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Schrodinger (SDGR)
NASDAQ:SDGR
US Market

Schrodinger (SDGR) AI Stock Analysis

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Schrodinger

(NASDAQ:SDGR)

Rating:54Neutral
Price Target:
$21.00
▼(-2.42%Downside)
Schrödinger's overall stock score reflects a company with strong strategic growth prospects and promising partnerships, particularly in software and drug discovery. However, financial challenges such as consistent net losses and valuation concerns weigh heavily. Ongoing restructuring and corporate changes add an element of risk, but the positive earnings call sentiment and strategic progress provide a counterbalance.
Positive Factors
Financial Performance
Schrödinger's commercial quarter outperformed Street expectations on the topline, maintaining their 2025 guide despite macro uncertainty.
Market Positioning
Schrödinger remains a stock of choice in tech-enabled drug discovery, offering a durable growth story that outperforms in volatile market conditions.
Strategic Partnerships
Collaboration with Novartis resulted in meaningful cash inflows, enhancing Schrödinger's balance sheet with a significant cash reserve.
Negative Factors
Financial Challenges
The net loss reported was higher than analyst expectations, indicating financial challenges.
Investor Sentiment
Feedback from specialist/hedge fund investors has skewed negative, arguing a fact pattern that suggests internal pipeline trouble.
Operational Challenges
The unexpected timing of workforce reduction will prompt some volatility on investor nervousness on forward growth trajectory.

Schrodinger (SDGR) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Schrodinger Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionSchrödinger, Inc. is a leading provider of advanced molecular simulations and enterprise software solutions for the pharmaceutical, biotechnology, and materials science sectors. The company leverages its cutting-edge physics-based computational platform to accelerate drug discovery and materials design, offering a suite of software tools for molecular modeling, simulation, and data analysis. Schrödinger's core products include its flagship software platform for drug discovery and development, which is used by scientists and researchers worldwide to predict the properties and behavior of molecules with high accuracy.
How the Company Makes MoneySchrödinger generates revenue through multiple streams, primarily from software licensing, drug discovery collaborations, and materials science research partnerships. The company's software is licensed to pharmaceutical and biotechnology companies, academic institutions, and government laboratories, providing them with powerful tools for molecular modeling and simulations. Schrödinger also engages in strategic collaborations with pharmaceutical companies to co-develop novel therapeutics, sharing the potential commercial success of these projects. In addition, the company partners with materials science entities to apply its simulation technology to develop innovative materials, further diversifying its revenue streams. These collaborations often include milestone payments and royalties based on the success of the projects.

Schrodinger Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Software Products and Services Revenue Breakdown
Software Products and Services Revenue Breakdown
Details revenue from software products and services, offering a view into the company's technological capabilities and market demand for its digital solutions.
Chart InsightsSchrödinger's software revenue shows significant volatility, with notable spikes at year-end, likely driven by strategic renewals and expansions. The latest earnings call highlights a 46% year-over-year growth in software revenue for Q1 2025, supported by larger customer renewals and a Novartis collaboration. However, challenges persist with a decline in professional services revenue and lower software gross margins. Despite these hurdles, the company maintains a positive outlook, projecting continued growth and strategic advancements in software and drug discovery for 2025.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

Schrodinger Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 07, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: -9.27%|
Next Earnings Date:Jul 30, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflected strong revenue growth and strategic progress in partnerships and R&D, particularly in software and drug discovery. However, there were challenges, including a decline in professional services revenue, lower software gross margins, and increased net loss. Despite these issues, the company's overall outlook for 2025 remains positive.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Revenue Growth
Total revenue for Q1 2025 was $59.6 million, a 63% increase compared to Q1 2024. Software revenue increased by 46% to $48.8 million, driven by larger customer renewals and expansions. Drug discovery revenue was $10.7 million, compared to $3.2 million in the previous year.
Strategic Partnerships and Collaborations
The company recognized revenue from its collaboration with Novartis, and expanded other collaborations, contributing to the growth in drug discovery revenue.
Progress in R&D and Clinical Programs
Initial Phase I data for SGR-1505, a MALT1 inhibitor, is expected in mid-June. Other programs, including CDC7 inhibitor SGR-2921 and Wee1/Myt1 co-inhibitor SGR-3515, are progressing well, with data expected later in the year.
Advancement in Software and Predictive Toxicology
The company released a software update with major enhancements and is advancing its predictive toxicology initiative, aiming for a beta release later this year.
Negative Updates
Decline in Professional Services Revenue
Professional services revenue declined by 31% as service contracts from prior periods were completed.
Lower Software Gross Margin
Software gross margin was 72%, down from 76% in Q1 2024, due to changes in revenue mix associated with the Gates grant.
Net Loss Increase
Net loss after taxes was $60 million or $0.82 per share, compared to a net loss of $54.7 million or $0.76 per share in Q1 2024.
Company Guidance
During the call, Schrödinger's management provided several key metrics and guidance for the fiscal year 2025. For Q1 2025, Schrödinger reported a total revenue of $59.6 million, which marks a 63% increase compared to Q1 2024. Software revenue was $48.8 million, reflecting a 46% growth year-over-year, while drug discovery revenue was $10.7 million, significantly up from $3.2 million in Q1 2024, largely due to milestones from collaborative programs and upfront revenue from a Novartis collaboration. The company maintained a strong financial position with a cash and marketable securities balance of $512 million, up from $367 million at the end of December 2024, primarily due to collections from contracts and a payment from Novartis. Schrödinger reiterated its full-year 2025 guidance, expecting software revenue growth between 10% and 15%, drug discovery revenue in the range of $45 million to $50 million, and a full-year software gross margin between 74% and 75%. Operating expense growth is projected to be under 5% for the year, and the company anticipates a significant reduction in cash burn compared to the previous year.

Schrodinger Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Schrodinger has shown revenue growth but faces significant challenges in profitability and cash flow generation. Increasing leverage and negative cash flows present potential risks to its financial stability.
Income Statement
35
Negative
Schrodinger's revenue has shown a positive trend with a consistent increase from 2019 to 2023. However, the company has faced continuous net losses, with significant negative EBIT and EBITDA margins, indicating challenges in achieving profitability. The gross profit margin improved slightly in recent years, but the negative net profit margin remains a concern for financial stability.
Balance Sheet
45
Neutral
The balance sheet shows a relatively stable equity position, although the debt-to-equity ratio has increased over time, reflecting higher leverage. The company has maintained a positive equity ratio, indicating a moderate level of financial health. However, the increasing liabilities and decreasing equity could pose long-term risks if not managed effectively.
Cash Flow
30
Negative
Cash flow analysis reveals a concerning trend with consistently negative operating and free cash flows, indicating that the company struggles to generate cash from its core operations. The negative free cash flow to net income ratio further highlights this issue. Positive financing cash flows indicate reliance on external financing, which might not be sustainable long-term.
Breakdown
Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
207.54M216.67M180.96M137.93M108.09M
Gross Profit
132.08M140.69M101.02M65.62M63.47M
EBIT
-209.30M-177.45M-149.12M-111.44M-60.92M
EBITDA
-209.30M-171.90M-142.47M-108.60M-57.26M
Net Income Common Stockholders
-187.12M40.72M-149.19M-101.22M-26.64M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
352.12M463.00M451.09M576.48M642.69M
Total Assets
823.23M802.96M688.59M756.49M746.26M
Total Debt
117.83M127.88M116.49M79.87M11.76M
Net Debt
-29.50M-27.43M26.02M-40.40M-190.53M
Total Liabilities
401.78M254.40M240.68M199.40M122.24M
Stockholders Equity
421.44M548.56M447.89M557.07M624.01M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
-164.68M-150.14M-127.70M-77.84M14.22M
Operating Cash Flow
-157.37M-136.73M-119.68M-70.67M16.76M
Investing Cash Flow
148.84M193.03M90.02M-16.81M-381.72M
Financing Cash Flow
10.12M9.05M2.11M7.95M541.27M

Schrodinger Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price21.52
Price Trends
50DMA
22.79
Negative
100DMA
22.78
Negative
200DMA
21.20
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.67
Positive
RSI
39.51
Neutral
STOCH
32.12
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SDGR, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 21.52 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 23.13, below the 50-day MA of 22.79, and above the 200-day MA of 21.20, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.67 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 39.51 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 32.12 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for SDGR.

Schrodinger Risk Analysis

Schrodinger disclosed 88 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Schrodinger reported the most risks in the “Tech & Innovation” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 3 New Risks
1.
We may not be able to obtain orphan drug exclusivity for any product candidates we may develop, and even if we do, that exclusivity may not prevent the FDA or the EMA from approving other competing products. Q4, 2024
2.
Intellectual property rights do not guarantee commercial success of current or future product candidates or other business activities. Numerous factors may limit any potential competitive advantage provided by our intellectual property rights. Q4, 2024
3.
Obtaining and maintaining our patent protection depends on compliance with various deadlines and procedural, document submission, fee payment and other requirements imposed by governmental patent agencies, and our patent protection could be reduced or eliminated if we fail to comply with these deadlines and requirements. We may miss a filing deadline for patent protection on these inventions. Q4, 2024

Schrodinger Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (53)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
78
Outperform
$38.79B54.1614.07%14.78%39.33%
SLSLP
78
Outperform
$648.18M90.203.96%0.75%21.49%-31.23%
74
Outperform
$1.84B-0.25%9.37%95.72%
54
Neutral
$1.58B-43.33%22.29%-32.89%
DHDH
54
Neutral
$479.99M-86.36%-3.04%-152.59%
53
Neutral
$5.18B3.30-45.04%2.85%16.82%-0.65%
51
Neutral
$193.81M-60.75%4.66%11.33%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
SDGR
Schrodinger
21.44
-0.34
-1.56%
SLP
Simulations Plus
32.17
-16.49
-33.89%
VEEV
Veeva Systems
279.04
84.85
43.69%
CERT
Certara
11.40
-5.50
-32.54%
SOPH
SOPHiA GENETICS
2.87
-2.19
-43.28%
DH
Definitive Healthcare Corp
3.27
-2.03
-38.30%

Schrodinger Corporate Events

Executive/Board Changes
Schrödinger Appoints Richie Jain as New CFO
Positive
May 20, 2025

On May 16, 2025, Schrödinger, Inc. appointed Richie Jain as the new Executive Vice President, Chief Financial Officer, and Treasurer, succeeding Geoffrey Porges. Mr. Jain, who previously served as Senior Vice President of Strategic Finance, brings extensive experience from his tenure at Morgan Stanley. His appointment is expected to strengthen the company’s financial leadership and strategic planning capabilities. The transition includes a comprehensive compensation package and stock options, with Dr. Porges remaining as an advisor until June 6, 2025, to ensure a smooth transition.

The most recent analyst rating on (SDGR) stock is a Buy with a $30.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Schrodinger stock, see the SDGR Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and Strategy
Schrödinger Announces Workforce Reduction Amid Restructuring
Negative
May 19, 2025

On May 19, 2025, Schrödinger, Inc. announced a restructuring of its operations aimed at reducing its workforce by approximately 60 employees, which is about 7% of its full-time staff. This move is part of a broader effort to cut costs and improve cash flow, with the company expecting to incur $3 million in restructuring charges within the fiscal year ending December 31, 2025. The restructuring is anticipated to reduce operating expenses by $30 million annually, with half of the savings resulting from the workforce reduction.

The most recent analyst rating on (SDGR) stock is a Buy with a $30.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Schrodinger stock, see the SDGR Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.