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ESR-REIT (9A4U) AI Stock Analysis

SG:9A4U

ESR-REIT

(SGX:9A4U)

Select Model
Rating:56Neutral
Price Target:SGD 2.00â–²(1.01% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:11/01/26

The score is driven primarily by improving financial performance (return to profitability and steady cash generation) but constrained by meaningful leverage and low returns on equity. Technical indicators are a notable drag due to a clear downtrend versus major moving averages and negative MACD. Valuation is mixed, with a strong dividend yield offset by an extremely high P/E ratio.

Positive Factors
Profitability RecoveryThe return to profitability, alongside consistently strong gross margins, indicates that the portfolio can convert rental revenue into meaningful operating income. If maintained, this recovery improves distribution support and provides a stronger base for asset management and reinvestment over the coming quarters.
Negative Factors
Elevated LeverageMeaningful leverage increases the sensitivity of distributable income and financial flexibility to refinancing conditions and asset values. Although debt-to-equity improved from 2025, the remaining level can constrain acquisitions, asset enhancement spending, and resilience during periods of higher financing costs.

ESR-REIT (9A4U) vs. iShares MSCI Singapore ETF (EWS)

-30%-20%-10%0%10%20%30%SG:9A4U-22.69%EWS+12.23%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
Market Cap
SGD 1.06B
Dividend Yield
11.20%
Average Volume (3M)
1.05M
Price to Earnings (P/E)
97.1
Beta (1Y)
0.51
Revenue Growth
4.85%
EPS Growth
―
Country
Singapore
Employees
39
Sector
Real Estate
Sector Strength
65
Industry
REIT - Industrial

ESR-REIT Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

ESR-REIT is recognized as a forward-looking, leading Asia Pacific S-REIT specializing in New Economy assets. Listed on the Singapore Exchange Securities Trading Limited since July 25, 2006, it strategically invests in high-quality, income-generating...

How the Company Makes Money

ESR-REIT primarily makes money by generating rental and related property income from leasing its industrial and logistics properties to tenants under contractual lease agreements. Its key revenue stream is base rent collected from tenants occupying i...

ESR-REIT Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Financials are improving but still mixed. Profitability rebounded to positive net income in 2025 and TTM with strong gross margins (~65–71%), and operating/free cash flow has been solid and supportive. Offsetting this, revenue growth is modest (~2.5% TTM), leverage remains meaningful (debt-to-equity ~1.53x TTM), and returns on equity are low (~1.5–1.7%), indicating limited earnings power and less flexibility.

Income Statement

66Positive

Balance Sheet

54Neutral

Cash Flow

63Positive
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue449.21M453.89M370.50M386.35M348.57M248.99M
Gross Profit306.75M312.61M261.65M251.24M228.38M173.26M
EBITDA306.71M302.85M8.56M51.37M223.21M195.19M
Net Income42.58M31.66M-127.78M-67.45M-278.26M101.52M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets5.59B5.86B6.01B5.11B5.65B3.33B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments231.70M60.29M83.94M41.98M45.58M24.15M
Total Debt2.62B3.84B2.86B2.15B2.61B1.41B
Total Liabilities3.04B3.28B3.33B2.34B2.81B1.58B
Stockholders Equity2.48B2.06B2.62B2.77B2.75B1.75B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow266.80M152.97M243.43M167.27M95.06M124.29M
Operating Cash Flow266.80M199.08M269.62M260.08M193.63M152.77M
Investing Cash Flow405.40M-38.31M-436.95M360.85M-267.02M-149.34M
Financing Cash Flow-506.88M-183.03M200.41M-626.33M93.14M2.62M

ESR-REIT Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNegative
Last Price1.98

Price Trends

50DMA2.12Negative
100DMA2.22Negative
200DMA2.28Negative

Market Momentum

MACD-0.06Positive
RSI44.46Neutral
STOCH28.83Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SG:9A4U, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 1.98 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1.99, below the 50-day MA of 2.12, and below the 200-day MA of 2.28, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.06 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 44.46 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 28.83 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for SG:9A4U.

ESR-REIT Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)

Financial Indicators

SG:9A4U against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
SG:A17USG:A17U76OutperformSGD 11.03B13.937.00%6.79%6.53%0.82%
SG:BUOUSG:BUOU71OutperformSGD 3.41B15.905.05%6.59%0.44%57.42%
Sector *65Neutral$2.17B12.193.79%4.94%3.15%1.96%
SG:M44USG:M44U63NeutralSGD 5.65B25.943.48%6.61%-0.67%1.92%
SG:ME8USG:ME8U62NeutralSGD 4.94B25.704.35%7.25%-5.23%-42.13%
SG:DHLUSG:DHLU61NeutralSGD 287.65M8.097.78%9.54%1.11%18.18%
SG:9A4USG:9A4U56NeutralSGD 1.60B97.061.71%11.20%4.85%―

* Real Estate Sector Average

Performance Comparison

-20%-10%0%10%SG:9A4USG:A17USG:M44USG:ME8USG:BUOUSG:DHLUDec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
SG:9A4U and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
SG:9A4UESR-REIT1.98-0.62-23.76%
SG:A17UCapitaLand Ascendas REIT2.21-0.47-17.44%
SG:M44UMapletree Logistics Trust1.10-0.17-13.73%
SG:ME8UMapletree Industrial Trust1.73-0.27-13.54%
SG:BUOUFrasers Logistics & Commercial Trust0.90-0.00-0.22%
SG:DHLUDaiwa House Logistics Trust0.41-0.12-22.05%

ESR-REIT Corporate Events

ESR-REIT Grows Distributions Amid Portfolio Rebalancing and Cost Controls

Oct 27, 2026

ESR-REIT reported year-to-date third-quarter 2026 gross revenue of S$329.6 million, down 1.5% and net property income of S$237.5 million, down 4.2%, mainly due to divestments of non-core assets, although same-store revenue grew 1.8% on strong rental...

ESR-REIT Secures JPY 7.1 Billion Sustainability-Linked Loan to Bolster Funding Flexibility

Oct 12, 2026

ESR-REIT has secured a JPY 7.1 billion sustainability-linked unsecured term loan facility from Malayan Banking Berhad’s Singapore branch, which will serve broad corporate funding needs including refinancing existing debt, financing asset acquis...

ESR-REIT Recoups Most ACFS Arrears as Australian Tenant in Administration

Oct 6, 2026

ESR-REIT has stabilised rental income from Australian tenant ACFS Port Logistics after administrators and receivers assumed responsibility for lease obligations from 13 August 2026, with all rent due since then paid and expected to continue while ACF...

ESR-REIT Secures S$200 Million Sustainability-Linked Credit Facility

Aug 24, 2026

ESR-REIT has secured a S$200 million sustainability-linked unsecured revolving credit facility from Oversea-Chinese Banking Corporation Limited, which will serve as lender and sustainability coordinator. The facility, which carries no security and a...

ESR-REIT Faces A$12.2 Million Rent Arrears After ACFS Port Logistics Enters Administration

Aug 7, 2026

ESR-REIT has disclosed a rental payment default by ACFS Port Logistics, the tenant of three Australian logistics properties, which has fallen into arrears of about A$12.2 million. The REIT plans to draw down bank guarantees to cut the shortfall to ro...

ESR-REIT Secures Long-Term PSB Academy Leases After Completing Tai Seng Upgrades

Aug 4, 2026

ESR-REIT has completed its asset enhancement initiative at 29 Tai Seng Street in Singapore, securing a Temporary Occupation Permit and achieving BCA Green Mark GoldPLUS (Provisional) certification, underscoring the trust’s push into sustainable...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Nov 01, 2026