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Thinkific Labs (TSE:THNC)
TSX:THNC
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Thinkific Labs (THNC) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:THNC

Thinkific Labs

(TSX:THNC)

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Neutral 59 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:59Neutral
Price Target:
C$2.50
▲(18.48% Upside)
Thinkific Labs' strong revenue growth and improved cash flow management are significant positives, but these are offset by high operational costs and consistent net losses. The stock's technical indicators show bullish momentum, yet the high P/E ratio suggests overvaluation. The absence of earnings call data and corporate events means these factors do not influence the score.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
The consistent revenue growth indicates a robust market position and successful product adoption, supporting long-term business expansion.
Cash Flow Improvement
Positive cash flow reflects enhanced operational efficiency and cost control, providing financial flexibility for future investments.
Strong Gross Margins
High gross margins indicate effective pricing strategies and cost management, supporting profitability as the company scales.
Negative Factors
Consistent Net Losses
Ongoing net losses highlight challenges in achieving profitability, which could hinder long-term financial sustainability.
High Operational Costs
High operational costs can erode profit margins, necessitating cost management improvements to enhance financial performance.
Declining Assets and Equity
Decreasing assets and equity may indicate challenges in asset management and capital retention, affecting long-term growth potential.

Thinkific Labs (THNC) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Thinkific Labs Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionThinkific Labs Inc. develops, markets, and supports cloud-based platform in Canada, the United States, and internationally. The company's platform enables entrepreneurs and established businesses to create, market, sell, and deliver online courses and other learning products. The company was incorporated in 2012 and is headquartered in Vancouver, Canada.
How the Company Makes MoneyThinkific Labs generates revenue primarily through a subscription-based model, offering various pricing tiers for its platform that cater to different user needs. These tiers include features such as course creation tools, marketing integrations, and advanced analytics, with higher-priced plans providing more extensive capabilities. Additionally, the company earns revenue from transaction fees for course sales made through its platform, as well as from add-on services such as coaching and consulting. Thinkific also engages in strategic partnerships with other educational technology firms and marketing agencies, enabling it to expand its reach and enhance its offerings, further contributing to its revenue streams.

Thinkific Labs Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 06, 2025
(Q3-2024)
|
Next Earnings Date:Nov 12, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted strong growth in key areas such as Thinkific Plus and Commerce adoption. While Self Serve ARR growth was flat, the company showed positive financial performance with increased revenue and EBITDA. Strategic investments and new board members indicate a commitment to future growth.
Q3-2024 Updates
Positive Updates
Growth in Thinkific Plus and Self Serve
Thinkific Plus revenue growth accelerated to 32% with record new customer bookings. Self Serve revenue grew by 10% year-over-year.
Increase in Thinkific Commerce Adoption
Commerce revenue was up 88% from the prior year, with GMV penetration increasing to 47% from 40% in the prior quarter.
Improved ARPU and Revenue
ARPU increased by 13% to $165 per month, and Q3 2024 revenue was $17.2 million, up 15% from the prior year.
Positive EBITDA and Cash Flow
Adjusted EBITDA was $930,000, with positive cash flow from operations of $2.5 million.
Strategic Investments and Board Additions
The company completed a headcount increase in the Plus sales team and added new members to the board of directors.
Negative Updates
Flat Self Serve ARR
Self Serve ARR was relatively flat quarter-over-quarter, indicating stabilization rather than growth.
Minor Challenges with Gateway Fee Introduction
The introduction of the gateway fee did not result in significant churn, but it caused some minor issues.
Company Guidance
During Thinkific's Q3 2024 earnings call, the company provided a positive outlook, highlighting several key metrics. Revenue for Q3 reached $17.2 million, marking a 15% increase from the previous year, driven by significant growth in both Thinkific Plus and Self Serve segments. The company achieved a penetration rate of 47% in Thinkific Commerce, up from 40% the prior quarter, while Plus revenue grew by 32%, aided by record new customer bookings. Gross payments volume (GPV) surged to $52.4 million, a 50% year-over-year increase. Additionally, the company maintained an adjusted EBITDA margin of 5.4% and reported a solid cash position of $50 million. Looking ahead, Thinkific projected Q4 revenue between $17.6 million and $17.9 million, reflecting a continuation of growth trends.

Thinkific Labs Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Thinkific Labs displays strong revenue growth and improving cash flow metrics, which are positive indicators for future potential. However, consistent net losses and high operational costs weigh on profitability. A stable balance sheet with low leverage provides financial stability, but declining assets and equity suggest room for improvement in capital management.
Income Statement
60
Neutral
Thinkific Labs has shown strong revenue growth over recent years, increasing from $21 million in 2020 to $66 million in 2024, indicating a positive growth trajectory. However, the company consistently reports negative EBIT and net income, which impacts profitability. Gross profit margins are healthy at approximately 75%, but significant operating losses suggest high operational costs.
Balance Sheet
55
Neutral
The balance sheet reflects a solid equity base with stockholders' equity at $41.6 million in 2024. The debt-to-equity ratio is low, demonstrating conservative leverage. However, the decline in total assets and equity from 2023 to 2024 suggests potential challenges in asset management and capital retention.
Cash Flow
65
Positive
Thinkific Labs has improved its free cash flow position, turning from negative in 2023 to a positive $6.7 million in 2024, highlighting strong cash flow management. Operating cash flow has also turned positive, although the company previously faced cash flow deficits. This improvement suggests better operational efficiency and cost control.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue70.71M66.94M59.05M51.48M38.12M21.07M
Gross Profit52.68M50.31M44.56M39.11M29.21M16.62M
EBITDA-461.00K-1.06M-9.26M-29.75M-23.63M-988.96K
Net Income675.00K-237.00K-9.78M-41.90M-28.44M-1.11M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets63.33M61.37M97.79M102.97M132.40M12.94M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments52.47M49.49M86.61M93.85M126.05M9.07M
Total Debt1.66M1.77M1.03M1.96M875.26K1.36M
Total Liabilities20.14M19.77M15.85M15.12M10.79M7.63M
Stockholders Equity43.19M41.59M81.94M87.85M121.61M5.31M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow9.03M6.75M-5.44M-27.11M-18.91M2.34M
Operating Cash Flow9.19M6.99M-5.43M-25.85M-18.26M2.63M
Investing Cash Flow-152.00K-166.00K53.37K-1.26M-655.16K-289.80K
Financing Cash Flow-4.71M-42.60M-2.41M-241.18K138.26M3.15M

Thinkific Labs Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
71
Outperform
C$4.72B136.848.24%15.11%75.40%
67
Neutral
C$10.17B49.1710.54%15.63%18.47%
67
Neutral
$12.22B18.1812.32%2.76%-5.01%13.21%
65
Neutral
$945.28M31.1149.99%16.25%31.71%
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
61
Neutral
C$2.15B-2.48-37.01%17.23%-435.45%
59
Neutral
C$153.95M164.961.61%16.12%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:THNC
Thinkific Labs
2.11
-0.14
-6.22%
TSE:OTEX
Open Text
48.71
8.26
20.42%
TSE:DSG
The Descartes Systems Group
116.15
-44.56
-27.73%
TSE:KXS
Kinaxis Inc
177.18
6.19
3.62%
TSE:LSPD
Lightspeed POS Inc
18.65
-6.99
-27.26%
TSE:DCBO
Docebo
33.12
-36.52
-52.44%

Thinkific Labs Corporate Events

Financial Disclosures
Thinkific to Announce Q3 2025 Financial Results
Neutral
Oct 15, 2025

Thinkific Labs Inc. has announced the release date for its third quarter 2025 financial results, which will be disclosed after market close on November 12, 2025. The company will host a conference call and webcast to discuss these results, reflecting its ongoing commitment to transparency and engagement with stakeholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:THNC) stock is a Hold with a C$2.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Thinkific Labs stock, see the TSE:THNC Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Thinkific Reports Strong Q2 2025 Results and Strategic Upmarket Shift
Positive
Aug 6, 2025

Thinkific Labs Inc. reported a 12% year-over-year increase in revenue to $18.1 million for the second quarter of 2025, driven by strong adoption of its commerce platform and strategic upmarket shift. The company launched enhancements to its commerce capabilities and communities platform, aiming to address complex needs and improve customer experience. Thinkific’s financial performance and strategic changes, including a simplified capital structure and new board leadership, position it for long-term growth and enhanced shareholder value.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:THNC) stock is a Buy with a C$5.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Thinkific Labs stock, see the TSE:THNC Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 04, 2025