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GeoPark
(NYSE:GPRK)
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Rating:62Neutral
Price Target:
$12.00
▲(23.20% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:08/10/26
The score is driven by a mixed financial profile: solid profitability and renewed TTM revenue growth, but tempered by meaningful leverage and volatile/free-cash-flow weakness. Valuation is a clear positive with a low P/E and a moderate dividend. The latest earnings call was cautiously positive on operations and liquidity, while cost inflation and higher planned CapEx create near-term risk. Technicals remain soft, limiting the overall score despite favorable valuation.
Positive Factors
Renewed Profitability
The return to revenue growth alongside a healthy net margin indicates improving operating performance after several years of contraction. If sustained, stronger profitability can support internal investment, debt servicing, and resilience across the next several quarters.
Negative Factors
Meaningful Leverage
Debt remains substantial relative to equity for a cyclical upstream producer, even though leverage has improved from prior years. A downturn in commodity prices or production could pressure cash available for interest, investment, and shareholder distributions while amplifying financial downside.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Renewed Profitability
The return to revenue growth alongside a healthy net margin indicates improving operating performance after several years of contraction. If sustained, stronger profitability can support internal investment, debt servicing, and resilience across the next several quarters.
Read all positive factors
GeoPark (GPRK) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)
Market Cap
$757.99M
Dividend Yield0.92%
Average Volume (3M)772.97K
Price to Earnings (P/E)7.8
Beta (1Y)0.45
Revenue Growth-9.51%
EPS Growth83.18%
CountryUS
Employees382
SectorEnergy
Sector Strength52
IndustryOil & Gas Exploration & Production
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)1.49
Shares Outstanding64,896,380
10 Day Avg. Volume591,946
30 Day Avg. Volume772,968
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio-0.16
Price to Book (P/B)1.55
Price to Sales (P/S)0.78
P/FCF Ratio-4.56
Enterprise Value/Market Cap1.25
Enterprise Value/Revenue1.73
Enterprise Value/Gross Profit3.49
Enterprise Value/Ebitda3.65
Forecast
1Y Price Target
$13.50Price Target Upside38.60% Upside
Rating ConsensusModerate Buy
Number of Analyst Covering1
EPS Forecast (FY)1.35
Revenue Forecast (FY)$594.33M
GeoPark Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
GeoPark Limited is an energy firm primarily engaged in the discovery, development, and extraction of petroleum and natural gas resources. Its operational footprint extends across multiple Latin American nations, specifically Chile, Colombia, Brazi...
How the Company Makes Money
GeoPark’s primary source of revenue is the sale of hydrocarbons it produces—mainly crude oil (and to a lesser extent natural gas and related liquids)—from its operated and non-operated fields. Revenue is generally recognized based on production vo...
GeoPark Earnings Call Summary
Earnings Call Date:Aug 04, 2026
(Q2-2026)
| % Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Nov 03, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call emphasized operational consistency and strategic progress (stable production, sequential revenue growth of 12%, adjusted EBITDA margin of 51%, Argentina execution including fracked wells and a secured rig, and a strong balance sheet with $316M cash and 1.2x net leverage). These positives were balanced against near-term cost headwinds: lifting costs rose materially (from $14.7 to $17.8/bbl, ~21% increase), first-half OpEx averaged $16.2/bbl above guidance, notable hedging losses (~$41M), and currency/energy price pressures that push expected full-year lifting costs to $17–19/bbl. Management presented mitigation actions (efficiency, energy sourcing, hedging strategy) and growth options (potential CapEx up to $250M and RIGI application), indicating confidence in both protecting cash flow and pursuing value-accretive growth. Overall, highlights (resilient production, solid margins, Argentina progress, strong liquidity) outweigh the lowlights (cost inflation, hedging loss, modest net income), pointing to a cautiously positive outlook.Positive Updates
Stable Production
Average production of 37.3 thousand barrels of oil equivalent per day in Q2 2026, performing within full-year guidance and broadly in line with Q1 2026.
Negative Updates
Rising Operating Costs and FX Pressure
Lifting cost increased from $14.7/bbl to $17.8/bbl quarter-to-quarter (approximately a 21% increase). First-half average lifting cost was $16.2/bbl, above prior guidance of $13–15/bbl. Management now expects full-year lifting costs in the $17–19/bbl range, driven by Colombian and Argentine currency appreciation and higher energy costs (FX impact estimated at $2.1–$2.5/bbl and energy cost impact ~+$1.5/bbl).
Read all updates
Q2-2026 Updates
Positive
Negative
Stable Production
Average production of 37.3 thousand barrels of oil equivalent per day in Q2 2026, performing within full-year guidance and broadly in line with Q1 2026.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
The company reiterated its production and financial guidance while adding a number of specific metrics: Q2 production averaged 37.3 kbbl/d (bbl/d equivalent) and management said results are within full‑year guidance; Argentina (Vaca Muerta) is targeted to reach ~5–6 kbbl/d exit production by year‑end 2026, with 2H‑2026 Vaca Muerta CapEx of about $40–50m (70–80% in Q3) and the full‑year CapEx program potentially accelerated from the prior $190–220m range up to ~$250m; lifting cost guidance was raised from the prior $13–15/bbl to an expected $17–19/bbl for the year (H1 average lifting cost $16.2/bbl; Q1 $14.7, Q2 $17.8), with FX and energy drivers (~$2.1–2.5/bbl FX impact and ~$1.5/bbl energy impact) and ~ $2.5m OpEx per 100‑peso/USD move sensitivity; hedging covers ~19 kbbl/d in 2026 (floors ~$65/ceiling ~$72–73) and ~19 kbbl/d of expected 2027 production already protected (recently quoted floors ~$75 with ceilings ~$85–86), cash was $316m, net leverage 1.2x EBITDA, adjusted EBITDA was $73.1m (51% margin) in Q2, ROACE ~19%, and the board approved a $0.023/share dividend.GeoPark Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
74
Positive
Balance Sheet
56
Neutral
Cash Flow
49
Neutral
| Breakdown | TTM | Dec 2025 | Dec 2024 | Dec 2023 | Dec 2022 | Dec 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | ||||||
| Total Revenue | 548.25M | 492.52M | 660.84M | 756.63M | 1.05B | 688.54M |
| Gross Profit | 272.24M | 234.27M | 366.14M | 403.37M | 593.11M | 386.78M |
| EBITDA | 259.78M | 219.92M | 409.07M | 372.74M | 533.99M | 267.16M |
| Net Income | 81.12M | 49.67M | 96.38M | 111.07M | 224.44M | 61.13M |
Balance Sheet | ||||||
| Total Assets | 1.29B | 1.04B | 1.20B | 1.02B | 973.98M | 895.74M |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 316.30M | 100.30M | 296.84M | 133.04M | 128.84M | 101.47M |
| Total Debt | 660.13M | 579.54M | 540.26M | 533.28M | 529.69M | 694.84M |
| Total Liabilities | 925.50M | 794.60M | 996.76M | 840.53M | 858.39M | 957.69M |
| Stockholders Equity | 364.50M | 245.80M | 203.29M | 176.02M | 115.58M | -61.95M |
Cash Flow | ||||||
| Free Cash Flow | 59.48M | -83.65M | 279.70M | 101.90M | 298.69M | 87.52M |
| Operating Cash Flow | 209.65M | 14.71M | 471.00M | 300.94M | 467.50M | 216.78M |
| Investing Cash Flow | -259.50M | -155.50M | -226.85M | -198.59M | -153.70M | -126.56M |
| Financing Cash Flow | 100.79M | -36.12M | -99.20M | -98.72M | -286.55M | -190.44M |
GeoPark Technical Analysis
Positive
9.74
Price Trends
10.90
Positive
10.41
Positive
9.61
Positive
Market Momentum
0.22
Negative
55.06
Neutral
45.63
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GPRK, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 9.74 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 11.29, below the 50-day MA of 10.90, and above the 200-day MA of 9.61, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.22 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 55.06 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 45.63 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for GPRK.
GeoPark Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
79 Outperform | $17.48B | 10.49 | 26.27% | 2.01% | -12.44% | 58.92% | |
67 Neutral | $7.74B | 8.97 | 31.04% | 2.00% | 78.68% | 34.53% | |
65 Neutral | $15.17B | 7.61 | 4.09% | 5.20% | 3.87% | -62.32% | |
62 Neutral | $757.99M | 7.75 | 29.19% | 0.92% | -9.51% | 83.18% | |
57 Neutral | $656.40M | -5.90 | -25.99% | 4.00% | -25.46% | -387.85% | |
55 Neutral | $400.15M | -1.60 | -122.23% | ― | 2.69% | -289.33% | |
53 Neutral | $1.64B | -2.27 | -81.93% | 6.93% | 9.93% | -253.33% |
* Energy Sector Average
GPRK
GeoPark
11.55
4.53
64.46%
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GeoPark Corporate Events
GeoPark Prices US$550 Million Senior Notes Offering to Refinance Debt and Fund Vaca Muerta Development
Oct 22, 2026
On October 21, 2026, GeoPark Limited announced it had priced a private offering of U.S.$550 million in 9.500% senior notes due 2033, sold to qualified institutional buyers under Rule 144A and to non-U.S. investors under Regulation S and guaranteed...
GeoPark Triples Vaca Muerta Footprint with New Corralera Noreste Block Award
Oct 21, 2026
On October 21, 2026, GeoPark announced it had secured the Corralera Noreste block in Argentina’s Neuquén Basin, tripling its Vaca Muerta acreage and reinforcing its long-term unconventional growth strategy. Awarded in a competitive prov...
GeoPark Launches Note Offering and Cash Tender as Part of Refinancing Drive
Oct 16, 2026
On October 16, 2026, GeoPark announced plans to issue new senior notes in a private U.S. dollar offering to qualified institutional buyers and non-U.S. investors, with guarantees from certain subsidiaries. The company expects to use the proceeds t...
GeoPark Updates Investors on IFRS Reporting and Non-IFRS Metrics Amid Latin America Expansion
Oct 16, 2026
GeoPark has filed a Form 6-K for October 2026, updating investors on its financial reporting framework and operational metrics, including the incorporation by reference of audited 2023-2025 annual and unaudited interim financial statements as of J...
GeoPark Posts Q3 2026 Output Growth and Advances Venezuela Entry
Oct 15, 2026
GeoPark reported solid operational performance in the third quarter of 2026, with consolidated production rising 2.6% quarter-on-quarter to 27,973 boepd, driven by resilient Colombian output and a sharp increase in Argentine volumes. The company h...
GeoPark Seals Strategic Venezuela Entry and New Control Structure With Grupo Gilinski
Sep 3, 2026
On September 2, 2026, GeoPark announced a strategic entry into Venezuela via the Bare Block, a large brownfield heavy oil asset in the Orinoco Belt with roughly 15.7 billion barrels of oil in place and about 1,100 existing wells. The company sees ...
GeoPark Posts Strong Profit Rebound in First Half of 2026
Aug 5, 2026
GeoPark Limited reported significantly improved financial performance for the three- and six-month periods ended June 30, 2026, compared with the same periods in 2025. Revenue increased to $143.3 million in the second quarter and $271.7 million in...
GeoPark Posts Strong Q2 2026 Results While Ramping Up Vaca Muerta Investment
Aug 5, 2026
In the second quarter ended June 30, 2026, GeoPark delivered stable production of 27,271 boepd from Colombia and Argentina, higher realized prices and a 12% sequential revenue increase to $143.3 million. Adjusted EBITDA edged up to $73.1 million d...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.