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AdvanSix
(NYSE:ASIX)
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Rating:50Neutral
Price Target:
$17.00
▼(-19.24% Downside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:08/18/26
ASIX scores in the middle primarily due to weakened financial performance (TTM loss, compressed margins, and negative free cash flow) and bearish technicals (below major moving averages with negative MACD). Offsetting factors include a constructive H2 2026 outlook from management (pricing actions, working-capital/capex tailwinds, and 45Q payments) plus a supportive dividend yield, while the refinancing modestly helps liquidity but introduces tighter covenant oversight.
Positive Factors
Integrated value chain
AdvanSix's integrated production system links feedstocks, nylon intermediates, polymers and fertilizer, supporting supply reliability and potential cost efficiencies versus less-integrated competitors across market cycles.
Negative Factors
Profitability and cash-flow deterioration
The shift to losses, sharply lower margins and negative free cash flow reduces internally funded investment capacity and makes shareholder returns more dependent on a sustained recovery in spreads and operating performance.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Integrated value chain
AdvanSix's integrated production system links feedstocks, nylon intermediates, polymers and fertilizer, supporting supply reliability and potential cost efficiencies versus less-integrated competitors across market cycles.
Read all positive factors
AdvanSix Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)
Any
Revenue by Geography
Breaks down revenue across different regions, revealing where AdvanSix is strongest and where it may face risk or growth potential due to local economic conditions or market share shifts.
Breaks down revenue across different regions, revealing where AdvanSix is strongest and where it may face risk or growth potential due to local economic conditions or market share shifts.
Data provided by:
The Fly
The FlyAdvanSix (ASIX) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)
Market Cap
$441.74M
Dividend Yield3.87%
Average Volume (3M)285.56K
Price to Earnings (P/E)―
Beta (1Y)0.62
Revenue Growth2.96%
EPS Growth-122.83%
CountryUS
Employees1,410
SectorBasic Materials
Sector Strength58
IndustryChemicals - Specialty
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)-0.66
Shares Outstanding27,001,186
10 Day Avg. Volume207,186
30 Day Avg. Volume285,561
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio0.87
Price to Book (P/B)0.57
Price to Sales (P/S)0.31
P/FCF Ratio72.51
Enterprise Value/Market Cap<0.01
Enterprise Value/Revenue<0.01
Enterprise Value/Gross Profit<0.01
Enterprise Value/Ebitda<0.01
Forecast
1Y Price Target
$18.00Price Target Upside-14.49% Downside
Rating ConsensusHold
Number of Analyst Covering1
EPS Forecast (FY)0.93
Revenue Forecast (FY)$1.69B
AdvanSix Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
AdvanSix Inc. operates as a global manufacturer and supplier of polymer resins, serving markets across the United States and internationally. A key offering is Nylon 6, a versatile synthetic polymer resin utilized in the production of fibers, fila...
How the Company Makes Money
AdvanSix makes money primarily by manufacturing and selling chemical products, with revenue largely tied to sales volumes and market-based pricing for commodity and intermediate chemicals. Its key revenue streams include: (1) Nylon: sales of nylon...
AdvanSix Earnings Call Summary
Earnings Call Date:Aug 07, 2026
(Q2-2026)
| % Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Oct 30, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The call presented a mixed picture: commercial execution and pricing actions delivered sequential momentum, ammonia volumes and strategic initiatives (DEF project, USDA grant pursuit, 45Q credits) provide tangible upside and long-term optionality. However, significant year-over-year earnings deterioration, a 15% volume decline driven by plant nutrients, record-high sulfur and benzene costs (a $72M raw material headwind), and near-term channel inventory pressures materially weighed on results. Management outlined concrete levers for recovery and expects improved second-half performance, but near-term headwinds keep the outlook cautious.Positive Updates
Revenue Growth and Pricing Recovery
Sales of $421 million, up ~3% year-over-year, driven by an 18% favorable net pricing impact that partially offset a 15% decline in volume; raw material pass-through pricing rose ~13% and market-based pricing improved ~5%.
Negative Updates
Adjusted EBITDA and EPS Declines
Adjusted EBITDA of $32 million, down $24 million year-over-year; adjusted EPS $0.19, down $1.50 year-over-year, reflecting volume softness, higher effective tax rate dynamics, and prior-year 45Q benefits.
Read all updates
Q2-2026 Updates
Positive
Negative
Revenue Growth and Pricing Recovery
Sales of $421 million, up ~3% year-over-year, driven by an 18% favorable net pricing impact that partially offset a 15% decline in volume; raw material pass-through pricing rose ~13% and market-based pricing improved ~5%.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
AdvanSix guided to sequentially stronger second-half 2026 earnings and cash flow versus the first half, expecting a full‑year 2026 effective tax rate of 10–15% (pre any additional 45Q claims) and citing H2 cash tailwinds from a lower CapEx run‑rate, working‑capital timing (including Q4 pre‑buy), and 45Q tax credits; Q2 metrics highlighted included sales of $421M (+3% YoY with +18% pricing / -15% volume), adjusted EBITDA of $32M, adjusted EPS of $0.19, and a $72M YoY raw‑material headwind fully recouped by pricing (sequencing from a $10M 1Q headwind to a $39M 2Q tailwind). Management reiterated portfolio targets and project metrics: ammonia sales expected +30% for full‑year 2026 (H1 ammonia sales ~49k short tons vs 33k in H1‑25), a 75% granular ammonium sulfate conversion goal, discretionary organic investments targeting >20% returns, sustained‑growth program returns >30%, an expected ~$10–15M sequential fall fill headwind in Plant Nutrients (potentially larger this year), roughly $10M of annual savings exiting 2026 from fixed‑cost reductions, 45Q accrual/payment of $18M expected in H2 (total 45Q potential $100–125M), Tampa sulfur markers at ~$655/lt in Q2 and ~$705/lt in Q3 with a ~$200 projected decline into 2027, and a sensitivity of approximately $35M of annual cost per $100/long‑ton sulfur move.AdvanSix Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
38
Negative
Balance Sheet
62
Positive
Cash Flow
44
Neutral
| Breakdown | TTM | Dec 2025 | Dec 2024 | Dec 2023 | Dec 2022 | Dec 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | ||||||
| Total Revenue | 1.56B | 1.52B | 1.52B | 1.53B | 1.95B | 1.68B |
| Gross Profit | 87.66M | 173.64M | 152.94M | 165.09M | 314.48M | 274.12M |
| EBITDA | 52.41M | 142.65M | 133.06M | 149.72M | 297.93M | 255.48M |
| Net Income | -17.73M | 49.29M | 44.15M | 54.62M | 171.89M | 139.79M |
Balance Sheet | ||||||
| Total Assets | 1.67B | 1.71B | 1.59B | 1.50B | 1.50B | 1.31B |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 7.22M | 19.77M | 19.56M | 29.77M | 30.98M | 15.10M |
| Total Debt | 423.94M | 382.69M | 348.89M | 266.01M | 230.04M | 271.71M |
| Total Liabilities | 876.10M | 890.93M | 820.27M | 756.78M | 757.15M | 710.81M |
| Stockholders Equity | 796.91M | 815.22M | 774.65M | 739.24M | 738.18M | 601.19M |
Cash Flow | ||||||
| Free Cash Flow | -25.75M | 6.42M | 1.69M | 10.17M | 184.15M | 162.04M |
| Operating Cash Flow | 85.02M | 122.86M | 135.41M | 117.55M | 273.60M | 218.85M |
| Investing Cash Flow | -111.27M | -122.61M | -142.90M | -110.90M | -189.27M | -67.56M |
| Financing Cash Flow | 15.02M | -47.00K | -2.71M | -7.87M | -68.44M | -146.79M |
AdvanSix Technical Analysis
Negative
21.05
Price Trends
19.10
Negative
20.81
Negative
19.20
Negative
Market Momentum
-0.88
Negative
36.61
Neutral
24.30
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For ASIX, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 21.05 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 17.41, above the 50-day MA of 19.10, and above the 200-day MA of 19.20, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.88 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 36.61 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 24.30 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for ASIX.
AdvanSix Risk Analysis
AdvanSix disclosed 31 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. AdvanSix reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks
AdvanSix Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
61 Neutral | $10.43B | 7.12 | -0.05% | 2.87% | 2.86% | -36.73% | |
61 Neutral | $740.13M | 20.86 | 6.98% | ― | 22.12% | ― | |
52 Neutral | $582.42M | -4.04 | -52.28% | ― | -3.56% | 68.49% | |
50 Neutral | $441.74M | -25.05 | -2.20% | 3.04% | 2.96% | -122.83% | |
49 Neutral | $879.95M | -1.58 | -40.45% | 3.21% | 3.53% | -118.53% | |
49 Neutral | $613.24M | -3.00 | -117.16% | ― | 573.40% | 5.80% |
* Basic Materials Sector Average
ASIX
AdvanSix
16.37
-3.96
-19.47%
LXU
Lsb Industries
10.44
2.02
23.99%
TROX
TRONOX
5.49
1.49
37.08%
RYAM
Rayonier Advanced Materials
8.42
2.87
51.71%
ASPI
ASP Isotopes, Inc.
4.04
-6.50
-61.67%
AdvanSix Corporate Events
Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
AdvanSix Restructures Credit Facilities to Enhance Liquidity
Positive
Aug 17, 2026
On August 14, 2026, AdvanSix Inc. refinanced its capital structure by replacing its prior senior secured revolving credit facility with a new credit agreement led by Citizens Bank, N.A., establishing a $275 million revolving credit facility and a ...
Business Operations and StrategyDividendsFinancial Disclosures
AdvanSix Posts Mixed Q2 Results, Maintains Dividend Payout
Negative
Aug 7, 2026
AdvanSix reported second-quarter 2026 sales of $421 million on August 7, 2026, a 3% increase year over year driven by 18% favorable pricing that offset a 15% decline in volume amid weaker agricultural fundamentals. Net income fell 90% to $3.2 mill...
Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
AdvanSix Shareholders Back Board, Auditor and Pay Plans
Positive
Jun 23, 2026
AdvanSix Inc., a chemical and materials producer, reported that its stockholders held the company’s Annual Meeting on June 22, 2026, where they elected nine directors, including CEO Erin N. Kane, to serve terms ending at the 2027 Annual Meet...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.