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Tronox (TROX)
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TRONOX (TROX) AI Stock Analysis

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TROX

TRONOX

(NYSE:TROX)

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Neutral 45 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:45Neutral
Price Target:
$3.50
▼(-3.85% Downside)
Tronox's overall stock score is primarily impacted by its weak financial performance and bearish technical indicators. The company's high leverage and negative profitability metrics are significant concerns. While the high dividend yield offers some attraction, it is tempered by recent financial challenges and a negative P/E ratio. The earnings call provided some positive insights into cost management, but the overall sentiment remains cautious due to declining revenues and market demand.
Positive Factors
Cost Management
Tronox's proactive cost management strategy aims to achieve significant savings, enhancing operational efficiency and financial health over the long term.
Liquidity Position
A strong liquidity position provides Tronox with financial flexibility to navigate economic challenges and invest in strategic growth opportunities.
Market Expansion in India
Expansion in India, supported by favorable trade policies, presents a significant growth opportunity, potentially increasing market share and revenue.
Negative Factors
High Leverage
High leverage limits financial flexibility and increases risk, potentially impacting Tronox's ability to invest in growth and manage economic downturns.
Declining Revenues
Declining revenues reflect challenges in market demand and pricing pressures, which can affect profitability and long-term growth prospects.
Weaker Demand
Weaker demand across markets suggests ongoing competitive pressures and potential structural challenges in maintaining market share and revenue growth.

TRONOX (TROX) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

TRONOX Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionTronox Holdings plc operates as a vertically integrated manufacturer of TiO2 pigment in North America, South and Central America, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and the Asia Pacific. The company operates titanium-bearing mineral sand mines; and engages in beneficiation and smelting operations. It offers TiO2 pigment; ultrafine specialty TiO2; zircon; feedstock; pig iron; titanium tetrachloride; and other products. The company's products are used for the manufacture of paints, coatings, plastics, and paper, as well as various other applications. Tronox Holdings plc is based in Stamford, Connecticut.
How the Company Makes MoneyTRONOX generates revenue primarily through the sale of titanium dioxide pigments, which are used to impart whiteness and opacity to products across multiple industries. The company operates a vertically integrated business model, controlling the entire supply chain from raw material extraction to final product delivery. Key revenue streams include sales of TiO2 pigments, mineral sands, and zircon products. Additionally, TRONOX benefits from strong partnerships with leading manufacturers in the coatings and plastics sectors, enhancing its market position. The company also capitalizes on price fluctuations in the titanium dioxide market, which can significantly impact its earnings based on supply and demand dynamics.

TRONOX Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 30, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Nov 05, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Negative
The earnings call highlights Tronox's proactive measures in cost improvement and liquidity management, with strategic opportunities in India. However, these positives are overshadowed by significant challenges, including declining revenues, weaker demand across markets, and ongoing macroeconomic pressures.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Cost Improvement Program Progress
The cost improvement program is progressing ahead of plan, with $125 million to $175 million in sustainable run rate savings expected by the end of 2026.
Strong Liquidity Position
Tronox ended the quarter with liquidity of $397 million, including $132 million in cash and cash equivalents, and entered an inventory financing program for an additional $50 million.
Sales Growth in India
Tronox saw early sales momentum in India following the implementation of duties against Chinese imports, presenting a significant opportunity for sales volume growth.
Negative Updates
Decline in Revenue and Net Loss
Revenue decreased by 11% versus the prior year second quarter, driven by lower sales volumes and unfavorable zircon pricing. The net loss was $84 million, including $39 million of restructuring and other charges.
Weaker Demand Across End Markets
Volumes in Q2 were 2% lower sequentially and 11% lower year-over-year, reflecting weaker-than-usual seasonality and heightened competitive dynamics.
Challenges in Brazil
Delays in Brazil's antidumping investigation enabled Chinese producers to exploit the gap between the expiration of provisional duties and the implementation of final duties.
High Net Leverage Ratio
Net leverage ratio at the end of June was 6.1x on a trailing 12-month basis, with total debt of $3.1 billion.
Company Guidance
During the Tronox Holdings Q2 2025 earnings call, the company provided updated guidance for the fiscal year 2025, reflecting a challenging macroeconomic environment. Tronox now expects 2025 revenue to range between $3 billion and $3.1 billion, with adjusted EBITDA anticipated between $410 million and $460 million. This forecast considers weaker pigment and zircon volumes due to revised global GDP estimates and customer feedback suggesting a softer second half. However, Tronox is optimistic about growth opportunities in India, aided by antidumping duties, and is actively managing costs through a disciplined strategy, aiming for $125 million to $175 million in sustainable run rate savings by the end of 2026. The company also adjusted its dividend by 60% and reduced capital expenditures to less than $330 million for the year to bolster financial flexibility.

TRONOX Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Tronox faces significant financial challenges, marked by negative profitability metrics, high leverage, and declining operational cash flow. The company needs to address these issues to improve financial health and investor confidence in the volatile chemicals industry.
Income Statement
40
Negative
The company shows a negative net profit margin due to recurring net losses, which is a major concern. The gross profit margin and EBIT margin have been declining, indicating reduced operational efficiency. Revenue growth is inconsistent and has been decreasing in recent years.
Balance Sheet
55
Neutral
The debt-to-equity ratio is high, indicating significant leverage, which poses financial risk. The equity ratio is moderate, but the declining stockholders' equity suggests weakening financial stability. Return on equity has been negative due to net losses.
Cash Flow
35
Negative
Operating cash flow is positive but not sufficient to cover capital expenditures, resulting in negative free cash flow. The free cash flow to net income ratio is unfavorable, highlighting cash management issues. Cash flow from operations is declining, reducing financial flexibility.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue2.95B3.07B2.85B3.45B3.57B2.76B
Gross Profit405.00M515.00M462.00M832.00M895.00M621.00M
EBITDA296.00M525.00M473.00M714.00M840.00M619.00M
Net Income-250.00M-48.00M-316.00M497.00M286.00M969.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets6.19M6.04B6.13B6.31B5.99B6.57B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments132.00K151.00M273.00M164.00M228.00M619.00M
Total Debt443.00K2.99B2.95B2.67B2.66B3.40B
Total Liabilities4.51M4.25B4.15B3.90B3.94B4.70B
Stockholders Equity1.65M1.76B1.94B2.36B1.99B1.70B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-49.20M-70.00M-77.00M170.00M468.00M160.00M
Operating Cash Flow169.00M300.00M184.00M598.00M740.00M355.00M
Investing Cash Flow-383.00M-343.00M-255.00M-415.00M-269.00M-229.00M
Financing Cash Flow149.00M-71.00M176.00M-250.00M-877.00M214.00M

TRONOX Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price3.64
Price Trends
50DMA
4.14
Negative
100DMA
4.52
Negative
200DMA
5.63
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.13
Negative
RSI
43.88
Neutral
STOCH
43.94
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TROX, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 3.64 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 3.74, below the 50-day MA of 4.14, and below the 200-day MA of 5.63, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.13 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 43.88 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 43.94 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for TROX.

TRONOX Risk Analysis

TRONOX disclosed 40 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. TRONOX reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

TRONOX Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
$667.77M12.9310.28%9.76%-7.24%-7.30%
$520.78M6.939.85%3.30%1.31%796.76%
$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
$661.09M-19.85-6.51%2.60%-1506.69%
$1.51B-10.43%11.52%-1.56%-259.58%
$577.03M-14.11%11.68%0.20%-292.54%
$1.08B-3.33%44.37%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TROX
TRONOX
3.59
-7.76
-68.37%
BAK
Braskem SA
2.52
-3.56
-58.55%
HUN
Huntsman
8.68
-11.78
-57.58%
LXU
Lsb Industries
9.19
0.99
12.07%
WLKP
Westlake Chemical PRN
18.95
-1.79
-8.63%
ASIX
AdvanSix
19.40
-8.22
-29.76%

TRONOX Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Tronox Closes $400 Million Senior Secured Notes Offering
Positive
Sep 26, 2025

On September 26, 2025, Tronox Incorporated, a subsidiary of Tronox Holdings plc, successfully closed an offering of $400 million in senior secured notes due 2030. This financial maneuver is designed to strengthen the company’s capital structure, with the notes being guaranteed by Tronox and its restricted subsidiaries. The issuance of these notes, which are not registered under the Securities Act, provides Tronox with strategic financial flexibility, allowing for potential redemptions and adjustments based on market conditions and company performance. This move may impact Tronox’s operational strategies and its positioning within the industry, offering stakeholders insights into the company’s financial planning and risk management.

The most recent analyst rating on (TROX) stock is a Hold with a $5.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on TRONOX stock, see the TROX Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Tronox Announces Senior Secured Notes Offering
Neutral
Sep 15, 2025

On September 15, 2025, Tronox Incorporated, a subsidiary of Tronox Holdings plc, announced an offering of senior secured notes due in 2030. The proceeds from this offering are intended to repay existing borrowings under the company’s credit facilities and cover related fees and expenses, with any remaining funds used for general corporate purposes. The notes will be offered to qualified institutional buyers and certain offshore investors, but will not be registered under the Securities Act, limiting their sale in the United States. This move is part of Tronox’s financial strategy to manage its debt and optimize its capital structure.

The most recent analyst rating on (TROX) stock is a Buy with a $6.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on TRONOX stock, see the TROX Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board Changes
Tronox Director Julie Beck Announces Resignation
Neutral
Aug 15, 2025

On August 15, 2025, Julie Beck, a member of the Board of Directors and Audit Committee of Tronox Holdings plc, announced her resignation effective September 30, 2025. Her departure is due to her new role as Senior Vice President, Chief Financial Officer, and Treasurer at MSA Safety Incorporated, requiring significant time commitments. Her resignation is not related to any disagreements with Tronox’s operations, policies, or practices.

The most recent analyst rating on (TROX) stock is a Buy with a $7.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on TRONOX stock, see the TROX Stock Forecast page.

Tronox Navigates Challenges with Strategic Cost Savings
Aug 6, 2025

During the recent earnings call, Tronox expressed a cautious sentiment as it navigates through a challenging macroeconomic environment. The company highlighted promising developments in cost savings and opportunities in India, yet it faces significant challenges such as revenue declines, competitive pressures, and high leverage. Strategic actions are being implemented to manage through the downturn effectively.

Tronox Faces Challenges Amid Market Downturn
Aug 1, 2025

Tronox Holdings plc is a leading global producer of titanium dioxide pigment and other titanium products, known for its extensive vertical integration and operational expertise across the value chain.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 23, 2025