Symbotic AI Stock Analysis
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Symbotic (SYM) AI Stock Analysis
Symbotic
(NASDAQ:SYM)
The score is driven primarily by strong financial performance (rapid scaling, expanding margins, minimal debt, and very strong recent free cash flow) and supportive fundamental momentum from the earnings update/backlog visibility. Offsetting these positives are weak technicals (below major moving averages with negative MACD) and a demanding valuation (very high P/E), which increase downside risk if execution or margin improvement slips.
Symbotic Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)
Revenue by GeographyShows where Symbotic earns its sales by country or region, revealing concentration risk, exposure to different economic cycles, and near-term growth opportunities from international expansion. Useful for assessing how currency, trade or local customer demand could affect revenue and long-term market reach.
Symbotic's revenue growth in the United States has been robust, reflecting a strategic focus on expanding system deployments and enhancing operational efficiencies. The recent earnings call underscores this momentum, with a 26% annual revenue increase and a strong backlog of $22.5 billion. However, the introduction of a next-gen storage structure may temper sequential growth in 2026. In Canada, a significant revenue jump in 2025 suggests new market penetration or customer acquisition, aligning with the company's expansion into new verticals like healthcare.
The FlySymbotic (SYM) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)
- Market Cap
- $22.46B
- Dividend Yield
- ―
- Average Volume (3M)
- 1.60M
- Price to Earnings (P/E)
- 387.4
- Beta (1Y)
- 2.42
- Revenue Growth
- 19.98%
- EPS Growth
- ―
- Country
- US
- Employees
- 2,000
- Sector
- Industrials
- Sector Strength
- 63
- Industry
- Industrial - Machinery
Symbotic Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
Symbotic Inc. is a company specializing in automation solutions, offering cutting-edge robotics and technology designed to boost operational efficiency for wholesale and retail businesses across the United States. They provide a comprehensive automat...
How the Company Makes Money
Symbotic generates revenue primarily by selling and deploying automated warehouse systems and by providing ongoing services tied to those installations. A key revenue stream comes from the design, engineering, and integration of its automation soluti...
Symbotic Earnings Call Summary
The call presented multiple material positives: strong top-line growth (22% YoY), a return to GAAP profitability, adjusted EBITDA more than doubling year-over-year, high-growth software and services revenue, expanding deployments, a large $22.5 billion backlog, and strategic technology and tuck-in acquisitions supporting broadened addressable markets. Headwinds highlighted included timing-driven cash decline, modest backlog adjustments and pricing resets, a multi-quarter timeline for converting micro-fulfillment opportunities at scale, some lumpiness in revenue per deployment, and a cautious near-term margin outlook due to OpEx timing. Overall, the fundamentals and growth drivers appear robust and management signaled clear levers to continue margin expansion, outweighing the transitory operational and timing challenges.
Q3-2026 Updates
Positive Updates
Negative Updates
Company Guidance
Symbotic guided Q4 FY26 revenue of $700–780 million and adjusted EBITDA of $100–105 million. For context, Q3 FY26 results were revenue $721M (+22% YoY, +7% QoQ), adjusted EBITDA $95M (vs. $45M in Q3 FY25), GAAP net income $55M (vs. $21M net loss a year ago), systems revenue $671M (+20% YoY, +6% QoQ), software $13M (+57% YoY), and operations services $37M (+49% YoY); the company started 11 new deployments in the quarter (bringing deployments to 77, 56 operational with 4 turned operational in Q3), reported a backlog of $22.5B (~15% expected to convert in the next 12 months), cash & equivalents of $1.7B (down from $2.0B), GAAP operating expenses of $128M and combined adjusted R&D+SG&A of $85M, and reiterated that full‑year adjusted EBITDA should be more than double last fiscal year while expecting Q4 free cash flow to be positive and further margin inflection as next‑gen storage rolls out.
Symbotic Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Strong overall fundamentals supported by rapid revenue scale-up (to ~$2.65B TTM), expanding gross margin (~21.6% TTM), minimal leverage, and standout recent cash generation (FCF ~$1.14B TTM). The main constraint is still-thin and historically inconsistent profitability (TTM net margin ~2.4% and operating margin near breakeven), which makes results sensitive to cost/mix and project timing.
Income Statement
74PositiveBalance Sheet
82Very PositiveCash Flow
89Very Positive| Breakdown | TTM | Sep 2025 | Sep 2024 | Sep 2023 | Sep 2022 | Sep 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | ||||||
| Total Revenue | 2.65B | 2.25B | 1.79B | 1.18B | 593.31M | 251.91M |
| Gross Profit | 571.41M | 422.61M | 279.10M | 209.50M | 99.65M | 10.45M |
| EBITDA | 58.97M | -48.53M | -59.81M | -189.85M | -133.10M | -117.82M |
| Net Income | 12.62M | -16.94M | -13.49M | -23.87M | -79.00M | -122.31M |
Balance Sheet | ||||||
| Total Assets | 3.52B | 2.40B | 1.58B | 1.05B | 631.26M | 280.54M |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 1.75B | 1.24B | 727.31M | 545.51M | 353.46M | 156.63M |
| Total Debt | 25.83M | 31.68M | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Total Liabilities | 2.39B | 1.92B | 1.19B | 1.05B | 562.32M | 1.39B |
| Stockholders Equity | 708.77M | 221.32M | 197.23M | 82.00K | 7.18M | -1.11B |
Cash Flow | ||||||
| Free Cash Flow | 737.26M | 787.91M | -102.45M | 209.47M | -166.20M | 97.40M |
| Operating Cash Flow | 836.26M | 866.94M | -58.08M | 230.79M | -148.25M | 109.57M |
| Investing Cash Flow | -271.89M | -350.74M | 156.48M | -299.46M | -17.95M | -12.17M |
| Financing Cash Flow | 428.62M | 668.00K | 371.04M | -24.10M | 362.45M | 0 |
Symbotic Technical Analysis
Price Trends
Market Momentum
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SYM, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 37.11 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 38.32, below the 50-day MA of 40.82, and below the 200-day MA of 47.05, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -1.13 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 43.12 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 61.69 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for SYM.
Symbotic Risk Analysis
Symbotic disclosed 59 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Symbotic reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Latest Risks Added
3 New RisksSymbotic Peers Comparison
Overall Rating
IR85Outperform
DOV77Outperform- SYM70Outperform
ROK67Neutral
PNR65Neutral
OTIS61Neutral
Financial Indicators
| Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| IR | 85Outperform | $32.97B | 23.83 | 13.53% | 0.09% | 7.96% | 161.68% |
| DOV | 77Outperform | $28.20B | 24.61 | 15.43% | 0.98% | 8.24% | -47.25% |
| SYM | 70Outperform | $22.75B | 387.37 | 2.21% | ― | 19.98% | ― |
| ROK | 67Neutral | $44.10B | 32.37 | 39.37% | 1.36% | 7.76% | ― |
| PNR | 65Neutral | $11.12B | 18.29 | 16.02% | 1.56% | -3.93% | -4.74% |
| Sector * | 63Neutral | $10.79B | 15.43 | 7.44% | 2.01% | 2.89% | -14.66% |
| OTIS | 61Neutral | $29.74B | 19.18 | -27.97% | 2.22% | 5.77% | 18.39% |
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
| Show on chart | Ticker | Company Name | Price | Change | % Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SYM | Symbotic Inc. | 37.11 | -22.41 | -37.65% | |
| DOV | Dover Corporation | 212.43 | 32.30 | 17.93% | |
| PNR | Pentair | 69.33 | -35.85 | -34.09% | |
| ROK | Rockwell Automation | 406.19 | 31.51 | 8.41% | |
| IR | Ingersoll Rand Inc. | 85.08 | 8.94 | 11.74% | |
| OTIS | Otis Worldwide Corporation | 77.50 | -11.18 | -12.61% |
Symbotic Corporate Events
Symbotic expands Walmart automation partnership and backlog
PositiveOn October 29, 2026, Symbotic and Walmart entered into an Enterprise Master Automation Agreement that deepens their long-standing collaboration on AI-enabled robotics across Walmart’s global supply chain. The deal builds on earlier automation program...
Symbotic Delivers Strong Q3 Results and Profitability Gains
PositiveOn August 5, 2026, Symbotic reported third-quarter fiscal 2026 results for the period ended June 27, 2026, posting revenue of $721 million, a 22% year-over-year rise, and net income of $55 million versus a net loss of $21 million a year earlier. Adju...
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.
Date of analysis: Oct 30, 2026