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VinFast Auto Ltd. (VFS)
:VFS
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VinFast Auto (VFS) AI Stock Analysis

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VFS

VinFast Auto

(NASDAQ:VFS)

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Neutral 43 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:43Neutral
Price Target:
$3.00
▼(-8.54% Downside)
VinFast Auto's overall stock score is primarily impacted by its weak financial performance and challenging valuation. While technical analysis shows a neutral trend, the company's financial instability and lack of profitability weigh heavily on the score. Despite positive growth indicators from the earnings call, significant risks remain.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Strong revenue growth indicates robust demand for VinFast's products and successful market expansion, supporting long-term business sustainability.
International Expansion
Expanding into international markets diversifies revenue streams and enhances global brand presence, crucial for long-term growth.
Strategic Spin-Off
The spin-off strengthens financial resources, allowing VinFast to focus on core operations and invest in future growth initiatives.
Negative Factors
Negative Gross Margin
Persistent negative gross margins indicate cost inefficiencies, which could hinder profitability and long-term financial health.
High Cash Burn
High cash burn rates strain financial resources, potentially limiting the company's ability to fund operations and growth initiatives.
Financial Instability
Financial instability, marked by high leverage and negative cash flows, poses risks to operational sustainability and limits strategic flexibility.

VinFast Auto (VFS) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

VinFast Auto Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionVinFast Auto (VFS) is a Vietnamese automotive manufacturer specializing in electric vehicles (EVs) and sustainable transportation solutions. Founded in 2017, the company aims to leverage advanced technology to deliver innovative and affordable electric cars, contributing to the global transition towards greener mobility. VinFast operates primarily in the automotive sector, focusing on the production and sale of a range of electric vehicles, including SUVs and sedans, and is expanding its footprint in international markets.
How the Company Makes MoneyVinFast generates revenue primarily through the sale of electric vehicles, which includes the direct sales of its EV models to consumers and businesses. Additionally, the company may earn revenue through leasing and financing options for customers purchasing their vehicles. VinFast also explores partnerships with technology firms and suppliers to enhance its EV offerings and may generate income through ancillary services such as charging infrastructure and maintenance services. Furthermore, as the company expands into international markets, it anticipates revenue growth from exports and strategic alliances that enhance its market reach.

VinFast Auto Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Electric Vehicles Delivered
Electric Vehicles Delivered
Tracks the number of electric vehicles sold, reflecting market demand, production capacity, and the company's competitive position in the EV market.
Chart InsightsVinFast's electric vehicle deliveries have shown a robust upward trajectory, culminating in a significant surge by Q3 2024. The company exceeded its 2024 delivery target, driven by strategic expansions and new CKD plants in Asia. Despite challenges like gross margin pressures and high operating costs, VinFast's focus on international market penetration and showroom growth positions it well for future gains. The company's ambitious 2025 delivery goals and product innovation underscore its commitment to capturing a larger market share while navigating macroeconomic uncertainties.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

VinFast Auto Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 02, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 19, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted VinFast's strong delivery and revenue growth, successful international expansion, and strengthened financial position. However, concerns were noted regarding negative gross margins, increased warranty provision rates, and high cash burn. Despite these challenges, the company's strategic initiatives and growth potential indicate a positive outlook.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Significant Delivery and Revenue Growth
VinFast reported a 172% year-over-year delivery growth and a 92% year-over-year revenue growth in Q2 2025.
Expansion of Manufacturing Capacity
The company inaugurated two new factories in Vietnam and India, significantly increasing their design capacity.
Strong Growth in E-Scooter Deliveries
E-scooter and electric bike deliveries rose by 55% quarter-over-quarter and 432% year-over-year in Q2 2025.
Successful International Expansion
VinFast launched pre-booking in India and expanded its presence in Southeast Asia with strategic partnerships in Indonesia and the Philippines.
Strengthened Financial Position
VinFast's financial position was bolstered by a $1.6 billion spin-off of completed R&D assets to a new entity, Novatech.
Negative Updates
Negative Gross Margin
The company's gross margin was negative 41% in Q2 2025, compared to negative 35% in Q1 2025.
Increased Warranty Provision Rates
Higher warranty provision rates impacted gross margins, reflecting typical early-year costs for first-generation products.
High Cash Burn
Operating cash flow for Q2 2025 was negative $463 million, with an expected operating outflow of $400-600 million per quarter in the near term.
Company Guidance
During VinFast's Second Quarter 2025 financial results webcast, the company provided several key metrics and guidance. VinFast reported a 172% year-over-year increase in deliveries for Q2, totaling 35,837 units, and a 92% growth in revenue. For the first half of 2025, the company delivered 72,167 units, reflecting a 223% increase year-over-year. E-scooter deliveries also surged, with 69,580 units delivered in Q2, marking a 55% rise quarter-over-quarter and a 432% increase year-over-year. VinFast aims to double its 2024 delivery numbers by the end of 2025, supported by strong demand in Vietnam, international expansion, and new model launches like VF 6 and VF 7. The company also highlighted the strategic spin-off of its completed R&D assets, which is expected to bring in $1.6 billion in cash to support long-term growth. Despite a negative gross margin of 41% in Q2, the company anticipates improvement as new vehicle platforms and international operations scale.

VinFast Auto Financial Statement Overview

Summary
VinFast Auto is facing significant financial challenges across all key areas. The income statement reveals persistent losses, the balance sheet is burdened with high debt and negative equity, and cash flow from operations is consistently negative. These factors combined suggest a company struggling to achieve financial sustainability, with critical attention needed on cost management and operational efficiency improvements.
Income Statement
25
Negative
VinFast Auto's income statement shows significant challenges, with negative gross and net profit margins indicating a lack of profitability. The company has been unable to generate a positive gross profit, and net losses have increased over the periods. Revenue growth is apparent, but it is overshadowed by widening losses, signaling inefficiencies and cost management issues.
Balance Sheet
30
Negative
The balance sheet highlights high financial risk, with negative stockholders' equity indicating insolvency. The debt-to-equity ratio is concerningly high due to substantial debt levels, which could limit future financing options. The equity ratio is negative, raising alarms about the company's financial stability and sustainability.
Cash Flow
35
Negative
VinFast Auto's cash flow statement reflects ongoing cash flow challenges, with negative operating and free cash flows. Despite the availability of financing cash flows, the inability to generate positive operating cash flow is a major concern. The free cash flow to net income ratio is negative, indicating that the company is not generating any surplus cash from operations.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue61.74T44.02T27.88T14.97T16.03T13.69T
Gross Profit-28.57T-25.28T-13.35T-12.27T-9.26T-6.70T
EBITDA-53.35T-51.85T-42.07T-35.05T-22.87T-9.50T
Net Income-81.79T-77.27T-57.35T-49.78T-32.18T-18.95T
Balance Sheet
Total Assets10.00T>10.00T>10.00T>10.00T>85.32T92.91T
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments16.28T4.13T4.10T4.28T3.03T828.75B
Total Debt82.62T10.00T>10.00T>68.50T75.75T54.29T
Total Liabilities10.00T>10.00T>10.00T>10.00T>10.00T>86.73T
Stockholders Equity-10.00T>-10.00T>-10.00T>-10.00T>-76.93T6.15T
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-55.09T-47.16T-78.60T-53.31T-34.98T-19.02T
Operating Cash Flow-36.87T-30.47T-53.65T-35.63T-28.97T-9.35T
Investing Cash Flow-17.66T-16.03T-23.02T-16.04T2.42T-1.84T
Financing Cash Flow68.62T49.00T77.42T52.95T28.86T10.45T

VinFast Auto Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price3.28
Price Trends
50DMA
3.27
Negative
100DMA
3.40
Negative
200DMA
3.44
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.02
Positive
RSI
42.24
Neutral
STOCH
10.06
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For VFS, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 3.28 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 3.26, above the 50-day MA of 3.27, and below the 200-day MA of 3.44, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.02 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 42.24 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 10.06 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for VFS.

VinFast Auto Risk Analysis

VinFast Auto disclosed 100 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. VinFast Auto reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

VinFast Auto Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
65
Neutral
$20.19B18.8111.91%7.49%-21.06%
61
Neutral
$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
58
Neutral
$21.79B-13.34%66.53%48.17%
51
Neutral
$15.16B-329.46%9.60%-5.91%
47
Neutral
$15.17B-54.42%2.73%45.63%
43
Neutral
$7.34B-2.2879.49%-22.72%
42
Neutral
$5.03B-54.39%39.01%7.12%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
VFS
VinFast Auto
3.14
-0.60
-16.04%
NIO
Nio
7.16
2.16
43.20%
LI
Li Auto
19.81
-4.90
-19.83%
XPEV
XPeng, Inc. ADR
22.69
10.39
84.47%
LCID
Lucid Group
16.36
-4.94
-23.19%
RIVN
Rivian Automotive
12.50
2.79
28.73%

VinFast Auto Corporate Events

VinFast Reports Strong Q3 2025 EV and E-Scooter Deliveries
Oct 22, 2025

On October 22, 2025, VinFast announced its global deliveries for the third quarter of 2025, reporting a 7% increase quarter-over-quarter and a 74% increase year-over-year with 38,195 electric vehicles delivered. The VF 3 and VF 5 models were the top sellers, contributing significantly to the total deliveries. Additionally, VinFast delivered 120,052 e-scooters and e-bikes in 3Q25, marking a substantial 73% increase quarter-over-quarter and a 535% increase year-over-year. The company will release its financial results for the third quarter of 2025 on November 21, 2025, followed by a live webcast to discuss its business performance and strategy.

VinFast Achieves Record EV Deliveries in Vietnam
Oct 14, 2025

VinFast Auto Ltd. announced record domestic deliveries of 103,884 electric vehicles in Vietnam for the first nine months of 2025, marking a significant milestone as the first automaker in the country to surpass 100,000 deliveries in this period. This achievement underscores VinFast’s market leadership and growth momentum, with the VF 5 model being the best-seller in September 2025, followed by the VF 3 and Herio Green models.

VinFast Auto Reports Strong Financial Growth in First Half of 2025
Sep 30, 2025

VinFast Auto Ltd. announced its unaudited financial results for the six-month period ending June 30, 2025. The company reported significant growth in its cash and cash equivalents, which increased from VND 3,306,793 million to VND 13,772,585 million. This financial update reflects VinFast’s ongoing efforts to strengthen its financial position and expand its operations in the competitive electric vehicle market.

VinFast Maintains Leadership with Steady EV Deliveries in August 2025
Sep 12, 2025

VinFast Auto Ltd. announced on September 12, 2025, that it delivered 10,922 electric vehicles in Vietnam in August 2025, maintaining a steady monthly delivery rate of around 11,000 EVs. This consistent performance has reinforced VinFast’s position as the leading car manufacturer in Vietnam by vehicle deliveries. The VF 5 was the best-selling model in August, with 2,745 units delivered, followed by the VF 3 and Herio Green. Since the start of 2025, the VF 3 and VF 5 have been the top-selling models with cumulative deliveries of 28,704 and 27,109 vehicles, respectively.

VinFast Reports Q2 2025 Financial Results and Expands Global Operations
Sep 4, 2025

VinFast Auto Ltd. announced its unaudited financial results for the second quarter of 2025, reporting revenues of VND16,609.3 billion (US$663.0 million) and EV deliveries of 35,837 units. The company showed significant growth in EV and e-scooter deliveries year-over-year, despite a net loss of VND20,341.6 billion (US$812.0 million). The inauguration of the Ha Tinh plant in June 2025, with a capacity of 200,000 vehicles annually, is expected to enhance the company’s supply chain and localization efforts. Additionally, VinFast expanded its presence in international markets, including India, Indonesia, and North America, with new dealerships and production facilities, indicating a strategic push towards global market penetration.

VinFast Reports Q2 2025 Financial Results and Expands Global Operations
Sep 4, 2025

VinFast Auto Ltd. announced its unaudited financial results for the second quarter of 2025, reporting revenues of VND16,609.3 billion (US$663.0 million) and EV deliveries of 35,837 units. The company saw a significant year-over-year increase in both EV and e-scooter deliveries, with a 172% and 432% rise, respectively. Despite these gains, VinFast reported a net loss of VND20,341.6 billion (US$812.0 million) for the quarter. The company inaugurated a new EV plant in Ha Tinh in June 2025, which is expected to enhance local production capabilities and attract auxiliary partners. Additionally, VinFast made strategic expansions in overseas markets, including India, Indonesia, and North America, with new dealership agreements and the opening of showrooms. The company also launched new models and advanced its next-generation platforms, indicating a focus on innovation and market expansion.

VinFast Announces Strategic Spin-Off and Restructuring
Aug 14, 2025

On August 14, 2025, VinFast Auto Ltd. announced a strategic restructuring plan involving the spin-off of certain assets into a new entity, Novatech Research and Development Joint Stock Company, which will be transferred to the company’s founder and CEO, Mr. Pham Nhat Vuong. This move aims to support VinFast’s long-term growth by allowing it to focus on its core electric vehicle manufacturing business while maintaining control over essential intellectual property through leasing agreements. The restructuring also involves amendments to share exchange agreements with Vingroup, facilitating the spin-off and ensuring the company’s continued operational efficiency.

VinFast Delivers 11,479 EVs in Vietnam in July 2025
Aug 13, 2025

In July 2025, VinFast Auto Ltd. delivered 11,479 electric vehicles in Vietnam, maintaining its status as the leading car manufacturer in the country. The VF 3 model was the best-selling vehicle for the month. From January to July 2025, the company delivered a total of 79,048 EVs, with the VF 3 and VF 5 models being the top sellers. The company began deliveries of the Limo Green model in August 2025, further expanding its product lineup.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 31, 2025