Telephone & Data Systems (TDS) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: $3.76B
• Dividend Yield: 0.45%
• Average Volume (3M): 764.43K
• Price to Earnings (P/E): ―
• Beta (1Y): 0.52
• Revenue Growth: -5.14%
• EPS Growth: 78.63%
• Country: US
• Employees: 7,900
• Sector: Communication Services
• Sector Strength: 87
• Industry: Telecommunications Services
• EPS (TTM): -0.09
• Shares Outstanding: 107,208,070
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 807,207
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 764,430
• PEG Ratio: -0.31
• Price to Book (P/B): 0.39
• Price to Sales (P/S): 0.00
• P/FCF Ratio: -48.28
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: 1.50
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: 0.28
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: 2.02
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: 1.51
• 1Y Price Target: $50.00
• Price Target Upside: 42.49% Upside
• Rating Consensus: Moderate Buy
• Number of Analyst Covering: 2

• Rating: 56 Neutral
• Price Target: $37.00 ▲(5.44%Upside)

TDS's overall stock score is primarily impacted by its financial challenges, notably declining revenues and profitability issues. The technical analysis is slightly positive, suggesting potential mild momentum. Valuation remains a concern due to negative earnings, while strategic initiatives from the earnings call provide some longer-term optimism.

Telephone & Data Systems Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Telephone and Data Systems, Inc., a telecommunications company, provides communications services in the United States. It operates through two segments: UScellular and TDS Telecom. The company offers wireless solutions to consumers and business and government customers, including a suite of connected Internet of things (IoT) solutions, and software applications for monitor and control, business automation/operations, communication, fleet and asset management, smart water solutions, private cellular networks and custom, and end-to-end IoT solutions; wireless priority services and quality priority and preemption options; smartphones and other handsets, tablets, wearables, mobile hotspots, routers, and IoT devices; and accessories, such as cases, screen protectors, chargers, and memory cards, as well as consumer electronics, including audio, home automation and networking products. It also provides replace and repair services; Trade-In program through which it buys customers' used equipment; internet connections and all-home WI-FI services; TDS TV+, an integrated cloud television platform that offers video content; local and long-distance telephone service, VoIP, and enhanced services; and broadband, IP-based services, and hosted voice and video collaboration services. The company sells its products through retail sales, direct and indirect sales, third-party retailers, and independent agents, as well as through ecommerce and telesales. As of December 31, 2021, it offers its services to customers 5 million wireless connections, and 1.2 million wireline and cable connections. The company was incorporated in 1968 and is headquartered in Chicago, Illinois.

How the Company Makes Money

TDS generates revenue primarily through its two main subsidiaries: U.S. Cellular and TDS Telecom. U.S. Cellular, as a wireless telecommunications provider, earns its income from providing mobile voice and data services, including postpaid and prepaid plans, as well as device sales. Additional revenue streams include roaming agreements with other carriers and fees for additional services such as insurance and device protection plans. TDS Telecom, on the other hand, contributes to the company's earnings by offering broadband, video, and voice services to residential and commercial customers. This includes revenue from internet subscriptions, traditional and IP-based voice services, and digital television offerings. The company also benefits from strategic partnerships and government funding programs aimed at expanding broadband access, particularly in underserved areas, which play a significant role in supporting its financial performance.

Telephone & Data Systems Financial Statement Overview

Summary

TDS exhibits strong cash flow performance but faces challenges with declining revenues and profitability. The company's high leverage and negative ROE highlight financial risks amid declining income generation.

Income Statement

The company's TTM revenue has declined by 2.18% compared to the previous annual period, indicating a challenge in maintaining growth. Gross profit margin for TTM stands at 57.56%, which is healthy, but the net profit margin is negative at -1.03% due to losses. EBIT and EBITDA margins also indicate pressures on operational profitability, with EBIT margin at 0.62% and EBITDA margin at 24.03%. Overall, the income statement reflects declining revenues and profitability issues.

Balance Sheet

The debt-to-equity ratio is relatively high at 1.00, indicating significant leverage, which could be a risk if revenues continue to decline. Return on equity (ROE) is negative at -0.98% due to the net loss, reflecting a challenge in generating returns for shareholders. The equity ratio stands at 37.50%, showing a moderate level of equity financing. The balance sheet suggests potential leverage risks amid declining profitability.

Cash Flow

Operating cash flow is strong, with a high ratio to net income, indicating good cash generation capabilities despite net losses. Free cash flow has improved significantly, increasing by 31.95% compared to the previous annual period. The free cash flow to net income ratio is positive, suggesting better cash management and cost control. Despite strong cash flows, the underlying profitability challenges remain a concern.

Breakdown	TTM	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021	Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue	4.86B	4.96B	5.16B	5.41B	5.33B	5.22B
Gross Profit	2.79B	2.83B	2.83B	2.85B	2.86B	2.87B
EBITDA	1.17B	1.20B	682.00M	1.08B	1.18B	1.19B
Net Income	-50.00M	-28.00M	-500.00M	62.00M	156.00M	226.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	13.54B	13.68B	13.92B	14.55B	13.49B	12.53B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	348.00M	364.00M	236.00M	360.00M	367.00M	1.43B
Total Debt	5.09B	5.10B	5.14B	4.80B	4.04B	4.50B
Total Liabilities	7.67B	7.80B	7.91B	7.93B	6.75B	6.92B
Stockholders Equity	5.08B	5.09B	5.20B	5.85B	5.93B	4.80B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	318.00M	241.00M	-199.00M	-620.00M	-48.00M	164.00M
Operating Cash Flow	1.11B	1.15B	1.14B	1.16B	1.10B	1.53B
Investing Cash Flow	-631.00M	-754.00M	-1.33B	-1.78B	-2.46B	-1.51B
Financing Cash Flow	-383.00M	-277.00M	56.00M	613.00M	321.00M	957.00M

Telephone & Data Systems Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Positive
• Last Price: 35.09
• 50DMA: Positive
• 100DMA: Negative
• 200DMA: Positive
• MACD: Negative
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TDS, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 35.09 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 34.35, above the 50-day MA of 34.79, and above the 200-day MA of 32.79, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of -0.07 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 53.82 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 70.94 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TDS.

Telephone & Data Systems Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
TKC	79 Outperform	$5.10B	12.14	6.74%	4.06%	14.09%	-11.43%
TIGO	71 Outperform	$6.27B	17.58	10.19%	2.04%	-1.52%	4874.58%
USM	64 Neutral	$5.20B	―	-0.84%	―	-3.48%	-169.60%
Sector *	61 Neutral	$39.88B	-1.09	-14.68%	3.94%	2.46%	-73.46%
TDS	56 Neutral	$3.76B	―	-0.97%	0.45%	-5.14%	78.63%
TEO	55 Neutral	$3.84B	18.66	3.99%	―	-12.77%	40.80%
LUMN	51 Neutral	$4.40B	―	-78.94%	―	-7.86%	97.11%

Telephone & Data Systems Corporate Events

T-Mobile Announces Exchange Offers Involving USCC Notes

On June 16, 2025, T-Mobile USA announced the preliminary results of its Exchange Offers, which involved exchanging certain senior notes issued by United States Cellular Corporation, a subsidiary of Telephone and Data Systems, Inc., for new notes to be issued by T-Mobile USA. The Exchange Offers also included soliciting consents from holders of the USCC Notes to modify or eliminate certain notice requirements and restrictive covenants, potentially impacting the company’s financial structure and stakeholder agreements.

The most recent analyst rating on (TDS) stock is a Buy with a $39.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Telephone & Data Systems stock, see the TDS Stock Forecast page.

Telephone & Data Systems Elects Directors at Shareholder Meeting

At the Annual Meeting of Shareholders on May 22, 2025, Telephone & Data Systems announced the election of directors and the approval of key proposals. Eight directors were elected by holders of Series A Common Shares and four by holders of Common Shares. Additionally, the selection of PricewaterhouseCoopers LLP as independent accountants for 2025 was ratified, and the compensation of named executive officers was approved.

The most recent analyst rating on (TDS) stock is a Buy with a $34.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Telephone & Data Systems stock, see the TDS Stock Forecast page.