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Regional Management (RM) AI Stock Analysis

RM

Regional Management

(NYSE:RM)

Select Model
Rating:69Neutral
Price Target:$40.00â–²(2.85% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:10/31/26

RM’s score is driven by strong cash generation and an attractive valuation (low P/E with a solid dividend), supported by positive price momentum and constructive technicals. The main constraint is elevated balance-sheet leverage and ongoing credit-pressure signals from the latest call (high loss rates and a weaker Q4 outlook), which raise downside risk in a tougher credit environment.

Positive Factors
Portfolio and bank-partnership growthRecord revenue and receivable growth indicate continued demand for RM’s installment lending products. Increasing fee income from the bank partnership adds a potentially scalable revenue stream, while portfolio expansion broadens earnings capacity and supports operating leverage over the next several quarters.
Negative Factors
High balance-sheet leveragePersistently high leverage reduces RM’s financial flexibility and makes the business more sensitive to credit deterioration, funding changes, or unexpected losses. Elevated debt also limits the room available to absorb stress while continuing portfolio investment and shareholder distributions.

Regional Management Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Revenue by TypeBreaks down revenue by source, showing which lending activities drive earnings and how diversified Regional Management’s business is across its products.

$0.00$50.00M$100.00M$150.00MMar 22Jun 22Sep 22Dec 22Mar 23Jun 23Sep 23Dec 23Mar 24Jun 24Sep 24Dec 24Mar 25Jun 25Sep 25Dec 25Mar 26Jun 26Sep 26
Chart Insights

Interest & Fee Income remains the durable growth engine, consistent with expanding finance receivables and management’s expectation for stronger second-half earnings. Insurance Income is comparatively stagnant and volatile, while the recent surge in Other revenue appears less established and may not represent recurring momentum. The bank-partnership model should gradually improve revenue quality and margins, but elevated credit losses, tighter underwriting, and rising funding costs could limit how quickly portfolio growth translates into bottom-line expansion.

Data provided by:The Fly

Regional Management (RM) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

-30%-20%-10%0%10%20%RM-0.69%SPY+12.58%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
$334.90M
Dividend Yield
3.31%
Average Volume (3M)
91.93K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
7.1
Beta (1Y)
0.99
Revenue Growth
8.41%
EPS Growth
20.27%
Country
US
Employees
2,112
Sector
Financial
Sector Strength
68
Industry
Financial - Credit Services

Regional Management Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Regional Management Corp. (RMC) functions as a broad-based financial services provider, concentrating on offering consumer installment loans. Its primary focus is on serving individuals across the United States who face challenges in securing credit...

Regional Management Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 27, 2026(Q3-2026)|% Change Since:15.57%|Next Earnings Date:Feb 09, 2027
Earnings Call SentimentPositive

The call was predominantly positive, with record quarterly revenue, earnings growth, portfolio expansion, improved sequential credit losses, maintained full-year guidance, and meaningful progress on the bank partnership and technology initiatives. However, credit losses and delinquencies remained elevated, small and digital originations declined, and fourth-quarter net income is now expected to fall below the third quarter because of seasonal credit losses, higher funding costs, partnership implementation costs, and shifted G&A expenses.

Positive Updates

Strong Third-Quarter Earnings and Record Revenue
Third-quarter net income was $15.1 million, or $1.61 of diluted EPS, up 5% and 13% year-over-year, respectively. Quarterly revenue reached a record $178.8 million, up 8% year-over-year, driven by portfolio growth and fee income from the bank partnership.

Negative Updates

Credit Losses and Delinquencies Remained Elevated
The net credit loss rate was 10.9%, which was 70 basis points above the prior-year period and 20 basis points above the company's July outlook. The 30-plus day delinquency rate increased 50 basis points sequentially and year-over-year to 7.5%.

Company Guidance

Management reiterated expectations for full year net income growth of 6% to 9%, diluted earnings per share growth of 10% to 13%, and portfolio growth of 5% to 7%; for the fourth quarter, net income is expected to be lower than the third quarter, portfolio growth is expected to be approximately $60 million, the reserve build approximately $6 million with the allowance rate flat sequentially, the net credit loss rate approximately 11.5%, total revenue yield to increase sequentially, the operating expense ratio to rise sequentially, cost of funds to increase to approximately 4.7%, and the effective tax rate to be approximately 20%, while strategic initiatives are expected to contribute approximately $5 million of net income compared to approximately $3 million in the third quarter; over time, the company is targeting an annual return on equity above 18%, expects substantially all of its branch network to be operating under the bank partnership by the end of 2027, and expects 2027 to be a strong year with faster portfolio growth, continued progress on credit and, subject to the macroeconomic environment, strong growth in net income compared to 2026 even as funding costs rise.

Regional Management Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Operating performance and cash generation are solid (Income Statement 72; Cash Flow 78), with revenue growth and profitability recovering versus the weaker 2023 period and consistently strong free cash flow. The key drag is balance-sheet risk (Balance Sheet 41) from persistently very high leverage (debt-to-equity ~4–5x) and rising total debt, which reduces flexibility if credit conditions deteriorate.

Income Statement

72Positive

Balance Sheet

41Neutral

Cash Flow

78Positive
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue683.75M645.57M588.50M551.40M507.19M428.35M
Gross Profit592.81M337.93M301.77M263.90M287.85M307.99M
EBITDA173.26M96.60M68.14M35.42M78.01M124.13M
Net Income47.58M44.41M41.23M15.96M51.22M88.69M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets2.21B2.18B1.91B1.79B1.72B1.46B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments7.63M98.00M3.95M4.51M3.87M10.51M
Total Debt1.79B1.73B1.51B1.43B1.38B1.13B
Total Liabilities1.83B1.81B1.55B1.47B1.42B1.18B
Stockholders Equity381.35M373.09M357.08M322.27M308.63M282.74M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow316.53M291.99M263.87M237.10M212.92M182.15M
Operating Cash Flow324.37M309.07M268.93M249.17M224.33M189.01M
Investing Cash Flow-408.67M-471.18M-315.37M-278.72M-447.29M-355.06M
Financing Cash Flow116.66M124.47M53.41M26.43M205.57M243.36M

Regional Management Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentPositive
Last Price38.89

Price Trends

50DMA32.82Positive
100DMA35.32Positive
200DMA34.89Positive

Market Momentum

MACD0.60Negative
RSI66.91Neutral
STOCH58.91Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For RM, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 38.89 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 33.81, above the 50-day MA of 32.82, and above the 200-day MA of 34.89, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.60 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 66.91 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 58.91 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for RM.

Regional Management Risk Analysis

Regional Management disclosed 54 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Regional Management reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.

Higher RiskSector Avg.Lower RiskFinance & CorporateTech & InnovationLegal & RegulatoryProductionAbility to SellMacro & Political
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy

Latest Risks Added

0 New Risks

Regional Management Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)

Financial Indicators

RM against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
MFINMFIN71Outperform$231.90M8.636.65%5.15%5.81%-35.16%
OPRTOPRT71Outperform$454.81M24.734.95%―-2.34%―
RMRM69Neutral$334.90M7.0812.61%3.31%8.41%20.27%
Sector *68Neutral$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
PRAAPRAA65Neutral$733.76M-2.90-26.80%―12.25%-388.78%
RWAYRWAY49Neutral$273.25M59.271.62%15.18%-38.60%-94.34%
YRDYRD37Underperform$36.26M-0.16-16.95%48.18%-27.36%-220.29%

* Financial Sector Average

Performance Comparison

-50%0%50%RMMFINPRAAYRDOPRTRWAYDec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
RM and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
RMRegional Managment39.211.112.91%
MFINMedallion Financial10.020.474.98%
PRAAPra Group Inc.19.746.7051.38%
YRDYiren Digital Ltd. Sponsored Adr0.41-5.01-92.38%
OPRTOportun Financial Corp.9.924.7993.37%
RWAYRunway Growth Finance Corporation6.48-1.78-21.50%

Regional Management Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board ChangesStock BuybackDividendsFinancial Disclosures

Regional Management Reports Strong Q3 Results, Leadership Changes

Positive
Oct 28, 2026

On October 28, 2026, Regional Management reported third-quarter 2026 net income of $15.1 million and diluted EPS of $1.61, with record revenue of $178.8 million driven by portfolio growth and rising fee income from its bank partnership program. The c...

Business Operations and StrategyStock BuybackDividendsFinancial Disclosures

Regional Management Highlights Strategic Growth and National Expansion Plans

Positive
Sep 16, 2026

On September 17, 2026, Regional Management Corp. prepared an investor presentation outlining its strategic framework, operating metrics, and growth ambitions for stakeholders including bankers and investors. The materials highlight the company’...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Oct 31, 2026