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Teva (TEVA) AI Stock Analysis

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TEVA

Teva

(NYSE:TEVA)

Select Model
Rating:61Neutral
Price Target:$39.00▼(-12.36% Downside)
Action:reiterated
Date:09/16/26

TEVA scores in the low-60s primarily because improving profitability and strong free cash flow are tempered by elevated leverage and a pressured/volatile revenue profile. Technicals add moderate support (price above major averages with positive MACD), but valuation is a clear drag given the high P/E. The latest earnings call and recent refinancing actions are supportive, pointing to strengthening innovators and balance-sheet progress, though near-term generics weakness and transitional items remain key risks.

Positive Factors
Innovative portfolio growthStrong growth across Teva’s innovative brands is improving the company’s mix beyond traditional generics. Raised guidance for AUSTEDO, AJOVY and UZEDY supports continued revenue expansion, broader product diversification and greater earnings durability over the next several quarters.
Negative Factors
Elevated leverageDespite meaningful debt repayment, Teva still carries substantial absolute debt and elevated debt relative to equity. This limits balance-sheet flexibility and leaves cash flow more exposed to interest expense, refinancing needs or weaker operating performance if profitability softens.

Teva Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Revenue by GeographyReveals where sales are concentrated globally and which regions are growing or shrinking, helping investors assess geographic diversification, currency exposure, and where regulatory or market pressures could most impact overall revenue.

$0.00$500.00M$1.00B$1.50B$2.00BMar 21Jun 21Sep 21Dec 21Mar 22Jun 22Sep 22Dec 22Mar 23Jun 23Sep 23Dec 23Mar 24Jun 24Sep 24Dec 24Mar 25Jun 25Sep 25Dec 25Mar 26Jun 26
Chart Insights

Europe is the steady revenue anchor, showing recurring Q4 strength and renewed sequential gains into early 2026 that suggest durable demand or pricing stability; by contrast, International Markets experienced a pronounced but short-lived jump in 2024 and has since reverted toward earlier levels, implying that much of that growth was cyclical or one‑off (tenders, timing or product events). For investors, Europe reduces top‑line volatility while International remains a source of intermittent upside that needs clear, repeatable catalysts to be relied upon.

Data provided by:The Fly

Teva (TEVA) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

-20%0%20%40%60%80%TEVA+71.15%SPY+14.55%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
$163.71B
Dividend Yield
―
Average Volume (3M)
6.62M
Price to Earnings (P/E)
104.8
Beta (1Y)
-0.44
Revenue Growth
2.99%
EPS Growth
-28.63%
Country
US
Employees
33,346
Sector
General
Sector Strength
55
Industry
Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic

Teva Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Teva Pharmaceutical Industries Limited operates as a prominent global pharmaceutical firm, involved in the research, development, manufacturing, marketing, and distribution of generic, specialized, and biopharmaceutical products throughout North Amer...

How the Company Makes Money

Teva makes money mainly by selling prescription and, in some markets, over-the-counter medicines, with revenues largely derived from (1) generic medicines and (2) specialty (branded) medicines, alongside other smaller sources. 1) Generic medicines (p...

Teva Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 03, 2026(Q3-2026)|% Change Since:9.34%|Next Earnings Date:Feb 10, 2027
Earnings Call SentimentPositive

The call was strongly positive overall. Teva reported robust growth across its innovative portfolio, raised product and company-wide guidance, expanded its biosimilar business, improved margins and cash generation, strengthened its balance sheet, and highlighted multiple pipeline catalysts. The main negatives were the 2% revenue decline caused by lower generic REVLIMID revenue, the discontinued emrusolmin study, near-term IRA-related pressure on AUSTEDO, the delayed WELTRUZA revenue ramp, and biosimilar litigation and tariff uncertainty. Management nevertheless characterized these issues as manageable within its broader pivot-to-growth strategy.

Positive Updates

Innovative Portfolio Delivered Strong Growth
The innovative portfolio grew 32%-33% year-over-year in Q3, led by AUSTEDO, AJOVY, and UZEDY. Teva raised full-year guidance for all three products.

Negative Updates

Reported Revenue Declined
Q3 revenue declined 2% year-over-year to approximately $4.4 billion in both U.S. dollars and local currency. The decrease was primarily driven by lower generics revenue, especially generic REVLIMID.

Company Guidance

Teva raised 2026 full year revenue guidance to $16.7 billion-$17 billion, expects global generics revenue to be flat to slightly up in local currency compared to 2025, excluding the impact of generics revenue and the divested Japan business, and increased product guidance to $2.55 billion-$2.65 billion for AUSTEDO, $930 million-$960 million for AJOVY, and $290 million-$310 million for UZEDY; non-GAAP gross margin is expected to be 54.5%-55.5%, operating income $3.8 billion-$3.9 billion, operating margin 22.6%-23.1%, or 27.8%-28.2% excluding IPR&D, adjusted EBITDA $4.23 billion-$4.43 billion, or $5.1 billion-$5.3 billion excluding IPR&D, finance expenses approximately $800 million, tax rate 20%-23%, diluted EPS $1.92-$2.11, and free cash flow $2.1 billion-$2.4 billion. Teva expects no major revenue contribution from WELTRUZA in Q4 2026, revenue expectations for WELTRUZA in the latter half of next year, and no revenue of any particular value in the first half of next year; it expects mid-single digit growth on revenue CAGR from 2023-2027, a 30% operating margin by 2027, 57%-58% gross margin in 2027 while keeping the 27%-28% OpEx, net debt to EBITDA 2x by the end of 2027, approximately $2.7 billion free cash flow in 2027, and $800 million of biosimilar sales in 2026.

Teva Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Financials show a cash-flow-led improvement, but with notable balance-sheet and top-line risks. Income statement is mid-range (return to profitability and improved margins, but sharp TTM revenue decline and historical volatility). Balance sheet is weak (still-high leverage despite improvement), while cash flow is stronger (solid and growing free cash flow, though debt coverage remains modest).

Income Statement

62Positive

Balance Sheet

48Neutral

Cash Flow

71Positive
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue17.41B18.68B16.54B15.85B14.93B15.88B
Gross Profit9.31B9.63B8.06B7.65B6.97B7.59B
EBITDA3.39B3.34B777.00M1.56B-925.00M2.88B
Net Income522.04M1.53B-1.64B-559.00M-2.35B417.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets40.45B40.76B39.33B43.48B44.01B47.67B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments4.13B3.56B3.30B3.23B2.80B2.17B
Total Debt17.16B17.39B18.08B20.15B21.56B23.46B
Total Liabilities32.38B32.84B33.61B35.35B35.31B36.42B
Stockholders Equity8.06B7.91B5.37B7.51B7.90B10.28B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow2.61B2.56B749.00M842.00M1.04B236.00M
Operating Cash Flow3.14B3.10B1.25B1.37B1.59B798.00M
Investing Cash Flow-1.17B-557.47M792.00M968.00M656.00M1.52B
Financing Cash Flow105.87M-2.29B-1.79B-1.91B-1.49B-2.17B

Teva Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentPositive
Last Price44.50

Price Trends

50DMA40.22Positive
100DMA36.56Positive
200DMA32.92Positive

Market Momentum

MACD1.04Negative
RSI69.77Neutral
STOCH92.20Negative

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TEVA, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 44.50 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 41.59, above the 50-day MA of 40.22, and above the 200-day MA of 32.92, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 1.04 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 69.77 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 92.20 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TEVA.

Teva Risk Analysis

Teva disclosed 42 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Teva reported the most risks in the "Legal & Regulatory" category.

Higher RiskSector Avg.Lower RiskFinance & CorporateTech & InnovationLegal & RegulatoryProductionAbility to SellMacro & Political
Legal & Regulatory - Litigation, compliance, new legislation, and taxation risks

Latest Risks Added

3 New Risks
1.Our adoption of artificial intelligence ("AI") technologies introduces new risks and uncertaintiesQ4, 2025
2.We are subject to changes in governmental, investor and societal responses to climate change and sustainability-related issues, which may result in scrutiny or adverse impacts on our business.Q4, 2025
3.Intense competition may adversely affect our ability to successfully develop and commercialize innovative medicines.Q4, 2025

Teva Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (55)

Financial Indicators

TEVA against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
ALKSALKS67Neutral$7.89B15676.67-0.02%―15.27%-100.08%
RDYRDY66Neutral$12.26B41.077.37%0.57%-10.52%-55.45%
TEVATEVA61Neutral$50.67B104.789.18%―2.99%-28.63%
AMRXAMRX58Neutral$7.56B49.72131.71%―8.88%2272.07%
VTRSVTRS58Neutral$23.70B-39.28-4.24%2.31%4.80%82.97%
Sector *55Neutral$6.65B3.83-15.92%6.20%10.91%7.18%
PRGOPRGO52Neutral$2.25B-1.27-68.13%7.14%-4.45%-3289.03%

* General Sector Average

Performance Comparison

0%50%100%TEVAALKSRDYVTRSPRGOAMRXDec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
TEVA and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
TEVATeva Pharmaceutical Industries Limited44.5018.5071.15%
ALKSAlkermes plc47.0317.7060.35%
RDYDr. Reddy's Laboratories Ltd14.740.866.17%
VTRSViatris, Inc.20.8210.53102.23%
PRGOPerrigo Company16.243.8531.06%
AMRXAmneal Pharma21.389.8084.63%

Teva Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and FinancingRegulatory Filings and Compliance

Teva Pharmaceutical Announces New Senior Notes Offering

Positive
Sep 16, 2026

On September 16, 2026, Teva’s Dutch finance units issued €1.5 billion of senior euro notes and $3.2 billion of senior U.S. dollar notes, all guaranteed on a senior unsecured basis by Teva Pharmaceutical Industries. The new notes carry maturities betw...

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing

Teva Pharmaceutical Announces Major Senior Notes Financing

Positive
Sep 11, 2026

On September 10, 2026, Teva announced it had successfully priced approximately $4.9 billion equivalent in unsecured senior notes issued through three Dutch financing subsidiaries. The euro- and dollar-denominated tranches, carrying coupons between 4....

Business Operations and StrategyDelistings and Listing ChangesRegulatory Filings and Compliance

Teva Advances NYSE Listing With ADS Exchange Plan

Neutral
Sep 3, 2026

On August 31, 2026, Teva Pharmaceutical Industries Ltd. executed an amendment to its Second Amended and Restated Deposit Agreement with Citibank, N.A. and updated the form of American depositary receipt, as part of its previously disclosed plan to li...

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial DisclosuresRegulatory Filings and Compliance

Teva Recasts Segments to Support Pivot to Growth

Neutral
Sep 3, 2026

Teva Pharmaceutical Industries said it has recast historical segment information in its Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2025, following a reclassification of Anda, its U.S. distribution business, effective January 1, 2026. Under its Pivot t...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Sep 16, 2026