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Cogeco Communications (TSE:CCA)
:CCA
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Cogeco Communications (CCA) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:CCA

Cogeco Communications

(OTC:CCA)

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Neutral 67 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:67Neutral
Price Target:
C$70.00
â–²(8.41% Upside)
Cogeco Communications' overall stock score reflects a solid financial position with strong valuation metrics and strategic initiatives. However, challenges in revenue growth and regulatory issues, particularly in the U.S. market, weigh on the score. The company's focus on operational efficiencies and cash flow improvements is a positive factor.
Positive Factors
Negative Factors

Cogeco Communications (CCA) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Cogeco Communications Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionCogeco Communications Inc. operates as a communications corporation in North America. It operates in two segments, Canadian Broadband Services and American Broadband Services. The company offers Internet, video, and telephony services to residential and business customers through its two-way broadband fiber networks. It provides Internet services using modems, Wi-Fi gateways, and extenders either on a rental basis or as part of the Internet service package; video services on a subscription basis; home phone services using Internet protocol (IP); local and long-distance calling services; broadband Internet services; and IP based telephony services and other network connectivity services delivered over fiber optic connection to larger businesses. The company serves the primary service units, Internet, video, and telephony service customers. It offers cable operator services under the Cogeco Connexion name in Québec and Ontario, and in the United States under the Atlantic Broadband brand. The company was formerly known as Cogeco Cable Inc. and changed its name to Cogeco Communications Inc. in January 2016. Cogeco Communications Inc. was founded in 1972 and is headquartered in Montreal, Canada. Cogeco Communications Inc. operates as a subsidiary of Cogeco Inc.
How the Company Makes MoneyCogeco Communications generates revenue through multiple streams primarily centered around its telecommunications services. The main revenue sources include subscription fees from residential and business customers for high-speed internet, cable television, and phone services. Additionally, Cogeco Media contributes to the company's earnings through advertising revenue from its radio stations and media content. Key partnerships with content providers and technology companies enhance its service offerings and customer retention. The company also benefits from economies of scale, as a larger subscriber base allows for reduced operational costs per user, ultimately contributing to its profitability.

Cogeco Communications Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 15, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Oct 29, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a mixed sentiment with strong Canadian performance and strategic initiatives like the wireless launch, contrasted by revenue declines and competitive challenges in the U.S. and regulatory issues in Canada.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Canadian Internet Subscriber Growth
Cogeco reported strong growth in Canadian Internet subscribers, adding 9,400 new subscribers during the quarter, contributing positively to customer trends.
Canadian Wireless Launch
Cogeco announced the launch of a new Canadian wireless service, marking the first major wireless launch in the country in over a decade. The product will be exclusive to wireline customers.
Improved Free Cash Flow and Debt Reduction
Cogeco's free cash flow increased by 61.5% in constant currency due to lower CapEx and restructuring costs. The debt to adjusted EBITDA ratio improved to 3.1x from 3.4x, aided by operational efficiencies.
OpEx and CapEx Synergies Exceeding Expectations
The company achieved OpEx and CapEx synergies that were tracking well above plan, resulting in a net CapEx reduction and significant operational efficiencies.
Negative Updates
Revenue Decline in U.S. Operations
Breezeline's revenue declined by 6.6% in constant currency, with a decrease of 10,400 Internet subscribers during the quarter due to increased competition and internal execution gaps.
Overall Revenue Decline
Cogeco's consolidated revenue declined by 4.1% in constant currency, impacted by competitive pressures in the U.S. market.
Challenges in the Radio Advertising Market
Cogeco Media faced challenges in the radio advertising market despite some growth in digital advertising solutions.
CRTC Regulatory Challenges
The CRTC maintained a regulatory regime that Cogeco argues favors larger telecom companies, hindering regional players and limiting competitive choice for consumers.
Company Guidance
During the Q3 2025 earnings call, Cogeco Inc. and Cogeco Communications Inc. provided several key metrics and insights into their performance and future outlook. The company highlighted strong Canadian Internet subscriber growth, reporting an addition of 9,400 new subscribers, and noted significant operational efficiencies leading to OpEx and CapEx synergies. They achieved a capital intensity of 17.2%, down from 22.4% the previous year, resulting in a free cash flow increase of 61.5% in constant currency. The company aims to generate approximately $600 million in free cash flow by fiscal 2027. Despite pressure in the U.S. market, Cogeco maintained its adjusted EBITDA guidance for the year, thanks to operating efficiencies. They plan to launch a wireless service exclusive to their wireline customers and are optimistic about improvements in U.S. customer metrics. Cogeco's debt was reported at 3.1x debt to adjusted EBITDA, with plans to continue lowering this ratio and raising dividends.

Cogeco Communications Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Cogeco Communications demonstrates a solid financial position with strong operational margins and cash flow generation. However, challenges include declining revenue growth and high leverage, which may impact future financial flexibility.
Income Statement
65
Positive
Cogeco Communications shows a mixed performance in its income statement. The TTM data reveals a decline in revenue growth rate, indicating potential challenges in maintaining sales momentum. However, the company maintains a healthy EBIT and EBITDA margin, showcasing operational efficiency. The net profit margin is stable, but slightly lower than previous years, suggesting some pressure on profitability.
Balance Sheet
60
Neutral
The balance sheet reflects a high debt-to-equity ratio, which poses a risk of financial leverage. Despite this, the company has managed to maintain a reasonable return on equity, indicating effective use of shareholder funds. The equity ratio is stable, suggesting a balanced asset structure.
Cash Flow
70
Positive
Cash flow analysis shows a positive trend with a significant increase in free cash flow growth. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is strong, indicating good cash generation relative to net income. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio, while improving, suggests room for further enhancement in cash flow efficiency.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue2.95B2.98B2.98B2.90B2.51B2.38B
Gross Profit1.90B2.49B932.42M2.11B1.63B1.55B
EBITDA1.42B1.36B1.39B1.36B1.20B1.17B
Net Income327.12M335.53M392.27M423.30M401.52M375.17M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets9.87B9.68B9.77B9.28B7.35B6.80B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments239.98M76.33M362.92M370.90M365.52M366.50M
Total Debt4.78B4.82B5.04B4.68B3.28B3.12B
Total Liabilities6.22B6.20B6.33B6.09B4.55B4.16B
Stockholders Equity3.13B2.98B2.96B2.75B2.42B2.27B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow589.76M516.13M100.08M259.55M426.86M433.83M
Operating Cash Flow1.19B1.18B962.90M1.24B1.02B917.82M
Investing Cash Flow-581.33M-916.61M-954.47M-2.41B-984.83M-557.27M
Financing Cash Flow-415.09M-542.37M-23.77M981.92M-27.41M-547.10M

Cogeco Communications Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price64.57
Price Trends
50DMA
64.32
Positive
100DMA
66.11
Negative
200DMA
65.01
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.25
Positive
RSI
48.28
Neutral
STOCH
19.96
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:CCA, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 64.57 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 64.83, above the 50-day MA of 64.32, and below the 200-day MA of 65.01, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.25 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 48.28 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 19.96 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for TSE:CCA.

Cogeco Communications Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (60)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
79
Outperform
9.68B12.7532.64%3.26%-1.02%4.71%
75
Outperform
26.39B17.0913.56%4.09%1.87%71.51%
68
Neutral
33.54B34.026.35%7.48%2.56%21.28%
67
Neutral
C$2.73B8.3010.54%5.71%-0.76%-1.21%
64
Neutral
587.15M6.6010.28%6.05%-0.87%9.49%
59
Neutral
29.76B69.983.33%8.91%-0.66%-78.79%
60
Neutral
$48.67B4.58-11.27%4.14%2.83%-41.78%
* Communication Services Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:CCA
Cogeco Communications
64.57
-0.91
-1.38%
BCE
BCE
23.24
-8.83
-27.53%
RCI
Rogers Communication
35.32
-3.08
-8.02%
TU
Telus
15.83
0.51
3.33%
TSE:CGO
Cogeco Inc. SV
60.94
7.31
13.63%
QBCRF
Quebecor
30.52
5.53
22.13%

Cogeco Communications Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial DisclosuresProduct-Related Announcements
Cogeco Communications Reports Q3 2025 Results and Launches Canadian Wireless Service
Neutral
Jul 16, 2025

Cogeco Communications reported its Q3 2025 financial results, highlighting robust growth in Canadian Internet customers and the launch of its wireless service in Canada, which is set to expand into 12 markets. Despite a decrease in revenue and adjusted EBITDA, the company achieved significant free cash flow and is optimistic about its wireless expansion as a strategic tool to retain and grow its customer base. The company is also addressing challenges in the U.S. market with new initiatives aimed at improving customer trends.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:CCA) stock is a Hold with a C$71.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Cogeco Communications stock, see the TSE:CCA Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Sep 23, 2025