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Tokio Marine Holdings (TKOMY)
OTHER OTC:TKOMY
US Market
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Tokio Marine Holdings (TKOMY) AI Stock Analysis

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TKOMY

Tokio Marine Holdings

(OTC:TKOMY)

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Outperform 79 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:79Outperform
Price Target:
$55.00
â–²(54.89% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:05/22/26
Score is driven primarily by strong financial performance (improving profitability, strong ROE, and conservative leverage). Technicals are supportive with an uptrend and positive momentum, though near-term indicators look somewhat extended. Valuation is reasonable with a moderate P/E and solid dividend yield, providing additional support.
Positive Factors
Conservative balance sheet
Consistently low debt-to-equity and meaningful equity growth improve financial resilience and ratings optionality. Over a multi-month horizon this conservative leverage supports underwriting capacity, capital returns and the ability to absorb large losses without destabilizing the franchise.
Negative Factors
Top-line pressure in 2026
A declining revenue trend can signal softer premium growth, competitive pricing pressure, or loss of market share. If sustained, lower top-line volumes constrain operating leverage, limit the scope for margin improvement and reduce long-term cash available for reinvestment or distributions.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Conservative balance sheet
Consistently low debt-to-equity and meaningful equity growth improve financial resilience and ratings optionality. Over a multi-month horizon this conservative leverage supports underwriting capacity, capital returns and the ability to absorb large losses without destabilizing the franchise.
Read all positive factors

Tokio Marine Holdings (TKOMY) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Tokio Marine Holdings Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Tokio Marine Holdings, Inc. engages in non-life and life insurance, and financial and general businesses worldwide. It operates through four segments: Domestic Non-Life Insurance, Domestic Life Insurance, International Insurance, and Financial and...
How the Company Makes Money
Tokio Marine Holdings makes money primarily through its insurance operations, which generate revenue from (1) insurance premiums, (2) investment income on the assets it holds to pay future claims, and (3) fees and other income from insurance-relat...

Tokio Marine Holdings Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 20, 2025
(Q4-2024)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Aug 12, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call presented a strong performance in fiscal 2024 with significant growth in adjusted net income and shareholder returns. However, challenges including decreased life insurance premiums, inflation impacts, and CRE loan issues were noted. The overall outlook for fiscal 2025 remains positive with projected income growth and continued equity sales.
Positive Updates
Strong Fiscal 2024 Performance
Adjusted net income excluding one-off effects was JPY679.0 billion, showing a 14% year-over-year growth driven by major international businesses and favorable foreign exchange impacts.
Negative Updates
Decrease in Life Insurance Premiums
Life insurance premiums decreased by 44% from the February announcement due to block reinsurance by Anshin Life in March.
Read all updates
Q4-2024 Updates
Negative
Strong Fiscal 2024 Performance
Adjusted net income excluding one-off effects was JPY679.0 billion, showing a 14% year-over-year growth driven by major international businesses and favorable foreign exchange impacts.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
During the conference call for Tokio Marine's FY 2024 results and FY 2025 forecast, several key financial metrics and guidance points were discussed. The FY 2024 adjusted net income, excluding one-off effects, reached JPY679 billion, reflecting a 14% year-over-year growth, bolstered by the strong performance of international businesses and currency exchange rate impacts. The sales of business-related equities amounted to JPY922 billion, surpassing the initial forecast by JPY10 billion, contributing to an overall adjusted net income, including these gains, of JPY1.215 trillion. For FY 2025, the company projects JPY700 billion in adjusted net income, excluding equity sales gains, indicating a 3% growth over the previous year. The projected dividend per share (DPS) for FY 2024 was revised to JPY172, representing a 40% increase, and is expected to grow by 22% to JPY210 in FY 2025. The company also plans to repurchase JPY220 billion of its own shares in FY 2025. The projected sales of business-related equities for FY 2025 remain at JPY600 billion, consistent with the previous year, and the adjusted net income, including these sales, is expected to reach JPY1.1 trillion. The management emphasized the importance of consistent profit growth and shareholder returns, alongside disciplined capital management and strategic investment opportunities.

Tokio Marine Holdings Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong overall fundamentals with materially improved profitability (net margin ~13.1% and operating margin ~18.1% in 2026) and a conservatively levered balance sheet (debt-to-equity ~0.04–0.06) with strong ROE (~19.1%). Key offsets are modest 2026 revenue decline (-3.7%), a sharp step-down in gross margin versus 2024–2025, and a large drop in 2026 operating/free cash flow versus 2025.
Income Statement
82
Very Positive
Balance Sheet
88
Very Positive
Cash Flow
74
Positive
BreakdownTTMMar 2026Mar 2026Mar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023
Income Statement
Total Revenue8.26T7.96T7.58T7.08T6.31T5.75T
Gross Profit8.26T3.88T6.57T6.13T5.46T5.00T
EBITDA3.95B1.71T1.71T1.06T726.82B724.58B
Net Income1.32T1.04T1.06T695.81B374.61B420.48B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets30.56T32.10T31.24T30.59T27.70T27.25T
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments0.001.04T1.07T896.90B871.99B848.82B
Total Debt225.76B227.98B227.25B224.40B222.81B219.79B
Total Liabilities25.64T26.62T26.13T25.41T24.04T23.17T
Stockholders Equity4.94T5.44T5.08T5.18T3.63T4.02T
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow0.00571.82B1.32T1.05T982.71B1.07T
Operating Cash Flow0.00619.49B1.35T1.07T1.01T1.10T
Investing Cash Flow0.00694.01B164.62B-627.65B18.19B-665.44B
Financing Cash Flow0.00-677.60B-1.19T-406.20B-1.01T-504.63B

Tokio Marine Holdings Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price35.51
Price Trends
50DMA
45.57
Negative
100DMA
42.31
Positive
200DMA
40.92
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.39
Positive
RSI
39.99
Neutral
STOCH
5.71
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TKOMY, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 35.51 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 46.04, below the 50-day MA of 45.57, and below the 200-day MA of 40.92, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.39 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 39.99 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 5.71 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for TKOMY.

Tokio Marine Holdings Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
83
Outperform
$64.48B8.5824.14%1.49%4.12%83.05%
80
Outperform
$56.89B4.7242.71%1.91%4.40%209.62%
79
Outperform
$83.06B13.4018.94%3.26%-0.15%-2.63%
79
Outperform
$126.55B11.3915.65%1.22%8.26%35.89%
77
Outperform
$25.53B14.3319.48%1.88%6.61%9.14%
74
Outperform
$119.22B10.3435.45%2.20%13.89%32.56%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TKOMY
Tokio Marine Holdings
43.65
0.61
1.41%
CB
Chubb
326.27
40.19
14.05%
ALL
Allstate
221.01
24.20
12.30%
PGR
Progressive
204.02
-50.75
-19.92%
TRV
Travelers Companies
303.25
39.65
15.04%
WRB
W. R. Berkley Corporation
68.57
-2.28
-3.21%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: May 22, 2026