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Shoe Station Group
(NASDAQ:SHOE)
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Rating:60Neutral
Price Target:
$16.00
▼(-15.30% Downside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:06/11/26
The score is driven primarily by weakened operating momentum (sharp TTM revenue decline and thinner margins) and bearish technicals. Offsetting factors include a solid financial position and cash generation, supportive valuation (moderate P/E and ~3.7% yield), and reaffirmed guidance backed by strong liquidity, though management also expects meaningful margin pressure and uneven demand near term.
Positive Factors
Balance Sheet Strength
A conservative capital structure and meaningful equity base provide durable financial flexibility. Moderate leverage (D/E ~0.54) and a stronger equity position reduce refinancing and liquidity risk, enabling the company to fund inventory fixes, store actions, and shareholder returns without relying on high-cost debt.
Negative Factors
Sharp Revenue Decline
A pronounced and sustained top-line decline materially weakens operating leverage and long-term profitability. Lower revenue depresses fixed-cost absorption across stores and distribution, making margin recovery dependent on successful merchandising corrections and traffic restoration over multiple quarters.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Balance Sheet Strength
A conservative capital structure and meaningful equity base provide durable financial flexibility. Moderate leverage (D/E ~0.54) and a stronger equity position reduce refinancing and liquidity risk, enabling the company to fund inventory fixes, store actions, and shareholder returns without relying on high-cost debt.
Read all positive factors
Shoe Station Group Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)
Any
Revenue by Segment
Breaks down sales across different product categories or customer groups, highlighting which areas drive growth and profitability, and where there might be opportunities or challenges.
Breaks down sales across different product categories or customer groups, highlighting which areas drive growth and profitability, and where there might be opportunities or challenges.
Data provided by:
The Fly
The FlyShoe Station Group (SHOE) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)
Market Cap
$409.71M
Dividend Yield3.12%
Average Volume (3M)619.56K
Price to Earnings (P/E)11.1
Beta (1Y)1.30
Revenue Growth-4.40%
EPS Growth-43.68%
CountryUS
Employees2,500
SectorConsumer Cyclical
Sector Strength84
IndustryApparel - Retail
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)1.36
Shares Outstanding27,151,308
10 Day Avg. Volume451,877
30 Day Avg. Volume619,563
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio0.00
Price to Book (P/B)0.63
Price to Sales (P/S)0.38
P/FCF Ratio16.41
Enterprise Value/Market Cap1.78
Enterprise Value/Revenue0.65
Enterprise Value/Gross Profit1.79
Enterprise Value/Ebitda8.33
Forecast
1Y Price Target
$22.00Price Target Upside16.46% Upside
Rating ConsensusModerate Buy
Number of Analyst Covering1
EPS Forecast (FY)1.5
Revenue Forecast (FY)$1.13B
Shoe Station Group Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
Shoe Station Group, Inc. engages in the retail of footwear products. It offers casual and athletic footwear for men, women, and children. It operates under banners which include Shoe Carnival stores and Shoe Station banner. The company was founded...
How the Company Makes Money
Shoe Carnival primarily makes money by selling footwear and related accessories directly to consumers through (1) its brick-and-mortar retail stores and (2) its online channels. Revenue is generated at the point of sale from merchandise purchased ...
Shoe Station Group Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
52
Neutral
Balance Sheet
71
Positive
Cash Flow
57
Neutral
| Breakdown | TTM | Jan 2026 | Jan 2025 | Jan 2024 | Jan 2023 | Jan 2022 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | ||||||
| Total Revenue | 1.13B | 1.14B | 1.20B | 1.18B | 1.26B | 1.33B |
| Gross Profit | 409.47M | 415.15M | 428.79M | 421.77M | 468.16M | 526.79M |
| EBITDA | 87.75M | 105.11M | 128.87M | 125.22M | 218.38M | 269.44M |
| Net Income | 37.30M | 52.27M | 73.77M | 73.35M | 110.07M | 154.88M |
Balance Sheet | ||||||
| Total Assets | 1.16B | 1.20B | 1.12B | 1.04B | 989.78M | 812.26M |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 129.35M | 130.73M | 123.11M | 111.25M | 62.97M | 132.40M |
| Total Debt | 361.20M | 371.43M | 367.99M | 354.34M | 343.23M | 246.35M |
| Total Liabilities | 485.68M | 512.08M | 475.14M | 458.64M | 464.21M | 359.73M |
| Stockholders Equity | 673.40M | 689.67M | 649.00M | 583.39M | 525.57M | 452.53M |
Cash Flow | ||||||
| Free Cash Flow | 62.21M | 26.58M | 69.48M | 66.47M | -26.86M | 116.51M |
| Operating Cash Flow | 104.02M | 71.30M | 102.64M | 122.76M | 50.44M | 147.89M |
| Investing Cash Flow | -39.84M | -44.02M | -77.67M | -54.64M | -74.03M | -119.25M |
| Financing Cash Flow | -26.55M | -18.87M | -15.29M | -20.49M | -42.48M | -17.73M |
Shoe Station Group Technical Analysis
Negative
18.89
Price Trends
16.87
Negative
17.63
Negative
18.12
Negative
Market Momentum
-0.50
Positive
38.94
Neutral
12.66
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SHOE, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 18.89 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 16.15, above the 50-day MA of 16.87, and above the 200-day MA of 18.12, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.50 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 38.94 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 12.66 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for SHOE.
Shoe Station Group Risk Analysis
Shoe Station Group disclosed 35 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Shoe Station Group reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks
Shoe Station Group Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
68 Neutral | $2.17B | 9.59 | 47.36% | 6.82% | 7.10% | 12.26% | |
65 Neutral | $4.79B | 21.28 | 18.15% | ― | 17.93% | 24.95% | |
62 Neutral | $2.76B | 9.97 | 17.24% | 2.09% | 6.22% | 65.05% | |
61 Neutral | $18.38B | 12.79 | -2.54% | 3.03% | 1.52% | -15.83% | |
60 Neutral | $409.71M | 11.10 | 5.49% | 3.12% | -4.40% | -43.68% | |
58 Neutral | $368.31M | 17.27 | 3.68% | ― | 4.60% | ― | |
47 Neutral | $280.29M | 26.29 | 3.57% | 2.68% | -1.61% | ― |
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
SHOE
Shoe Station Group
15.09
-5.58
-26.99%
AEO
American Eagle
16.46
6.50
65.33%
BKE
Buckle
42.19
-1.68
-3.83%
DBI
Designer Brands
5.52
2.61
89.43%
GCO
Genesco
33.16
10.91
49.03%
BOOT
Boot Barn
157.72
-7.21
-4.37%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.