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ESR-REIT (SG:9A4U)
SGX:9A4U
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ESR-REIT (9A4U) AI Stock Analysis

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SG:9A4U

ESR-REIT

(SGX:9A4U)

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Neutral 61 (OpenAI - Gpt-5.6Sol)
Rating:61Neutral
Price Target:
S$2.50
▲(8.70% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:07/31/26
The score is driven primarily by moderate financial fundamentals: profitability has recovered and cash flow is steady, but leverage remains meaningful and returns are low. Technicals are supportive with the stock trading above major moving averages and exhibiting low beta. Valuation is the main headwind due to an extremely high P/E, only partly balanced by the high dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Stable rental-income model
The REIT’s focus on leased industrial and logistics assets provides a recurring contractual income base rather than relying primarily on transactional sales. This supports distribution visibility and gives management several durable levers, including lease renewals, occupancy management and asset enhancements.
Negative Factors
Meaningful leverage
Elevated debt relative to equity reduces financial flexibility and makes the REIT more sensitive to refinancing conditions and funding costs. Although leverage improved from 2025 to TTM, the remaining debt burden could constrain acquisitions, asset enhancements and distributions if operating or financing conditions weaken.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Stable rental-income model
The REIT’s focus on leased industrial and logistics assets provides a recurring contractual income base rather than relying primarily on transactional sales. This supports distribution visibility and gives management several durable levers, including lease renewals, occupancy management and asset enhancements.
Read all positive factors

ESR-REIT (9A4U) vs. iShares MSCI Singapore ETF (EWS)

ESR-REIT Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
ESR-REIT is recognized as a forward-looking, leading Asia Pacific S-REIT specializing in New Economy assets. Listed on the Singapore Exchange Securities Trading Limited since July 25, 2006, it strategically invests in high-quality, income-generati...
How the Company Makes Money
ESR-REIT primarily makes money by generating rental and related property income from leasing its industrial and logistics properties to tenants under contractual lease agreements. Its key revenue stream is base rent collected from tenants occupyin...

ESR-REIT Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Financials show a rebound with profitability turning positive in 2025 and TTM and consistently strong gross margins (~65–71%). Operating cash flow is solid and TTM free cash flow is strong, supporting distributions. Offsetting this, leverage remains meaningful (debt/equity ~1.53x TTM) with low ROE (~1.5–1.7%) and a recent dip in TTM free cash flow growth (~-4.9%), keeping the overall financial profile only moderate.
Income Statement
66
Positive
Balance Sheet
54
Neutral
Cash Flow
63
Positive
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue449.21M453.89M370.50M386.35M348.57M248.99M
Gross Profit306.75M312.61M261.65M251.24M228.38M173.26M
EBITDA0.00302.85M8.56M51.37M223.21M195.19M
Net Income42.58M31.66M-127.78M-67.45M-278.26M101.52M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets5.59B5.86B6.01B5.11B5.65B3.33B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments231.70M60.29M83.94M41.98M45.58M24.15M
Total Debt2.62B3.84B2.86B2.15B2.61B1.41B
Total Liabilities3.04B3.28B3.33B2.34B2.81B1.58B
Stockholders Equity2.48B2.06B2.62B2.77B2.75B1.75B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow266.80M152.97M243.43M167.27M95.06M124.29M
Operating Cash Flow266.80M199.08M269.62M260.08M193.63M152.77M
Investing Cash Flow405.40M-38.31M-436.95M360.85M-267.02M-149.34M
Financing Cash Flow-506.88M-183.03M200.41M-626.33M93.14M2.62M

ESR-REIT Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price2.30
Price Trends
50DMA
2.32
Negative
100DMA
2.31
Negative
200DMA
2.36
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.03
Positive
RSI
28.77
Positive
STOCH
3.03
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SG:9A4U, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 2.3 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 2.30, below the 50-day MA of 2.32, and below the 200-day MA of 2.36, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.03 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 28.77 is Positive, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 3.03 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for SG:9A4U.

ESR-REIT Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
69
Neutral
S$5.51B27.434.42%6.54%-6.27%-41.14%
68
Neutral
S$3.47B16.075.05%6.52%0.44%57.42%
66
Neutral
S$11.14B14.757.00%6.41%6.53%0.82%
65
Neutral
$2.17B12.193.79%4.94%3.15%1.96%
64
Neutral
S$5.86B22.473.97%6.43%-1.83%40.50%
61
Neutral
S$1.79B109.311.71%9.95%4.85%
58
Neutral
S$280.63M7.797.78%9.90%1.11%18.18%
* Real Estate Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
SG:9A4U
ESR-REIT
2.23
-0.42
-15.94%
SG:A17U
CapitaLand Ascendas REIT
2.34
-0.32
-11.96%
SG:M44U
Mapletree Logistics
1.13
-0.05
-4.24%
SG:ME8U
Mapletree Industrial
1.92
-0.08
-4.05%
SG:BUOU
Frasers Logistics & Commercial Trust
0.91
0.02
2.49%
SG:DHLU
Daiwa House Logistics Trust
0.40
-0.15
-26.85%

ESR-REIT Corporate Events

ESR-REIT Secures S$200 Million Sustainability-Linked Credit Facility
Aug 24, 2026
ESR-REIT has secured a S$200 million sustainability-linked unsecured revolving credit facility from Oversea-Chinese Banking Corporation Limited, which will serve as lender and sustainability coordinator. The facility, which carries no security and...
ESR-REIT Faces A$12.2 Million Rent Arrears After ACFS Port Logistics Enters Administration
Aug 7, 2026
ESR-REIT has disclosed a rental payment default by ACFS Port Logistics, the tenant of three Australian logistics properties, which has fallen into arrears of about A$12.2 million. The REIT plans to draw down bank guarantees to cut the shortfall to...
ESR-REIT Secures Long-Term PSB Academy Leases After Completing Tai Seng Upgrades
Aug 4, 2026
ESR-REIT has completed its asset enhancement initiative at 29 Tai Seng Street in Singapore, securing a Temporary Occupation Permit and achieving BCA Green Mark GoldPLUS (Provisional) certification, underscoring the trust’s push into sustaina...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jul 31, 2026