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Tiptree Financial Inc (TIPT)
:TIPT
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Tiptree Financial (TIPT) AI Stock Analysis

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TIPT

Tiptree Financial

(NASDAQ:TIPT)

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Neutral 60 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:60Neutral
Price Target:
$18.50
▲(5.96% Upside)
Tiptree Financial's overall stock score is driven by its mixed financial performance and bearish technical indicators. While the company maintains strong profitability margins and a reasonable valuation, the declining revenue growth and weak market momentum present significant challenges. The absence of earnings call insights and corporate events further limits the assessment.

Tiptree Financial (TIPT) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Tiptree Financial Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionTiptree Financial (TIPT) is a diversified holding company engaged in various sectors, primarily focusing on insurance, real estate, and asset management. The company operates through subsidiaries that provide insurance products, manage investment portfolios, and engage in real estate activities, allowing it to leverage multiple revenue streams and enhance its financial stability.
How the Company Makes MoneyTiptree Financial generates revenue through several key streams, including insurance premiums from its insurance subsidiaries, investment income from its asset management activities, and income from real estate operations. The company earns premiums by underwriting insurance policies and managing risk for its clients. In addition, Tiptree invests in a range of financial assets, generating returns through interest, dividends, and capital gains. The real estate segment contributes by providing rental income and profits from property sales. Significant partnerships with insurance brokers and investment firms enhance Tiptree's market reach and operational efficiency, contributing positively to its overall earnings.

Tiptree Financial Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 31, 2025
(Q3-2024)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Mar 11, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call presented a strong financial performance with significant revenue and income growth, particularly in the insurance and investment segments. Although there were some challenges like a high tax rate and a tough environment for the mortgage business, the positive aspects significantly outweighed the negatives.
Q3-2024 Updates
Positive Updates
Revenue Growth
Year-to-date revenues increased by 28% from the prior year, driven by strong performance across the business sectors.
Fortegra's Performance
Fortegra's revenue growth was 28% with adjusted net income growth of 38%, fueled by expansion in specialty insurance lines.
Improved Combined Ratio
Fortegra's combined ratio improved to 90% despite several catastrophic events, showcasing underwriting discipline.
Investment Portfolio Growth
Tiptree Advisors ended the quarter with $1.5 billion of investable assets, focusing on high-quality liquid fixed income securities.
Adjusted Net Income
Adjusted net income for the quarter was $27.9 million, representing a 56% increase, driven by strong underwriting and investment income.
Significant Recovery of Unrealized Losses
Book value per share increased by 18.6% from the prior year, driven by earnings growth and significant recovery of unrealized losses on Fortegra's fixed income portfolio.
Positive Outlook for Mortgage Business
Reliance mortgage business achieved profitability with increased volumes and fee income, anticipating future profit as mortgage rates tighten.
Negative Updates
High GAAP Tax Rate
Tiptree's GAAP tax rate for the quarter was 44%, though the effective tax rate was 28% when adjusted for book tax implications.
Challenging Operating Environment for Reliance
Reliance faced a tough operating environment, although it managed to remain profitable.
Company Guidance
During the third quarter 2024 earnings call for Tiptree Inc., executives highlighted several key financial metrics that underscore the company's strong performance and future prospects. Year-to-date revenues increased by 28% compared to the previous year, while the adjusted return on equity reached 22%. Fortegra, Tiptree's insurance company, reported a 28% growth in revenue and a 38% rise in adjusted net income, with gross written premiums totaling $2.2 billion, marking a 10% increase year-over-year. The insurance segment maintained a robust combined ratio of 90%, demonstrating disciplined underwriting despite recent catastrophic events. Tiptree's investment portfolio amounted to $1.5 billion, predominantly invested in high-quality liquid fixed income securities, contributing to a book yield of 4.1%. Consolidated net income for the quarter was $11.9 million, a significant increase from $2.2 million in the prior year, with adjusted net income surging by 56% to $27.9 million. The company's mortgage business also showed resilience, with origination volumes rising modestly and contributing to profitability. Overall, Tiptree's book value per share increased by 18.6% from the prior year, bolstered by earnings growth and a recovery in Fortegra's fixed income portfolio.

Tiptree Financial Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Tiptree Financial presents a mixed financial picture. While the company maintains strong profitability margins and a healthy return on equity, the declining revenue growth and free cash flow are areas of concern. The balance sheet remains stable with moderate leverage, but the cash flow metrics suggest potential liquidity challenges.
Income Statement
65
Positive
Tiptree Financial's income statement shows a mixed performance. The TTM data indicates a decline in revenue growth, which is concerning, but the company maintains a solid gross profit margin of 82.34%. The net profit margin is modest at 2.77%, and both EBIT and EBITDA margins are stable. However, the negative revenue growth trajectory is a potential risk.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The balance sheet reflects a stable financial position with a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.16 in the latest TTM, indicating moderate leverage. Return on equity is healthy at 11.84%, suggesting effective use of equity. The equity ratio is not explicitly provided, but the overall balance sheet suggests a balanced approach to debt and equity financing.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
Cash flow analysis reveals a decline in free cash flow growth, which is a concern. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is low, indicating potential challenges in converting income into cash. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio is strong at 96.10%, suggesting efficient cash generation relative to net income.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue2.07B2.04B1.65B1.40B1.20B810.30M
Gross Profit1.37B1.20B1.05B945.15M873.50M573.40M
EBITDA219.24M203.22M134.21M107.22M127.45M11.31M
Net Income59.76M53.37M13.95M-8.27M38.13M-29.16M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets6.42B5.69B5.14B4.04B3.60B3.00B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.67B1.43B472.53M1.15B753.17M514.05M
Total Debt0.00428.68M475.00M319.99M459.48M366.25M
Total Liabilities5.67B5.04B4.56B3.51B3.20B2.62B
Stockholders Equity505.17M457.70M416.87M397.37M382.95M356.14M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow187.16M236.72M57.42M452.35M201.55M133.47M
Operating Cash Flow193.32M240.76M71.45M463.07M204.32M140.17M
Investing Cash Flow-299.68M-322.99M-244.67M9.51M-273.76M-123.49M
Financing Cash Flow82.32M6.29M113.41M-115.19M73.73M31.75M

Tiptree Financial Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price17.46
Price Trends
50DMA
20.12
Negative
100DMA
21.11
Negative
200DMA
21.48
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.38
Negative
RSI
48.33
Neutral
STOCH
79.61
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TIPT, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 17.46 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 17.83, below the 50-day MA of 20.12, and below the 200-day MA of 21.48, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.38 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 48.33 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 79.61 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for TIPT.

Tiptree Financial Risk Analysis

Tiptree Financial disclosed 84 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Tiptree Financial reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Tiptree Financial Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
75
Outperform
$533.99M14.8813.12%5.71%13.47%26.15%
72
Outperform
$843.64M14.775.86%3.04%1.69%-52.43%
72
Outperform
$758.11M15.3416.95%11.37%-1.73%-18.36%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
60
Neutral
$697.85M16.2710.46%2.77%4.44%22.40%
55
Neutral
$898.26M-85.1925.65%34.48%
45
Neutral
$384.21M-4.09%-17.06%-118.90%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TIPT
Tiptree Financial
18.39
-3.09
-14.39%
AMSF
Amerisafe
40.50
-13.76
-25.36%
EIG
Employers Holdings
38.40
-13.59
-26.14%
ITIC
Investors Title Company
277.57
40.23
16.95%
AMBC
Ambac Financial
8.48
-2.93
-25.68%
HIPO
Hippo Holdings
33.87
5.72
20.32%

Tiptree Financial Corporate Events

M&A Transactions
Tiptree Financial Sells Reliance First Capital Stake
Neutral
Oct 31, 2025

On October 31, 2025, Tiptree Inc. entered into a Purchase Agreement with Carrington Holding Company, LLC, to sell all outstanding membership interests of Reliance First Capital, LLC, a subsidiary of Tiptree, to Carrington. The transaction’s completion is contingent upon regulatory approvals and other customary conditions, with an outside date set for April 30, 2026. The agreement includes indemnification clauses and termination rights, emphasizing the allocation of risk between the parties rather than factual representations of Reliance’s condition.

The most recent analyst rating on (TIPT) stock is a Hold with a $21.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Tiptree Financial stock, see the TIPT Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyDividendsFinancial DisclosuresM&A Transactions
Tiptree Financial Reports Q3 2025 Revenue Growth
Positive
Oct 31, 2025

On October 31, 2025, Tiptree Inc. announced its financial results for the third quarter of 2025, highlighting a 9.3% increase in quarterly revenues to $540.3 million, driven by growth in earned premiums and gains at Fortegra. The company also declared a cash dividend of $0.06 per share, with a record date of November 17, 2025, and a payment date of November 24, 2025. Tiptree agreed to sell Fortegra for $1.65 billion and its mortgage business, Reliance First Capital, for $51 million, with both transactions expected to close in 2026. These strategic moves are part of Tiptree’s focus on long-term value creation and streamlining operations.

The most recent analyst rating on (TIPT) stock is a Hold with a $21.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Tiptree Financial stock, see the TIPT Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyM&A Transactions
Tiptree Financial Announces Merger with DB Insurance
Positive
Sep 26, 2025

On September 26, 2025, Tiptree Inc. entered into a merger agreement with DB Insurance Co., Ltd. for the acquisition of its subsidiary, The Fortegra Group, Inc., for $1.65 billion in cash. This strategic acquisition by DB Insurance, marking its largest U.S. market entry, is expected to enhance its global growth in the property and casualty markets and provide Fortegra with a strong capital base for continued growth. The merger, anticipated to close in mid-2026, is subject to regulatory approvals and stockholder consent, with implications for Tiptree’s operational focus and market positioning.

The most recent analyst rating on (TIPT) stock is a Hold with a $21.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Tiptree Financial stock, see the TIPT Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 02, 2025