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Schrodinger (SDGR) AI Stock Analysis

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SDGR

Schrodinger

(NASDAQ:SDGR)

Select Model
Rating:60Neutral
Price Target:$34.00â–²(7.87% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:11/05/26

The score is primarily held back by weak profitability and a return to negative operating/free cash flow, despite improving revenue momentum and a reasonable balance-sheet cushion. Technicals are supportive with the stock trading above major moving averages and positive momentum indicators. The latest earnings call adds a positive tilt due to raised guidance and expense discipline, but valuation remains constrained by current unprofitability and the lack of dividend support.

Positive Factors
ACV Growth and GuidanceGrowing annual contract value across pharmaceutical, biotech, and materials customers indicates broader platform adoption and improving demand. Raised full-year guidance supports the view that customer expansion and new product contributions can provide durable software growth over the next several quarters.
Negative Factors
Persistent UnprofitabilityRevenue growth has not yet translated into sustainable earnings, as negative net margin, EBIT, and EBITDA indicate that the current cost base remains too high for profitable scale. Continued losses could constrain reinvestment flexibility and make results more volatile over the next several quarters.

Schrodinger Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Revenue by GeographyBreaks down sales by region to identify where customers and growth are concentrated and to assess exposure to local regulatory, currency, and market cycles. Shifts across regions can signal new market penetration or rising risk from dependence on a particular geography or customer base.

-$25.00M$0.00$25.00M$50.00M$75.00MMar 22Jun 22Sep 22Dec 22Mar 23Jun 23Sep 23Dec 23Mar 24Jun 24Sep 24Dec 24Mar 25Jun 25Sep 25Dec 25Mar 26Jun 26
Chart Insights

EMEA is the clear driver of the large, lumpy swings — recent spikes reflect collaboration/drug‑discovery milestone recognition rather than steady regional software traction. Underneath, ACV growth and a deliberate shift to hosted licensing signal strengthening recurring demand that should smooth future geography volatility, but the hosted transition will depress near‑term recognized revenue and gross margins. Treat quarterly geographic spikes as milestone timing noise; focus on ACV, hosted mix, and announced collaboration exits for forward value.

Data provided by:The Fly

Schrodinger (SDGR) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

-50%-25%0%25%50%75%100%SDGR+78.68%SPY+14.28%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
$2.08B
Dividend Yield
―
Average Volume (3M)
2.04M
Price to Earnings (P/E)
-39.9
Beta (1Y)
1.81
Revenue Growth
4.77%
EPS Growth
66.98%
Country
US
Employees
850
Sector
Healthcare
Sector Strength
51
Industry
Software - Application

Schrodinger Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Schrödinger, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, develops physics-based computational platform that enables discovery of novel molecules for drug development and materials applications in the United States, the Asia-Pacific, Europe, Middle East, Af...

How the Company Makes Money

Schrödinger makes money through a combination of (1) software revenue and (2) drug discovery revenue. Software revenue is primarily generated by licensing access to its computational platform and applications to customers (typically under term licens...

Schrodinger Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 04, 2026(Q3-2026)|% Change Since:10.52%|Next Earnings Date:Mar 03, 2027
Earnings Call SentimentPositive

The call was strongly positive overall. The company reported broad-based ACV and revenue growth, raised full-year ACV and drug discovery revenue guidance, reduced operating expenses, expanded hosted licensing, and cited strong progress in Bunsen, predictive toxicology, material science, and its therapeutics portfolio. The main negatives were the higher net loss, lower software gross margin during the hosted transition, mark-to-market other expense, limited visibility into Bunsen monetization and future milestone timing, and the earlier stage of material science adoption.

Positive Updates

Strong ACV Growth and Raised Guidance
Third-quarter ACV was $44.7 million, up 17% year-over-year, or 24% excluding contribution ACV. Trailing four-quarter ACV was $214 million. Growth was driven by broader adoption within large pharmaceutical accounts, new products including Bunsen, growth among biotech and material science customers, and new customer additions. Full-year 2026 ACV guidance was raised to $222 million to $232 million, representing 12% to 17% growth over 2025.

Negative Updates

Lower Software Gross Margin During Hosted Transition
Software gross margin was 75% in the quarter versus 77% in Q3 2025, reflecting the ongoing transition to hosted software licensing. Management noted that transitioning from on-premises to hosted licensing temporarily moderates reported software revenue because hosted contracts are recognized ratably over the contract term; every 1% increase in hosted revenue results in an approximate $2 million to $3 million reduction in reported revenue depending on contract length and renewal timing.

Company Guidance

For full year 2026, the company now expects ACV to be in the range of $222 million to $232 million, representing 12% to 17% growth over 2025; drug discovery revenue is expected to be in the range of $75 million to $85 million, compared to the prior expectation of $65 million to $75 million; and operating expenses are still expected to be less than 2025. The company outlined a 3-year view of $150 million of revenue over the next 3 years for drug discovery, with a baseline of roughly $50 million a year, while noting that milestones are harder to have visibility into, and expects to have the open beta for Bunsen this year.

Schrodinger Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Revenue momentum has improved and gross margins remain healthy, supported by a balance sheet with manageable leverage. However, profitability remains weak (negative net margin and negative EBIT/EBITDA) and cash generation has deteriorated again in the latest TTM period with operating cash flow and free cash flow turning negative, increasing execution risk.

Income Statement

44Neutral

Balance Sheet

68Positive

Cash Flow

38Negative
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue269.20M255.87M207.54M216.67M180.96M137.93M
Gross Profit157.53M142.61M132.08M140.69M101.02M65.62M
EBITDA-50.99M-96.30M-179.55M48.47M-144.78M-97.96M
Net Income-59.25M-103.27M-187.12M40.72M-149.19M-100.39M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets611.94M726.16M823.23M802.96M688.59M756.49M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments366.36M395.46M352.12M463.00M451.09M576.48M
Total Debt104.63M109.23M117.83M127.88M116.49M79.87M
Total Liabilities310.11M362.11M401.78M254.40M240.68M199.40M
Stockholders Equity301.83M364.05M421.44M548.56M447.89M557.07M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-18.97M12.46M-164.68M-150.14M-127.70M-77.84M
Operating Cash Flow-14.77M13.90M-157.37M-136.73M-119.68M-70.67M
Investing Cash Flow180.57M57.90M148.84M193.03M90.02M-16.81M
Financing Cash Flow4.14M2.93M10.12M9.05M2.11M7.95M

Schrodinger Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentPositive
Last Price31.52

Price Trends

50DMA26.55Positive
100DMA21.80Positive
200DMA17.29Positive

Market Momentum

MACD1.53Negative
RSI60.42Neutral
STOCH82.53Negative

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SDGR, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 31.52 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 27.10, above the 50-day MA of 26.55, and above the 200-day MA of 17.29, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 1.53 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 60.42 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 82.53 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for SDGR.

Schrodinger Risk Analysis

Schrodinger disclosed 87 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Schrodinger reported the most risks in the "Tech & Innovation" category.

Higher RiskSector Avg.Lower RiskFinance & CorporateTech & InnovationLegal & RegulatoryProductionAbility to SellMacro & Political
Tech & Innovation - Risks related to the company’s reliance on technology and ability to make innovative products

Latest Risks Added

3 New Risks
1.Disruptions at the FDA and other government agencies from funding cuts, personnel losses, regulatory reform, government shutdowns and other developments could hinder our ability to obtain guidance from the FDA regarding our programs and develop and secure approval of our product candidates in a timely manner, which would negatively impact our business.Q1, 2025
2.We may not be able to obtain orphan drug exclusivity for any product candidates we may develop, and even if we do, that exclusivity may not prevent the FDA or the EMA from approving other competing products.Q4, 2024
3.Obtaining and maintaining our patent protection depends on compliance with various deadlines and procedural, document submission, fee payment and other requirements imposed by governmental patent agencies, and our patent protection could be reduced or eliminated if we fail to comply with these deadlines and requirements. We may miss a filing deadline for patent protection on these inventions.Q4, 2024

Schrodinger Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)

Financial Indicators

SDGR against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
RSSSRSSS68Neutral$61.11M21.7515.55%―-1.53%140.44%
SDGRSDGR60Neutral$2.43B-39.90-18.11%―4.77%66.98%
AIAI52Neutral$1.90B-3.94-62.87%―-37.55%-18.96%
Sector *51Neutral$7.86B-0.30-43.30%2.27%22.53%-2.21%

* Healthcare Sector Average

Performance Comparison

0%50%SDGRRSSSAIDec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
SDGR and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
SDGRSchrodinger, Inc.31.5214.3283.26%
RSSSResearch Solutions 1.94-1.17-37.62%
AIC3.Ai, Inc.12.19-1.91-13.55%

Schrodinger Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial DisclosuresRegulatory Filings and Compliance

Schrödinger Clarifies Clinical Study Status and Reports Third-Quarter Results

Neutral
Nov 4, 2026

On November 4, 2026, Schrödinger corrected an American Society of Hematology abstract, clarifying that it had not initiated a combination study of SGR-1505 in relapsed/refractory B-cell malignancies under its FDA-cleared protocol. Also on November 4,...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Nov 05, 2026