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Docebo (TSE:DCBO)
TSX:DCBO

Docebo (DCBO) AI Stock Analysis

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Docebo

(TSX:DCBO)

Rating:71Outperform
Price Target:
C$41.00
▲(15.14%Upside)
Docebo's strong financial performance, with robust revenue and cash flow growth, is a significant strength. However, technical indicators suggest potential downward pressure, and the cautious guidance from the earnings call introduces some uncertainty. The valuation is moderate, fitting the company's growth trajectory.
Positive Factors
AI and Efficiency
GenAI efficiencies could lead to higher long-term benefits for the company.
Government Sector Penetration
FedRAMP ATO status could allow Docebo to quickly penetrate the government sector.
Product Innovation
Product innovation and monetization opportunities create potential for growth.
Negative Factors
Customer Downsizing
A large customer intends to downsize in 2026, impacting future growth.
Growth Trajectory
Growth trajectory unclear; Move to Equal-weight.
Revenue Growth
Revenue growth is dropping into single-digits and significant changes throughout the c-suite imply capped upside.

Docebo (DCBO) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Docebo Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionDocebo Inc. (DCBO) is a global leader in the e-learning industry, specializing in delivering a highly versatile and scalable Learning Management System (LMS) designed for enterprises of all sizes. Operating primarily within the technology and software sectors, Docebo's platform supports a wide range of learning and development activities, including employee training, customer training, and partner training, enhancing knowledge retention and organizational performance. The company's cloud-based solutions are customizable and integrate seamlessly with existing enterprise software, offering clients a comprehensive suite of features such as content creation, social learning, and advanced reporting capabilities.
How the Company Makes MoneyDocebo generates revenue primarily through subscription-based models, where clients pay on a recurring basis to access their cloud-based learning management system. The company offers various pricing tiers based on the number of active users and specific features required, allowing scalability and flexibility for organizations of different sizes. Additionally, Docebo monetizes through professional services, providing implementation, training, and support services to ensure its clients can maximize the value of their LMS. Strategic partnerships with global technology firms and resellers also broaden the company's market reach and contribute to its revenue streams. As a SaaS provider, Docebo benefits from predictable revenue flows and the opportunity for upselling as clients expand their use of the platform.

Docebo Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 09, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: -20.09%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 07, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call depicted a company experiencing strong growth and innovation, particularly in AI and government sectors, while facing challenges from leadership changes, AWS contract loss, and a cautious macroeconomic approach impacting guidance.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
ARR Growth
Docebo's ARR has grown from $74 million five years ago to $225 million currently, indicating significant growth over the period.
Government Market Entry
Docebo received ATO status, unlocking opportunities to bid and win contracts in the government sector with a strong pipeline developing.
AI and Product Development
Docebo is focusing on AI enablement, transforming its LMS into an AI enterprise learning platform with new features like Docebo Creator and agentic automation initiatives.
Financial Position and Flexibility
The company has $90 million in cash, generated $9 million in free cash flow during the quarter, and repurchased $9 million of shares, indicating strong financial health.
Negative Updates
Leadership Departures
The company announced the departure of key roles including CRO and CPO, which may impact leadership stability.
Guide Reduction
Docebo reduced its full-year revenue guidance due to macroeconomic concerns, with a more measured approach in H2.
AWS Contract Non-Renewal
AWS, a significant customer, decided not to renew its contract with Docebo as of December 31, 2025, impacting future ARR.
Sales Challenges
There is elongation in the sales cycle and deal scrutiny, particularly impacting enterprise sales and new logo growth.
Company Guidance
During the Docebo Q1 2025 earnings call, several key metrics and guidance insights were discussed. The company reported an increase in ARR from $74 million five years ago to $225 million currently. Leadership transitions were highlighted, with the CRO and CPO roles being replaced to align with Docebo's next growth phase. The impact of macroeconomic factors led to a cautious approach in updating the full-year guidance, focusing on reduced new logo growth assumptions while maintaining expansion and retention projections. Professional services revenue is expected to decline year-over-year, countering the previously predicted flat performance. Notably, AWS's decision not to renew its contract by the end of 2025 was addressed, with AWS representing 1.8% of ARR. Despite this, Docebo's enterprise pipeline remains healthy, although there is some deal elongation. The company's focus on AI enhancements, particularly through their Project Harmony initiative, is anticipated to drive future growth. While the guidance reflects a 9-10% expected growth rate, Docebo remains committed to a balanced growth strategy, emphasizing innovation and strategic investments, including in government go-to-market initiatives following their recent ATO status.

Docebo Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Docebo is performing well with strong revenue growth of 23.2% and profitability improvements including a net profit margin of 10.3%. The balance sheet is stable with low leverage (Debt-to-Equity Ratio of 0.02) and strong cash flow generation, evidenced by a 79.0% growth in Free Cash Flow.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Docebo has demonstrated strong revenue growth with a TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) revenue increase of 23.2% from the previous year. The Gross Profit Margin is robust at 80.8%, reflecting efficient cost management. However, the Net Profit Margin shows slight improvement at 10.3%, indicating profitability challenges in earlier periods. The EBIT and EBITDA margins have also improved positively, showcasing enhanced operating efficiency.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The balance sheet is stable with a low Debt-to-Equity Ratio of 0.02, indicating minimal leverage. The Equity Ratio is 26.5%, suggesting a balanced asset-financing structure. Return on Equity (ROE) is decent at 43.9%, reflecting effective use of equity. The company's liquidity position is strong with substantial cash reserves, though a lower equity base compared to previous years could indicate potential risk.
Cash Flow
82
Very Positive
Free Cash Flow has grown by 79.0% from the previous year, demonstrating effective cash management and operational efficiency. The Operating Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio is 1.25, indicating good cash generation from operations relative to profit. The company's ability to generate free cash flow is strong at 1.19 times the Net Income, highlighting solid cash flow health.
Breakdown
TTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
222.82M216.93M180.84M142.91M104.24M62.92M
Gross Profit
180.06M175.64M146.34M114.73M83.46M51.38M
EBIT
18.77M21.29M-3.71M-6.93M-12.98M-5.49M
EBITDA
24.83M27.28M8.28M-15.71M-10.92M-6.04M
Net Income Common Stockholders
23.04M26.74M2.84M7.02M-13.60M-7.65M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
91.90M92.58M72.03M216.47M215.32M219.66M
Total Assets
197.67M190.71M158.38M283.67M268.22M254.61M
Total Debt
1.12M1.50M2.11M3.07M4.00M3.82M
Net Debt
-90.75M-91.05M-69.84M-213.23M-211.32M-215.84M
Total Liabilities
145.24M132.95M107.65M91.46M77.57M53.94M
Stockholders Equity
52.43M57.76M50.72M192.21M190.66M200.67M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
27.43M28.00M15.33M1.21M-4.40M3.71M
Operating Cash Flow
28.77M29.25M15.96M2.29M-3.25M5.16M
Investing Cash Flow
-1.59M-1.50M-9.52M-2.15M-1.15M-3.90M
Financing Cash Flow
-16.16M-6.84M-151.00M1.58M422.00K172.27M

Docebo Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price35.61
Price Trends
50DMA
39.51
Negative
100DMA
45.72
Negative
200DMA
54.76
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.81
Negative
RSI
36.62
Neutral
STOCH
35.60
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:DCBO, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 35.61 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 36.99, below the 50-day MA of 39.51, and below the 200-day MA of 54.76, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.81 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 36.62 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 35.60 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for TSE:DCBO.

Docebo Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
74
Outperform
$9.95B11.3115.87%3.71%-8.74%307.82%
TSKXS
73
Outperform
C$5.67B407.542.32%15.14%-31.45%
71
Outperform
$1.06B33.7041.12%20.52%246.69%
TSDSG
70
Outperform
$11.56B58.3510.66%17.42%22.81%
63
Neutral
C$2.04B-33.64%23.95%39.68%
62
Neutral
$11.80B10.10-7.47%2.99%7.37%-8.16%
56
Neutral
C$137.34M91.402.02%16.58%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:DCBO
Docebo
35.61
-16.34
-31.45%
TSE:DSG
The Descartes Systems Group
134.80
4.71
3.62%
TSE:OTEX
Open Text
38.41
-0.41
-1.06%
TSE:KXS
Kinaxis Inc
200.63
50.34
33.50%
TSE:LSPD
Lightspeed POS Inc
14.84
-4.91
-24.86%
TSE:THNC
Thinkific Labs
2.02
-0.23
-10.22%

Docebo Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Docebo Inc. Announces Shareholder Meeting Results and Auditor Appointment
Positive
Jun 10, 2025

Docebo Inc. announced the results of its annual general meeting of shareholders, where all seven nominees for the board of directors were elected. Additionally, the appointment of KPMG LLP as auditors for the 2025 fiscal year was approved. These outcomes reinforce Docebo’s governance structure and operational stability, potentially strengthening its market position and stakeholder confidence.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:DCBO) stock is a Buy with a C$54.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Docebo stock, see the TSE:DCBO Stock Forecast page.

Shareholder MeetingsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Docebo Announces Shareholder Meeting Results and Auditor Appointment
Positive
Jun 10, 2025

Docebo Inc. announced the results of its annual general meeting of shareholders, where all seven nominees for the board of directors were elected. Additionally, the appointment of KPMG LLP as the company’s auditors for the 2025 fiscal year was approved. These outcomes reflect strong shareholder support and are expected to reinforce Docebo’s strategic direction and operational stability.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:DCBO) stock is a Buy with a C$54.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Docebo stock, see the TSE:DCBO Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Docebo Surpasses Q1 2025 Financial Expectations with Strategic Growth
Positive
May 9, 2025

Docebo Inc. reported strong financial results for the first quarter of 2025, surpassing guidance in both revenue and profitability. The company achieved a total revenue of $57.3 million, marking an 11% increase from the previous year, with subscription revenue accounting for 95% of the total. Notable customer wins included a North American software platform provider and a major luxury hotel chain, highlighting Docebo’s ability to deliver personalized learning experiences. The company’s continued investment in AI and strategic partnerships is expected to drive long-term value and strengthen its market position.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.