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Softbank Corp (SFTBY)
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Softbank (SFTBY) AI Stock Analysis

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SFTBY

Softbank

(OTC:SFTBY)

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Neutral 56 (OpenAI - Gpt-5.6Sol)
Rating:56Neutral
Price Target:
$15.00
â–¼(-8.20% Downside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:10/20/26
The score is supported by attractive valuation (low P/E and very high dividend yield), but is held back by weaker financial quality—especially negative operating/free cash flow and elevated leverage—and bearish technicals with the stock trading below major moving averages and weak momentum indicators.
Positive Factors
Steady Revenue Growth
Steady revenue growth indicates that SoftBank continues to expand its overall business base across investment-related activities and telecommunications. Sustained top-line progression can support recurring operating scale and provide a foundation for future earnings, even though the quality of profits remains variable.
Negative Factors
Persistent Negative Cash Flow
Persistent negative operating and free cash flow means reported earnings are not consistently converting into internally generated funds. This pressures financial flexibility, increases reliance on asset monetization or financing, and can limit SoftBank’s ability to fund investments, reduce debt, or absorb weaker portfolio conditions.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Steady Revenue Growth
Steady revenue growth indicates that SoftBank continues to expand its overall business base across investment-related activities and telecommunications. Sustained top-line progression can support recurring operating scale and provide a foundation for future earnings, even though the quality of profits remains variable.
Read all positive factors

Softbank (SFTBY) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Softbank Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
SoftBank Group Corp. operates as a global telecommunications provider, delivering its services both within Japan and across international markets. Its diverse operations are structured into five key divisions: Investment Business of Holding Compan...
How the Company Makes Money
SoftBank primarily makes money through (1) investment and asset management returns and (2) telecommunications service revenues, with additional contributions from other portfolio-related and financing activities. 1) Investment gains, losses, and ...

Softbank Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 13, 2026
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Nov 10, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
SoftBank's earnings call highlighted a return to profitability and strong performance in several areas, including Vision Fund 1, PayPay, and Arm. However, challenges such as a decrease in net asset value, increased loan-to-value ratio, and decreased cash position were noted. The company's strategic investments in OpenAI and Ampere were emphasized as critical for future growth.
Positive Updates
Return to Profitability
SoftBank reported a net income of JPY 1.15 trillion, marking its first profit in four years, up JPY 1.38 trillion year-over-year.
Negative Updates
Net Asset Value Decline
Net asset value decreased by JPY 2.1 trillion year-over-year, ending at JPY 25.7 trillion, although it later recovered.
Read all updates
Q4-2025 Updates
Negative
Return to Profitability
SoftBank reported a net income of JPY 1.15 trillion, marking its first profit in four years, up JPY 1.38 trillion year-over-year.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
In the call, SoftBank Group Corp. provided comprehensive guidance for the fiscal year ended March 31, 2025, detailing several key financial metrics and strategic initiatives. The company reported a net asset value of JPY 25.7 trillion, down JPY 2.1 trillion year-over-year, but noted a recovery to JPY 27.4 trillion based on current share prices. They achieved a net income of JPY 1.15 trillion, marking their first profit in four years, driven by gains in their investment portfolio, particularly from Vision Fund contributions like ByteDance and OpenAI. Their loan-to-value ratio increased to 18.0%, still below their 25% safety threshold, while cash on hand decreased to JPY 3.4 trillion. Strategic actions included significant investments in AI, such as a JPY 6.5 billion acquisition of Ampere and a commitment of up to $30 billion in OpenAI. SoftBank also highlighted the Stargate Project in collaboration with OpenAI and Oracle, and the establishment of Cristal Intelligence through a partnership with OpenAI, reflecting their focus on AI and technological advancement.

Softbank Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Headline results improved (steady revenue growth and a swing to strong net profits in 2025–2026), but operating consistency is weak (EBIT turns negative in the latest TTM) and leverage remains elevated (debt-to-equity ~1.5 recently). The biggest drag is cash generation: operating cash flow is negative in the latest annual period and TTM, and free cash flow is deeply negative across most periods, signaling poor cash conversion and pressured financial flexibility.
Income Statement
62
Positive
Balance Sheet
55
Neutral
Cash Flow
28
Negative
BreakdownTTMMar 2026Mar 2026Mar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023
Income Statement
Total Revenue8.13T8.27T7.24T6.76T6.57T6.22T
Gross Profit4.18T4.26T3.75T3.54T3.33T3.27T
EBITDA3.60T969.08B1.60T1.47T1.53T1.57T
Net Income5.01T5.30T1.15T-227.65B-970.14B-1.71T
Balance Sheet
Total Assets64.71T61.01T45.01T46.72T43.94T47.54T
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments6.21T7.53T3.71T6.44T7.30T6.09T
Total Debt27.80T25.97T18.91T16.19T20.32T22.32T
Total Liabilities43.69T40.65T31.06T33.49T33.29T35.84T
Stockholders Equity18.11T17.50T11.56T11.16T9.03T9.98T
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-3.65T-2.63T-650.59B-372.06B107.53B1.89T
Operating Cash Flow-857.65B-789.25B203.58B250.55B741.29B2.73T
Investing Cash Flow-6.41T-4.63T-1.63T-841.46B547.58B-3.02T
Financing Cash Flow6.26T6.38T-1.12T-606.22B191.52B602.22B

Softbank Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price16.34
Price Trends
50DMA
18.18
Negative
100DMA
18.69
Negative
200DMA
16.76
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-1.35
Positive
RSI
28.49
Positive
STOCH
6.98
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SFTBY, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 16.34 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 17.80, below the 50-day MA of 18.18, and below the 200-day MA of 16.76, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -1.35 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 28.49 is Positive, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 6.98 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for SFTBY.

Softbank Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (60)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
74
Outperform
$169.21B16.0518.22%2.65%9.68%-10.02%
72
Outperform
$79.35B7.1712.04%5.78%0.58%-48.94%
69
Neutral
$150.14B11.8411.50%5.07%3.51%-39.83%
65
Neutral
$185.05B11.3415.52%6.46%1.38%-10.78%
63
Neutral
$36.78B-71.79-0.79%3.39%16.69%87.12%
60
Neutral
$48.67B4.58-11.27%4.14%2.83%-41.78%
56
Neutral
$164.50B5.3830.11%0.24%5.26%182.07%
* Communication Services Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
SFTBY
Softbank
13.46
-5.37
-28.51%
T
AT&T
22.74
-0.76
-3.23%
CMCSA
Comcast
22.84
-3.21
-12.33%
VZ
Verizon
45.20
9.20
25.54%
VOD
Vodafone
16.12
4.90
43.63%
TMUS
T Mobile US
158.79
-56.65
-26.29%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 20, 2026