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Texas Capital Bancshares (TCBI)
NASDAQ:TCBI
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Texas Capital Bancshares (TCBI) AI Stock Analysis

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TCBI

Texas Capital Bancshares

(NASDAQ:TCBI)

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Outperform 74 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:74Outperform
Price Target:
$96.00
▲(15.20% Upside)
Texas Capital Bancshares scores well due to strong financial performance and positive earnings call highlights. The company's strategic transformation and record financial achievements are significant strengths. However, mixed technical indicators and valuation concerns slightly temper the overall score. The absence of a dividend yield and challenges in mortgage finance and interest rate pressures are noted risks.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Sustained revenue growth indicates robust demand for the bank's services and effective client engagement, supporting long-term expansion.
Strategic Transformation
Successful strategic transformation enhances operational efficiency and asset utilization, strengthening the company's competitive position.
Treasury Solutions Growth
Growth in treasury solutions reflects successful diversification of revenue streams and reduced reliance on high-cost deposits.
Negative Factors
Interest Rate Pressure
Interest rate pressures could constrain net interest margins, affecting profitability and necessitating strategic adjustments.
Mortgage Finance Volatility
Volatility in mortgage finance can impact revenue stability, requiring adaptive strategies to manage market fluctuations.
Leverage Risk
Despite improved leverage management, existing leverage risk could limit financial flexibility and increase vulnerability to economic shifts.

Texas Capital Bancshares (TCBI) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Texas Capital Bancshares Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionTexas Capital Bancshares, Inc. operates as the bank holding company for Texas Capital Bank, is a full-service financial services firm that delivers customized solutions to businesses, entrepreneurs, and individual customers. The company offers commercial banking, consumer banking, investment banking, and wealth management services. It offers business deposit products and services, including commercial checking accounts, lockbox accounts, and cash concentration accounts, as well as information, wire transfer initiation, ACH initiation, account transfer, and service integration services; and consumer deposit products, such as checking accounts, savings accounts, money market accounts, and certificates of deposit. The company also provides commercial loans for general corporate purposes comprising financing working capital, internal growth, acquisitions, and business insurance premiums, as well as consumer loans; loans to exploration and production companies; mortgage finance loans; commercial real estate and residential homebuilder finance loans; first and second lien loans for the purpose of purchasing or constructing 1-4 family residential dwellings, as well as home equity revolving lines of credit and loans to purchase lots for future construction of 1-4 family residential dwellings; and real estate loans originated through a small business administration program, as well as equipment finance and leasing services, and letters of credit. In addition, it offers online and mobile banking, and debit and credit card services; escrow services; personal wealth management and trust services; and depositors American Airlines AAdvantage miles. It operates in Austin, Fort Worth, Dallas, Houston, and San Antonio metropolitan areas of Texas. Texas Capital Bancshares, Inc. was incorporated in 1996 and is headquartered in Dallas, Texas.
How the Company Makes MoneyTexas Capital Bancshares generates revenue primarily through interest income earned on loans and securities, as well as non-interest income from various banking services. The main revenue streams include interest from commercial loans, real estate loans, and consumer loans. Additionally, the bank earns fees from deposit accounts, treasury management services, and wealth management offerings. Key partnerships with local businesses and real estate developers enhance its loan portfolio, while a focus on customer service helps maintain strong relationships and customer retention. Overall, TCBI's financial performance is closely tied to the economic conditions in Texas and its ability to effectively manage its interest rate risk and operational expenses.

Texas Capital Bancshares Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 23, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Jan 15, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted Texas Capital Bancshares' impressive financial performance and successful strategic transformation, with significant achievements in investment banking, credit quality, and treasury solutions. However, challenges remain in managing mortgage finance volatility and interest rate pressures.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Financial Performance
Texas Capital Bancshares reported record revenue of $340 million, record pre-provision net revenue of $150 million, record net income to common of $101 million, record earnings per share of $2.18, and record tangible book value per share of $73.02.
Strategic Transformation Success
The firm achieved a 1.3% return on average assets, surpassing the target of 1.1%. Tangible common equity to tangible assets reached an all-time high of 10.25%, with significant improvements in balance sheet resilience and scalability.
Investment Banking Expansion
The investment banking segment reported a record quarter, contributing significantly to revenue with broad client interactions and capabilities, and achieving a high volume of repeat business.
Improved Credit Quality
Criticized loans decreased by $108 million or 17% quarter-over-quarter, and $368 million or 41% year-over-year, with allowance for credit loss at $333 million or 1.79% of loans held for investment, excluding mortgage finance.
Treasury Solutions Growth
Treasury product fees increased by 91% over the past 4 years, demonstrating the firm's success in transforming its funding base and reducing reliance on high-cost deposits.
Negative Updates
Mortgage Finance Volatility
Average mortgage finance loans increased only modestly by 3% quarter-over-quarter, and the self-funding ratio is expected to decline due to seasonal factors and changes in market conditions.
Interest Rate Pressure
The firm faces challenges in maintaining net interest income growth amid expected further interest rate cuts, impacting yields and deposit betas.
Company Guidance
During the Texas Capital Bancshares Q3 2025 earnings call, significant progress was highlighted in achieving key financial metrics. The firm reported a return on average assets of 1.3%, surpassing the target of 1.1%. Tangible common equity to tangible assets reached an all-time high of 10.25% after adding 247 basis points since September 2021. The quarter also marked record achievements with $340 million in revenue, $150 million in pre-provision net revenue, $101 million in net income to common, and earnings per share of $2.18. Texas Capital has also seen a 91% increase in treasury product fees over four years, indicating successful client engagement and product adoption. The firm continues to maintain a strong capital position with CET1 at 12.14%, and they project low double-digit percent revenue growth for the full year 2025, alongside a mid-single-digit growth in noninterest expenses.

Texas Capital Bancshares Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Texas Capital Bancshares demonstrates strong financial performance with notable improvements in revenue growth and profitability margins. The balance sheet reflects improved leverage management, though some risk remains. Cash flow metrics are particularly strong, indicating excellent liquidity and cash management. Overall, the company is on a positive financial trajectory with opportunities for further operational enhancements.
Income Statement
75
Positive
Texas Capital Bancshares shows a strong revenue growth rate of 9.39% in the TTM, indicating a positive trajectory. The gross profit margin is healthy at 41.37%, although it has decreased from previous years. The net profit margin improved significantly to 15.13% in the TTM, reflecting enhanced profitability. However, the EBIT and EBITDA margins, while improved, suggest room for operational efficiency gains.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The company's debt-to-equity ratio has improved to 0.25 in the TTM, indicating better leverage management compared to previous years. Return on equity is moderate at 8.62%, showing decent profitability from shareholders' investments. The equity ratio is stable, suggesting a balanced asset structure. However, the overall leverage remains a potential risk factor.
Cash Flow
80
Positive
Free cash flow growth is robust at 74.52% in the TTM, highlighting strong cash generation capabilities. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is healthy at 1.51, indicating efficient cash conversion. The free cash flow to net income ratio is also strong at 0.93, underscoring effective cash management. These metrics suggest solid liquidity and financial flexibility.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.96B1.76B1.79B1.25B987.05M1.18B
Gross Profit1.14B865.35M1.00B910.76M909.30M731.72M
EBITDA432.93M161.29M287.07M477.04M431.46M166.87M
Net Income287.99M77.51M189.14M332.48M253.94M66.29M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets32.54B30.79B28.36B28.41B34.73B37.73B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments4.01B3.37B6.47B7.63B11.53B12.40B
Total Debt895.42M1.55B2.36B2.13B3.13B3.51B
Total Liabilities28.90B27.42B25.16B25.36B31.52B34.85B
Stockholders Equity3.64B3.37B3.20B3.06B3.21B2.87B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow675.93M416.28M357.36M136.70M653.19M2.64B
Operating Cash Flow686.34M481.12M373.74M147.97M657.32M2.64B
Investing Cash Flow-2.18B-2.48B-1.76B3.31B1.23B-2.94B
Financing Cash Flow-2.48B1.94B-387.67M-6.39B-3.15B5.08B

Texas Capital Bancshares Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price83.33
Price Trends
50DMA
85.05
Negative
100DMA
83.78
Negative
200DMA
78.99
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.31
Negative
RSI
48.62
Neutral
STOCH
76.58
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TCBI, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 83.33 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 83.46, below the 50-day MA of 85.05, and above the 200-day MA of 78.99, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.31 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 48.62 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 76.58 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for TCBI.

Texas Capital Bancshares Risk Analysis

Texas Capital Bancshares disclosed 39 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Texas Capital Bancshares reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Texas Capital Bancshares Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
$3.80B13.658.60%5.19%3454.95%
$3.34B16.645.51%3.49%11.09%-10.78%
$3.55B11.819.01%3.25%5.45%65.11%
$3.20B17.624.54%2.61%20.35%-35.00%
$3.19B9.4310.92%4.11%9.58%20.38%
$3.37B14.536.91%5.85%-2.11%-8.95%
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TCBI
Texas Capital Bancshares
83.33
6.53
8.50%
FIBK
First Interstate Bancsystem
32.11
3.23
11.18%
FULT
Fulton Financial
17.51
0.14
0.81%
INDB
Independent Bank
67.04
6.64
10.99%
RNST
Renasant
33.68
0.77
2.34%
UCB
United Community Banks
29.23
1.90
6.95%

Texas Capital Bancshares Corporate Events

Texas Capital Bancshares Reports Record Earnings and Strategic Success
Oct 24, 2025

Texas Capital Bancshares recently held an earnings call that painted a picture of impressive financial performance and strategic success, albeit with some challenges on the horizon. The company showcased significant achievements in investment banking, credit quality, and treasury solutions. However, it also acknowledged the hurdles posed by mortgage finance volatility and interest rate pressures.

Texas Capital Bancshares Reports Record Q3 2025 Earnings
Oct 23, 2025

Texas Capital Bancshares, Inc., the parent company of Texas Capital Bank, is a full-service financial services firm headquartered in Dallas, Texas. It provides customized banking solutions to businesses, entrepreneurs, and individual customers across the United States.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 30, 2025