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Teva Pharmaceutical (TEVA)
NYSE:TEVA

Teva Pharmaceutical (TEVA) AI Stock Analysis

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Teva Pharmaceutical

(NYSE:TEVA)

Rating:58Neutral
Price Target:
$17.50
▼(-1.19%Downside)
Teva's overall score is driven by its strong earnings call and corporate event strategies, which show promising growth potential. However, challenges in financial performance and valuation metrics, particularly debt management and profitability, weigh down the score. The technical analysis offers a moderate outlook, adding a balanced perspective to the stock's evaluation.
Positive Factors
Financial Performance
Teva aims to achieve $700m net cost savings, with larger savings expected from COGS compared to OpEx.
Partnerships and Collaborations
Medincell has secured $2.2B in potential milestones from major partnerships, including Teva and AbbVie, validating it as a key player in the next-gen drug delivery space.
Product Approvals and Pipeline
Uzedy received FDA approval for schizophrenia, with potential additional royalties if approved for bipolar-1 disorder, presenting a strong opportunity for Medincell.
Negative Factors
Competition and Market Risks
Risks to the rating and price target include competition from big pharma, pipeline and partners' commercial execution, and milestone payment achievement.
Revenue Challenges
Teva will be absorbing a ~$1 billion revenue headwind from gRevlimid in 2026/2027.

Teva Pharmaceutical (TEVA) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Teva Pharmaceutical Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionTeva Pharmaceutical Industries Ltd. (TEVA) is a global pharmaceutical company that develops, produces, and markets generic and specialty medicines. The company operates in various sectors of the pharmaceutical industry, including generic drugs, specialty medicines, and over-the-counter products. Teva's core products include a wide range of generic medications across multiple therapeutic areas, as well as specialty pharmaceuticals, such as treatments for central nervous system disorders, pain management, and respiratory conditions.
How the Company Makes MoneyTeva Pharmaceutical makes money primarily through the sale of generic and specialty medicines. The company's revenue model is based on manufacturing and distributing a broad portfolio of generic drugs, which are often more affordable alternatives to branded medications. These generic products provide a significant portion of Teva's revenue. Additionally, Teva generates income from its specialty medicines segment, which includes branded pharmaceuticals for conditions like multiple sclerosis and respiratory illnesses. The company also engages in collaborations and partnerships with other pharmaceutical firms to enhance its product offerings and expand market reach. Moreover, Teva's over-the-counter products contribute to its earnings, providing consumer healthcare solutions directly to the retail market. Key revenue streams include sales from its diverse product lines and strategic partnerships that facilitate market access and distribution.

Teva Pharmaceutical Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 07, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 9.86%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 06, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflected a positive trajectory for Teva Pharmaceuticals, highlighted by continued growth in its innovative brands and a strategic focus on biosimilar launches and cost savings to drive future growth. Despite challenges in the generic segment and uncertainties related to tariffs and specific product headwinds, Teva remains confident in achieving its financial targets through focused capital allocation and operational efficiencies.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Ninth Consecutive Quarter of Growth
Teva Pharmaceutical Industries has achieved its ninth consecutive quarter of growth, with revenue up 5% to $3.9 billion.
Strong Performance of Innovative Brands
Innovative brands reached $589 million in sales, a 45% increase over last year. Austedo grew 39%, Ajovy increased by 26%, and Uzedy's sales doubled.
Positive Outlook and Biosimilar Launches
Teva plans to launch five new biosimilar products from 2025 to 2027, with potential for some to launch in 2025, further supporting growth.
Improved Financial Metrics
Non-GAAP EPS increased by 8% to $0.52, and the adjusted EBITDA grew by 3%. Gross margin improved by 140 basis points year-over-year to 52.8%.
Debt Reduction and Strong Cash Flow
Net debt reduced to $15 billion, with a net debt-to-EBITDA ratio just over three times. Free cash flow is strong, aligning with long-term goals.
Cost Savings and Margin Expansion Plan
Teva plans to achieve $700 million in net savings by 2027, improving operating margins to 30% by 2027.
Negative Updates
Slower Growth in Generic Business
Generic business growth slowed to 3%, with U.S. growth at 5%, Europe at 1%, and international markets at 2%, due to fewer launches and tenders.
Impact of U.S. Tariffs and Trade Dynamics
Teva absorbed the impact of U.S. tariffs on China within its 2025 guidance, with ongoing uncertainties in trade and tariff dynamics.
Revlimid and Medicare Part D Headwinds
Expectations of revenue and profit headwinds from generic Revlimid in 2026 and Medicare Part D negotiations for Austedo in 2027.
Limited Sales of Austedo Outside the U.S.
Austedo has very limited sales outside the U.S., potentially impacting pricing strategies under most favored nations.
Company Guidance
In the Q1 2025 earnings call for Teva Pharmaceutical Industries Limited, leadership highlighted several key metrics that emphasize the company's growth trajectory and strategic focus. Revenue increased by 5% to $3.9 billion, marking the ninth consecutive quarter of growth. Adjusted EBITDA rose by 3%, while non-GAAP EPS reached $0.52, an 8% increase. The company's innovative brands, Austedo, Ajovy, and Uzedy, were strong contributors, with Austedo's sales growing 39% globally, Ajovy up 26%, and Uzedy sales doubling to $39 million. Additionally, Teva's generic business saw a 3% growth, and biosimilar launches are expected to further support revenue. The company is focused on achieving a 30% operating margin by 2027, with planned savings of $700 million from operational efficiencies, and aims for sustainable growth driven by its innovative portfolio and disciplined capital allocation.

Teva Pharmaceutical Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Teva Pharmaceutical faces challenges in achieving consistent profitability and managing high debt levels. While cash flow generation remains a strength, the volatility in income statement metrics and a leveraged balance sheet pose risks. The company needs to focus on improving operational efficiency and reducing leverage to enhance financial stability.
Income Statement
55
Neutral
Teva Pharmaceutical has experienced fluctuating revenues over the years. While the gross profit margin has remained relatively stable, the company has struggled with consistent profitability, as evidenced by negative net income in recent years. The EBIT and EBITDA margins have also shown volatility, indicating challenges in operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
40
Negative
The balance sheet shows a high level of debt relative to equity, with a debt-to-equity ratio that suggests significant leverage. The return on equity is negative due to consistent net losses, and the equity ratio has been declining, indicating a shrinking equity base compared to total assets.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
Operating cash flow has remained positive, which is a positive sign for liquidity. However, free cash flow has been inconsistent, and the free cash flow growth rate has been negative in recent periods. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is strong, indicating that cash generation is relatively better than reported earnings.
Breakdown
Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
16.54B15.85B14.93B15.88B16.66B
Gross Profit
8.06B7.65B6.97B7.59B7.72B
EBIT
-303.00M433.00M2.80B3.20B3.05B
EBITDA
716.00M1.57B-874.00M4.41B-2.09B
Net Income Common Stockholders
-1.64B-559.00M-2.35B417.00M-3.99B
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
3.30B3.23B2.80B2.17B2.18B
Total Assets
39.33B43.48B44.01B47.67B50.64B
Total Debt
18.08B20.15B21.56B23.46B26.40B
Net Debt
14.78B16.93B18.76B21.29B24.22B
Total Liabilities
33.61B35.35B35.31B36.42B39.58B
Stockholders Equity
5.38B7.51B7.90B10.28B10.03B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
749.00M842.00M1.04B236.00M638.00M
Operating Cash Flow
1.25B1.37B1.59B798.00M1.22B
Investing Cash Flow
792.00M968.00M656.00M1.52B863.00M
Financing Cash Flow
-1.79B-1.91B-1.49B-2.17B-1.89B

Teva Pharmaceutical Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price17.71
Price Trends
50DMA
15.58
Positive
100DMA
16.98
Positive
200DMA
17.54
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.50
Positive
RSI
62.63
Neutral
STOCH
50.89
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TEVA, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 17.71 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 16.81, above the 50-day MA of 15.58, and above the 200-day MA of 17.54, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.50 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 62.63 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 50.89 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TEVA.

Teva Pharmaceutical Risk Analysis

Teva Pharmaceutical disclosed 42 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Teva Pharmaceutical reported the most risks in the “Finance & Corporate” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Teva Pharmaceutical Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (53)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
RDRDY
77
Outperform
$12.06B17.9118.36%0.56%13.26%1.33%
75
Outperform
$6.55B17.596.01%1.42%
74
Outperform
$11.89B40.7512.43%21.73%-19.24%
63
Neutral
$3.65B-3.64%4.21%-4.85%-4290.31%
58
Neutral
$19.17B-18.98%3.38%-175.90%
55
Neutral
$9.73B-21.25%5.79%-6.88%-6809.78%
53
Neutral
$5.14B3.23-45.01%2.85%17.55%-0.69%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TEVA
Teva Pharmaceutical
17.71
0.95
5.67%
RDY
Dr Reddy's Laboratories
14.75
0.63
4.46%
VTRS
Viatris
8.60
-1.32
-13.31%
NBIX
Neurocrine
122.64
-17.84
-12.70%
PRGO
Perrigo Company
27.33
1.06
4.04%
ELAN
Elanco Animal Health
13.18
-3.96
-23.10%

Teva Pharmaceutical Corporate Events

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Teva Pharmaceutical Upsizes Senior Notes Offering
Positive
May 22, 2025

On May 20, 2025, Teva Pharmaceutical announced the successful pricing and upsizing of its senior notes offering to approximately $2.3 billion, an increase from the initially planned $2 billion. The proceeds will be used to fund tender offers for existing notes and repay outstanding debt, with the settlement expected around May 28, 2025. This strategic financial move aims to optimize Teva’s debt structure and potentially improve its market positioning.

The most recent analyst rating on (TEVA) stock is a Buy with a $23.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Teva Pharmaceutical stock, see the TEVA Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.