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Mapletree Logistics Trust (SG:M44U)
SGX:M44U
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Mapletree Logistics (M44U) AI Stock Analysis

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SG:M44U

Mapletree Logistics

(SGX:M44U)

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Neutral 64 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:64Neutral
Price Target:
S$1.50
▲(14.50% Upside)
Mapletree Logistics Trust shows solid financial health and strong cash flow, which are significant strengths. However, the high P/E ratio and overbought technical indicators suggest caution. The earnings call presented a mixed outlook with improvements in occupancy and sustainability, but revenue and income declines pose challenges. The attractive dividend yield provides some support to the valuation.
Positive Factors
Strong Cash Flow
Strong cash flow indicates effective cash management and provides the company with the liquidity needed to invest in growth opportunities and weather economic fluctuations.
Sustainability Initiatives
Commitment to sustainability enhances the company's reputation and aligns with global trends towards green energy, potentially attracting environmentally conscious tenants and investors.
High Occupancy Rates
High occupancy rates reflect strong demand for logistics properties and effective asset management, ensuring stable rental income and reducing vacancy risks.
Negative Factors
Revenue Decline
Declining revenue can strain profitability and limit the company's ability to reinvest in its portfolio, potentially impacting long-term growth and competitive positioning.
Drop in Distribution Per Unit
A decrease in distribution per unit may reduce investor appeal and signal challenges in maintaining income levels, affecting shareholder returns and market confidence.
Negative Rent Reversion in China
Negative rent reversion in China suggests difficulties in maintaining or increasing rental rates, which could impact revenue growth and profitability in a key market.

Mapletree Logistics (M44U) vs. iShares MSCI Singapore ETF (EWS)

Mapletree Logistics Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionMLT, the first Asia-focused logistics REIT in Singapore, was listed on the SGX-ST main board on 28 July 2005. MLT's principal strategy is to invest in a diversified portfolio of income-producing logistics real estate and real estate-related assets. As at 31 December 2020, it has a portfolio of 156 logistics assets in Singapore, Hong Kong SAR, Japan, China, Australia, Malaysia, South Korea and Vietnam with assets under management of S$10.2 billion. MLT is managed by Mapletree Logistics Trust Management Ltd., a wholly-owned subsidiary of Mapletree Investments Pte Ltd.
How the Company Makes MoneyMapletree Logistics generates revenue primarily through rental income from its portfolio of logistics properties. The company enters into long-term leases with tenants, which include prominent players in retail, e-commerce, and logistics sectors. Additionally, Mapletree Logistics benefits from rental escalations and property appreciation over time. The company's revenue model is further enhanced by its strategic partnerships with major logistics firms and its ability to optimize its asset management practices, which contribute to strong occupancy rates and favorable lease terms. Furthermore, the trust also explores development opportunities and asset enhancement initiatives to increase its earnings potential.

Mapletree Logistics Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 28, 2025
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Jan 26, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted stable portfolio occupancy and some ESG achievements. However, significant challenges remain, particularly with the China market's performance and DPU decline.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Portfolio Occupancy and Rental Reversion
Overall portfolio occupancy remained stable with a slight improvement in rental reversion to 5.1% in 4Q, excluding China, which was at 6.9%.
Pre-commitment at 5A Joo Koon
The 5A Joo Koon project is due for completion next month with a pre-committed occupancy of 46%.
ESG Progress
The company has increased its solar capacity to about 71-megawatt peak and neutralized Scope 2 carbon emissions in China and Hong Kong.
Negative Updates
Distribution Per Unit (DPU) Decline
Overall DPU declined by 11.6% year-on-year, affected by lower contributions from China, higher borrowing costs, and FX impacts.
China Market Challenges
China experienced a net fair value loss of SGD 62 million due to lower rental and occupancy rates, with increased cap rates in northern China.
Increased Aggregate Leverage
Aggregate leverage increased to 40.7% from 40.3% last quarter, mainly due to valuation losses and FX translation.
Company Guidance
In MLT's fourth-quarter and full-year results briefing for the fiscal year ending March 2025, the company reported a decrease in key financial metrics due to various challenges. The distribution per unit (DPU) for the fourth quarter was SGD 0.01955, marking an 11.6% decline compared to the same quarter last year. This decline was attributed to lower contributions from China, higher borrowing costs, and foreign exchange impacts. Gross revenue dropped by 0.8%, while net property income (NPI) fell by 1.6%. The aggregate leverage increased to 40.7% from 40.3% last quarter, influenced by valuation losses and currency translation effects. The company maintained a fixed-rate hedge on 81% of its debt, with a debt maturity of 3.8 years, and hedged 75% of its income into Singapore dollars for the next 12 months. Despite these financial pressures, MLT completed divestments in Malaysia and announced further divestments in Singapore and Malaysia for the upcoming fiscal year. Additionally, the company reported an improvement in rental reversion to 5.1%, with occupancy rates remaining stable across most markets. The company also highlighted its ESG progress, including an increase in solar capacity to 71 megawatts and achieving carbon neutrality for Scope 2 emissions in China and Hong Kong.

Mapletree Logistics Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Mapletree Logistics demonstrates solid financial health with stable margins and effective cash management. However, declining net profit margins and revenue growth pose challenges. The balance sheet reflects a balanced leverage strategy, but improving return on equity should be a focus to enhance investor confidence.
Income Statement
65
Positive
Mapletree Logistics shows a stable gross profit margin around 73%, indicating efficient cost management. However, the net profit margin has decreased significantly from previous years, reflecting potential challenges in maintaining profitability. Revenue growth has been negative recently, suggesting a need for strategic initiatives to boost sales.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The company's debt-to-equity ratio is moderate at approximately 0.80, indicating a balanced approach to leveraging. However, the return on equity has declined over the years, which may concern investors looking for strong returns. The equity ratio remains stable, reflecting a solid asset base.
Cash Flow
75
Positive
Operating cash flow is robust, with a healthy free cash flow to net income ratio of 1.0, indicating strong cash generation relative to earnings. Free cash flow growth is positive, suggesting effective cash management. However, the operating cash flow to net income ratio has room for improvement.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue714.04M714.78M733.89M735.26M680.02M567.35M
Gross Profit521.83M520.71M543.78M538.09M504.61M435.42M
EBITDA425.00M429.02M536.63M533.21M502.93M434.72M
Net Income204.66M207.77M327.48M566.58M782.44M462.73M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets13.62B13.89B13.81B13.42B13.69B11.20B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments315.05M299.01M304.82M302.50M338.62M280.76M
Total Debt5.62B5.67B5.40B5.55B5.64B4.77B
Total Liabilities6.60B6.65B6.33B6.48B6.60B5.52B
Stockholders Equity6.99B6.64B7.47B6.93B7.07B5.68B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow542.51M536.03M573.49M467.26M390.11M352.23M
Operating Cash Flow542.51M536.03M573.49M470.63M385.83M352.41M
Investing Cash Flow-61.57M-243.69M-844.25M-235.41M-1.61B-1.27B
Financing Cash Flow-463.76M-286.74M280.62M-245.99M1.28B1.05B

Mapletree Logistics Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price1.31
Price Trends
50DMA
1.25
Positive
100DMA
1.20
Positive
200DMA
1.17
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.02
Negative
RSI
61.81
Neutral
STOCH
44.44
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SG:M44U, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 1.31 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1.28, above the 50-day MA of 1.25, and above the 200-day MA of 1.17, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.02 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 61.81 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 44.44 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for SG:M44U.

Mapletree Logistics Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
73
Outperform
S$402.43M13.405.87%8.04%-5.80%-27.16%
72
Outperform
$3.55B26.333.21%7.72%11.98%
71
Outperform
$4.08B15.522.80%4.33%19.82%
70
Outperform
S$1.13B34.243.38%6.96%1.72%-21.69%
65
Neutral
$2.17B12.193.79%4.94%3.15%1.96%
64
Neutral
$6.72B31.733.18%5.70%-1.81%-18.43%
56
Neutral
S$2.24B-19.62-4.88%6.64%10.51%-40.93%
* Real Estate Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
SG:M44U
Mapletree Logistics
1.31
0.11
8.99%
SG:O5RU
AIMS APAC REIT
1.39
0.22
18.80%
SG:9A4U
ESR-REIT
2.82
0.26
10.03%
SG:TQ5
Frasers Property
1.04
0.19
22.79%
SG:BUOU
Frasers Logistics & Commercial Trust
0.94
<0.01
0.86%
SG:DHLU
Daiwa House Logistics Trust
0.57
0.04
7.55%

Mapletree Logistics Corporate Events

Mapletree Logistics Trust Secures New Loan Agreements with Key Conditions
Sep 25, 2025

Mapletree Logistics Trust Management Ltd. announced that three of its subsidiaries have entered into new loan agreements with conditions similar to existing debt facilities. These conditions require MLTM to remain the manager of MLT and for the manager to be a subsidiary of Mapletree Investments Pte Ltd. A breach of these conditions could affect debt facilities amounting to approximately S$5,726 million, but no breaches have occurred as of the announcement date.

The most recent analyst rating on (SG:M44U) stock is a Hold with a S$1.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Mapletree Logistics stock, see the SG:M44U Stock Forecast page.

Mapletree Logistics Trust Conducts 16th Annual General Meeting
Aug 20, 2025

Mapletree Logistics Trust held its 16th Annual General Meeting on July 21, 2025, at Mapletree Business City in Singapore. The meeting was attended by unitholders, directors, management, and representatives from various associated firms, including HSBC Institutional Trust Services and PricewaterhouseCoopers. The meeting confirmed the presence of a quorum and introduced KPMG LLP as the proposed incoming auditor, indicating a potential shift in auditing services that could impact the trust’s financial oversight.

The most recent analyst rating on (SG:M44U) stock is a Hold with a S$1.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Mapletree Logistics stock, see the SG:M44U Stock Forecast page.

Mapletree Logistics Trust Issues New Units for Fee Payments
Aug 15, 2025

Mapletree Logistics Trust has announced the issuance of 18,781,513 new units as part of its fee payment structure for certain properties. This issuance, effective from 15 August 2025, includes units allocated for base fees, performance fees, and property and lease management fees, reflecting the trust’s ongoing strategy to manage its financial obligations and maintain its operational efficiency across its diverse property portfolio.

The most recent analyst rating on (SG:M44U) stock is a Buy with a S$1.56 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Mapletree Logistics stock, see the SG:M44U Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 29, 2025