Tokio Marine Holdings AI Stock Analysis
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Tokio Marine Holdings (TKOMY) AI Stock Analysis
Tokio Marine Holdings
(Other OTC:TKOMY)
The score is driven primarily by strong financial performance—improving profitability, low leverage, and high ROE—tempered by 2026 revenue softness and a sharp drop in 2026 cash generation. Technicals are mixed with weaker near-term momentum despite longer-term trend support, and valuation looks broadly fair with a moderate P/E and a ~2.94% dividend yield.
Tokio Marine Holdings (TKOMY) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)
- Market Cap
- $106.01B
- Dividend Yield
- 1.33%
- Average Volume (3M)
- 2.19M
- Price to Earnings (P/E)
- 21.7
- Beta (1Y)
- 0.27
- Revenue Growth
- -3.48%
- EPS Growth
- -42.16%
- Country
- US
- Employees
- 67,526
- Sector
- Financial
- Sector Strength
- 68
- Industry
- Insurance - Property & Casualty
Tokio Marine Holdings Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
Tokio Marine Holdings, Inc. operates as a global conglomerate, offering a wide array of services including property and casualty insurance, life insurance, financial solutions, and various general business activities. The company structures its exten...
How the Company Makes Money
Tokio Marine Holdings makes money primarily through its insurance operations and investment activities conducted by its operating subsidiaries. 1) Underwriting income (insurance premiums): The core revenue driver is premium income collected from poli...
Tokio Marine Holdings Earnings Call Summary
The earnings call presented a strong performance in fiscal 2024 with significant growth in adjusted net income and shareholder returns. However, challenges including decreased life insurance premiums, inflation impacts, and CRE loan issues were noted. The overall outlook for fiscal 2025 remains positive with projected income growth and continued equity sales.
Q4-2024 Updates
Positive Updates
Negative Updates
Company Guidance
During the conference call for Tokio Marine's FY 2024 results and FY 2025 forecast, several key financial metrics and guidance points were discussed. The FY 2024 adjusted net income, excluding one-off effects, reached JPY679 billion, reflecting a 14% year-over-year growth, bolstered by the strong performance of international businesses and currency exchange rate impacts. The sales of business-related equities amounted to JPY922 billion, surpassing the initial forecast by JPY10 billion, contributing to an overall adjusted net income, including these gains, of JPY1.215 trillion. For FY 2025, the company projects JPY700 billion in adjusted net income, excluding equity sales gains, indicating a 3% growth over the previous year. The projected dividend per share (DPS) for FY 2024 was revised to JPY172, representing a 40% increase, and is expected to grow by 22% to JPY210 in FY 2025. The company also plans to repurchase JPY220 billion of its own shares in FY 2025. The projected sales of business-related equities for FY 2025 remain at JPY600 billion, consistent with the previous year, and the adjusted net income, including these sales, is expected to reach JPY1.1 trillion. The management emphasized the importance of consistent profit growth and shareholder returns, alongside disciplined capital management and strategic investment opportunities.
Tokio Marine Holdings Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Strong and improving profitability (net margin ~13.1% and operating margin ~18.1% in 2026) with a conservatively levered balance sheet (debt-to-equity ~0.04–0.06) and solid ROE (~19.1%). Offsets include 2026 revenue softness (-3.7%), a notable gross margin drop versus 2024–2025, and sharply lower 2026 operating/free cash flow versus 2025, signaling potential sustainability risk.
Income Statement
82Very PositiveBalance Sheet
88Very PositiveCash Flow
74Positive| Breakdown | TTM | Mar 2026 | Mar 2026 | Mar 2025 | Mar 2024 | Mar 2023 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | ||||||
| Total Revenue | 8.00T | 7.58T | 7.96T | 7.08T | 6.31T | 5.75T |
| Gross Profit | 7.07T | 6.57T | 3.88T | 6.13T | 5.46T | 5.00T |
| EBITDA | 331.09B | 1.71T | 1.71T | 1.06T | 726.82B | 724.58B |
| Net Income | 1.06T | 1.06T | 1.04T | 695.81B | 374.61B | 420.48B |
Balance Sheet | ||||||
| Total Assets | 30.88T | 31.24T | 32.10T | 30.59T | 27.70T | 27.25T |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 1.01T | 1.07T | 1.04T | 896.90B | 871.99B | 848.82B |
| Total Debt | 224.96B | 227.25B | 227.98B | 224.40B | 222.81B | 219.79B |
| Total Liabilities | 25.86T | 26.13T | 26.62T | 25.41T | 24.04T | 23.17T |
| Stockholders Equity | 5.02T | 5.08T | 5.44T | 5.18T | 3.63T | 4.02T |
Cash Flow | ||||||
| Free Cash Flow | 0 | 1.32T | 571.82B | 1.05T | 982.71B | 1.07T |
| Operating Cash Flow | 0 | 1.35T | 619.49B | 1.07T | 1.01T | 1.10T |
| Investing Cash Flow | 0 | 164.62B | 694.01B | -627.65B | 18.19B | -665.44B |
| Financing Cash Flow | 0 | -1.19T | -677.60B | -406.20B | -1.01T | -504.63B |
Tokio Marine Holdings Technical Analysis
Price Trends
Market Momentum
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TKOMY, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 3.70 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 3.63, above the 50-day MA of 3.49, and above the 200-day MA of 3.10, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.07 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 57.78 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 44.68 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TKOMY.
Tokio Marine Holdings Peers Comparison
Overall Rating
ALL84Outperform
CB84Outperform
TRV84Outperform
PGR83Outperform
WRB76Outperform
TKOMY74Outperform
Financial Indicators
| Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 84Outperform | $64.61B | 5.86 | 36.32% | 1.62% | 5.06% | 42.48% | |
| 84Outperform | $141.03B | 12.86 | 15.06% | 1.07% | 5.89% | 19.00% | |
| 84Outperform | $82.14B | 10.31 | 26.24% | 1.18% | 1.07% | 50.02% | |
| 83Outperform | $134.27B | 11.73 | 35.44% | 5.95% | 7.65% | 8.90% | |
| 76Outperform | $28.54B | 16.14 | 18.98% | 2.45% | 1.45% | -0.85% | |
| 74Outperform | $105.98B | 21.67 | 12.98% | 1.33% | -3.48% | -42.16% | |
| Sector * | 68Neutral | $18.00B | 11.42 | 9.92% | 3.81% | 9.73% | 1.22% |
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
| Show on chart | Ticker | Company Name | Price | Change | % Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TKOMY | Tokio Marine Holdings | 3.70 | 1.18 | 46.65% | |
| CB | Chubb Ltd | 370.33 | 78.44 | 26.87% | |
| ALL | Allstate Corp | 262.18 | 51.95 | 24.71% | |
| PGR | The Progressive Corporation | 233.53 | 22.10 | 10.45% | |
| TRV | Travelers Companies Inc | 399.46 | 116.50 | 41.17% | |
| WRB | W. R. Berkley Corporation | 76.67 | 1.76 | 2.35% |
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.
Date of analysis: Oct 08, 2026
