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Tullow Oil (TUWOY) AI Stock Analysis
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Tullow Oil
(Other OTC:TUWOY)
Overall score is held back primarily by high balance-sheet risk (persistently negative equity) and deteriorating 2025 profitability/cash-flow momentum, reinforced by very weak technicals (price below all key moving averages with negative MACD). These are partially offset by a notably constructive latest earnings call with upgraded free cash flow guidance, strong operating performance, and refinancing/liquidity improvements.
Tullow Oil (TUWOY) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)
- Market Cap
- $174.05M
- Dividend Yield
- ―
- Average Volume (3M)
- 237.05K
- Price to Earnings (P/E)
- -3.9
- Beta (1Y)
- 0.37
- Revenue Growth
- -18.81%
- EPS Growth
- 28.10%
- Country
- US
- Employees
- 346
- Sector
- Energy
- Sector Strength
- 65
- Industry
- Oil & Gas Exploration & Production
Tullow Oil Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
Tullow Oil plc is an energy company that primarily explores for, develops, and produces oil and natural gas, with its operations heavily focused on Africa and South America. The firm was established in 1985 and maintains its corporate headquarters in...
How the Company Makes Money
Tullow Oil makes money mainly by producing and selling crude oil from its operated and non-operated upstream assets, with its largest cash-generating operations centered on Ghana (including the Jubilee and TEN fields). Revenue is generated when lifte...
Tullow Oil Earnings Call Summary
The call was strongly positive, with materially higher production, over 99% FPSO uptime, significant reserve replacement, upgraded free cash flow guidance, lower costs, improved liquidity, and an expanded Ghana opportunity set. The main challenges were low first-half free cash flow caused by stated one-off and timing items, temporary water-injection downtime, increased tax-dispute provisions, the likelihood that 99% uptime cannot continue, and the long-term technical risk associated with exploration upside.
Q2-2026 Updates
Positive Updates
Negative Updates
Company Guidance
For the full year, Tullow is confident of being at the high end of its production guidance range of 34,000 to 42,000 barrels of oil equivalent per day, with free cash flow guidance upgraded from between $70 million and $175 million to between $170 million and $250 million, with full-year free cash flow guidance of $170 million-$250 million between an oil price of $70 and $100 a barrel. Capital expenditure guidance remains $200 million, decommissioning expenditure is reduced from $25 million to $15 million, a further four cargoes are expected to be lifted by the end of the year, and year-end net debt is forecast at $1.2 billion inclusive of accrued PIK interest on the bonds and Glencore notes. Net cash G&A remains targeted at a run rate of $20 million a year, TEN operating and maintenance costs are targeted for similar results to the 30% savings delivered at Jubilee, and every $10 increase above the guided range for the second half of the year would result in more than $20 million incremental cash flow.
Tullow Oil Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Mixed fundamentals. Income statement shows recovery from 2020 losses but 2025 weakened sharply with revenue down ~28.7% YoY and net margin ~0.8%. Cash flow has been positive each year, but 2025 free cash flow fell ~62% YoY. The largest risk is balance-sheet stress: negative shareholders’ equity in every year provided despite some debt reduction, limiting flexibility and raising refinancing/downturn risk.
Income Statement
52NeutralBalance Sheet
22NegativeCash Flow
58Neutral| Breakdown | TTM | Dec 2025 | Dec 2024 | Dec 2023 | Dec 2022 | Dec 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | ||||||
| Total Revenue | 936.90M | 851.20M | 1.53B | 1.63B | 1.78B | 1.29B |
| Gross Profit | 339.50M | 247.30M | 754.00M | 790.80M | 1.09B | 654.40M |
| EBITDA | 821.83M | 628.60M | 1.11B | 862.10M | 1.20B | 942.30M |
| Net Income | -33.40M | 6.50M | 54.60M | -109.60M | 49.10M | -80.70M |
Balance Sheet | ||||||
| Total Assets | 2.86B | 3.28B | 4.05B | 4.46B | 5.04B | 5.54B |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 187.50M | 329.20M | 548.60M | 499.00M | 636.30M | 469.10M |
| Total Debt | 1.95B | 2.26B | 2.71B | 2.99B | 3.46B | 3.73B |
| Total Liabilities | 3.22B | 3.53B | 4.32B | 4.82B | 5.50B | 6.01B |
| Stockholders Equity | -358.20M | -252.90M | -272.70M | -359.40M | -459.50M | -466.10M |
Cash Flow | ||||||
| Free Cash Flow | 202.09M | 138.70M | 534.00M | 583.70M | 771.40M | 550.40M |
| Operating Cash Flow | 416.21M | 334.30M | 758.50M | 876.20M | 1.08B | 786.90M |
| Investing Cash Flow | 156.92M | 149.50M | -213.10M | -268.50M | -356.20M | -101.70M |
| Financing Cash Flow | -520.31M | -700.20M | -492.20M | -742.50M | -552.80M | -1.03B |
Tullow Oil Technical Analysis
Price Trends
Market Momentum
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TUWOY, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 0.07 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.07, below the 50-day MA of 0.11, and below the 200-day MA of 0.09, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.01 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 31.68 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 8.46 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for TUWOY.
Tullow Oil Peers Comparison
Overall Rating
APA79Outperform
GPRK66Neutral
KOS66Neutral
EGY56Neutral- TUWOY48Neutral
GTE42Neutral
Financial Indicators
| Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| APA | 79Outperform | $18.51B | 11.17 | 26.27% | 1.89% | -12.44% | 58.92% |
| GPRK | 66Neutral | $706.07M | 7.30 | 29.19% | 0.97% | -9.51% | 83.18% |
| KOS | 66Neutral | $1.70B | -2.39 | -81.93% | ― | 9.93% | -253.33% |
| Sector * | 65Neutral | $15.17B | 7.61 | 4.09% | 5.20% | 3.87% | -62.32% |
| EGY | 56Neutral | $677.44M | -6.08 | -25.99% | 3.88% | -25.46% | -387.85% |
| TUWOY | 48Neutral | $211.90M | -3.95 | 20.15% | ― | -18.81% | 28.10% |
| GTE | 42Neutral | $400.86M | -1.57 | -122.23% | ― | 2.69% | -289.33% |
* Energy Sector Average
Performance Comparison
| Show on chart | Ticker | Company Name | Price | Change | % Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TUWOY | Tullow Oil plc Unsponsored ADR | 0.07 | 0.01 | 9.38% | |
| APA | APA Corp. | 52.82 | 30.96 | 141.58% | |
| GTE | Gran Tierra Energy Inc | 11.33 | 7.81 | 221.88% | |
| KOS | Kosmos Energy Ltd | 2.85 | 1.37 | 92.57% | |
| EGY | Vaalco Energy | 6.44 | 2.75 | 74.29% | |
| GPRK | GeoPark | 10.88 | 3.01 | 38.19% |
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.
Date of analysis: Oct 01, 2026