GeoPark (GPRK) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: $342.75M
• Dividend Yield: 8.27%
• Average Volume (3M): 1.46M
• Price to Earnings (P/E): 8.4
• Beta (1Y): 0.55
• Revenue Growth: -25.23%
• EPS Growth: -56.59%
• Country: US
• Employees: 476
• Sector: Energy
• Sector Strength: 52
• Industry: Oil & Gas Exploration & Production
• EPS (TTM): -0.20
• Shares Outstanding: 51,309,776
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 1,170,069
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 1,456,754
• PEG Ratio: -0.89
• Price to Book (P/B): 2.39
• Price to Sales (P/S): 0.74
• P/FCF Ratio: 1.74
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: 2.11
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: 1.29
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: 2.34
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: 2.42
• 1Y Price Target: $9.50
• Price Target Upside: 58.33% Upside
• Rating Consensus: Moderate Buy
• Number of Analyst Covering: 2

• Rating: 65 Neutral
• Price Target: $7.00 ▲(16.67% Upside)

GeoPark's overall stock score reflects a balance of strong valuation and operational efficiency against challenges in revenue growth and high leverage. The company's strategic focus on core assets and cost management is promising, but financial risks and production declines remain concerns.

GeoPark Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

GeoPark Limited (GPRK) is a leading independent oil and gas company focused on the exploration, development, and production of hydrocarbons in Latin America. The company operates in various regions, including Colombia, Brazil, Chile, and Argentina, and is known for its commitment to sustainable practices and operational excellence. GeoPark's core products and services encompass the extraction and sale of crude oil and natural gas, as well as the provision of associated technical services in the energy sector.

How the Company Makes Money

GeoPark primarily generates revenue through the exploration and production of oil and natural gas, selling these hydrocarbons on the open market. The company's revenue model is largely driven by the sale of crude oil, which constitutes a significant portion of its earnings. Additionally, GeoPark benefits from the fluctuating prices of oil and gas, which can impact its revenue positively or negatively. Key revenue streams include the production of oil from its operated and non-operated fields and the potential for future growth through ongoing exploration and new project developments. The company also engages in strategic partnerships and joint ventures to enhance its operational capabilities and expand its resource base, which further contributes to its earnings. Furthermore, GeoPark's focus on cost management and operational efficiency plays a crucial role in maximizing profitability.

GeoPark Financial Statement Overview

Summary

GeoPark's financial performance is mixed. Strong operational efficiencies and cash flow are offset by revenue decline and high leverage. The income statement shows solid margins, but the balance sheet reveals financial stability concerns due to high debt levels.

Income Statement

GeoPark's income statement reveals mixed performance. The Gross Profit Margin for the most recent year is approximately 75.2%, indicating strong cost management relative to revenue. However, there is a notable decrease in total revenue from $756.6 million in 2023 to $660.8 million in 2024, reflecting a revenue decline of about 12.7%. Net Profit Margin stands at 14.6%, suggesting moderate profitability given the industry's volatile environment. EBIT and EBITDA Margins are solid at 41.4% and 63.4% respectively, showing efficiency in operations despite revenue challenges.

Balance Sheet

The balance sheet indicates some financial stability concerns. The Debt-to-Equity Ratio is elevated at 2.53, highlighting significant leverage and potential risk if earnings do not improve. Return on Equity is relatively high at 47.4%, but this is driven by a low equity base, which implies financial risk. The Equity Ratio is 16.9%, indicating a reliance on debt financing with limited equity cushioning, which could pose challenges during downturns.

Cash Flow

GeoPark's cash flow statement shows healthy cash generation. Operating Cash Flow of $471 million is robust, with an Operating Cash Flow to Net Income ratio of 4.89, suggesting strong cash earnings quality. Free Cash Flow has increased substantially by 174.5%, improving liquidity. However, the Free Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio is 2.9, indicating efficient cash conversion, which is a positive sign for financial flexibility.

Breakdown	TTM	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021	Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue	560.35M	660.80M	756.63M	1.05B	688.54M	393.69M
Gross Profit	309.08M	496.80M	403.37M	593.10M	386.78M	150.55M
EBITDA	299.12M	409.07M	381.26M	548.67M	281.48M	-2.43M
Net Income	43.14M	96.38M	111.07M	224.44M	61.13M	-232.95M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	1.07B	1.20B	1.02B	974.00M	895.74M	960.27M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	266.04M	296.84M	133.04M	128.80M	101.47M	201.94M
Total Debt	651.78M	540.26M	533.28M	497.60M	694.84M	806.93M
Total Liabilities	865.98M	996.76M	840.53M	858.40M	957.69M	1.07B
Stockholders Equity	203.42M	203.29M	176.02M	115.60M	-61.95M	-109.19M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	100.61M	279.70M	101.90M	298.69M	87.52M	93.40M
Operating Cash Flow	240.46M	471.00M	300.94M	467.50M	216.78M	168.70M
Investing Cash Flow	-85.62M	-226.85M	-198.59M	-153.70M	-126.56M	-347.63M
Financing Cash Flow	44.87M	-99.20M	-98.72M	-286.55M	-190.44M	271.14M

GeoPark Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Positive
• Last Price: 6.00
• 50DMA: Positive
• 100DMA: Positive
• 200DMA: Positive
• MACD: Negative
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GPRK, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 6 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 6.41, below the 50-day MA of 6.40, and below the 200-day MA of 7.06, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.02 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 64.51 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 74.02 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for GPRK.

GeoPark Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
EGY	72 Outperform	$392.01M	10.69	7.60%	6.36%	-2.71%	-54.82%
PNRG	70 Outperform	$255.22M	10.75	18.75%	―	22.97%	-19.37%
Sector *	65 Neutral	$15.17B	7.61	4.09%	5.20%	3.87%	-62.32%
GPRK	65 Neutral	$342.75M	8.42	22.94%	8.27%	-25.23%	-56.59%
BRY	64 Neutral	$262.29M	54.04	0.75%	3.45%	-16.08%	―
GFR	64 Neutral	$316.04M	2.15	25.41%	―	-11.62%	―
ANNA	45 Neutral	$340.32M	―	-65.43%	―	―	-935.70%

GeoPark Corporate Events

GeoPark Unveils Strategic Plan and Dividend Update at Investor Day

On October 21, 2025, GeoPark Limited announced its new long-term strategic plan and capital allocation framework at its Investor Day event. The plan includes a focus on disciplined growth, leveraging its operations in Colombia and recent acquisition in Argentina’s Vaca Muerta formation. GeoPark aims to maintain balance sheet strength and generate cash flow surplus. The company also updated its dividend program, planning a total distribution of $6 million over the next year, with a suspension starting in the third quarter of 2026 to accommodate increased capital expenditures. Additionally, GeoPark completed a $100 million debt repurchase program to strengthen its financial position.

GeoPark Acquires Key Assets in Vaca Muerta

On September 25, 2025, GeoPark Limited announced its acquisition of a 100% operated working interest in the Loma Jarillosa Este and Puesto Silva Oeste blocks in the Vaca Muerta formation, Argentina, from Pluspetrol S.A. This strategic move marks GeoPark’s entry into the Vaca Muerta, a renowned unconventional oil and gas play, enhancing its production capacity and reserve base. The acquisition is expected to increase GeoPark’s production to approximately 30,000 boepd by the end of 2025 and contribute significantly to its EBITDA. The transaction is anticipated to close by the end of 2025, with GeoPark planning substantial investments to develop the acquired assets, aiming for a production plateau by 2028.

GeoPark Announces AGM Voting Results and Director Re-elections

On August 6, 2025, GeoPark Limited announced the results of its Annual General Meeting of Shareholders, which was initially scheduled for July 30, 2025, but adjourned due to a lack of quorum. During the meeting, all proposed resolutions were approved, including the re-election of several directors and the appointment of Ernst & Young Audit S.A.S. as external auditors for the fiscal year ending December 31, 2025. These decisions are expected to maintain stability in the company’s governance and financial oversight, potentially impacting its operational efficiency and investor confidence.

GeoPark Reports Q2 2025 Financial Results with Notable Revenue Decline

GeoPark Limited reported its financial results for the three-month and six-month periods ending June 30, 2025, revealing a decrease in revenue compared to the same periods in 2024. The company experienced a net loss of $10.3 million for the three-month period in 2025, a significant decline from the $25.7 million profit in 2024. This downturn was attributed to increased financial expenses and impairment losses on non-financial assets, impacting the company’s operational performance and market position.

GeoPark Reports Resilient Q2 2025 Results Amid Market Challenges

GeoPark Limited reported its financial results for the second quarter of 2025, highlighting resilient performance despite challenges such as lower production volumes and oil prices. The company achieved an adjusted EBITDA of $71.5 million, a 19% decrease from the previous quarter, due to reduced prices and production. However, proactive cost management and strategic divestments, including the sale of non-core assets in Ecuador, helped mitigate losses. The company declared a quarterly cash dividend and emphasized ongoing efforts to enhance cost and capital efficiency, aiming for long-term growth and competitiveness. GeoPark’s strategic initiatives include debt reduction and a comprehensive efficiency program, which have already yielded significant savings. The company’s hedging strategy and capital allocation review further underscore its commitment to financial stability and value-accretive growth.

GeoPark Limited Reschedules AGM Due to Lack of Quorum

GeoPark Limited announced that its Annual General Meeting (AGM), initially convened on July 30, 2025, was adjourned due to a lack of quorum. The meeting is rescheduled to take place on August 6, 2025, in Bermuda. This delay in the AGM may impact the company’s operational timelines and decision-making processes, potentially affecting stakeholders who are awaiting resolutions or updates from the meeting.

GeoPark Updates Q2 2025 Financial Results Release Schedule

GeoPark Limited announced an update to the schedule for its second quarter 2025 financial results release and conference call. The results will be reported on August 5, 2025, after market close, with a conference call scheduled for August 6, 2025. This update ensures stakeholders are informed of the revised timeline, allowing them to prepare for the discussion of the company’s financial performance.