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Nelly Group AB (NELLY) AI Stock Analysis

6 Followers
SE:NELLY

Nelly Group AB

(Nasdaq OMX AB:NELLY)

Select Model
Rating:77Outperform
Price Target:SEK 37.00â–²(10.98% Upside)
Action:upgraded
Date:10/24/26

The score is supported primarily by strong financial recovery, lower leverage, and attractive valuation. Positive intermediate-term momentum also helps, but declining cash-flow and margin trends, the price remaining below its 200-day average, and overbought technical readings constrain the overall score.

Positive Factors
Profitability turnaroundThe move from losses to double-digit EBIT and net margins indicates a meaningful improvement in the economics of Nelly’s digital-first model. If maintained, stronger profitability can support reinvestment, improve resilience, and provide a more durable earnings base over the next several quarters.
Negative Factors
Recent earnings and margin pressureThe decline in net income and operating margins shows that the turnaround has not yet produced steadily expanding earnings power. Continued margin pressure could limit the benefit of stable revenue, reduce internal funding capacity, and make the improved profitability profile less durable over the next few quarters.

Nelly Group AB (NELLY) vs. iShares MSCI Sweden ETF (EWD)

-75%-50%-25%0%25%50%SE:NELLY-63.16%EWD+15.64%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
SEK 989.25M
Dividend Yield
―
Average Volume (3M)
126.71K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
8.1
Beta (1Y)
0.66
Revenue Growth
5.08%
EPS Growth
-15.03%
Country
Sweden
Employees
174
Sector
Consumer Cyclical
Sector Strength
61
Industry
Apparel - Retail

Nelly Group AB Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Nelly Group AB (publ) operates as a fashion company in Sweden, rest of Nordics, and internationally. The company offers clothes, accessories, beauty products, and sportswear, as well as lingerie and swimwear for women; and clothes, shoes, and accesso...

Nelly Group AB Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Profitability has recovered strongly, leverage has improved materially, and cash flow remains positive. However, declining operating margins and weakening operating and free cash flow limit the score.

Income Statement

78Positive

Balance Sheet

82Very Positive

Cash Flow

68Positive
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.27B1.26B1.09B1.06B1.30B1.43B
Gross Profit690.40M686.00M581.40M518.60M566.30M638.80M
EBITDA194.70M225.30M145.70M63.60M-22.50M-30.90M
Net Income124.40M168.50M83.40M-1.50M-71.70M-47.80M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets995.50M989.70M898.50M799.80M837.20M925.40M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments221.40M253.80M196.90M151.10M96.80M197.50M
Total Debt285.70M287.10M287.30M283.60M294.60M316.40M
Total Liabilities551.50M583.30M661.30M621.20M703.60M721.00M
Stockholders Equity444.00M406.40M237.10M178.60M133.60M204.40M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow85.00M111.60M153.30M51.10M-75.90M-4.30M
Operating Cash Flow93.10M123.10M154.50M59.30M-64.80M18.80M
Investing Cash Flow-28.70M-32.10M-22.40M-22.90M-11.10M-22.90M
Financing Cash Flow-70.00M-34.10M-56.40M17.80M-25.00M-29.20M

Nelly Group AB Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNegative
Last Price33.34

Price Trends

50DMA33.16Positive
100DMA34.45Negative
200DMA50.90Negative

Market Momentum

MACD0.17Positive
RSI48.67Neutral
STOCH11.87Positive

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SE:NELLY, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 33.34 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 34.20, above the 50-day MA of 33.16, and below the 200-day MA of 50.90, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.17 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 48.67 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 11.87 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for SE:NELLY.

Nelly Group AB Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)

Financial Indicators

SE:NELLY against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
SE:NELLYSE:NELLY77OutperformSEK 989.25M8.0529.18%―5.08%-15.03%
SE:RUGSE:RUG73OutperformSEK 1.74B20.2615.28%1.79%11.96%44.41%
SE:NEWA.BSE:NEWA.B70OutperformSEK 13.68B15.7512.32%3.14%10.76%6.02%
SE:BOOZTSE:BOOZT69NeutralSEK 10.11B30.95――6.75%-3.69%
Sector *61Neutral$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
SE:FOI.BSE:FOI.B53NeutralSEK 4.40B46.472.35%6.61%1.03%15.81%
SE:USWESE:USWE49NeutralSEK 43.18M-13.79-4.87%―-9.26%72.39%

* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average

Performance Comparison

-50%0%50%SE:NELLYSE:BOOZTSE:FOI.BSE:USWESE:RUGSE:NEWA.BDec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
SE:NELLY and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
SE:NELLYNelly Group AB33.34-55.16-62.33%
SE:BOOZTBoozt AB172.4069.2067.05%
SE:FOI.BFenix Outdoor International AG Series B340.50-147.92-30.28%
SE:USWEUSWE Sports AB6.05-8.55-58.56%
SE:RUGRugVista Group AB84.9028.8451.43%
SE:NEWA.BNew Wave Group AB Class B103.50-4.80-4.43%

Nelly Group AB Corporate Events

Nelly Group Appoints Nomination Committee Ahead of 2027 AGM

Oct 27, 2026

Nelly Group AB has appointed its Nomination Committee for the 2027 Annual General Meeting in line with the instruction adopted at the 2024 AGM. The committee consists of representatives from Rite Ventures, ettfemsju själ AB and Handelsbanken Fonder A...

Nelly Group Posts Solid Q3 Sales Amid Margin Pressure and Leadership Changes

Oct 22, 2026

Nelly Group reported third-quarter 2026 net revenue of SEK 313.1 million, up 10.3% year-on-year, with a solid gross margin of 56.5% but a slightly lower operating margin of 13.5%, while cash flow from operating activities turned negative and cash res...

Nelly Group Schedules Q3 2026 Report and Investor Call

Oct 1, 2026

Nelly Group will release its third-quarter 2026 interim report on 22 October at 08:00 CEST, followed by an English-language conference call for analysts, investors, and media at 09:00 CEST. The presentation, hosted by CEO Helena Karlinder-Östlundh an...

Nelly Group Steps Up Share Buybacks, Lifting Treasury Holdings

Sep 28, 2026

Nelly Group AB has continued to execute on its share buyback programme, repurchasing a total of 105,000 ordinary shares on Nasdaq Stockholm between 21 and 25 September 2026 through Danske Bank acting on its behalf. After these transactions, the compa...

Nelly Group CFO Josefin Dalum Resigns Amid Planned Leadership Transition

Sep 25, 2026

Nelly Group AB has announced that Chief Financial Officer Josefin Dalum will resign to take a role outside the company, remaining in post through her six-month notice period while the finance function continues to operate as usual. The online fashion...

Nelly Group Steps Up Share Buybacks to Optimise Capital Structure

Sep 21, 2026

Nelly Group AB has repurchased 140,000 of its own ordinary shares on Nasdaq Stockholm between 14 and 18 September 2026, as part of a broader buyback programme aimed at optimising its capital structure. The transactions were executed by Danske Bank on...

Nelly Group Expands Share Buyback to Boost Capital Structure

Sep 14, 2026

Nelly Group AB has continued its share buyback programme, repurchasing 143,000 ordinary shares on Nasdaq Stockholm between 7 and 11 September 2026 to optimise its capital structure. The buybacks, executed by Danske Bank on the company’s behalf, are p...

Nelly Group Boosts Treasury Position With New Share Buybacks

Sep 7, 2026

Nelly Group AB has continued its share repurchase program, buying back a total of 148,000 ordinary shares on Nasdaq Stockholm between 31 August and 4 September 2026 through Danske Bank acting on its behalf. Following these transactions, the company h...

Nelly Group Steps Up Share Buybacks to Optimise Capital Structure

Aug 31, 2026

Nelly Group AB has continued its share buyback programme, repurchasing 150,000 ordinary shares on Nasdaq Stockholm during the week of 24–28 August 2026. The transactions, executed by Danske Bank on the company’s behalf, form part of a previously anno...

Nelly Group Steps Up Share Buybacks to Optimise Capital Structure

Aug 24, 2026

Nelly Group AB, a leading Nordic fashion e-commerce platform for young women, builds its appeal through a mix of proprietary NELLY products and curated external brands, backed by a strong digital footprint and growing physical flagship store network....

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Oct 24, 2026