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Kosmos Energy (KOS) AI Stock Analysis
Kosmos Energy
(NYSE:KOS)
Overall score is weighed down primarily by weak financial quality (TTM losses and high leverage) and bearish technicals (below all key moving averages with negative MACD). The latest earnings call provides a meaningful offset, highlighting strong cost reductions, improving production/cash flow, and debt reduction, but near-term operational softness and refinancing needs remain key risks.
Kosmos Energy Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)
Revenue by GeographyBreaks down revenue by country or basin to show where production and sales originate, exposing geographical concentration or diversification. For Kosmos Energy, geographic revenue trends signal which assets are driving growth, where production additions matter most, and where political or logistical risks could dent top-line performance.
Revenue is shifting from one‑off corporate/Equatorial Guinea volatility toward sustained cash flow from Ghana and the GTA: Mauritania/Senegal went from zero to meaningful receipts in 2025–H1 2026 as GTA cargos and domestic‑gas projects ramp, while Ghana remains the largest but shows quarter‑to‑quarter swings tied to Jubilee operational timing. The large March 2026 eliminations/corporate swings reflect asset sale and farm‑down activity (EG sale/Tiberius), which reduced high‑cost barrels and funded material debt paydown and liquidity — lowering the company’s cost profile and de‑risking growth capex.
The FlyKosmos Energy (KOS) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)
- Market Cap
- $1.34B
- Dividend Yield
- ―
- Average Volume (3M)
- 13.44M
- Price to Earnings (P/E)
- -2.2
- Beta (1Y)
- 0.58
- Revenue Growth
- 22.91%
- EPS Growth
- -44.22%
- Country
- US
- Employees
- 216
- Sector
- Energy
- Sector Strength
- 65
- Industry
- Oil & Gas Exploration & Production
Kosmos Energy Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
Kosmos Energy Ltd. operates as an independent company primarily engaged in deep-water oil and gas exploration and production, strategically concentrating its operations along the Atlantic Margins. Its core holdings encompass productive oil assets loc...
How the Company Makes Money
Kosmos Energy makes money primarily by producing and selling hydrocarbons (crude oil, natural gas, and in some cases liquefied natural gas (LNG) through integrated project structures) from its operated and non-operated offshore fields. Revenue is gen...
Kosmos Energy Earnings Call Summary
The call was strongly positive overall. Kosmos reported higher production, substantial operating-cost reductions, nearly doubled EBITDAX, robust free cash flow, significant debt reduction, improved liquidity, successful financing actions, and progress across its Ghana, GTA, Gulf of America, and exploration portfolios. The main challenges were expected fourth-quarter production declines, Jubilee reservoir-management requirements, financing costs, and the need to address the 2028 maturity and higher-cost debt.
Q3-2026 Updates
Positive Updates
Negative Updates
Company Guidance
Kosmos expects Jubilee’s annual guidance to remain 70,000 to 80,000 barrels of oil per day, with year-to-date production through end 3Q around 75,000 barrels of oil per day, water injection above 120%, and high FPSO uptime of around 98% or above; the objective is probably to exit the fourth quarter around the mid-70s, with the best view being 3 cargoes in the fourth quarter. GTA is on track to achieve the upper end of its 32 to 36 gross LNG cargo guidance, while 2026 free cash flow is expected to be around $300 million, net of any hedging impact, which is expected to be around $200 million for the year; year-end 2027 net debt is targeted at around $2 billion at strip prices.
Kosmos Energy Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Held back by TTM net losses and a highly leveraged balance sheet (debt far exceeds equity), despite improving operations (rebounding gross/EBITDA margins) and positive TTM operating cash flow and free cash flow.
Income Statement
38NegativeBalance Sheet
30NegativeCash Flow
46Neutral| Breakdown | TTM | Dec 2025 | Dec 2024 | Dec 2023 | Dec 2022 | Dec 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | ||||||
| Total Revenue | 1.74B | 1.30B | 1.68B | 1.70B | 2.25B | 1.33B |
| Gross Profit | 600.83M | -191.45M | 688.07M | 866.58M | 1.34B | 518.79M |
| EBITDA | 378.48M | -9.82M | 894.42M | 930.52M | 968.85M | 546.25M |
| Net Income | -460.95M | -699.79M | 189.85M | 213.52M | 226.55M | -77.84M |
Balance Sheet | ||||||
| Total Assets | 4.26B | 4.70B | 5.31B | 4.94B | 4.58B | 4.94B |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 103.75M | 91.52M | 84.97M | 95.34M | 183.41M | 131.62M |
| Total Debt | 2.66B | 3.06B | 2.76B | 2.39B | 2.23B | 2.62B |
| Total Liabilities | 3.59B | 4.17B | 4.11B | 3.91B | 3.79B | 4.41B |
| Stockholders Equity | 669.18M | 528.59M | 1.20B | 1.03B | 787.85M | 529.24M |
Cash Flow | ||||||
| Free Cash Flow | 182.57M | -180.40M | -255.41M | -167.43M | 321.10M | -563.65M |
| Operating Cash Flow | 480.85M | 134.01M | 678.25M | 765.17M | 1.13B | 374.34M |
| Investing Cash Flow | -182.84M | -401.20M | -966.06M | -994.85M | -703.86M | -973.38M |
| Financing Cash Flow | -217.88M | 299.65M | 274.32M | 141.62M | -414.70M | 624.16M |
Kosmos Energy Technical Analysis
Price Trends
Market Momentum
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For KOS, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 2.25 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 2.70, below the 50-day MA of 2.73, and below the 200-day MA of 2.54, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.05 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 35.38 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 22.97 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for KOS.
Kosmos Energy Risk Analysis
Kosmos Energy disclosed 52 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Kosmos Energy reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
- Finance & Corporate18
- Tech & Innovation3
- Legal & Regulatory9
- Production15
- Ability to Sell2
- Macro & Political5
Latest Risks Added
0 New RisksKosmos Energy Peers Comparison
Overall Rating
APA71Outperform
MUR62Neutral
TALO58Neutral
EGY57Neutral
WTI55Neutral- KOS48Neutral
Financial Indicators
| Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| APA | 71Outperform | $16.74B | 9.40 | 26.27% | 2.25% | -12.44% | 58.92% |
| Sector * | 65Neutral | $15.17B | 7.61 | 4.09% | 5.20% | 3.87% | -62.32% |
| MUR | 62Neutral | $5.66B | 11.02 | 5.71% | 3.83% | 7.73% | 5.87% |
| TALO | 58Neutral | $2.69B | -6.85 | -19.60% | ― | 13.47% | -14.46% |
| EGY | 57Neutral | $590.13M | -5.10 | -25.99% | 4.63% | -25.46% | -387.85% |
| WTI | 55Neutral | $548.33M | -9.44 | 25.13% | 1.25% | 20.26% | 65.62% |
| KOS | 48Neutral | $1.54B | -2.25 | -76.26% | ― | 22.91% | -44.22% |
* Energy Sector Average
Performance Comparison
| Show on chart | Ticker | Company Name | Price | Change | % Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KOS | Kosmos Energy Ltd | 2.25 | 0.79 | 54.11% | |
| APA | APA Corp. | 44.49 | 21.32 | 92.04% | |
| MUR | Murphy Oil | 35.94 | 8.63 | 31.58% | |
| EGY | Vaalco Energy | 5.40 | 1.68 | 45.01% | |
| WTI | W&t Offshore | 3.21 | 1.20 | 59.54% | |
| TALO | Talos Energy | 15.61 | 5.23 | 50.39% |
Kosmos Energy Corporate Events
Kosmos Energy Amends Debt Facility, Extends Maturity
NeutralOn October 30, 2026, Kosmos Energy Ltd. amended and restated its commercial debt facility, extending final maturity to April 1, 2033. Principal amortization was deferred until October 1, 2029, with reductions thereafter every six months and a 4.50% i...
Kosmos Energy Reports Strong Third-Quarter 2026 Operating Results
PositiveKosmos Energy, an oil and gas company producing and developing oil, natural gas and LNG assets in Ghana, Mauritania and Senegal, and the Gulf of America, reported its third-quarter 2026 results on November 2, 2026. The company posted a $43 million ne...
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.
Date of analysis: Nov 05, 2026