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Viatris (VTRS)
NASDAQ:VTRS

Viatris (VTRS) AI Stock Analysis

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Viatris

(NASDAQ:VTRS)

Rating:54Neutral
Price Target:
$9.00
▼(-3.43%Downside)
Viatris' overall score is primarily impacted by financial struggles, including declining revenues and significant net losses, which are partially offset by stable cash flow. Technical indicators are neutral, and the valuation is weakened by negative earnings. Positive corporate events and pipeline developments provide some optimism, though significant operational hurdles remain.
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Financial Performance
Disappointing FY25 EBITDA guidance is 8% below consensus.
Regulatory Challenges
The generic Revlimid impact results in $200 million lost revenue due to being on the import ban list.
Strategic Challenges
The company struggles to define its identity in the biopharma ecosystem, affecting strategic direction.

Viatris (VTRS) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Viatris Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionViatris Inc. is a global healthcare company focused on providing access to medicines, sustainable operations, and innovative solutions to improve patient health. Formed through the merger of Mylan and Upjohn, a division of Pfizer, Viatris operates in the pharmaceutical sector and offers a diverse portfolio of generic, branded, over-the-counter, and biosimilar products. The company serves a broad range of therapeutic areas, including infectious diseases, oncology, dermatology, and cardiovascular health, across multiple international markets.
How the Company Makes MoneyViatris makes money through the sale of its pharmaceutical products, which include both generic and branded medications as well as biosimilars. The company capitalizes on its extensive global reach and diverse product portfolio to generate revenue from markets worldwide. Key revenue streams include sales of complex generics and biosimilars, which cater to high-demand therapeutic areas, and branded products that rely on strong market recognition. Additionally, Viatris benefits from strategic partnerships and collaborations that expand its distribution network and enhance its product offerings. The company also focuses on operational efficiencies and cost management to maximize profitability.

Viatris Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 08, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 9.91%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 07, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call reflects a mixed outlook. While there are significant advancements in the pipeline and strong performance in specific regions like Europe and China, challenges such as the revenue decline due to the Indore facility impact, a substantial goodwill impairment charge, and potential tariff-related issues pose significant hurdles.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Significant Pipeline Progress
Three positive Phase 3 data readouts, including novel fast-acting meloxicam for acute pain and XULANE LO transdermal patch for birth control, with plans for regulatory submissions in 2025.
Capital Return to Shareholders
Returned approximately $450 million in capital to shareholders, including $300 million through share repurchases and $143 million from dividends.
Strong Performance in Europe and China
Growth in Europe and China contributed positively to overall performance, with 4% growth in China driven by a diversified model across e-commerce, retail, and private hospitals.
Positive Developments in R&D
Strong momentum in advancing Phase 3 programs, with promising results in pain management and women's health.
Negative Updates
Revenue Decline Due to Indore Facility Impact
Total revenues were $3.3 billion, down 2% on a divestiture-adjusted operational basis, primarily due to the impact of the Indore facility.
Goodwill Impairment Charge
Recorded a non-cash goodwill impairment charge of $2.9 billion due to a decline in share price and increased uncertainty in geopolitical and economic environments.
Challenges in North American Market
North American business decreased 8% due to the Indore impact and competition on select generic products.
Exposure to Tariffs and Manufacturing Concerns
Potential negative financial impact from tariffs on pharmaceuticals, with 50% of U.S. sales not manufactured domestically.
Company Guidance
In the Viatris Q1 2025 earnings call, the company provided guidance indicating a solid start to the fiscal year with Q1 revenues totaling $3.3 billion, reflecting a 2% decrease on a divestiture-adjusted operational basis. Notable achievements included returning approximately $450 million to shareholders, with $300 million through share repurchases, and announcing positive Phase 3 data for three drugs. These included a novel fast-acting meloxicam for acute pain, XULANE LO for birth control, and EFFEXOR for generalized anxiety disorder in Japan. The company reaffirmed its commitment to returning capital to shareholders and maintained its financial outlook for 2025, expecting revenue growth in the latter half of the year and new product revenues between $450 million and $550 million. Despite challenges such as potential tariffs and ongoing remediation at the Indore facility, Viatris remains optimistic about future growth, with strategic focus on pipeline advancement and operational excellence.

Viatris Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Viatris faces significant financial challenges, with declining revenues and substantial net losses. While cash flow generation remains stable, high leverage and negative equity returns pose substantial risks.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
The company's income statement reflects significant challenges, with a declining revenue trend from $17.9 billion in 2021 to $14.3 billion in TTM. Gross profit margin remained stable at around 37%, but the net loss in TTM widened significantly to $3.79 billion. The EBIT and EBITDA margins were negative in the TTM, showing operational difficulties. The revenue growth rate from 2024 to TTM was negative, indicating a downturn in sales performance.
Balance Sheet
55
Neutral
The balance sheet reveals a decrease in total assets from $54.8 billion in 2021 to $38.5 billion in TTM. The debt-to-equity ratio remains high, indicating significant leverage, though it improved slightly in TTM. ROE turned negative in TTM due to substantial net losses. The equity ratio has weakened, reflecting a reduction in shareholders' equity. Despite these challenges, the company has maintained a stable cash position.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
The cash flow statement indicates resilience, with a positive operating cash flow of $2.22 billion in TTM, though it has decreased from previous years. Free cash flow also remained positive at $1.86 billion, demonstrating effective capital management. However, the operating cash flow to net income ratio highlights the struggle in translating revenue into profit, with a significant net loss in TTM.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue14.32B14.74B15.43B16.26B17.89B11.95B
Gross Profit5.33B5.62B6.44B6.50B5.58B3.80B
EBITDA-527.50M2.82B3.46B6.43B4.48B1.99B
Net Income-3.79B-634.20M54.70M2.08B-1.27B-669.90M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets38.47B41.50B47.69B50.02B54.84B61.55B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.00B1.09B1.18B1.47B935.00M1.05B
Total Debt14.46B14.31B18.37B19.27B23.07B25.84B
Total Liabilities22.82B22.87B27.22B28.95B34.35B38.60B
Stockholders Equity15.65B18.64B20.47B21.07B20.49B22.95B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow1.86B1.98B2.33B2.51B2.51B550.60M
Operating Cash Flow2.22B2.30B2.80B2.95B3.02B1.23B
Investing Cash Flow1.89B1.80B-764.10M1.52B-117.80M-301.10M
Financing Cash Flow-4.37B-4.33B-2.30B-3.88B-3.01B-605.70M

Viatris Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price9.32
Price Trends
50DMA
8.67
Positive
100DMA
8.85
Positive
200DMA
10.24
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.15
Negative
RSI
62.70
Neutral
STOCH
85.45
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For VTRS, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 9.32 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 8.95, above the 50-day MA of 8.67, and below the 200-day MA of 10.24, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.15 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 62.70 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 85.45 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for VTRS.

Viatris Risk Analysis

Viatris disclosed 51 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Viatris reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Viatris Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (46)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
RDRDY
77
Outperform
$12.73B18.7818.36%0.64%14.23%-0.84%
63
Neutral
$3.74B-3.64%4.26%-4.85%-4290.31%
63
Neutral
$2.64B106.97%13.42%92.50%
57
Neutral
$19.59B-18.98%3.38%-175.90%
54
Neutral
$10.94B-21.25%5.15%-6.88%-6809.78%
46
Neutral
C$194.71M-4.33-8.58%2.64%13.66%-0.73%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
VTRS
Viatris
9.32
-0.81
-8.00%
RDY
Dr Reddy's Laboratories
15.08
-0.35
-2.27%
PRGO
Perrigo Company
27.20
2.49
10.08%
TEVA
Teva Pharmaceutical
17.01
0.65
3.97%
AMRX
Amneal Pharmaceuticals
8.42
1.60
23.46%

Viatris Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Viatris Reports Q1 2025 Financial Results and Pipeline Progress
Neutral
May 8, 2025

On May 8, 2025, Viatris Inc. reported its first quarter 2025 financial results, showing total revenues in line with expectations and significant progress in its pipeline with three positive Phase 3 data readouts. Despite an 11% decrease in total revenues compared to the previous year, the company returned over $450 million in capital to shareholders and reaffirmed its 2025 outlook, emphasizing its strategic focus on capital discipline and operational execution.

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Viatris Expands Board with New Appointments
Positive
May 5, 2025

On May 5, 2025, Viatris Inc. announced the appointment of Frank D’Amelio and Michael Severino as independent members of its Board of Directors, expanding the board from 12 to 14 members. This move is part of Viatris’ ongoing efforts to refresh its board, aiming to leverage D’Amelio’s extensive finance and operational expertise and Severino’s drug development experience to drive long-term growth and shareholder returns. Concurrently, directors Rajiv Malik and Harry Korman announced their retirement at the end of their current terms, with no disagreements with the company. The changes reflect Viatris’ strategic focus on enhancing its board’s capabilities to support its vision for future achievements.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jun 21, 2025