Suncor Energy AI Stock Analysis
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Suncor Energy (SU) AI Stock Analysis
Suncor Energy
(TSX:SU)
The score is driven primarily by strong financial performance (high margins, robust cash generation, and sharply reduced leverage) and a very constructive earnings call highlighting record cash flows and increased shareholder returns. Valuation is supportive with a modest P/E and solid dividend yield, while technical signals are mixed due to near-term weakness versus the 20-day average despite strength versus longer-term moving averages.
Suncor Energy (SU) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)
- Market Cap
- CAD 80.67B
- Dividend Yield
- 2.44%
- Average Volume (3M)
- 5.46M
- Price to Earnings (P/E)
- 10.4
- Beta (1Y)
- 0.13
- Revenue Growth
- 27.33%
- EPS Growth
- 120.51%
- Country
- Canada
- Employees
- 15,424
- Sector
- Energy
- Sector Strength
- 65
- Industry
- Oil & Gas Integrated
Suncor Energy Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
Suncor Energy Inc., an integrated energy powerhouse founded in 1917 and headquartered in Calgary, Canada, was formerly known as Suncor Inc. until its name change in April 1997. The company primarily concentrates on the extensive development of petrol...
How the Company Makes Money
Suncor makes money through an integrated value chain that converts hydrocarbon resources into higher-value refined and marketed products. (1) Upstream (Oil Sands and Exploration & Production): Suncor generates revenue by producing crude oil (includin...
Suncor Energy Earnings Call Summary
The call was strongly positive, with record adjusted funds from operations and free funds flow, high production and utilization, record product sales, major turnaround improvements, a stronger balance sheet, increased shareholder returns and continued growth opportunities. The company also discussed operational disruptions, wider WCS differentials, regulatory uncertainty and a lower production target following the offshore asset sale, but management characterized these issues as manageable within Suncor's integrated operating model.
Q3-2026 Updates
Positive Updates
Negative Updates
Company Guidance
Suncor said its 2026 I-Day commitments to grow free funds flow by an additional $2 billion a year and reduce its WTI breakeven by a further $5 per barrel through 2028 remain unchanged; an additional $150 million reduction is included in its 2028 targets. The in situ growth plan remains fundamentally 6 phases of in situ projects over a decade as the base case, while the company is evaluating whether to do more or go faster. The 100 kbd growth target does not add up to that level after the asset sale and “the 100 becomes 60.” Suncor is tracking toward the low end of capital guidance, plans a future at or below $6 billion in capital, and said monthly buybacks increased from $500 million a month to $750 million a month, a level it can sustain for an extended period; it also said it is on track to deliver record annual shareholder returns in 2026.
Suncor Energy Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Strong TTM profitability and margins (net margin ~17.2%) alongside a materially improved balance sheet (debt down to ~$5.2B; debt-to-equity ~0.11). Cash generation is solid (TTM OCF ~$18.2B; FCF ~$12.7B) but remains somewhat cyclical/variable year-to-year, consistent with commodity exposure.
Income Statement
82Very PositiveBalance Sheet
88Very PositiveCash Flow
79Positive| Breakdown | TTM | Dec 2025 | Dec 2024 | Dec 2023 | Dec 2022 | Dec 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | ||||||
| Total Revenue | 64.59B | 48.91B | 50.69B | 49.09B | 58.34B | 39.13B |
| Gross Profit | 28.20B | 21.24B | 19.85B | 19.54B | 24.83B | 15.28B |
| EBITDA | 20.76B | 15.61B | 15.81B | 17.80B | 21.97B | 12.32B |
| Net Income | 11.12B | 5.92B | 6.02B | 8.29B | 9.08B | 4.12B |
Balance Sheet | ||||||
| Total Assets | 97.56B | 89.91B | 89.78B | 88.54B | 84.62B | 83.74B |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 8.00B | 3.65B | 3.48B | 1.73B | 1.98B | 2.21B |
| Total Debt | 14.44B | 18.38B | 14.69B | 15.80B | 16.03B | 18.78B |
| Total Liabilities | 47.89B | 44.79B | 45.27B | 45.26B | 45.25B | 47.13B |
| Stockholders Equity | 49.67B | 45.12B | 44.51B | 43.28B | 39.37B | 36.61B |
Cash Flow | ||||||
| Free Cash Flow | 12.71B | 6.92B | 9.48B | 6.52B | 10.56B | 7.21B |
| Operating Cash Flow | 18.21B | 12.78B | 15.96B | 12.34B | 15.68B | 11.76B |
| Investing Cash Flow | -5.25B | -6.02B | -6.47B | -6.51B | -4.79B | -3.98B |
| Financing Cash Flow | -7.95B | -6.47B | -7.88B | -5.99B | -11.23B | -7.46B |
Suncor Energy Technical Analysis
Price Trends
Market Momentum
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:SU, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 98.21 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 105.53, below the 50-day MA of 100.58, and above the 200-day MA of 88.38, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -1.23 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 42.04 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 17.43 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:SU.
Suncor Energy Peers Comparison
Overall Rating
- TSE:SU80Outperform
TSE:CNQ80Outperform
TSE:IMO80Outperform
TSE:PPL77Outperform
TSE:CVE76Outperform
TSE:TRP69Neutral
Financial Indicators
| Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TSE:SU | 80Outperform | CAD 110.66B | 10.40 | 23.57% | 2.44% | 27.33% | 120.51% |
| TSE:CNQ | 80Outperform | CAD 141.01B | 10.20 | 30.98% | 3.53% | 24.16% | 114.86% |
| TSE:IMO | 80Outperform | CAD 82.60B | 14.31 | 25.85% | 1.85% | 18.67% | 60.71% |
| TSE:PPL | 77Outperform | CAD 40.42B | 21.33 | 12.18% | 4.07% | 4.71% | 18.90% |
| TSE:CVE | 76Outperform | CAD 71.08B | 8.56 | 26.15% | 2.07% | 12.05% | 173.45% |
| TSE:TRP | 69Neutral | CAD 93.76B | 24.55 | 14.53% | 3.80% | 7.46% | 14.51% |
| Sector * | 65Neutral | $15.17B | 7.61 | 4.09% | 5.20% | 3.87% | -62.32% |
* Energy Sector Average
Performance Comparison
| Show on chart | Ticker | Company Name | Price | Change | % Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TSE:SU | Suncor Energy | 98.21 | 38.87 | 65.50% | |
| TSE:CNQ | Canadian Natural Resources | 69.69 | 25.89 | 59.11% | |
| TSE:CVE | Cenovus Energy | 40.51 | 16.09 | 65.90% | |
| TSE:IMO | Imperial Oil | 180.36 | 48.18 | 36.45% | |
| TSE:PPL | Pembina Pipeline Corp. | 71.04 | 20.46 | 40.46% | |
| TSE:TRP | Tc Energy Corporation | 91.58 | 18.27 | 24.91% |
Suncor Energy Corporate Events
Suncor Energy Raises Quarterly Dividend 10% to $0.66
PositiveSuncor Energy is an integrated energy company spanning oil sands production, upgrading, offshore operations, refining, marketing and Petro-Canada retail networks. Its business serves energy customers across Canada and international markets, with a fo...
Suncor Reports Record Third-Quarter Cash Flow and Higher Shareholder Returns
PositiveSuncor Energy is an integrated energy company focused on developing oil sands resources, producing bitumen and crude oil, and refining and marketing petroleum products. Its operations span upstream production and downstream refining, with an integrat...
Suncor reshapes executive ranks as CEO Rich Kruger plans 2027 transition
PositiveSuncor Energy has announced a planned leadership transition that will see current President and CEO Rich Kruger move to the role of Executive Vice Chair in April 2027, while Peter Zebedee, now Executive Vice President Upstream, will become President...
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.
Date of analysis: Nov 05, 2026