. government entities and contractors, primarily due to the stringent requirements of FedRAMP compliance. The company must continuously monitor and assess its security measures, as any failure to meet these obligations could result in the loss of authorization, impacting its ability to serve public sector customers. Additionally, changes in government security requirements and the complexity of maintaining compliance with higher security levels could affect Atlassian’s competitiveness in the public sector. Furthermore, government contracts may include unfavorable terms, and any non-compliance could lead to severe penalties, audits, or investigations, potentially damaging Atlassian’s reputation and financial performance.

Atlassian’s Earnings Call Highlights Growth and Challenges
Aug 13, 2025

Atlassian’s recent earnings call paints a picture of robust financial health and strategic growth, despite some challenges. The company demonstrated strong performance in enterprise deals, cloud retention, and AI adoption, which are key areas for its future expansion. However, issues such as declining free cash flow and leadership transitions were also discussed, indicating areas that need attention.

Atlassian Reports Strong FY25 Results with AI Focus
Aug 8, 2025

Atlassian Corporation Plc is a prominent software company specializing in collaboration and productivity tools, primarily serving the technology and business sectors with a focus on enterprise solutions and AI integration.

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board ChangesFinancial Disclosures
Atlassian Reports Strong Q4 2025 Financial Results
Positive
Aug 7, 2025

Atlassian announced its financial results for the fourth quarter and fiscal year 2025, reporting a 22% year-over-year increase in quarterly revenue to $1,384 million and a 26% rise in cloud revenue. The company highlighted its strategic partnership with Google Cloud and its recognition as a leader in various industry assessments. Additionally, President Anu Bharadwaj will step down at the end of 2025 after nearly 12 years, having significantly contributed to Atlassian’s cloud platform strategy and System of Work.

The most recent analyst rating on (TEAM) stock is a Hold with a $255.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Atlassian stock, see the TEAM Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 01, 2025