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Shoe Station Group
(NASDAQ:SHOE)
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Rating:58Neutral
Price Target:
$13.00
▼(-9.15% Downside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:09/12/26
The score is held back mainly by weakening operating performance (sharp TTM revenue decline and margin compression) and bearish technicals (price below key moving averages with negative MACD). Offsetting this, valuation is attractive (low P/E and high dividend yield), and while the earnings call cited liquidity and operational initiatives, guidance points to ongoing promotional pressure and limited near-term recovery.
Positive Factors
Strong liquidity and no debt
A debt-free balance sheet and substantial liquidity provide financial flexibility while operating conditions remain difficult. This supports inventory investment, store initiatives and shareholder returns, while reducing refinancing pressure and improving the company’s ability to sustain operations through a retail downturn.
Negative Factors
Broad sales deterioration
Declining sales across the store base indicate that customer demand and traffic remain weak rather than reflecting an isolated category issue. Persistent top-line pressure can reduce operating leverage, limit purchasing scale and make it harder for the company to fund growth initiatives from internal earnings.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Strong liquidity and no debt
A debt-free balance sheet and substantial liquidity provide financial flexibility while operating conditions remain difficult. This supports inventory investment, store initiatives and shareholder returns, while reducing refinancing pressure and improving the company’s ability to sustain operations through a retail downturn.
Read all positive factors
Shoe Station Group Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)
Any
Revenue by Segment
Breaks down sales across different product categories or customer groups, highlighting which areas drive growth and profitability, and where there might be opportunities or challenges.
Breaks down sales across different product categories or customer groups, highlighting which areas drive growth and profitability, and where there might be opportunities or challenges.
Data provided by:
The Fly
The FlyShoe Station Group (SHOE) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)
Market Cap
$359.37M
Dividend Yield5.04%
Average Volume (3M)1.36M
Price to Earnings (P/E)9.6
Beta (1Y)1.31
Revenue Growth-4.13%
EPS Growth-61.14%
CountryUS
Employees5,000
SectorConsumer Cyclical
Sector Strength84
IndustryApparel - Retail
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)1.36
Shares Outstanding27,183,815
10 Day Avg. Volume1,128,779
30 Day Avg. Volume1,359,817
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio-0.28
Price to Book (P/B)0.63
Price to Sales (P/S)0.38
P/FCF Ratio16.41
Enterprise Value/Market Cap1.78
Enterprise Value/Revenue0.57
Enterprise Value/Gross Profit1.56
Enterprise Value/Ebitda7.27
Forecast
1Y Price Target
$15.00Price Target Upside4.82% Upside
Rating ConsensusModerate Buy
Number of Analyst Covering1
EPS Forecast (FY)1.48
Revenue Forecast (FY)$1.13B
Shoe Station Group Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
Shoe Station Group, Inc. engages in the retail of footwear products. It offers casual and athletic footwear for men, women, and children. It operates under banners which include Shoe Carnival stores and Shoe Station banner. The company was founded...
How the Company Makes Money
Shoe Station Group primarily makes money by purchasing footwear from brands and suppliers at wholesale prices and selling those products to consumers at a retail markup through its stores (and, if operated, online channels). Its core revenue strea...
Shoe Station Group Earnings Call Summary
Earnings Call Date:Sep 10, 2026
(Q2-2026)
| % Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Nov 18, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Negative
The call was marked by a weak second quarter, broad store-sales declines, significant gross-margin compression and lowered fiscal-year guidance. Offsetting positives included strong liquidity, a debt-free balance sheet, inventory reduction, 18.8% e-commerce growth, improved August trends, better conversion and confidence in localized fall and boot assortments. Because the current financial results and outlook challenges outweighed the operational improvements discussed, the overall sentiment was negative.Positive Updates
Strong Liquidity and Debt-Free Balance Sheet
The company ended the quarter with $131.6 million in cash, cash equivalents and marketable securities, an increase of $39.7 million from the prior-year quarter. It had no debt outstanding and $99 million available under its $100 million credit facility, which it expects to renew or replace in the second half of fiscal 26.
Negative Updates
Second-Quarter Results Below Expectations
Management said second-quarter results fell short of expectations, driven principally by lower sales and gross profit margin in an increasingly promotional footwear marketplace.
Read all updates
Q2-2026 Updates
Positive
Negative
Strong Liquidity and Debt-Free Balance Sheet
The company ended the quarter with $131.6 million in cash, cash equivalents and marketable securities, an increase of $39.7 million from the prior-year quarter. It had no debt outstanding and $99 million available under its $100 million credit facility, which it expects to renew or replace in the second half of fiscal 26.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
For fiscal 26, Shoe Station Group expects second-half comparable store sales in the range of down 1% to up 1% inclusive of fiscal August, with the third quarter probably going to be flattish; full-year net sales of $1.1 billion to $1.111 billion, representing a decline of approximately 2% to 3% versus fiscal 25; GAAP EPS of $0.32 to $0.47 and adjusted EPS of $0.75 to $0.90; gross profit margin of approximately 32.5% to 32.7%, representing approximately 390 to 410 basis points of compression versus fiscal 25; GAAP SG&A approximately flat versus fiscal 25 and a reduction in adjusted SG&A of approximately $14 million, inclusive of the intensified advertising investment; a GAAP tax rate of approximately 37% and an adjusted tax rate of approximately 27%; an approximately $50 million reduction in inventory by fiscal year end, targeted at the low end of the range given in Q1 26; and tariff refund claims totaling approximately $1.2 million. Management is not assuming the promotional environment improves or margin recovery, and expects gross margin pressure to continue at rates similar to the second quarter and August.Shoe Station Group Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
52
Neutral
Balance Sheet
71
Positive
Cash Flow
57
Neutral
| Breakdown | TTM | Jan 2026 | Jan 2025 | Jan 2024 | Jan 2023 | Jan 2022 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | ||||||
| Total Revenue | 1.13B | 1.14B | 1.20B | 1.18B | 1.26B | 1.33B |
| Gross Profit | 409.47M | 415.15M | 428.79M | 421.77M | 468.16M | 526.79M |
| EBITDA | 87.75M | 105.11M | 128.87M | 125.22M | 170.61M | 226.43M |
| Net Income | 37.30M | 52.27M | 73.77M | 73.35M | 110.07M | 154.88M |
Balance Sheet | ||||||
| Total Assets | 1.16B | 1.20B | 1.12B | 1.04B | 989.78M | 812.26M |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 129.35M | 130.73M | 123.11M | 111.25M | 62.97M | 132.40M |
| Total Debt | 361.20M | 371.43M | 367.99M | 354.34M | 343.23M | 246.35M |
| Total Liabilities | 485.68M | 512.08M | 475.14M | 458.64M | 464.21M | 359.73M |
| Stockholders Equity | 673.40M | 689.67M | 649.00M | 583.39M | 525.57M | 452.53M |
Cash Flow | ||||||
| Free Cash Flow | 62.21M | 26.58M | 69.48M | 66.47M | -26.86M | 116.51M |
| Operating Cash Flow | 104.02M | 71.30M | 102.64M | 122.76M | 50.44M | 147.89M |
| Investing Cash Flow | -39.84M | -44.02M | -77.67M | -54.64M | -74.03M | -119.25M |
| Financing Cash Flow | -26.55M | -18.87M | -15.29M | -20.49M | -42.48M | -17.73M |
Shoe Station Group Technical Analysis
Neutral
14.31
Price Trends
13.74
Negative
14.65
Negative
16.22
Negative
Market Momentum
-0.16
Negative
49.99
Neutral
66.33
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SHOE, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 14.31 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 12.88, above the 50-day MA of 13.74, and below the 200-day MA of 16.22, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.16 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 49.99 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 66.33 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for SHOE.
Shoe Station Group Risk Analysis
Shoe Station Group disclosed 35 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Shoe Station Group reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks
Shoe Station Group Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
69 Neutral | $2.27B | 10.16 | 46.91% | 9.89% | 6.22% | 8.74% | |
67 Neutral | $3.63B | 14.75 | 18.78% | 2.98% | 17.65% | 24.64% | |
61 Neutral | $18.38B | 12.79 | -2.54% | 3.03% | 1.52% | -15.83% | |
60 Neutral | $420.96M | 7.64 | 8.38% | 2.28% | 7.32% | -13.12% | |
58 Neutral | $359.37M | 9.63 | 5.49% | 5.04% | -4.13% | -61.14% | |
58 Neutral | $391.04M | 8.95 | 7.60% | ― | 3.00% | ― | |
50 Neutral | $226.89M | 17.64 | 4.21% | ― | 3.61% | 7189.81% |
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
SHOE
Shoe Station Group
13.10
-5.89
-31.02%
BKE
Buckle
44.51
-4.86
-9.85%
GCO
Genesco
36.16
7.49
26.12%
BOOT
Boot Barn
117.57
-62.49
-34.71%
ZUMZ
Zumiez
14.11
-6.80
-32.52%
CAL
Caleres
12.30
-0.36
-2.83%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.